000 FXUS64 KFWD 051658 AAB AFDFWD AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 1158 AM CDT FRI SEP 5 2008 .AVIATION... SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NORTH TEXAS AND WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT EAST BY THIS EVENING. THIS WILL TURN WINDS MORE SOUTHEASTERLY FOR OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY AS VFR CONDITIONS PERSIST. 75 && .AVIATION... 530 AM CDT. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH SUNRISE SATURDAY UNDER A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL MOVE SLIGHTLY EAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND CAUSE THE WIND TO TURN FROM NORTH/NORTHEAST TO A MORE EASTERLY DIRECTION BY THIS EVENING. WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 10 KNOTS THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. .79... && .PREV DISCUSSION... 251 AM. CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS DOMINATE SENSIBLE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THIS MORNING. COMPACT SHORTWAVE TROF ACROSS NORTHEAST CO/WESTERN KS/SOUTHWEST NE HAS TRIGGERED AN AREA OF STORMS. THIS ELEMENT SEEMS TO HAVE BEEN CAPTURED FAIRLY WELL BY 00Z NAM AND GFS...AND THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH OF OUR CWA. THEREFORE...EXPECT A SIMILAR DAY TO YESTERDAY WITH SCATTERED AFTERNOON CUMULUS...LIGHT EAST WINDS...AND HIGHS THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THIS FORECAST PACKAGE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TRANQUIL WEATHER WILL PREVAIL...WITH TEMPS RISING A FEW DEGREES EACH DAY /GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO MID 90S/. BY MONDAY...SLIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY MID LEVEL FLOW DEVELOPS OVER OUR REGION...ALLOWING FOR SUBTLE TROFS TO EASE THROUGH THE AREA. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN ZONES ON TUESDAY...AND AREA WIDE ON WED/THURS/FRI WITH THE APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF A FRONT. RAIN CHANCES AND EXPECTED CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP HIGH TEMPERATURES HOVERING IN THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90 DEGREES. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE AT BEST AND TIMING OF POPS WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE REFINED WITH TIME. SCHULTZ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 90 68 93 71 94 / 0 0 0 0 0 WACO, TX 91 65 94 69 94 / 0 0 0 0 0 PARIS, TX 86 61 90 65 92 / 0 0 0 0 0 DENTON, TX 89 64 93 68 94 / 0 0 0 0 0 MCKINNEY, TX 89 63 93 67 94 / 0 0 0 0 0 DALLAS, TX 89 68 93 71 93 / 0 0 0 0 0 TERRELL, TX 89 63 91 68 93 / 0 0 0 0 0 CORSICANA, TX 90 65 93 68 93 / 0 0 0 0 0 TEMPLE, TX 91 65 95 67 94 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$