Current Office Research Projects

• The June 19, 2007 Delaware County Flash Flood: A Meteorological and Hydrological Analysis , by Michael Schaffner, Michael Evans and Justin Arnott NOAA/National Weather Service Binghamton, NY
• A Project to Improve Forecasts of Radiation Fog at Elmira, New York
• A Predecessor Rainfall Event (PRE) Across Sections of the Ohio River Valley Associated with Hurrican Katrina
• Development and Verfication of a Sub-Regional WRF Ensemble for Lake Effect Snow Forecasting
• Maximum potential precipitable water - development and application for forecasting flash flood potential
• A Comparative Analysis of Two Heavy Banded Snow Events for the East Coast and the Central US
• Correlations Between Analyses and Forecasts of Banded Heavy Snow Ingredients and Observed Snowfall - (Submitted to Weather and Forecasting as a Note)
• Recorded Teletraining on Correlations Between Analyses and Forecasts of Banded Heavy Snow Ingredients and Observed Snowfall
• A Study of Predecessor Rainfall Events (PRE) in Advance of Tropical Cyclones* (Publication and teletraining currently under development)

Completed Office Research Projects

• A Proposed Methodology for Reconciling High-Resolution Numerical Modeling Guidance with Pattern Recognition to Predict Lake-Effect Snow (Published in the NWA Electronic Journal - 2008)
• A Statistical Comparison of the Properties of Flash Flooding and Nonflooding Precipitation Events in Portions of New York and Pennsylvania - Published in Weather and Forecasting - (Results from a COMET project with Cornell University)
• A Method to Reliably Predict Convective Modes (Organized Bands vs. Open- Cellular Development) in Late Season Lake-Effect Snow Events (Presented at several conferences in 2007)
• Regional scale ensemble forecast of the lake effect snow event of 7 February, 2007* (Presented at the WAF conference in Park City, UT in June, 2007)
• Cool-season Moderate Precipitation Events in the Northeastern United States - A collaboration with SUNY Albany via the CSTAR project. - a pdf file.
• Mesoscale Structure of Precipitation Regions in northeast winter storms - a collaboration with SUNY Albany via the CSTAR project. - a pdf file.
• A Study of a frontogenetically forced early spring snowstorm - Published in BAMS - January 2006.
• A Study on precipiation patterns associated with cold season closed lows - A collaboration with SUNY Albany via the CSTAR project.
• Development of a forecast equation to predict minimum temperatures in colder locations within the Binghamton NY forecast area.
• A Comparison of Two Banded, Heavy Snowstorms with Very Different Synoptic Settings - Published in Weather and Forecasting - December 2004.
• A Study on the Mother's Day 2003 Null Severe Weather Event - Presented at the Great Lakes Operational Conference, the Severe Storms Conference, and the NR0W (2004).
• An Investigation of Bird Radar Echoes Detected by the WSR-88D Doppler Radar at WFO Binghamton, NY
• A Preliminary Climatological Analysis Of River Flooding Along Major Central New York River Basins

NWS Binghamton On-line Local Case Studies

• The July 23, 2008 Early Morning Severe Weather Outbreak in Central New York
• The June 16, 2008 Hail Event
• Precipitation-type forecasting during the December 16, 2007 and February 1, 2008 Mixed Precipitation Events

• December 15-16, 2007 Winter Storm in Central New York and Northeast Pennsylvania
• The November 18-19, 2007 Snowstorm
• "PRE-Like" Activity In Advance of Tropical Storm Barry (June 1-3, 2007)
• The June 19, 2007 Delaware County Flash Flood: A Meteorological and Hydrological Analysis
• Northeast Flow Severe Weather June 12th, 2007
• The April 15-16, 2007 Snowstorm
• The March 16-17, 2007 Snowstorm
• February 13-14, 2007 Snowstorm
• February 5-6, 2007 Heavy Lake Effect Snow Event in Oneida county

• December 1, 2006 Severe Weather and Northeast Pennsylvania Tornadoes
• November 16, 2006 Flash Flooding and Severe Weather
• August 3, 2006 – Severe Weather
• The June 26-28, 2006 Flood in central New York and northeast Pennsylvania
• Multi-Faceted Lake Effect Snow Event of January 25-26, 2006
• January 2-3, 2006 and October 25, 2005 Elevation Snowstorms

• December 2-3, 2005 Lake Effect Snow Event
• August 12, 2005 - Severe Weather Event With Isolated Tornadoes
• The June 6, 2005 Derecho
• The April 2-3, 2005 Flood (slide show including speaker notes)
• The January 17-18, 2005 Finger Lakes Snow Band (slide show including speaker notes)
• The March 1, 2005 Isolated Heavy Snow Band (slide show including speaker notes)
• The February 28 - March 1, 2005 Snowstorm (slide show including speaker notes)
• Summary of Finger Lakes Snow Band Research (a power point presentation)
• The January 22-23, 2005 Snowstorm (slide show including speaker notes)
• The January 5-6, 2005 Winter Storm (slide show including speaker notes)

• The November 25, 2004 Severe Weather Outbreak (slide show including speaker notes)
• Heavy Rain Associated With Remnants of Hurricane Ivan (slide show including speaker notes).
• Heavy Rain From the Remains of Tropical Cyclone Frances - September 8-9, 2004. (slide show including speaker notes).
• The Tropical Cyclone - Induced Flooding of 2004. (slide show including speaker notes).
• The May 24, 2004 Severe Weather Outbreak. (slide show including speaker notes).
• The May 22, 2004 Supercell Event.(slide show including speaker notes).
• The May 12, 2004 Flash Flooding in Northeast Pennsylvania. (slide show including speaker notes).
• A Case Study of the April 18, 2004 Severe Weather Event across Upstate New York.
• The April 18, 2004 Severe Weather Outbreak. (slide show including speaker notes).
• The January 28, 2004 Snow Event. (slide show including speaker notes).
• The January 29-31, 2004 Lake Effect Snowstorm. (slide show including speaker notes).

• The July 21, 2003 Severe Weather Outbreak
• A Study on the Mother's Day 2003 Null Severe Weather Event.
• The March 30, 2003 Winter Storm (presentation from the 2003 Great Lakes Conference).
• The Presidents Day 2003, Snow Storm.

• The Christmas 2002, Snow Storm.
• The December 13-14, 2002 Winter Storm.
• The December 11-12, 2002 Winter Storm.
• The May 31, 2002 tornado outbreak.
• The Bear Creek Flash Flood of May 28, 2002.
• The March 9-10, 2002 serial derecho.
• The January 19, 2002 banded snowstorm.
• The January 6, 2002 banded snowstorm.

• The Convective Wind Event of 4 November 2001.
• The September 24th, 2001 Fabius F1 tornado.