000
FGUS73 KGID 271529
ESFGID
NEC129-NEC175-NEC077-NEC125-NEC163-NEC093-NEC019-NEC079-NEC019-
KSC147-KSC163-051800-


PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
929 AM CST FRI JAN 27 2012

...ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK... 

THIS LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK CONTAINS FORECAST VALUES THAT
ARE CALCULATED USING MULTIPLE SEASON SCENARIOS FROM 30 OR MORE YEARS
OF CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA INCLUDING CURRENT CONDITIONS OF THE RIVER...
SOIL MOISTURE...AND 30 TO 90 DAY LONG-RANGE OUTLOOKS OF TEMPERATURE
AND PRECIPITATION. BY PROVIDING THE COMPLETE RANGE OF 
PROBABILITIES...THE LEVEL OF RISK ASSOCIATED WITH LONG-RANGE PLANNING
DECISIONS CAN BE DETERMINED. THESE PROBABILISTIC FORECASTS ARE PART
OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE'S ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION
SERVICE.

THE VALUES IN THE TABLE BELOW ARE VALID FROM JAN 28 2012 TO APR 27 
2012.

IN THE TABLE BELOW...THE 90 THROUGH 10 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE
CHANCE THAT A LOCATION ON A RIVER COULD RISE ABOVE THE LISTED STAGE
LEVELS IN THE NEXT 90 DAYS. FOR EXAMPLE: THE LITTLE BLUE RIVER NEAR
DEWEESE HAS A FLOOD STAGE OF 10 FEET. THERE IS A 20 PERCENT CHANCE
THAT THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE 8.2 FEET IN THE NEXT 90 DAYS.


                         ALL STAGES IN FEET


LOCATION         FS(FT)   90%  80%  70%  60%  50%  40%  30%  20%  10%
--------         ------   ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---  ---
BEAVER CREEK
 BEAVER CITY      11.0    3.0  3.0  3.0  3.0  3.1  3.5  4.6  7.2 11.4
 GENOA            15.0    5.0  5.9  6.7  7.0  7.5  8.2  9.3 10.0 12.1


BOW CREEK
 STOCKTON          9.0    3.6  3.6  3.6  3.6  3.6  3.9  4.5  5.4  6.4


CEDAR RIVER
 FULLERTON         9.0    2.0  4.3  4.5  4.6  4.8  5.1  5.5  5.9  6.5


LITTLE BLUE RIVER
 DEWEESE          10.0    3.0  3.7  4.1  5.0  6.0  6.5  6.8  8.2  9.4


LOUP RIVER
 GENOA             9.0    5.2  5.4  5.7  6.1  6.4  6.5  7.0  7.6  8.2


MIDDLE LOUP RIVER
 SAINT PAUL        8.0    2.8  2.9  3.0  3.2  3.3  3.3  3.5  3.9  4.2


MUD CREEK
 SWEETWATER       15.0    6.2  6.3  7.4  8.5  9.1  9.5 10.1 11.6 13.8


NORTH FORK SOLOMON RIVER
 GLADE            11.0    3.2  3.2  3.2  3.2  3.2  3.9  4.8  5.5  6.9


NORTH LOUP RIVER
 SAINT PAUL        5.5    3.5  3.6  3.7  4.0  4.1  4.2  4.2  4.4  4.6


SAPPA CREEK
 BEAVER CITY      16.0    2.9  2.9  2.9  2.9  2.9  3.1  4.0  8.9 13.2
 STAMFORD         19.0    7.3  7.3  7.3  7.4  7.7  9.1 11.3 12.7 14.5


SOUTH LOUP RIVER
 RAVENNA           5.0    2.9  3.1  3.3  3.4  3.8  4.0  4.1  4.4  4.7
 SAINT MICHAEL     6.5    2.9  3.2  3.7  3.8  4.2  4.4  4.7  5.2  5.9


WOOD RIVER
 ALDA             10.0    4.4  4.4  4.4  4.5  5.1  5.4  6.1  7.3  8.5
 GIBBON           15.0    4.1  4.1  4.1  4.2  5.1  5.7  6.8  9.1 10.4
 RIVERDALE        11.0    2.1  2.1  2.1  2.1  2.6  3.0  3.4  4.6  7.2


VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS FOR MORE WEATHER AND
RIVER INFORMATION INCLUDING GRAPHS OF PROBABILISTIC RIVER OUTLOOKS.


$$