000 FNUS52 KILM 091928 FWFILM FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 228 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MID-MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY WILL BUILD EAST INTO THE CAROLINAS THROUGH FRIDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY... FOLLOWED BY VERY COLD AND DRY AIR-MASS ON SUNDAY. THE CENTER OF THIS HIGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY AND OFFSHORE TUESDAY. NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. NCZ105>110-101130- INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER- INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH... WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND... BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND... SOUTHPORT 228 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 70 0 PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS NONE LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 29 60 43 58 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 6 NW 9 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 6 SW 7 NW 14 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.00 PRECIP DURATION 6 INVERSION 1800 49/1000 1800 50/1000 MAX/MIN RH (%) 95 37 100 33 DSI 2 2 HAINES INDEX 4 4 3 3 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4060 6450 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 13 N 26 VENTILATION RATE 52780 167700 ADI EARLY 1 VERY POOR 6 VERY POOR 6 VERY POOR 42 GEN GOOD ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 39 FAIR 5 VERY POOR 88 GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 5 8 8 9 MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 8 1 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 24 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ NCZ087-096-099-101130- ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE 228 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 60 0 PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS NONE LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 30 61 40 57 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 4 NW 8 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 W 5 NW 14 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 PRECIP DURATION 6 INVERSION 1800 47/1000 1800 50/1000 MAX/MIN RH (%) 94 37 100 31 DSI 2 3 HAINES INDEX 4 4 2 3 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4870 7040 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 17 N 29 VENTILATION RATE 82790 204160 ADI EARLY 1 VERY POOR 6 VERY POOR 8 POOR 47 GEN GOOD ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 51 GEN GOOD 4 VERY POOR 100 GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 5 7 8 8 MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 8 1 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 21 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 27 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ SCZ017-023-101130- MARLBORO-DARLINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON 228 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 50 0 PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS NONE LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 31 62 39 58 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR SE 3 S 3 NW 9 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 W 6 NW 15 G20 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 PRECIP DURATION 2 INVERSION 1800 47/1000 1800 49/1000 MAX/MIN RH (%) 90 38 100 29 DSI 2 3 HAINES INDEX 4 4 2 3 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4780 7480 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 16 N 31 VENTILATION RATE 76480 231880 ADI EARLY 1 VERY POOR 8 POOR 12 POOR 55 GEN GOOD ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 48 GEN GOOD 7 POOR 111 VERY GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 4 7 6 8 MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 7 1 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 20 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 24 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ SCZ024-032-033-039-101130- DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DILLON...FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE 228 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 50 0 PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS NONE LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 30 62 41 59 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR E 4 S 4 NW 9 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 7 W 7 NW 14 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 PRECIP DURATION 2 INVERSION 1800 48/1000 1800 49/1000 MAX/MIN RH (%) 94 40 100 29 DSI 2 3 HAINES INDEX 4 4 2 4 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4500 7180 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 14 N 30 VENTILATION RATE 63000 215400 ADI EARLY 2 VERY POOR 8 POOR 6 VERY POOR 57 GEN GOOD ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 45 GEN GOOD 9 POOR 105 VERY GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 4 8 7 8 MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 7 1 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 20 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 25 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ SCZ053>056-101130- INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH... NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN... MURRELLS INLET 228 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD AMOUNT PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 60 0 PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS NONE LAL 1 1 1 1 MIN/MAX TEMP 29 62 43 60 WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR E 4 S 6 NW 9 WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 7 W 7 NW 14 PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 PRECIP DURATION 4 INVERSION 1800 51/1000 1800 50/1000 MAX/MIN RH (%) 98 43 96 33 DSI 2 3 HAINES INDEX 4 4 3 3 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3940 6550 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 15 N 29 VENTILATION RATE 59100 189950 ADI EARLY 1 VERY POOR 7 POOR 5 VERY POOR 53 GEN GOOD ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 42 GEN GOOD 4 VERY POOR 97 GOOD MAX LVORI EARLY 5 8 7 6 MAX LVORI LATE 8 2 6 1 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 23 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== 0 TO 17249 1 0 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX. $$ 7