000 FGUS51 KTAR 091612 RVFBUF RIVER STAGE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA 1109 AM EST Thu Feb 09 2012 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************* :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood Stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 2.35 ft at Feb-09 10:00 am : .ER BTVN6 20120209 E DC201202091109/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 1AM 7AM 1PM 7PM .E1 :0209: :: ::/ 2.3/ 2.3 .E2 :0210:/ 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.3 .E3 :0211:/ 2.3/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2 .E4 :0212:/ 2.2/ 2.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.09/ 0.06/ :************************************************* :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood Stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 2.57 ft at Feb-09 09:30 am : .ER RAPN6 20120209 E DC201202091109/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 1AM 7AM 1PM 7PM .E1 :0209: :: ::/ 2.6/ 2.5 .E2 :0210:/ 2.5/ 2.5/ 2.4/ 2.4 .E3 :0211:/ 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.4 .E4 :0212:/ 2.3/ 2.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.05/ :************************************************* :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood Stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 2.46 ft at Feb-09 10:15 am : .ER GOWN6 20120209 E DC201202091109/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 1AM 7AM 1PM 7PM .E1 :0209: :: ::/ 2.5/ 2.4 .E2 :0210:/ 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.3 .E3 :0211:/ 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.3 .E4 :0212:/ 2.3/ 2.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.10/ 0.06/ :************************************************* :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood Stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 1.16 ft at Feb-09 10:15 am : .ER GDVN6 20120209 E DC201202091109/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 1AM 7AM 1PM 7PM .E1 :0209: :: ::/ 1.2/ 1.1 .E2 :0210:/ 1.1/ 1.1/ 1.1/ 1.1 .E3 :0211:/ 1.1/ 1.1/ 1.1/ 1.1 .E4 :0212:/ 1.1/ 1.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.10/ 0.06/ : GAGE READING AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS NATURAL FLOW :************************************************* :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood Stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 3.72 ft at Feb-09 10:30 am : .ER LCSN6 20120209 E DC201202091109/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 1AM 7AM 1PM 7PM .E1 :0209: :: ::/ 3.8/ 3.8 .E2 :0210:/ 3.8/ 3.8/ 3.7/ 3.8 .E3 :0211:/ 3.7/ 3.7/ 3.7/ 3.7 .E4 :0212:/ 3.7/ 3.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.09/ 0.06/ :************************************************* :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood Stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 2.63 ft at Feb-09 11:00 am : .ER EBZN6 20120209 E DC201202091109/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 1AM 7AM 1PM 7PM .E1 :0209: :: ::/ 2.7/ 2.7 .E2 :0210:/ 2.7/ 2.7/ 2.7/ 2.7 .E3 :0211:/ 2.7/ 2.7/ 2.6/ 2.6 .E4 :0212:/ 2.6/ 2.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.10/ 0.06/ :************************************************* :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood Stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 2.35 ft at Feb-09 10:00 am : .ER WILN6 20120209 E DC201202091109/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 1AM 7AM 1PM 7PM .E1 :0209: :: ::/ 2.3/ 2.3 .E2 :0210:/ 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.3 .E3 :0211:/ 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.3 .E4 :0212:/ 2.3/ 2.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.09/ 0.05/ :************************************************* :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood Stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 5.02 ft at Feb-09 10:45 am : .ER WLLN6 20120209 E DC201202091109/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 1AM 7AM 1PM 7PM .E1 :0209: :: ::/ 5.0/ 5.0 .E2 :0210:/ 5.0/ 5.0/ 5.0/ 5.0 .E3 :0211:/ 4.9/ 4.9/ 4.9/ 4.9 .E4 :0212:/ 4.9/ 4.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.07/ :************************************************* :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood Stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 9.78 ft at Feb-09 10:00 am : .ER PRTN6 20120209 E DC201202091109/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 1AM 7AM 1PM 7PM .E1 :0209: :: ::/ 9.8/ 9.7 .E2 :0210:/ 9.7/ 9.7/ 9.6/ 9.6 .E3 :0211:/ 9.6/ 9.5/ 9.5/ 9.5 .E4 :0212:/ 9.5/ 9.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.07/ : RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************* :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood Stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 593.03 ft at Feb-09 10:00 am : .ER MMDN6 20120209 E DC201202091109/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST 1AM 7AM 1PM 7PM .E1 :0209: :: ::/ 593.2/ 593.2 .E2 :0210:/ 593.2/ 593.2/ 593.2/ 593.2 .E3 :0211:/ 593.2/ 593.2/ 593.2/ 593.2 .E4 :0212:/ 593.2/ 593.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.06/ :************************************************* :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood Stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 19.55 ft at Feb-09 10:00 am : .ER AVON6 20120209 E DC201202091109/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 1AM 7AM 1PM 7PM .E1 :0209: :: ::/ 19.5/ 19.4 .E2 :0210:/ 19.2/ 19.1/ 19.0/ 18.9 .E3 :0211:/ 18.8/ 18.6/ 18.5/ 18.4 .E4 :0212:/ 18.3/ 18.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.06/ : RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************* :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood Stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 3.15 ft at Feb-09 10:00 am : .ER GRBN6 20120209 E DC201202091109/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 1AM 7AM 1PM 7PM .E1 :0209: :: ::/ 3.1/ 3.1 .E2 :0210:/ 3.1/ 3.1/ 3.1/ 3.1 .E3 :0211:/ 3.1/ 3.1/ 3.1/ 3.1 .E4 :0212:/ 3.0/ 3.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.08/ 0.06/ :************************************************* :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood Stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 2.28 ft at Feb-09 10:00 am : .ER CHRN6 20120209 E DC201202091109/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 1AM 7AM 1PM 7PM .E1 :0209: :: ::/ 2.3/ 2.3 .E2 :0210:/ 2.3/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2 .E3 :0211:/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2 .E4 :0212:/ 2.2/ 2.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.07/ 0.05/ :************************************************* :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood Stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 6.99 ft at Feb-09 07:00 am : .ER RHRN6 20120209 E DC201202091109/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 1AM 7AM 1PM 7PM .E1 :0209: :: ::/ 6.9/ 6.8 .E2 :0210:/ 6.7/ 6.7/ 6.6/ 6.5 .E3 :0211:/ 6.5/ 6.4/ 6.3/ 6.3 .E4 :0212:/ 6.2/ 6.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.05/ : RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************* :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood Stage 4.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 1.02 ft at Feb-09 10:00 am : .ER HNYN6 20120209 E DC201202091109/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 1AM 7AM 1PM 7PM .E1 :0209: :: ::/ 1.3/ 1.3 .E2 :0210:/ 1.3/ 1.3/ 1.2/ 1.2 .E3 :0211:/ 1.2/ 1.2/ 1.2/ 1.2 .E4 :0212:/ 1.2/ 1.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.06/ : RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************* :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua Lake nr Canandaigua, NY :Flood Stage 689.2 ft : .ER CNDN6 20120209 E DC201202091109/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST 1AM 7AM 1PM 7PM .E1 :0209: :: ::/ 687.5/ 687.5 .E2 :0210:/ 687.5/ 687.5/ 687.5/ 687.5 .E3 :0211:/ 687.5/ 687.5/ 687.5/ 687.5 .E4 :0212:/ 687.5/ 687.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.06/ :************************************************* :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Latest Observed Value: 4.42 ft at Feb-09 10:00 am :Crest 4.42 at Feb-09 1pm : .ER CPNN6 20120209 E DC201202091109/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 1AM 7AM 1PM 7PM .E1 :0209: :: ::/ 4.4/ 4.4 .E2 :0210:/ 4.4/ 4.4/ 4.4/ 4.4 .E3 :0211:/ 4.4/ 4.4/ 4.4/ 4.4 .E4 :0212:/ 4.3/ 4.3 :************************************************* :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood Stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 4.77 ft at Feb-09 10:00 am : .ER BOON6 20120209 E DC201202091109/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 1AM 7AM 1PM 7PM .E1 :0209: :: ::/ 4.7/ 4.6 .E2 :0210:/ 4.6/ 4.6/ 4.6/ 4.6 .E3 :0211:/ 4.5/ 4.5/ 4.5/ 4.5 .E4 :0212:/ 4.5/ 4.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ : GAGE READING AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS NATURAL FLOW :************************************************* :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood Stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value: 4.39 ft at Feb-09 10:30 am : .ER ARTN6 20120209 E DC201202091109/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST 1AM 7AM 1PM 7PM .E1 :0209: :: ::/ 4.4/ 4.4 .E2 :0210:/ 4.4/ 4.3/ 4.3/ 4.2 .E3 :0211:/ 4.2/ 4.1/ 4.1/ 4.1 .E4 :0212:/ 4.0/ 4.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.01/ : GAGE READING AFFECTED BY ICE. FORECAST REPRESENTS NATURAL FLOW $$ :NERFC :...END OF MESSAGE