000
FXUS64 KMEG 300751
AFDMEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
251 AM CDT SAT AUG 30 2008

.DISCUSSION...

SKIES ARE MOSTLY CLEAR ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EARLY THIS MORNING
WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S. COLD FRONT EXTENDS
ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AND SHOULD
MOVE INTO CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI BY LATER THIS MORNING. WITH THE
FRONT GOING SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR HAS
MOVED INTO THE REGION WITH DEWPOINTS MAINLY IN THE 60S. THINK ANY
RAIN THAT FORMS TODAY SHOULD REMAIN AHEAD OF THE FRONT SO HAVE
REMOVED POPS FROM FORECAST FOR TODAY. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE STARTS
BUILDING INTO THE REGION OVER THE WEEKEND SO DRY WEATHER SHOULD
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY WITH TEMPERATURES SLIGHT ABOVE NORMAL
LEVELS. HURRICANE GUSTAV CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE GULF OF
MEXICO. CURRENT TPC FORECAST HAS GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE
CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST LATE MONDAY NIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING. RAIN FROM GUSTAV COULD BEGIN TO MOVE INTO SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AS EARLY AS MONDAY AFTERNOON. RAIN
THREAT WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF
RAIN FOR THE FORECAST OCCURRING TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. AFTER GUSTAV
MOVES OUT THE REGION...MAY NEED TO DEAL WITH ANOTHER TROPICAL
SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM HANNA MOVING NORTH OF PUERTO RICO AT THIS
TIME IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST BEFORE CURVING SOUTHWEST. LONG
RANGE COMPUTER MODELS SUGGEST THAT HANNA MAY EVENTUALLY MAKES ITS
WAY INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO WHICH MEANS IT COULD EVENTUALLY SPREAD
SOME RAIN INTO THE FORECAST AREA BUT TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS
TO MENTION EFFECTS OF HANNA IN FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  92  73  93  74 /  10  10  10  10
MKL  90  67  92  69 /  10  10  10  10
JBR  89  69  91  72 /  10  10  10  10
TUP  92  70  92  71 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$