000 FNUS53 KAPX 280832 FWFAPX FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 432 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2008 ...A PERIOD OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... .DISCUSSION...A COOL FRONT WILL ADVANCE EASTWARD INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES REGION TODAY...WITH CLOUD COVER AND SURFACE MOISTURE INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY. AS THE FRONT PUSHES ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN TONIGHT...IT WILL PRODUCE A GOOD CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN. AS THE FRONT DEPARTS FRIDAY MORNING...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO MICHIGAN FOR THE LABOR DAY WEEKEND...FEATURING MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. MIZ016-017-019-021>023-282030- EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY COUNTIES- 432 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2008 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83...EXCEPT 67-72 ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT...EXCEPT 71-76 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 13 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1250). MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 18 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL 2000. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2000. MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64...EXCEPT 66-71 ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 85-90 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........POOR (70). MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. PCPN AMOUNT.........0.27-0.60 IN. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0800. MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81...EXCEPT 67-72 ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 7 DEGREES COOLER ALONG THE COAST. MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT...EXCEPT 71-76 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (760). MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-282030- PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF- 432 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2008 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80...EXCEPT AROUND 71 ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT...EXCEPT 70-75 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 13 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (940). MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 18 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2000. MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65. 24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........POOR (90). MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.35 IN. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0800...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL 1100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 70-75 ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT...EXCEPT 57-62 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 16 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (770). MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.10 IN. $$ MIZ020-025>027-282030- LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL- 432 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2008 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83...EXCEPT 67-72 ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 38 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (930). MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 18 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL 2000. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2000. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61...EXCEPT 68-73 ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE WARMER ALONG THE COAST. MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........POOR (50). MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........0.28-0.45 IN. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0800. MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78. 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT...EXCEPT 71-76 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........GOOD (590). MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN. $$ MIZ031>033-282030- MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF- 432 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2008 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT...EXCEPT 64-69 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (880). MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL 2000. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2000. MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64. 24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........POOR (20). MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. PCPN AMOUNT.........0.24-0.35 IN. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0800. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT...EXCEPT 57-62 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (660). MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-282030- CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF- 432 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2008 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81. 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (970). MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 18 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2000. MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65. 24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........POOR (20). MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.31 IN. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0800...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL 1100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83. 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (840). MIXING HEIGHT.......8900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN. $$ .EXTENDED... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .LABOR DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ KAS