000 FNUS52 KJAX 091915 FWFJAX FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA/SOUTHEAST GEORGIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 215 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL GIVE WAY TO DEVELOPING COASTAL TROF TONIGHT AND EXPECT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS TO BREAK OUT ALONG THIS FEATURE ON FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM THE REGION ON SATURDAY. A VERY DRY AND COLD AIRMASS WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AND EXPECT MARGINALLY LOW RH VALUES TO COMBINE WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AT 15 TO 20 MPH ON SATURDAY WITH POSSIBLE RED FLAG CONDITIONS. ON SUNDAY...RH VALUES WILL FALL TO VERY LOW LEVELS OF 15 TO 25 PERCENT BUT WITH LESS WIND OUT OF THE NORTH AT 10 TO 15 MPH...BUT THIS MAY STILL BE ENOUGH TO TRIGGER ANOTHER DAY OF RED FLAG WARNINGS. FREEZE EVENTS WILL BE POSSIBLE BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHTS. SEASONABLE TEMPS AND DRY RH VALUES WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE ONE MORE DAY ON MONDAY THEN A RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY. NO RED FLAG EVENTS ARE EXPECTED FROM TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS RH LEVELS REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES. GAZ153-154-165-166-101015- INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN- 215 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 30 0 WEATHER TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE TEMP 45 71 46 63 RH (%) 100 60 100 35 20FT WND MPH (AM) E 4 NW 12 G21 20FT WND MPH (PM) NE 6 SE 6 SW 3 NW 17 G23 PRECIP DURATION 1 2 PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.06 0.09 0.00 LAL 1 1 1 1 MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 300 3600 400 4300 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 9 S 12 SW 9 NW 29 DISPERSION INDEX 3 25 9 70 MAX LVORI 10 8 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS AROUND 60. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ FLZ024-025-101015- NASSAU-DUVAL- 215 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 40 0 WEATHER TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE TEMP 45 73 48 66 RH (%) 100 57 100 33 20FT WND MPH (AM) E 3 NW 11 G20 20FT WND MPH (PM) NE 6 SE 6 SW 4 NW 17 G23 PRECIP DURATION 1 2 PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.06 0.10 0.00 LAL 1 1 1 1 MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 300 3900 400 4200 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 7 S 13 W 12 NW 26 DISPERSION INDEX 3 28 8 70 MAX LVORI 9 8 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ FLZ033-038-101015- ST JOHNS-FLAGLER- 215 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY PCLDY CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 40 50 40 WEATHER TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS TEMP 51 75 51 67 RH (%) 100 59 99 34 20FT WND MPH (AM) E 4 NW 11 G19 20FT WND MPH (PM) NE 6 SE 8 SW 4 NW 15 G22 PRECIP DURATION 2 2 1 PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 10 AM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.08 0.14 0.02 LAL 1 1 1 1 MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 300 3800 400 4200 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 7 SE 15 SW 9 NW 25 DISPERSION INDEX 2 29 12 66 MAX LVORI 10 6 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ FLZ032-037-101015- CLAY-PUTNAM- 215 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY PCLDY CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 40 40 WEATHER TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS TEMP 47 75 50 67 RH (%) 100 54 97 33 20FT WND MPH (AM) E 3 NW 10 G18 20FT WND MPH (PM) NE 5 S 6 W 4 NW 15 G21 PRECIP DURATION 1 2 1 PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 10 AM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.06 0.12 0.02 LAL 1 1 1 1 MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 300 3700 400 4200 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 6 S 8 W 8 NW 24 DISPERSION INDEX 2 28 10 66 MAX LVORI 10 6 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ FLZ035-036-040-101015- GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-MARION- 215 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY PCLDY CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 40 40 WEATHER TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS TEMP 47 77 49 68 RH (%) 100 52 97 36 20FT WND MPH (AM) E 3 NW 10 G18 20FT WND MPH (PM) NE 4 S 6 W 5 NW 16 G22 PRECIP DURATION 1 2 1 PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 10 AM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.04 0.10 0.02 LAL 1 1 1 1 MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 300 3900 400 4200 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 5 S 9 W 10 NW 24 DISPERSION INDEX 2 28 11 66 MAX LVORI 10 8 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. $$ FLZ020>023-030-031-101015- HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-UNION-BRADFORD- 215 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY MCLEAR CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 10 40 0 WEATHER TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE TEMP 43 72 45 65 RH (%) 100 52 99 34 20FT WND MPH (AM) NE 3 NW 10 G18 20FT WND MPH (PM) NE 3 SW 6 W 5 NW 16 G22 PRECIP DURATION 1 2 PRECIP BEGIN 10 AM CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.00 LAL 1 1 1 1 MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 300 3300 400 4200 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 6 SW 10 W 9 NW 25 DISPERSION INDEX 2 23 8 70 MAX LVORI 10 8 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. $$ GAZ149>152-162>164-101015- ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON- 215 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 10 30 0 WEATHER TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE TEMP 43 71 44 63 RH (%) 100 54 99 33 20FT WND MPH (AM) E 3 NW 10 G20 20FT WND MPH (PM) NE 4 SW 5 W 4 NW 18 G24 PRECIP DURATION 1 2 PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.00 LAL 1 1 1 1 MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 300 3600 300 4300 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 5 S 10 W 7 NW 28 DISPERSION INDEX 2 21 8 70 MAX LVORI 10 8 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. $$ GAZ132>136-101015- COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE- 215 PM EST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 10 30 0 WEATHER TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE TEMP 42 68 44 61 RH (%) 100 53 96 30 20FT WND MPH (AM) E 3 NW 11 G21 20FT WND MPH (PM) E 3 SW 5 NW 4 NW 19 G25 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.00 LAL 1 1 1 1 MIXING HEIGHT(FT-AGL) 300 3000 300 4500 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 5 S 9 NW 7 NW 29 DISPERSION INDEX 2 20 9 70 MAX LVORI 10 8 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$