000 FXUS64 KEWX 100933 AFDEWX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 333 AM CST FRI FEB 10 2012 .DISCUSSION... A PROGRESSIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CONUS WITH A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL TROFS MOVING ACROSS TEXAS. THE FIRST UPPER LEVEL TROF AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP EASTWARD ACROSS TEXAS THIS MORNING WITH A BAND OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. THE PCPN WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST THIS AFTERNOON EXITING OUR EASTERN COUNTIES AROUND 6 PM. HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON WILL RANGE FROM AROUND 60 ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY TO MID 60S SOUTHWEST. RAINFALL TOTALS FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL RANGE FROM A TENTH OF AN INCH WEST TO ONE HALF INCH EAST. CLEARING SKIES OVERNIGHT COMBINED WITH CAA WILL RESULT IN A LIGHT FREEZE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE HILL COUNTRY. SATURDAY WILL BE DRY BUT CHILLY IN SPITE OF THE AMPLE SUNSHINE. MODERATE CAA WILL KEEP AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S. THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL BE APPROACHING TEXAS SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS FEATURE WILL DRAW THE THE CUT-OFF LOW OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS TEXAS. PACIFIC MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE WILL OVERSPREAD OUR CWFA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH SHOWERS DEVELOPING OVER OUR SOUTHWEST COUNTIES AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE CONUNDRUM IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A WINTERY MIX ACROSS THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HILL COUNTRY SUNDAY MORNING. THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT SOME SLEET MAY BE MIXED WITH THE RAIN AS THE PCPN SHIELD OVERSPREADS THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND HILL COUNTRY SUNDAY MORNING. ATTM CONFIDENCE IS LOW FOR THIS SCENARIO SO HAVE LEFT SLEET OUT OF THE FCST. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OVERSPREAD SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS ON SUNDAY AS MOISTURE FROM THE BAJA LOW INTERACTS WITH THE APPROACHING NORTHERN STREAM S/W TROF. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST MONDAY AFTERNOON AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROF AXIS MOVES EAST OF OUR CWFA. THE ATTENDANT DRY-LINE/SFC TROF WILL ALLOW AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE MID AND UPPER 60S ON MONDAY. MILD SPRING-LIKE AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S WILL PERSIST FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY ASSOCIATED WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE NEXT S/W TROF. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AUSTIN CAMP MABRY 64 36 52 33 48 / 40 0 0 - 30 AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 63 32 51 33 48 / 40 0 0 - 30 NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT 64 36 56 33 47 / 40 0 0 10 50 BURNET MUNI AIRPORT 62 33 49 33 47 / 40 0 0 - 30 DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT 66 40 56 40 46 / 10 0 0 10 40 GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT 63 33 49 33 49 / 40 0 0 - 30 HONDO MUNI AIRPORT 65 35 57 34 48 / 20 0 0 10 60 SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT 64 36 55 33 48 / 40 0 0 - 40 LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL 63 38 53 35 48 / 50 0 0 - 30 SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT 65 38 55 36 48 / 40 0 0 10 60 STINSON MUNI AIRPORT 65 39 56 37 49 / 30 0 0 10 60 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ MESOSCALE/AVIATION...02 SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...13