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Map of pair of tornado tracks across central Willacy County, Texas, October 30 3015
Map of pair of short, small tornadoes in Willacy County early on October 30th. Click to view the point–by–point details, as well as photos taken by the NWS/Willacy County Emergency Management Survey Team in Google Earth. Need Google Earth? Click here.
 
October Surprise: Small Tornadoes Join the Willacy Flood Party
Local Damage Precedes Another Round of Flooding Rains Oct. 30, 2015

A wave of upper level energy, arriving well ahead of a vigorous trough of surface and high level low pressure, acted on a very unstable airmass that was also conducive to producing rotating thunderstorms during the pre–dawn hours of October 30th to produce a "mini–supercell" thunderstorm in northern Cameron County, which raced northward through Willacy and into Kenedy County. The thunderstorm, which stood on its own, was able to take advantage of the atmospheric winds and spin up several rotating "couplets" (inbound and outbound wind in generally a circular shape, spinning counterclockwise) on its journey. One couplet spawned a brief tornado around Los Coyotes just after 630 AM, which moved to the north–northwest and quickly dissipated before reaching Raymondville. As the first couplet weakened, a second formed to its east south of Willamar, and soon spawned another tornado at a Cotton producing facility in Willamar. The tornado lifted; whether it touched down farther north in Willacy and Kenedy is unknown, as flooded fields eliminated any access to unpopulated areas north of San Perlita.

The mini–supercell would be followed by yet another band of torrential rains for central Willacy County, with between 2 and 4+ inches falling on areas already underwater or just beginning to recover from up to 14 inches of rain during the prior seven days. These rains would re–flood San Perlita by early afternoon.

The following is a preliminary list of talking points from the October 30th tornadoes in Willacy County.

  • An NWS and Willacy County Emergency Management survey team revealed peak winds ranging from 74 to 86 mph for the Los Coyotes Tornado. The 86 mph winds were measured by a property owner’s weather station (below), whose information was considered viable based on visual evidence of damage and radar depiction of velocity in the core of the circulation, which exceeded 60 knots (70 mph)(below)
  • Damage in Los Coyotes was to a few barns and outbuildings, as well as uprooted and snapped trees. Emergency Management noted seven power poles were leaning or down, but had been repaired by the time to survey was conducted on October 31. Path length was two–thirds of a mile; path width was 25 yards wide.
  • The survey team estimated peak winds between 70 and 75 mph for the Willamar tornado. Primary damage was a cotton seed container/holder that was lifted from moorings into concrete block. The lack of material in the metal container allowed winds to get underneath and lift; pressures on the minimally anchored columns caused the damage.
  • Other damage included a portion of roof peeled back from a mobile home, where a 12 year old child was injured by flying debris and taken to a local hospital in Harlingen for observation. Unfortunately, the tin roof damage revealed poor connections to rotted wood.
  • Including minor damage to trees along Farm to Market Road 1420, path length was 1.67 miles and path width was also 25 yards. However, additional touch downs were possible north of San Perlita; access was cutoff by widespread flooding in fields and roads north of State Highway 186.
  • Based on survey data, each tornado lasted three minutes or less.
  • Damage estimates will eventually be made available, but are likely less than $100 thousand.
Screenshot from Davis Pro 2 Weather Station in Los Coyotes as Tornado passed over and destroyed barn on property
Screenshot from Davis Instruments Vantage Pro 2 Weather Station, courtesy of a local family. Click for larger image, but note the sharp wind shift from southeast to north, the gust to 86 mph, and a brief pressure drop as a small tornado raced across the property and lifted, then destroyed, a barn.
 
Base reflectivity showing two 'hook' echoes nearly side by side in Willacy County, early on October 30, 2015
Base reflectivity, 0.5°, for around 630 to 715 AM October 30, 2015, in Willacy County. Note the two distinct "hook" echoes. The first, early in the loop, crossed Los Coyotes east of Lyford then dissipated southeast of Raymondville. The second formed near Willamar and quickly moved north through San Perlita and into Kenedy County through the top of the 7 AM hour.
Base velocity showing two rotating couplets nearly side by side in Willacy County, early on October 30, 2015
Base velocity, 0.5°, for around 630 to 715 AM October 30, 2015, in Willacy County. Note the two distinct rotating couplets. The first, early in the loop, crossed Los Coyotes east of Lyford then dissipated southeast of Raymondville. The second formed near Willamar and quickly moved north through San Perlita and into Kenedy County through the top of the 7 AM hour. The couplet appeared to strengthen while moving toward the Kenedy County line, matching a well formed "hook" in the reflectivity signature; inability for the survey team to access flooded fields made it impossible to find further touch downs.