000 FNUS53 KDTX 151942 FWFDTX FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 345 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2008 .DISCUSSION... WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL ZIP THROUGH LAKE ST CLAIR THIS EVENING...WITH HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDING INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS HIGH WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND. MIZ047-048-053-060-061-161300- MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT 345 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2008 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT) UNTIL ABOUT 6 AM...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN THROUGH ABOUT 2 AM...THEN A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH ABOUT 6 AM. POP...90 PERCENT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......520-720 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH OVERNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10). PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59. 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5240-5740 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (700). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37. 24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........82-92 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......460-660 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55. 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7190-7690 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (880). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. $$ MIZ049-054-055-062-161300- HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER 345 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2008 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT) UNTIL ABOUT 6 AM...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN THROUGH ABOUT 2 AM...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH ABOUT 6 AM. POP...100 PERCENT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48. 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........92-100 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......440-640 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0). PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57. 24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........52-62 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (910). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40. 24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. POP...20 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........55-63 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8290-8790 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1050). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. $$ MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-161300- ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF... PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE 345 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2008 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT) UNTIL ABOUT 6 AM...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH ABOUT 2 AM...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH ABOUT 6 AM. POP...100 PERCENT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50. 24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0). PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59. 24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........49-55 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6450-6950 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (910). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41. 24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........84-94 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......160-360 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. POP...20 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........49-55 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8480-8980 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1100). PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FROST BY 2 AM THROUGH 8 AM. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. $$ SF