000 FNUS54 KMEG 092147 FWFMEG FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 347 PM CST THU FEB 9 2012 .DISCUSSION... DRY AND COOL CONDITIONS WILL CONT THRU TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE IN FROM THE NW ON FRIDAY... MOVING TO THE SE OF THE AREA BY LATE FRI EVENING. BEHIND THE FRONT STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN AND BRING COLDER TEMPS FOR THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY MORNING WILL BE SOME OF THE COLDEST OF THE SEASON IN MANY LOCATIONS. ON MONDAY LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BE DEVELOPING OVER THE TX/OK PANHANDLE AND IT IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TO THE ESE. OVERRUNNING OVER THE WARM FRONT SOUTH WILL PROVIDE A CHANCE AT A MIX OF PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF THE AREA MON MORNING AND MAY CONT INTO THE AFTERNOON/EVE HRS OVER MO/NE AR/NW TN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. AFTER THIS SYSTEM MOVES EAST HIGH PRESSURE WITH COOL AND DRY AIR MOVES IN BEHIND. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOV EAST BY LATE WED WITH NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN ON THURSDAY. ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-101145- CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT- POINSETT-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS 347 PM CST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 80 0 0 PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN NONE NONE PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 PRECIP DUR (HRS) 12 PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM PRECIP ENDS 6 PM TEMP (24H TREND) 33 (-3) 45 (+5) 23 32 RH % (24H TREND) 90 (+6) 73 (+12) 84 40 AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 2-6 N 10-14 PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 4-8 NW 7-11 N 9-13 MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1245 1633 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4083 5359 MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1330 1719 MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 4365 5641 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 8 N 9 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 18 N 20 VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10640 15471 CATEGORY DAY 4 4 500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 46 26 500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 7 N 9 500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 15 N 20 DISPERSION INDEX 12 55 57 62 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 3 4 STABILITY C D D D STAGNATION INDEX 1 0 0 1 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. .MONDAY...FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET OR SNOW LIKELY OR A CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN. A CHANCE OF RAIN. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ ARZ035-036-048-049-058-101145- CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS- INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST 347 PM CST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 80 20 0 PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN RAIN NONE PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00 PRECIP DUR (HRS) 12 PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM PRECIP ENDS 6 PM TEMP (24H TREND) 34 (-1) 48 (+5) 27 34 RH % (24H TREND) 80 (-4) 71 (+16) 89 43 AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR N 10-14 PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 2-6 NW 5-9 N 9-13 MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 888 1543 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2913 5061 MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 950 1605 MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 3116 5265 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 6 N 9 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 14 N 20 VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5700 14445 CATEGORY DAY 3 4 500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 47 29 500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 5 N 9 500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 11 N 21 DISPERSION INDEX 7 37 46 64 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI 3 2 3 3 STABILITY D D D D STAGNATION INDEX 3 0 0 0 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ TNZ001>004-019>022-051-101145- BENTON TN-CARROLL-CROCKETT-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY- INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT NORTH 347 PM CST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 70 30 0 PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN RAIN NONE PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.00 PRECIP DUR (HRS) 9 1 PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM CONTINUING PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING 12 AM TEMP (24H TREND) 30 (-1) 45 (+8) 24 32 RH % (24H TREND) 88 (+1) 70 (+11) 92 46 AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 2-6 N 10-14 PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 3-7 W 7-11 N 9-13 MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1113 1712 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3650 5618 MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1232 1832 MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 4043 6011 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 6 N 10 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 13 N 22 VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7392 18320 CATEGORY DAY 3 5 500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 43 26 500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 5 N 10 500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 11 N 22 DISPERSION INDEX 10 46 55 65 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 2 3 STABILITY D D D D STAGNATION INDEX 3 1 0 0 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET OR RAIN OR SNOW. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN LIKELY...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ TNZ048>050-052>055-088>091-101145- CHESTER-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-LAUDERDALE- MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON- INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT SOUTH 347 PM CST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 70 30 0 PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN RAIN NONE PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.00 PRECIP DUR (HRS) 9 1 PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM CONTINUING PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING 12 AM TEMP (24H TREND) 31 (-3) 48 (+7) 27 33 RH % (24H TREND) 85 (+5) 63 (+9) 93 46 AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR N 10-14 PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 2-6 NW 6-10 N 9-13 MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1077 1621 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3532 5319 MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1198 1743 MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 3931 5719 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 4 N 10 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 9 N 22 VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4792 17430 CATEGORY DAY 3 5 500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 44 27 500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 4 N 10 500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 8 N 21 DISPERSION INDEX 11 35 52 63 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI 3 2 2 3 STABILITY D D D D STAGNATION INDEX 3 1 0 0 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 75 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-101145- COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA- INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI... SOUTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST 347 PM CST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 80 20 0 PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN RAIN NONE PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.05 0.01 0.00 PRECIP DUR (HRS) 12 1 PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM CONTINUING PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING 12 AM TEMP (24H TREND) 35 (+4) 50 (+7) 29 37 RH % (24H TREND) 75 (-18) 61 (+8) 93 42 AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR N 10-14 PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 2-6 NW 4-8 N 10-14 MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1141 1373 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3745 4503 MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1213 1444 MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 3980 4738 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 4 N 9 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 8 N 21 VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4852 12996 CATEGORY DAY 3 4 500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 47 29 500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 3 N 10 500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 7 N 21 DISPERSION INDEX 12 28 45 63 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI 3 2 2 4 STABILITY D D D D STAGNATION INDEX 3 1 0 0 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-101145- ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS- MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION- INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY... NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST... NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI 347 PM CST THU FEB 9 2012 TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 70 40 0 PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN RAIN NONE PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.03 0.01 0.00 PRECIP DUR (HRS) 9 1 PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM CONTINUING PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING 12 AM TEMP (24H TREND) 32 (-4) 51 (+8) 30 38 RH % (24H TREND) 82 (+4) 52 (+1) 90 42 AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR N 9-13 PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR W 2-6 NW 2-6 N 9-13 MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1162 1436 MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3813 4710 MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1286 1559 MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 4219 5116 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) W 4 N 10 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 8 N 22 VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5144 15590 CATEGORY DAY 3 4 500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 45 29 500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 2 N 10 500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 5 N 21 DISPERSION INDEX 13 27 44 67 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 2 4 STABILITY D D D D STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 1 0 REMARKS...NONE. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...RAIN LIKELY...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$