National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Fire
Weather

Flooding/
Hydrology

 

Severe
Weather

Space
Weather

Tropical
Weather

Winter
Weather

"Find Your Forecast" Tool - experimental

 

Spot Fire Weather Forecast Request

 

 

Request Procedures

Red Flag
 Criteria

 

    RH

    Rainfall

    Wind

    Fuel

Temperature

   Vegetation Stage I or II
cured/transition - Spring/Fall

 

less than 30%

less than 1/4 inch in previous 5 days

sustained or frequent gusts above 25 mph

N/A

greater than 50 degrees F

Vegetation Stage III
   green - Summer

 

less than 30%

less than 1/4 inch in previous 8 days

sustained or frequent gusts above 25 mph

Keetch-Byram Drought Index above 300

greater than 50 degrees F

 

Fire Weather Watch is issued up to 96 hours in advance of expected onset of red flag criteria

 

Red Flag Warning is issued when red flag criteria will occur in 48 to hours or less

 

Special Weather Statement is issued when Red Flag criteria are met, however temperatures are below 50F, or to raise elevated fire awareness

 

Local Products & Resources

Local NFDRS Forecasts

300011 = Albany Pine Bush NY
301111 = Belleayre Mountain NY
300411 = Lake Pleasant NY
305103 = Stonykill NY
301901 = Saratoga NY
431303 = Woodford VT

 

 

Weather Hazards Map

Weather Hazards

Map displays active watch, warnings, advisories and short term forecasts in the lower 48 states. 

Loop of sea-level pressures and fronts through day 7

Hazards Assessment

Latest Surface Analysis
 

Surface Analysis

The Weather Prediction Center  produces surface maps which depicts the analysis of  highs, lows, fronts, troughs, outflow boundaries, squall lines, and drylines.

National Forecast Maps

Regional Observations 

 

Storm Prediction Center Fire Outlook Day 1
 

Day 1 Outlook

...is issued twice a day at 4 am (CST/CDT) with an updated by       1700 UTC

Day 1 Fire Weather Discussion

About Fire Weather Outlooks

Storm Prediction Center Fire Outlook Day 2

Day 2 Outlook

...is issued twice a day at 10 UTC with a update by 2000 UTC.  .

Day 2 Fire Weather Discussion

Storm Prediction Center Fire Outlook Days 3-8

 

Day 3-8 Outlook

...is issued once a day at 2200 UTC.

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Discussion

 

Short Range Ensemble Forecast (SREF) Products
 

Short-Range Ensemble Forecast

Short-Range Ensemble Forecast  is produced by postprocessing the 21 members NCEP SREF plus the operational WRF-NAM for a total of 22 members. Special emphasis is placed on high-impact, mesoscale guidance including fire weather.

U.S. Drought Seasonal Outlook

U.S. Drought Monitor

The U.S. Drought Monitor is produced in partnership between the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, the United States Department of Agriculture, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Drought Fact Sheet

U.S. Drought Seasonal Outlook
 

Local Drought Statement

Product provides up-to-date reports on current drought situations across east central New York & western New England.  It will be issued when the U.S. Drought Monitor indicates a drought intensity at the level of D2 or worse for any portion of the local area.