000 FNUS54 KJAN 061925 FWFJAN FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS... NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 225 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2008 .DISCUSSION...MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS REGION AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON TUESDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION...AND SPREAD EAST THROUGH THE ENTIRE REGION TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. THIS ACTIVITY WILL MOVE EAST OUT OF THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BETWEEN 60-70 PERCENT ON TUESDAY. DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST ON WEDNESDAY. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM AROUND 35-45 PERCENT WEST TO AROUND 45-55 PERCENT EAST. ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-071015- ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON LA- 225 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2008 ...EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 70 40 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 66 (+4) 80 (-6) 55 81 RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+7) 62 (+24) 98 35 20FT WND/AM(MPH) S 4 W 5 20FT WND/PM(MPH) SE 4 SW 8 W 6 NW 9 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 5 9 2 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.10-0.25 0.25-0.50 0.50-1.00 <0.10 500M MXG HT TEMP 77 70 500M TRANS DIR SW N 500M TRANS SPEED(M/S) 5 6 500M TRANS SPEED(MPH) 10 12 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1586 1798 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 5203 5898 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 6 N 6 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 N 14 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 9516 10788 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 67639 82572 STAG INDEX 2 2 3 3 CATEGORY DAY 4 4 STABILITY F C E C WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 AM REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ MSZ018-019-025>027-034>036-040>042-071015- BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS- HOLMES-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO- 225 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2008 ...WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... ...NORTHWEST PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 80 60 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 63 (+2) 80 (-7) 59 77 RH % (24H TREND) 95 (+6) 61 (+25) 100 37 20FT WND/AM(MPH) S 6 W 6 20FT WND/PM(MPH) SE 6 S 9 SW 5 NW 9 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 2 10 7 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) <0.10 0.50-1.00 >1.00 0.10-0.25 500M MXG HT TEMP 77 73 500M TRANS DIR S N 500M TRANS SPEED(M/S) 5 4 500M TRANS SPEED(MPH) 11 9 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1579 1847 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 5181 6059 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 7 N 3 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 15 N 7 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 11053 5541 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 77715 42413 STAG INDEX 2 2 2 3 CATEGORY DAY 4 3 STABILITY E C E C WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 AM REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ MSZ028>033-037>039-071015- MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-ATTALA-WINSTON- NOXUBEE- 225 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2008 ...NORTHEAST PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 80 80 20 TEMP (24H TREND) 63 (+5) 79 (-6) 57 75 RH % (24H TREND) 92 (-1) 65 (+29) 100 50 20FT WND/AM(MPH) SE 6 W 5 20FT WND/PM(MPH) SE 5 SE 8 SE 4 W 7 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 2 6 12 2 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) <0.10 0.25-0.50 >1.00 0.25-0.50 500M MXG HT TEMP 76 73 500M TRANS DIR S SE 500M TRANS SPEED(M/S) 7 2 500M TRANS SPEED(MPH) 16 3 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1664 1870 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 5459 6134 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 7 W 2 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 16 W 3 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 11648 3740 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 87344 18402 STAG INDEX 2 2 2 2 CATEGORY DAY 4 2 STABILITY E C E C WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. LIGHT WINDS. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. $$ MSZ043-044-047>050-071015- MADISON MS-LEAKE-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT- 225 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2008 TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 80 60 20 TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (+4) 81 (-5) 59 76 RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+9) 65 (+24) 100 44 20FT WND/AM(MPH) SE 4 W 5 20FT WND/PM(MPH) SE 4 S 6 S 4 NW 9 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 2 10 7 1 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) <0.10 0.25-0.50 >1.00 0.10-0.25 500M MXG HT TEMP 77 74 500M TRANS DIR S NW 500M TRANS SPEED(M/S) 4 3 500M TRANS SPEED(MPH) 9 6 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1757 1950 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 5764 6398 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 5 SW 2 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 10 SW 3 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 8785 3900 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 57640 19194 STAG INDEX 2 2 3 3 CATEGORY DAY 4 2 STABILITY E C F C WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. LIGHT WINDS. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ MSZ045-046-051-052-056>058-071015- NESHOBA-KEMPER-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE- 225 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2008 ...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 80 80 20 TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (+5) 79 (-5) 57 76 RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+10) 71 (+28) 100 48 20FT WND/AM(MPH) SE 4 W 5 20FT WND/PM(MPH) SE 3 SE 6 S 3 NW 8 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 2 6 12 2 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.00 0.50-1.00 0.50-1.00 0.25-0.50 500M MXG HT TEMP 76 75 500M TRANS DIR SE S 500M TRANS SPEED(M/S) 6 2 500M TRANS SPEED(MPH) 12 3 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1819 2031 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 5968 6662 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 6 SW 3 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 13 SW 7 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 10914 6093 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 77584 46634 STAG INDEX 3 3 3 3 CATEGORY DAY 4 3 STABILITY F C F C WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. $$ LAZ023>026-071015- FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA- 225 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2008 ...EAST CENTRAL LOUISIANA... TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 70 40 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 66 (+3) 82 (-4) 55 79 RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+4) 62 (+20) 100 38 20FT WND/AM(MPH) S 4 NW 4 20FT WND/PM(MPH) SE 3 SW 7 W 4 NW 8 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 5 9 2 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.10-0.25 0.25-0.50 0.50-1.00 <0.10 500M MXG HT TEMP 78 69 500M TRANS DIR SW N 500M TRANS SPEED(M/S) 4 5 500M TRANS SPEED(MPH) 8 11 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1711 1944 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 5612 6378 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 4 N 6 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 9 N 14 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 6844 11664 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 50508 89292 STAG INDEX 3 3 3 3 CATEGORY DAY 3 4 STABILITY F C F C WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 AM REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ MSZ053-054-059>063-071015- CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE- 225 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2008 ...SOUTHWEST PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 70 50 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 66 (+4) 82 (-4) 58 77 RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+5) 65 (+19) 100 43 20FT WND/AM(MPH) S 4 NW 5 20FT WND/PM(MPH) SE 4 SW 6 SW 3 NW 8 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 5 9 3 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.10-0.25 0.25-0.50 0.50-1.00 <0.10 500M MXG HT TEMP 79 72 500M TRANS DIR SW NW 500M TRANS SPEED(M/S) 4 5 500M TRANS SPEED(MPH) 8 10 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1794 1938 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 5886 6359 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 3 NW 4 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 7 NW 8 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 5382 7752 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 41202 50872 STAG INDEX 3 2 3 3 CATEGORY DAY 3 3 STABILITY F C F C WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 AM REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. LIGHT WINDS. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ MSZ055-064>066-072>074-071015- SIMPSON-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- 225 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2008 ...SOUTHEAST PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 80 60 20 TEMP (24H TREND) 67 (+5) 83 (-2) 60 77 RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+6) 66 (+20) 100 45 20FT WND/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 4 20FT WND/PM(MPH) SE 3 S 4 LGT/VAR NW 8 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 2 6 9 2 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) <0.10 >1.00 0.50-1.00 0.25-0.50 500M MXG HT TEMP 77 77 500M TRANS DIR SE SW 500M TRANS SPEED(M/S) 5 3 500M TRANS SPEED(MPH) 11 6 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1785 2018 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 5857 6621 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 5 SW 6 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 10 SW 13 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 8925 12108 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 58570 86073 STAG INDEX 3 3 3 3 CATEGORY DAY 4 4 STABILITY F B F C WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. $$