000
FZAK80 PAFC 090300
ICEAFC

SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
555 PM AKST WEDNESDAY 8 FEBRUARY 2012 

FORECAST VALID...MONDAY FEBRUARY 13 2012 

ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...HIGH TO MODERATE.

SYNOPSIS...A SERIES OF LOWS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA
THROUGH MONDAY. 

-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ510-EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ505-CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ500-WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-
PKZ180-SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT-

ICE COVERED.

-BERING SEA-
PKZ414-BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
PKZ185-ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
PKZ165-PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
PKZ160-BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN-

THE ICE EDGE LIES FROM 25 NM SOUTHWEST OF FALSE PASS TO 56N 163.3W TO
57.1N 164.7W TO 56.3N 170.3W TO 56.8N 172.8W TO 59.2N 178.6W TO 60.7N
177.5E TO 59.1N 168.8E THEN CONTINUES AROUND THE COAST OF KAMCHATKA. 

THE ICE EDGE IS 3 TO 7 TENTHS YOUNG...NEW...FIRST YEAR THIN ICE AND
SOME FIRST YEAR MEDIUM ICE. 

...DETAILED ICE EDGE POSITION...

56.8N  164W
57.1N  165W
57N    166W
56.9N  167W
56.9N  168W 
56.8N  169W

56.4N  170W
56.5N  171W
56.6N  172W
56.8N  173W
57.2N  174W

57.7N  175W
58.3N  176W
58.8N  177W
59.1N  178W
59.5N  179W
60N    180

FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY...EAST OF 165W...PERIODS OF STRONG EASTERLY
WINDS WILL MOVE THE ICE TO THE WEST 20 TO 30 NM THROUGH MONDAY. 

FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY...165W TO 175W...NORTHEAST WINDS WILL
DIMINISH TONIGHT. LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY NIGHT.
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THE AREA WILL MAKE THE WINDS VARIABLE OVER THE
WEEKEND. THE ICE EDGE WILL MOVE TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH 10 TO 20 NM
WITH THE CHANGING WINDS WITH LITTLE NET ICE EDGE MOVEMENT. 

FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY...WEST OF 175W...PERIODS OF STRONG EAST TO
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD THE ICE EDGE TO THE SOUTHWEST
25 TO 35 NM THROUGH MONDAY. 

PKZ141-KACHEMAK BAY-
PKZ140-COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY-
PKZ138-SHELIKOF STRAIT-
PKZ130-BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS-


COOK INLET ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE.

SYNOPSIS FOR COOK INLET...EASTERLY WINDS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH
FRIDAY. A STRONG LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH OF KODIAK SATURDAY AND INCREASE
WINDS FROM THE NORTHEAST. 

THE ICE EDGE LIES ACROSS THE INLET NEAR 60N THEN SOUTH 20 TO 40 NM
OFF THE WESTERN COAST TO SHELIKOF STRAIT. ICE IS DIMINISHING IN
SHELIKOF STRAIT. 

5 TO 9 TENTHS NEW AND YOUNG ICE LIES ALONG THE HOMER SPIT AND NEAR
THE END OF KACHEMAK BAY.

ICE IN COOK INLET MOVES GREATLY WITH THE TIDES. 

FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY...DIMINISHING EASTERLY WINDS AND STRONG TIDES
WILL MOVE THE ICE EAST ACROSS THE INLET THROUGH FRIDAY. INCREASING
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL MOVE THE ICE TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 NM BY
MONDAY. 

KCOLE 2012

$$