000 FNUS53 KJKL 062003 FWFJKL FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 403 PM EDT MON OCT 6 2008 ...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AROUND 25 PERCENT EXPECTED AGAIN TUESDAY... .DISCUSSION...A VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN ENTRENCHED OVER EASTERN KENTUCKY AS RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALL TO AROUND THE 25 PERCENT LEVEL TUESDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS ALSO BECOME SOUTHERLY ON TUESDAY...PEAKING AT AROUND 10 MPH. RIDGE TOP LOCATIONS COULD SEE A FEW GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON AS WELL. A COLD FRONT WILL BRING A GOOD TO LIKELY CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY. THEREAFTER...THE THREAT OF SHOWERS WILL LINGER THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>085-071315- FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING... OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG... MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO... WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG 403 PM EDT MON OCT 6 2008 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....45 TO 50 IN THE VALLEYS AND MID 50S ALONG THE RIDGES. 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 100 PERCENT IN THE VALLEYS AND 70 PERCENT ALONG THE RIDGES. 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS LESS THAN 5 MPH....EXCEPT CALM IN THE VALLEYS. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........NONE. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85. 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....74. VENT RATE...........GOOD (74400 KNOT-FT). PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........NONE. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...MAINLY TOWARDS DAWN. MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60. 24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 5 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........0.01 - 0.14 INCHES. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY...AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. 24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......40 PERCENT WETTER. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. LAL.................2. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....70. VENT RATE...........GOOD (69800 KNOT-FT). PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........0.26 - 0.65 INCHES. $$ KYZ086>088-104-106>120-071315- KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE- BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE... HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON... SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN... BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...INEZ... PIKEVILLE 403 PM EDT MON OCT 6 2008 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....45 TO 50 IN THE VALLEYS AND MID 50S ALONG THE RIDGES. 24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 100 PERCENT IN THE VALLEYS AND 65 PERCENT ALONG THE RIDGES. 24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 5 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........NONE. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....84. VENT RATE...........GOOD (83700 KNOT-FT). PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........NONE. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS TOWARDS DAWN. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 5 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........0.02 INCHES. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. 24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......35 PERCENT WETTER. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. LAL.................2. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....50. VENT RATE...........FAIR (49600 KNOT-FT). PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........0.09 - 0.42 INCHES. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. .COLUMBUS DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. $$ RAY