000 FNUS51 KCTP 150910 FWFCTP FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 510 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2008 .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL STALL OUT OVER SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA TODAY...THEN LIFT NORTH LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS THROUGH THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS THE STATE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY...AS A TRAILING COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. PAZ004>006-010-011-017-152115- WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-CLEARFIELD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...BRADFORD...COUDERSPORT... ST. MARYS...RIDGWAY...EMPORIUM...DUBOIS...CLEARFIELD 510 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2008 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 60 50 TEMP (24H TREND) 69 (-2) 51 (+7) 60 RH % (24H TREND) 40 (+1) 98 (-2) 68 20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 7 G21 20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) SW 7 LGT/VAR NW 11 G20 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.20 0.15 PRECIP DURATION 5 3 PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING 2 PM MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3880 1620 4920 TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 13 SW 18 NW 14 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 51050 25000 62920 DISPERSION 5 5 5 DSI 1 0 0 LAL NO TSTMS >25 STRIKES NO TSTMS HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ PAZ024-033-152115- CAMBRIA-SOMERSET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...SOMERSET 510 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2008 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 50 50 TEMP (24H TREND) 71 (-1) 55 (+3) 63 RH % (24H TREND) 48 (+9) 88 (-12) 76 20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 9 G18 20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) W 7 G17 LGT/VAR NW 10 G19 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.03 0.12 PRECIP DURATION 2 3 PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4450 2470 3880 TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 10 SW 17 NW 15 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 43040 37090 52590 DISPERSION 5 5 5 DSI 0 0 0 LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. $$ PAZ019-025>028-034-035-152115- SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STATE COLLEGE...ALTOONA...HUNTINGDON... MOUNT UNION...LEWISTOWN...MIFFLINTOWN...BEDFORD...MCCONNELLSBURG 510 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2008 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 40 50 TEMP (24H TREND) 74 (-3) 55 (+1) 67 RH % (24H TREND) 41 (+2) 91 (-9) 66 20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 5 20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) W 6 G17 LGT/VAR NW 10 G21 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.13 PRECIP DURATION 2 3 PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING 5 PM MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4810 1950 4430 TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 8 SW 20 SW 23 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 40920 28420 110770 DISPERSION 5 5 5 DSI 1 0 0 LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. $$ PAZ012-018-037-041-042-152115- NORTHERN CLINTON-NORTHERN CENTRE-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RENOVO...PHILIPSBURG...MANSFIELD... WELLSBORO...TROUT RUN...LAPORTE 510 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2008 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 50 60 TEMP (24H TREND) 71 (-2) 51 (+4) 62 RH % (24H TREND) 37 (-3) 97 (-3) 66 20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 6 G23 20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) SW 6 LGT/VAR NW 10 G21 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.09 0.17 PRECIP DURATION 2 6 PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING 5 PM MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3780 1450 4870 TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 5 SW 24 NW 15 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 20750 18990 72260 DISPERSION 5 5 5 DSI 1 0 0 LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS HAINES INDEX 4 3 3 RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. $$ PAZ045-046-049>053-058-152115- SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-SCHUYLKILL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOCK HAVEN...WILLIAMSPORT...LEWISBURG... SELINSGROVE...DANVILLE...SUNBURY...SHAMOKIN...BLOOMSBURG... BERWICK...POTTSVILLE 510 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2008 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 40 60 TEMP (24H TREND) 74 (-3) 53 (+2) 67 RH % (24H TREND) 40 (+1) 95 (-5) 67 20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) W 5 LGT/VAR NW 9 G21 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.14 PRECIP DURATION 2 6 PRECIP BEGIN 11 PM CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING 5 PM MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4830 1170 4110 TRANSPORT WND (KTS) NW 8 SW 16 NW 13 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 52150 9790 52120 DISPERSION 5 4 5 DSI 1 0 0 LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS HAINES INDEX 4 3 3 RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. $$ PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-152115- FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHAMBERSBURG...NEWPORT...HARRISBURG... HERSHEY...LEBANON...CARLISLE...GETTYSBURG...YORK...LANCASTER 510 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2008 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 50 TEMP (24H TREND) 76 (-3) 55 (0) 72 RH % (24H TREND) 40 (+7) 92 (-8) 58 20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) W 5 LGT/VAR NW 9 G21 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.10 PRECIP DURATION 1 2 PRECIP BEGIN 11 PM CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4940 1270 5340 TRANSPORT WND (KTS) NW 9 SW 16 W 17 VENT RATE (KT-FT) 58700 14340 80930 DISPERSION 5 4 5 DSI 1 0 0 LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS16-25 STRIKES HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL. $$