000
FZUS81 KCLE 252213
ICELIO

GREAT LAKES ICE OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OHIO
513 PM EST WED FEB 25 2015

ACTIVE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND ADVISORIES ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN
BE FOUND AT...HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=HAZ&L=GL&P=A

5 DAY ICE DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE ACROSS THE LAKES TONIGHT WILL LIFT A LITTLE NORTH ON 
THURSDAY AS A LOW MOVES ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY ON THURSDAY. THE 
RIDGE WILL THEN MOVE SLOWLY SOUTH THROUGH SATURDAY AND THEN WEAKEN 
AND MOVE EAST SATURDAY NIGHT. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE 
WESTERN LAKES SUNDAY AND THE EASTERN LAKES SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH 
PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST ON MONDAY. 

WINDS WILL BE NORTHERLY AT GENERALLY 10 TO 15 KNOTS ON LAKES 
SUPERIOR...HURON...ERIE AND ONTARIO THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND 15 TO 
20 KNOTS ON LAKE MICHIGAN. THE WINDS WILL BECOME A LITTLE STRONGER 
FOR THE WEEKEND.

TEMPERATURES WILL START OUT VERY MUCH BELOW NORMAL AND BY SUNDAY AND 
MONDAY TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL IN MOST AREAS. ICE GROWTH 
WILL CONTINUE RAPID THROUGH SATURDAY AND THEN START TO SLOW DOWN FOR 
SUNDAY AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. UNTIL TEMPERATURES MODERATE LATER IN THE 
PERIOD THE ICE WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND ON LAKES MICHIGAN AND 
ONTARIO...WHILE ON THE OTHER LAKES THAT ARE MOSTLY ICE COVERED THE 
THICKNESS WILL INCREASE. THE EVER INCREASING SUN ANGLE WILL HELP 
SOME IN THE DETERRING THE ICE GROWTH AND EXPANSION OF THE ICE FIELDS.

THE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE THAT STRONG THROUGH MOST OF THE 
PERIOD...HOWEVER...THEY COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH ESPECIALLY FRIDAY 
THROUGH MONDAY TO CAUSE LIMITED RIDGING AND RAFTING OF ICE 
FIELDS AND CREATE ICE FLOES. IN ADDITION ANY TRACKS THAT HAVE BEEN 
OPENED DUE TO ICE BREAKER OPERATION WILL LIKELY CLOSE ESPECIALLY 
THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE GREAT LAKES ICE ANALYSIS PRODUCTS CAN BE FOUND AT:

HTTP://WWW.NATICE.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GREAT_LAKES.HTML

AND

HTTP://WWW.GLERL.NOAA.GOV/DATA/ICE/#CURRENTCONDITIONS

 TEMPERATURE  FORECASTS FOR SELECTED CITIES
 
 LOCATION   02/26   02/27   02/28   03/01   03/02   03/03    
   DULUTH -14   7 -10  14  -2  19   7  22   4  25  10  23    
MARQUETTE -10   6  -5  14   1  21  10  25   9  27  12  26    
 GREENBAY  -6  12 -10  16  -6  18   5  26   9  27  15  27    
MILWAUKEE   5   8  -4  15  -4  18  11  25  16  30  21  29    
  CHICAGO  10  13  -4  17  -2  17  13  26  16  29  24  33    
 MUSKEGON   5  11  -5  18   2  18   8  25  17  29  18  30    
   ALPENA -10   8  -8  15   0  21   5  24  12  27  11  26    
  DETROIT   3  12  -4  14  -1  16   6  27  19  29  20  34    
   TOLEDO   4  10  -8  10  -5  14   5  30  19  30  18  31    
CLEVELAND   5  13  -2  11  -5  16   8  31  23  32  19  33    
  BUFFALO   0  10  -4  11  -1  18   4  27  21  29  13  30    

A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF THE GREAT LAKES FORECAST TEMPERATURES 
CAN BE FOUND AT: 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=TE


A FULL GRAPHICAL FORECAST OF WIND ON THE GREAT LAKES CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/GREATLAKES/?C=MAP&L=GL&P=A&M=WS

FREEZING DEGREE DAY ACCUMULATIONS AT SELECTED STATIONS COMPARED TO 
NORMAL CALCULATED ON WED FEB 25:
 
LOCATION           DATE   NORMAL CURRENT
----------------------------------------
    
   DULUTH,   MN  FEB   24 1753 1875    
MARQUETTE,   MI  FEB   24 1477 2021    
SAU_S_MAR,   MI  DEC   31 1137 1223    
 GREENBAY,   WI  FEB   24 1125 1310    
MILWAUKEE,   WI  FEB   24  635  808    
  CHICAGO,   IL  FEB   24  504  763    
 MUSKEGON,   MI  FEB   24  396  645    
   ALPENA,   MI  DEC   31  834  859    
  DETROIT,   MI  DEC   31  332  298    
   TOLEDO,   OH  FEB   24  385  823    
CLEVELAND,   OH  FEB   24  196  701    
  BUFFALO,   NY  FEB   24  501  872    
  
NORMAL TEMPS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS AROUND THE
GREAT LAKES FOR WED FEB 25
 
LOCATION     HIGH LOW 
----------------------------------------------
 
    DULUTH,MN  29  11 
 MARQUETTE,MI  30  13 
  GREENBAY,WI  29  11 
 MILWAUKEE,WI  37  22 
   CHICAGO,IL  41  24 
  MUSKEGON,MI  37  23 
    ALPENA,MI  29  11 
   DETROIT,MI  40  23 
    TOLEDO,OH  41  23 
 CLEVELAND,OH  41  25 
   BUFFALO,NY  37  22 
  
NOTE: ALL WEB SITE ADDRESSES SHOULD BE ENTERED INTO YOUR BROWSER IN 
LOWER CASE.

$$

KIELTYKA



Ice product: ICEFBO is not current or is more than 7 days old