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Together to Save Lives: Early May Delivers Nation's Busiest Tornado Outbreak in Many Years
The week of May 4-10, 2003,
brought widespread tornado outbreaks affecting 19 states. The President
declared four states as disaster areas (Missouri, Kansas, Tennessee,
and Oklahoma).
About 395 tornadoes occurred during this period, according to Storm
Prediction Center preliminary statistics on the center's web
page. The week's total exceeds the previous most active week
of May 12-18, 1995, when there were 173 tornadoes. More than 40 people
were killed May 4 in Kansas, Missouri, and Tennessee. There were
few fatalities in subsequent events, and warning lead times appear
to be good for all of the past week's significant events. On May 9, 2003, NWS Deputy Director John Jones, assisted by Bill
Bunting, Meteorologist-In-Charge, Fort Worth, TX, Weather Forecast
Office and Dan McCarthy, Warning Coordination Meteorologist, NWS
Storm Prediction Center, briefed the U.S. House of Representatives
Science Committee on the week's tornado outbreak. In his remarks to members of Congress, Jones emphasized that NWS
employees on the front lines in forecast offices were "working non-stop
through the week's dangerous weather events." He also pointed out
that "the infusion of new science and technology along with a cadre
of experienced forecasters in the field" helped the NWS issue warnings
that may have saved many lives over the past week. Jones added that
NOAA partnerships with the research community, federal, state, and
local governments, and with the broadcast media, made it possible
for timely NWS warnings to give people time to take shelter. During the week, Weather Forecast Offices issued 4,867 warnings:
1,090 for tornadoes and 683 for flash floods. The 908 warnings issued
on May 6, 2003, were the most issued in one day (records back to
1986). The 893 warnings issued on May 10 and 858 warnings issued
on May 5 were the third and fourth most active days. The NWS deployed seven national Quick Response Teams (QRTs) of wind
damage experts to investigate damage that appeared to be greater
than F3. Five of the week's tornadoes are confirmed as F4s, and two
others are under investigation. (One of the recommendations of the
April 28, 2002, La Plata, MD, Tornado Service Assessment was to develop
a national QRT to determine final ratings for all tornadoes suspected
to be F4 or F5.) A service assessment team begins reviewing NWS performance during
the extended outbreak of severe weather this week. Leading the team
is Jim Purpura, the Meteorologist-In-Charge of the Corpus Christi,
TX, Weather Forecast Office. The team will complete its report in
about 90 days. Here are some highlights for the week, compiled by the Awareness
Branch of the NWS Office of Climate, Water, and Weather Services: |
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Comments Sought on
New NWS Strategic Plan
A draft National Weather Service
Strategic Plan for FiscalYears 2003 through 2008 is ready for comment.
The theme of this plan, "Working Together to Save Lives," reflects NWS's
commitment to work closely with our external partners and internal Line
Offices to help support NOAA's strategic goals.
"We are making the Plan available for NWS employee
comments now - a public comment period on the NWS
plan, along with the plans of all of our sister line
offices in NOAA, will follow soon," said Ed Johnson,
Director, NWS Strategic Planning and Policy Office.
Johnson said the NWS Strategic Plan was written
to conform to the substance and structure of NOAA's
recently completed Strategic Plan, "New Priorities
for the 21st Century." A copy of the NOAA
plan can be found at http://www.osp.noaa.gov/docs/NOAA_Final_Strategic_Plan_March31st.pdf.
All NOAA Line and Staff offices were asked to present
a plan which directly identifies how they will support
and carry out NOAA's strategic goals and objectives.
The NWS plan lists specific NWS activities supporting
NOAA's goals, and also lists critical partners who
help us carry out these activities.
"In writing the NWS plan, we considered all of
the NWS input provided into the NOAA strategic planning
process and all of the input that stakeholders provided
at NOAA-sponsored meetings," Johnson explained. "Even
so, now is the critical time when our draft is being
made available both internally and externally for
further comment."
You can view the new NWS Strategic Plan at www.weather.gov/sp/newNWSplan.htm .
Send comments to john.sokich@noaa.gov by
June 6, 2003.
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NOAA, EPA Announce
Plans for Air Quality Forecasts
NOAA and the Environmental
Protection Agency (EPA) announced a partnership recently to develop a
new forecasting model to establish a consistent national, numerical system
of forecasting ozone and particular matter.
The tool will provide an Air Quality Index in daily weather forecasts,
and will report a more accurate warning of the days in which outdoor
activities could prove to be a health risk.
In the first phase of the collaboration, EPA and NOAA will produce
a model that provides daily forecasts for ozone in the northeastern
United States by September 2004. Within five years, following initial
deployment and evaluation, the enhanced forecasting system will expand
to the whole Nation. The air quality forecasting model should help
forecasters make particulate matter predictions and provide a four-day
forecast within 10 years.
Read the full NOAA-EPA news release here.
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NWS Survey of Emergency
Managers Yields High Marks
The NWS is doing a good job
of meeting the needs of the emergency management community, according
to a recently completed customer satisfaction survey.
A survey conducted with Emergency Managers yielded an NWS score of
80 (out of 100) for customer satisfaction. That score is ten points
higher than the 2002 American Customer Satisfaction Index (ASCI) for
the overall Federal Government. This web-based survey, conducted by
The Claes Fornell International (CFI) Group, collected 479 interviews
from January 29 - February 17, 2003.
"The NWS Emergency Management segment is performing very well," said
Stephan Kuhl, the NWS National Warning Coordination Meteorologist (WCM)
Program Manager. "This benchmark provides us with a snapshot of how
we are doing and areas where we can improve. It's important to measure
customer satisfaction and find ways to deliver the best products possible."
The NWS identified eight activities (called satisfaction drivers)
for this survey. These are areas where the NWS regularly interfaces
with Emergency Managers. The satisfaction drivers were: product delivery,
local information, hazardous weather, public weather information, winter
weather information, hydrologic information, fire weather information,
and marine/tropical information. Each of these areas was measured by
a series of questions or attributes that were specific to that particular
area of service.
The categories of hazardous weather information and winter weather
information both received a score of 82. However, scores for product
delivery (72) and local information (75) were slightly lower than the
other categories.
To improve the overall NWS customer satisfaction index score, CFI
suggested that the NOAA's NWS Focus on improving local information weather
products and services, particularly finding ways to improve perceptions
of NWS zone and state weather forecasts' usefulness with Emergency
Managers. CFI recommended soliciting suggestions from Emergency Mangers
for ways to make the NWS area forecast discussions more useful in supporting
their operations and decision-making.
Three other NWS segments are scheduled to be surveyed using agency-specific
activities and outcomes: aviation, marine/tropical, and media.
ACSI uses a multi-equation, cause and effect econometric model to
measure customer satisfaction. NWS's Customer Satisfaction Index score
of 80 was derived from three questions in the survey:
1) How satisfied are you overall with the products and services provided
by the NWS? 2) To what extent have the products and services provided
by the NWS fallen short of or exceeded your expectations? 3) How well
does the NWS compare with an ideal provider of weather products and
services?
Scores for the most recent ACSI results, as well as bench marking
information and other useful resources are available at www.customerservice.gov and www.theacsi.org.
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NWS Testing Improved
English and New Spanish Voices for NOAA Weather Radio Broadcasts
Three NWS Weather Forecast
Offices (WFOs) are testing new NOAA Weather Radio (NWR) Console Replacement/Voice
Improvement Processor software which introduces a Spanish voice and improves
upon existing voices. The test is scheduled to conclude on May 23, 2003,
and nationwide roll-out could occur during mid-summer if the new technology
receives positive reviews, according to Lawrence Lehmann, Voice Improvement
Project Manager.
The three WFO test sites are: Miami, FL; San Diego, CA; and San Juan,
PR. Major changes to the new software include: adding a Spanish voice
(Javier) for audio conversion of incoming Spanish text messages into
voice files for NWR broadcast; a new male English voice (Tom replaces
Craig), and an improved Female English voice (Donna); a new speech
engine that improves the voice quality of all voices; the ability to
customize word pronunciations by voice; and, the ability to adjust
the speed of word pronunciation by voice.
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| Have news you'd like to spread using NOAA's NWS Focus? Have feedback on how we can improve NOAA's NWS Focus and employee communications? We want to hear from you! E-mail us at NWS.Focus@noaa.gov. | |||||||||||||||||||
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