000 FNUS54 KMEG 152029 FWFMEG FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 329 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2008 .DISCUSSION... A FRONT NOW FROM NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS SOUTHWESTWARD TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE MIDSOUTH TONIGHT FROM THE WEST. THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY NIGHT. COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT, THURSDAY, AND THURSDAY NIGHT. ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-161115- CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT- POINSETT-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS 329 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2008 TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE PRECIP CHANCE (%) 60 70 0 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 54 (-10) 65 (-18) 46 68 RH % (24H TREND) 96 (0) 54 (0) 87 41 AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) N 6-10 N 4-8 PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) W 2-6 N 6-10 N 3-7 NE 4-8 PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.12 0.15 0.00 0.00 PRECIP DUR (HRS) 8 9 PRECIP BEGINS 6 PM CONTINUING PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING 6 PM MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 949 1150 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3113 3774 MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1035 1236 MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 3394 4056 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 7 N 5 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 15 N 10 VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7245 6180 CATEGORY DAY 3 3 500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 61 61 500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 8 N 7 500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 18 N 15 DISPERSION INDEX 35 40 9 42 LASI 3 2 4 4 STABILITY D C F B STAGNATION INDEX 0 0 1 2 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ ARZ035-036-048-049-058-161115- CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS- INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST 329 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2008 TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS NONE PRECIP CHANCE (%) 70 90 40 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (-6) 67 (-16) 50 70 RH % (24H TREND) 87 (-11) 62 (+9) 86 42 AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) N 6-10 N 4-8 PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR N 5-9 N 3-7 N 5-9 PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.13 0.35 0.02 0.00 PRECIP DUR (HRS) 8 12 2 PRECIP BEGINS 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 AM MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 708 1129 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2323 3705 MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 770 1191 MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 2527 3909 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 8 N 6 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 17 N 13 VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6160 7146 CATEGORY DAY 3 3 500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 65 62 500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 9 NE 7 500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 20 NE 17 DISPERSION INDEX 32 40 26 44 LASI 3 2 3 4 STABILITY D D F B STAGNATION INDEX 0 0 0 2 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ TNZ001>004-019>022-051-161115- BENTON TN-CARROLL-CROCKETT-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY- INCLUDING...NORTHERN WEST TENNESSEE 329 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2008 TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS NONE PRECIP CHANCE (%) 60 80 40 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 58 (-3) 65 (-19) 48 68 RH % (24H TREND) 88 (-5) 63 (+16) 89 45 AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) N 4-8 N 3-7 PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR N 4-8 N 2-6 N 4-8 PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.06 0.21 0.01 0.00 PRECIP DUR (HRS) 6 11 2 PRECIP BEGINS 7 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 AM MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 381 1265 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 1249 4149 MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 500 1387 MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 1642 4549 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 7 N 7 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 16 N 15 VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3500 9709 CATEGORY DAY 2 4 500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 64 62 500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 8 N 7 500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 17 N 16 DISPERSION INDEX 27 34 8 43 LASI 3 2 3 4 STABILITY D C F B STAGNATION INDEX 0 0 2 1 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. $$ TNZ048>050-052>055-088>091-161115- CHESTER-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-LAUDERDALE- MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON- INCLUDING...SOUTHERN WEST TENNESSEE 329 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2008 TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS NONE PRECIP CHANCE (%) 50 90 40 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 61 (+2) 68 (-15) 51 67 RH % (24H TREND) 90 (-6) 66 (+16) 87 48 AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) N 3-7 N 3-7 PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR N 4-8 N 2-6 N 5-9 PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.06 0.24 0.02 0.00 PRECIP DUR (HRS) 2 11 2 PRECIP BEGINS 7 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 AM MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 375 1126 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 1231 3694 MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 497 1250 MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 1631 4100 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 7 N 6 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 15 N 14 VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3479 7500 CATEGORY DAY 2 3 500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 67 62 500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 6 N 7 500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 13 N 16 DISPERSION INDEX 17 33 15 44 LASI 3 2 3 4 STABILITY D D E B STAGNATION INDEX 0 0 1 2 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-161115- COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA- INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI... SOUTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST 329 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2008 TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY PCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS NONE PRECIP CHANCE (%) 60 90 40 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 62 (0) 70 (-14) 52 70 RH % (24H TREND) 89 (-10) 66 (+17) 90 47 AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) NE 3-7 N 4-8 PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR N 3-7 N 2-6 N 5-9 PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.07 0.39 0.05 0.00 PRECIP DUR (HRS) 5 12 2 PRECIP BEGINS 7 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 AM MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 556 1116 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 1823 3662 MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 628 1188 MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 2059 3899 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 7 N 6 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 16 N 14 VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4396 7128 CATEGORY DAY 3 3 500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 72 63 500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 7 N 7 500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 15 N 16 DISPERSION INDEX 5 38 25 43 LASI 3 2 2 4 STABILITY D D E B STAGNATION INDEX 1 0 0 3 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-161115- ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS- MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION- INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY... NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST... NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI 329 PM CDT WED OCT 15 2008 TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS NONE PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40 90 40 0 TEMP (24H TREND) 62 (+2) 72 (-11) 53 69 RH % (24H TREND) 93 (-3) 66 (+19) 93 49 AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR N 4-8 PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR N 3-7 N 2-6 N 5-9 PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.03 0.25 0.03 0.00 PRECIP DUR (HRS) 2 11 2 PRECIP BEGINS 7 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 AM MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 864 1126 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2834 3693 MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 989 1251 MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 3244 4103 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 5 N 6 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 10 N 14 VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4945 7506 CATEGORY DAY 3 3 500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 75 64 500M TSPT WIND (M/S) W 5 N 6 500M TSPT WIND (MPH) W 11 N 14 DISPERSION INDEX 5 37 26 41 LASI 3 2 2 4 STABILITY E C E B STAGNATION INDEX 1 0 0 2 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ RENCH