000
FXUS63 KDLH 100904
AFDDLH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
304 AM CST FRI FEB 10 2012

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THE WELL ADVERTISED ARCTIC FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH THE NORTHLAND.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE SUPERIOR
WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST AS DRIER AIR UPSTREAM AND
A MORE WESTERLY COMPONENT TO THE NORTH WINDS WILL MOVE INTO THE
AREA. STILL COULD BE AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO OF SNOW
ACCUMULATION FOR THE GOGEBIC RANGE. THE CORE OF THE COLD AIR IS
STILL TO THE NORTH IN CANADA. CURRENT SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
FOR WIND CHILLS IN THE 25 TO 35 BELOW ZERO RANGE LOOKS TO FAVOR
AREAS OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING. HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL ONLY RECOVER TO THE
SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO FOR THE MINNESOTA ZONES AND LOWER TEENS
OVER NORTHWESTERN WISCONSIN.

ANOTHER COLD NIGHT IS IN STORE FOR THE NORTHLAND ON FRIDAY NIGHT
WITH LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS BELOW ZERO FOR THE BORDERLAND
INTO THE IRON RANGE AND ARROWHEAD. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH
WILL BRING WIND CHILL VALUES DOWN TO THE 25 TO 35 BELOW ZERO RANGE
FROM MIDNIGHT THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF SATURDAY MORNING. AREAL
COVERAGE OF THE LOW WIND CHILLS WILL SPREAD OVER THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA. ONCE AGAIN...THE LOWEST WIND CHILLS WILL BE FOUND
OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL
RISE TO THE TEENS ON SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT
PLAINS BRINGS PLENTIFUL SUNSHINE. IT WILL BE A BIT BREEZY ON
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER HUDSON BAY WILL
SLIDE SOUTHEASTWARD CREATING A RELATIVELY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
AGAINST THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

AFTER THE LARGE ARCTIC RIDGE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF TO THE 
SOUTHEAST...THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL BECOME QUASI-ZONAL LATE THIS 
WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT...A SERIES OF WEAK DISTURBANCES 
WILL TRACK EWD ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER DUE TO 
THE FAST MOVING NATURE OF THESE SYSTEMS AND LIMITED MOISTURE 
ASSOCIATED WITH THEM...WE HAVE KEPT THE EXTENDED FCST MAINLY DRY. 
THE MAIN RESULT OF THIS PATTERN CHANGE WILL BE A WARMING TREND WITH 
HIGHS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 30S FOR MUST OF THE NORTHLAND MONDAY 
THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...06Z TAFS

SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHWESTERN WISCONSIN THROUGH
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WITH VSBYS DOWN IN THE IFR CATEGORY
AROUND KHYR. CIGS WILL ALSO REMAIN MVFR IN THE SNOW.
ELSEWHERE...SKIES ARE BEGINNING TO CLEAR ACROSS NORTHERN CWA WITH
A FEW MID AND LOW LEVEL CLOUDS FROM KDLH NORTH THROUGH THE
ARROWHEAD. THESE CLOUDS WILL MOVE EAST BY MID MORNING LEAVING
SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY OUT
OF THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE MORNING BEFORE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WEAKENS AND WINDS LESSEN DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.


&&

.POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DLH   8  -9  15   1 /   0   0   0   0 
INL   4 -15  12  -6 /  10   0   0   0 
BRD   8  -9  15   0 /   0   0   0   0 
HYR  13  -9  16  -3 /  20   0   0   0 
ASX  14  -4  15   2 /  60  10  10   0 

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KK
LONG TERM....BERDES
AVIATION...RH