000
AGUS71 KTAR 051524
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1124 AM EDT SUN JUL 05 2009

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
ENERGY ROTATING AROUND AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUED TO TRIGGER
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
NEW YORK AND NEW ENGLAND OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. REPORTED RAINFALL
AMOUNTS RANGED FROM ZERO IN MUCH OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN NEW YORK
STATE AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND UP TO 1 - 1 1/2 INCHES ACROSS PARTS
OF NORTHERN VERMONT, NEW HAMPSHIRE AND MAINE.
:
COOL AND NEARLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
BEFORE ANOTHER UPPER LOW BEGINS TO SPREAD SHOWERS INTO WESTERN
NEW YORK STATE ON MONDAY.
:
SOME SHARP RISES HAVE BEEN SEEN ON RIVERS AND STREAMS IN NORTHERN
NEW YORK AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, BUT NO
FLOODING HAS OCCURRED AT RIVER FORECAST LOCATIONS, AND NONE IS
FORECAST AT THIS TIME.
:
PRECIPITATION SUMMARY:
:
REPORTED RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR THE 24 HOURS ENDING AT 8 AM SUNDAY
RANGED FROM NEAR ZERO OVER ALL BUT NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE AND
MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND, UP TO TO ABOUT 1 1/2 INCHES IN
NORTHERN VERMONT AND NEW HAMPSHIRE. HIGHEST 24 HOUR RAINFALL
REPORTS THROUGH 8 AM SUNDAY FOLLOW:
:
SOUTH LINCOLN, VT1.61 INCHES
MT. WASHINGTON, NH1.52 INCHES
WOODLAND, ME1.28 INCHES
RIPTON, VT1.27 INCHES
GLENCLIFF, NH1.21 INCHES
TOPSFIELD, ME1.21 INCHES
JEFFERSON, NH1.11 INCHES
HARMONY, ME1.02 INCHES
MORETOWN, VT1.02 INCHES
CLAYTON LAKE, ME0.97 INCHES
:
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, ONLY NORTHERN MAINE MAY SEE SOME VERY
LIGHT AND SCATTERED SHOWERS, WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TENTH OF
AN INCH OR LESS. ON MONDAY, LIGHT RAINFALL WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD
INTO NEW YORK STATE, WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH 8 AM TUESDAY UP
TO ABOUT ONE THIRD OF AN INCH.
:
HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS:
:
SHARP WITHIN BANK RISES OF 1 TO 4 FEET WERE SEEN OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS AT SEVERAL LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND, WHILE MUCH OF
THE REMAINDER OF THE NERFC AREA SAW CRESTING TO SLOWLY FALLING
RIVER LEVELS. SOME ADDITIONAL MINOR RISES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS, BUT NO FLOODING IS PREDICTED AT THIS TIME.
:
7 DAY AVERAGE STREAMFLOW, AS SEEN ON THE USGS WATERWATCH WEB PAGE,
IS ABOVE TO MUCH ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY JULY FOR ALL OF THE NERFC
FORECAST AREA.
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE FOR THE NORTHEAST -- 3 HOUR GUIDANCE BY STATE
AND COUNTIES WITH LOWEST GUIDANCE VALUES:
NEW YORK       1.8 -  4.5 INCH ALLEGANY
VERMONT        1.2 -  3.2 INCH LAMOILLE
NEW HAMPSHIRE  2.2 -  3.2 INCH NRN GRAFTON
MAINE          1.9 -  3.4 INCH LINCOLN
CONNECTICUT    2.0 -  3.6 INCH SRN FAIRFIELD    SRN NEW HAVEN
MASSACHUSETTS  2.8 -  4.5 INCH NRN WORCESTER    SRN WORCESTER
RHODE ISLAND   2.7 -  3.4 INCH WRN KENT

$$
:
NERFC/WALLACE