000 FNUS54 KJAN 092045 FWFJAN FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS... NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 245 PM CST THU FEB 9 2012 .DISCUSSION...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...BRINGING A POTENTIAL FOR SOME LIGHT SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN FOR THE WEEKEND BUT RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN MONDAY AND REMAIN OFF AND ON THROUGH THURSDAY. MIN RH VALUES WILL BE ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...THOUGH WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER BUT MIXING HEIGHTS AT OR ABOVE 3500 FT. SOME PATCHY GROUND FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY MORNING. ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-101015- ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL- 245 PM CST THU FEB 9 2012 ...EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA... TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS NONE NONE CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 62 0 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 36 (+3) 53 (+1) 30 42 RH % (24H TREND) 92 (-6) 53 (+8) 89 37 20FT WND/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR N 14 G29 20FT WND/PM(MPH) N 3 S 3 NW 4 N 13 G25 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 5 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.00 0.10-0.25 0.00 0.00 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1591 1152 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 5220 3778 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 3 N 9 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 6 N 20 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 4773 10368 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 31320 75560 STAG INDEX 3 3 3 2 CATEGORY DAY 3 4 STABILITY F B E D WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM PRECIP END 6 PM MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0 0 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 2 11 7 50 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ MSZ018-019-025>027-034>036-101015- BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS- HOLMES- 245 PM CST THU FEB 9 2012 ...NORTHWEST PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS SHOWERS NONE CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 53 0 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 34 (+2) 53 (+3) 31 39 RH % (24H TREND) 89 (-7) 46 (+5) 88 41 20FT WND/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR N 14 G30 20FT WND/PM(MPH) N 3 S 4 NW 4 N 14 G26 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 2 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.00 <0.10 0.00 0.00 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1443 1216 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 4734 3991 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 4 N 10 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 9 N 22 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 5772 12160 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 42606 87802 STAG INDEX 3 3 3 2 CATEGORY DAY 3 4 STABILITY F B D D WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM PRECIP END 6 PM MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0 0 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 2 13 12 53 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. $$ MSZ028>033-037>039-101015- MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-ATTALA-WINSTON- NOXUBEE- 245 PM CST THU FEB 9 2012 ...NORTHEAST PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN SHOWERS NONE CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 45 0 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 32 (0) 53 (+1) 32 40 RH % (24H TREND) 91 (-8) 45 (+6) 87 39 20FT WND/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR N 13 G21 20FT WND/PM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 3 W 3 N 12 G20 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 1 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.00 <0.10 0.00 0.00 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1422 1302 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 4666 4272 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 5 N 10 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 10 N 22 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 7110 13020 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 46660 93984 STAG INDEX 3 3 3 2 CATEGORY DAY 3 4 STABILITY F B F D WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM PRECIP END 6 PM MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0 0 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 2 12 9 55 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ MSZ040>044-047>050-101015- ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN- SCOTT- 245 PM CST THU FEB 9 2012 ...WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLOUDY PCLDY MCLEAR PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN SHOWERS NONE CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 70 0 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 36 (+2) 53 (-1) 32 42 RH % (24H TREND) 92 (-8) 49 (+12) 91 38 20FT WND/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR N 13 G25 20FT WND/PM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 3 N 3 N 13 G24 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 5 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.00 <0.10 0.00 0.00 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1624 1088 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 5327 3568 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 3 N 9 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 7 N 21 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 4872 9792 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 37289 74928 STAG INDEX 3 3 3 2 CATEGORY DAY 3 4 STABILITY F B E D WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM PRECIP END 6 PM MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0 0 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 2 13 6 44 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. $$ MSZ045-046-051-052-057-058-101015- NESHOBA-KEMPER-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-JASPER-CLARKE- 245 PM CST THU FEB 9 2012 ...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLOUDY PCLDY MCLEAR PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN SHOWERS NONE CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 55 29 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 35 (+2) 55 (-1) 35 45 RH % (24H TREND) 92 (-8) 45 (+9) 86 37 20FT WND/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR N 14 G23 20FT WND/PM(MPH) LGT/VAR W 3 NW 3 N 13 G21 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 1 1 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.00 <0.10 0.00 0.00 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1470 1220 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 4824 4002 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 5 N 9 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 10 N 20 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 7350 10980 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 48240 80040 STAG INDEX 3 3 3 2 CATEGORY DAY 3 4 STABILITY F B E D WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING 12 AM MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0 0 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 2 14 6 44 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ LAZ015-016-023>026-101015- RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA- 245 PM CST THU FEB 9 2012 ...EAST CENTRAL LOUISIANA... TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY PCLDY MCLEAR PRECIP TYPE RAIN TSTMS SHOWERS NONE CHANCE PRECIP (%) 18 76 0 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 37 (+2) 53 (-2) 34 46 RH % (24H TREND) 92 (-8) 56 (+19) 87 37 20FT WND/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR N 12 G25 20FT WND/PM(MPH) N 3 S 3 NW 3 N 13 G24 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 1 7 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) <0.10 0.10-0.25 0.00 0.00 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1365 1074 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 4479 3523 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 3 N 9 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 6 N 20 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 4095 9666 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 26874 70460 STAG INDEX 3 3 3 2 CATEGORY DAY 3 4 STABILITY F B E D WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 12 AM CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0 0 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 2 12 5 44 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ MSZ053-054-059>062-101015- CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN- 245 PM CST THU FEB 9 2012 ...SOUTHWEST PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY PCLDY MCLEAR PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN SHOWERS NONE CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 78 0 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 38 (+3) 54 (-1) 34 45 RH % (24H TREND) 87 (-13) 53 (+18) 94 37 20FT WND/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR N 12 G22 20FT WND/PM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 3 NW 3 N 13 G23 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 6 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.00 <0.10 0.00 0.00 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1436 1038 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 4712 3404 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 4 N 9 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 8 N 20 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 5744 9342 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 37696 68080 STAG INDEX 3 3 3 2 CATEGORY DAY 3 4 STABILITY F B E D WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM PRECIP END 6 PM MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0 0 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 2 14 4 36 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 15 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. $$ MSZ055-056-063>066-072>074-101015- SIMPSON-SMITH-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION- LAMAR-FORREST- 245 PM CST THU FEB 9 2012 ...SOUTHEAST PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI... TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY PCLDY MCLEAR PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN SHOWERS NONE CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 61 31 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 38 (+2) 57 (0) 35 47 RH % (24H TREND) 86 (-11) 45 (+11) 94 36 20FT WND/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR N 12 20FT WND/PM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 3 NW 3 N 13 RAIN DURATN(HRS) 5 1 RAIN AMOUNTS(INS) 0.00 <0.10 <0.10 0.00 MIXING HGT(M AGL) 1356 1193 MIXING HGT(FT AGL) 4448 3914 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 3 NW 9 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 7 NW 20 VENT INDEX (METRIC) 4068 10737 VENT INDEX (ENGLISH) 31136 78280 STAG INDEX 3 3 3 2 CATEGORY DAY 3 4 STABILITY F B F D WIND SHIFTS PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING 12 AM MAXIMUM LVORI 0 0 0 0 DISPERSION INDEX (%) 2 12 5 43 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ 17