000
FXUS64 KBMX 121535
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1034 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2008

.UPDATE...MORNING DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD TODAY FROM CENTRAL
FLORIDA...ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA/SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND SOUTHERN
ALABAMA. THIS WILL KEEP A LOW LEVEL CLOUD DECK ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. THINK THERE WILL BE SOME BREAKS
DURING THE AFTERNOON...BUT LESS THAN YESTERDAY. THIS WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 70S IN THE EAST...AND MID TO UPPER 70S IN
THE CENTRAL AND WEST. AS THE LOW PUSHES CLOSER...LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS
WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ...PARTICULARLY IN THE SOUTHEAST
PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA.

NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST GRIDS.

14

&&

.AVIATION...12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

BRISK EASTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED AT ALL SITES TODAY...ESPECIALLY
BETWEEN SUNRISE AND 3 PM AS THE ATMOSPHERE MIXES.  SPEEDS WILL
LIKELY BE SUSTAINED BETWEEN 10 AND 14 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 20
KNOTS POSSIBLE.  OTHER IMPEDIMENTS TO AVIATION INCLUDE LOW CLOUDS
AND POSSIBLE A SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWER OR TWO.  RAINFALL LOOKS
MOST LIKELY AT ANB AND TOI BUT COVERAGE IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN TAFS AT THIS TIME.  WINN HANDEL ANY
PRECIPITATION WITH AMENDMENTS.  AT 11Z CEILINGS ARE IN THE 2000 TO
3500 FOOT RANGE AND SHOULD REMAIN AT THAT LEVEL THROUGH 14-15Z
BEFORE RISING SLIGHTLY. OVERNIGHT...WINDS WILL DIMINISH A BIT AND
LOW CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN...ESPECIALLY AFTER 06Z.

12/SIRMON

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$