000 FXUS64 KAMA 231114 AFDAMA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 514 AM CST MON NOV 23 2009 .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT IS SLATED TO MOVE ACROSS THE PANHANDLES TODAY. TEMPERATURES SHOULD CLIMB ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...BUT WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS THE FRONT SWEEPS SOUTH OF THE PANHANDLES BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT AHEAD AND BEHIND THE FRONT...WINDS SHOULD BE BREEZY AT MINIMUM. AFTER THE ASSOCIATED TROUGH TRACKS OVERHEAD TONIGHT...COOL NORTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP ALOFT AND HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN AT THE NORM TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. BY THURSDAY...HEIGHTS INCREASE OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AS THE WESTERN U.S. RIDGE BUILDS EAST. DRY CONDITIONS WILL EXIST DURING THANKSGIVING DAY THROUGH SATURDAY WHILE THIS RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE NEXT COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS ON SATURDAY. WITH MOISTURE LACKING...PASSAGE WILL BE DRY. MODELS ARE TRYING TO RESOLVE ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM WHICH COULD BRING OUR NEXT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION SOMETIME BETWEEN SUNDAY AND MONDAY. CONSISTENCY IS LACKING AND THERE IS NO EVIDENCE OF ADEQUATE MOISTURE. THEREFORE...PRECIPITATION WAS REMOVED FROM THE EXTENDED FORECAST. NUNEZ && .FIRE WEATHER... FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE ELEVATED OVER THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE TODAY WHERE BREEZY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES COMBINE. WHILE THE PROBABILITY IS LOW AT THIS TIME...THE SOUTHERN ROW OF COUNTIES MAY APPROACH EXTREME CONDITIONS IF THE COLD FRONT DELAYS ONE OR TWO HOURS. NEXT SHIFT WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE FRONT AS IT MOVES OVER THE AREA TODAY. NUNEZ && .AVIATION... MAIN AVIATION CONCERNS TODAY WILL BE THE FROPA TIMING AND STRENGTH OF WINDS...BOTH AHEAD OF AND BEHIND THE FRONT. THE FORECAST WILL REMAIN VFR WITH BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS THROUGH MIDDAY...SCATTERING DURING THE AFTERNOON. THIS COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH KDHT/KGUY AROUND 18Z...THEN REACH KAMA AROUND 20Z. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KTS...WITH GUSTS AROUND 30 KTS...ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTH AROUND KAMA. AS THE FRONT PASSES...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KTS SUSTAINED...WITH POTENTIAL GUSTS EXCEEDING 35 KTS. THERE COULD ALSO BE VERY BRIEF VSBY RESTRICTIONS DUE TO BLOWING DUST. BY 01Z...WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO AROUND 15 KTS AND MAY DROP BELOW 10 KTS AFTER 06Z. JOHNSON && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMARILLO TX 63 29 53 24 55 / 0 0 0 0 0 BEAVER OK 60 31 53 23 53 / 5 0 0 0 0 BOISE CITY OK 50 26 52 22 52 / 0 0 0 0 0 BORGER TX 59 32 55 27 56 / 0 0 0 0 0 BOYS RANCH TX 61 27 56 22 56 / 0 0 0 0 0 CANYON TX 66 28 55 21 57 / 0 0 0 0 0 CLARENDON TX 67 34 56 27 59 / 0 0 0 0 0 DALHART TX 57 24 55 20 54 / 0 0 0 0 0 GUYMON OK 57 28 53 23 56 / 0 0 0 0 0 HEREFORD TX 65 25 55 20 58 / 0 0 0 0 0 LIPSCOMB TX 61 32 54 23 56 / 0 0 0 0 0 PAMPA TX 59 32 53 29 55 / 0 0 0 0 0 SHAMROCK TX 66 36 59 28 61 / 0 0 0 0 0 WELLINGTON TX 69 36 60 29 62 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...NONE. OK...NONE. && $$ 24/08