National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

After some patchy fog this morning, there will be some chances for showers and isolated storms across our southeastern counties through the afternoon hours. Locally heavy rainfall and cloud to ground lightning will be the main threats with any storms here. Otherwise, high temperatures today will generally be in the 60s across North and Central Texas.
Low temperatures tonight will fall into the 30s and 40s across the region. Low-level moisture will remain across parts of the area, and this may result in some fog development overnight and into Monday morning.
A nice day is in store for Monday after any morning fog scatters away. Mostly sunny to partly cloud skies will prevail with high temperatures in the 60s to near 70 degrees.
The next storm system will approach the region on Tuesday. This will result in the development of showers and thunderstorms, and some of these storms could become strong to marginally severe. The main threat with storms on Tuesday looks to be from marginally severe hail, in addition to cloud to ground lightning. On Wednesday, additional showers and storms are expected. Depending on how much instability is available, some of these storms may also be strong to severe, but a good deal of uncertainty exists in this portion of the forecast.
Join us to our next SKYWARN Class on Monday February 26th from 6 PM through 8 PM in Groesbeck, TX (Limestone County) . We will host the Basic class at the Limestone County Courthouse. The class is FREE and there is no registration needed. We will see you there!
Join us to our next SKYWARN Class on Tuesday February 27th from 6:30 PM through 8:30 PM in Palo Pinto, TX (Palo Pinto County) . We will host the Basic class at the Southwestern Assemblies of God University. The class is FREE and there is no registration needed.

 
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February 2011 Review

 

February 2011 will be remembered for the extraordinarily cold weather that began the month.  For Dallas/Fort Worth, there were several events that had not occurred in many years:

  • record low temperature of 15°F on February 10 - first record low temperature since December 4, 2006
  • 100 hours below freezing - longest streak since January 1997 (107 hours)
  • high temperature of 20°F on February 2 - lowest high temperature since December 22, 1990 (16°F)
  • 5 consecutive mornings in the teens - first time since December 1989

After the first 10 frigid days of the month, temperatures made a dramatic rebound.  The average temperatures for the latter half of the month were more than 30 degrees warmer than the opening 10 days. 

 

 DFW Temps - February 2011                        Waco Temps - February 2011

 

Despite some of the coldest weather in many years, mild days outnumbered the cold ones nearly 2 to 1.  As a result, February 2011 was near normal.  Monthly mean temperatures at DFW and Waco were actually slightly above normal.

Although January and early February were below normal, the warm weather in December and late February buoyed mean winter temperatures above normal.  True to form, La Niña helped yield above normal winter temperatures, but the winter of 2010-2011 actually falls well within the middle (near normal) tercile.

 

Dallas/Fort Worth
Winter Temperatures

  2010-11 Normal Departure
Mean 47.1 46.7 +0.4
High 58.1 56.9 +1.2
Low 36.1 36.5 -0.4

Waco
Winter Temperatures

  2010-11 Normal Departure
Mean 49.1 48.4 +0.7
High 61.3 59.5 +1.8
Low 36.8 37.3 -0.5

In general, fewer snowfall events occur during La Niña winters.  Early February looked nothing like La Niña as bitter arctic air invaded North Texas.  At DFW Airport, there were four calendar days with measurable snowfall during the first 9 days of the month.  February 1978 was the last time there were 4 days with measurable snowfall in a 9-day period.

 

The map to the right shows the estimated February snowfall totals from across North Texas.  Official totals are in yellow: 

 

February 2011 - Official Snowfall Totals

Location Snowfall
DFW Airport 4.0
Waco 2.0
Dallas 6.6
Fort Worth 6.0

 

Dallas/Fort Worth
Greatest Snowfall Totals
for February
Rank Snowfall Year
1 13.5 1978
2 12.6 2010
3 7.5 1924
4 4.2 1951
5 4.0 2011
6 3.7 1975
7 3.6 1929
8 3.5 2002
9 3.1 1938
10 3.0 1903
Waco
Greatest Snowfall Totals
for February
Rank Snowfall Year
1 13.0 1924
2 4.8 1966
3 4.0 1923
4 3.6 2010
5
(tie)
3.0 1940
3.0 1910
7 2.3 2004
8
(tie)
2.0 2011
2.0 1965
10 1.9 1985

Estimated Snowfall - February 2011 

Estimated February 2011 Snowfall

         

 

 

February 1

February 1, 2011 - Sleet and Snow Accumulations

February 3-4

February 3-4, 2011 - Snowfall Amounts

February 9

February 9, 2011 - Snowfall Amounts

 

 

 

During the February 3-4 event, Waco recorded 2 inches of snow.  For Waco, this is one of only five events with at least 2 inches of snowfall during the last 25 years.  One of the previous events occurred just last winter.  The other events are likely memorable as well. 

 

Waco
Snowfall Events of 2" or More
During the Last 25 Years

Snowfall Dates
2.0 February 3-4, 2011
3.1 February 23, 2010
3.5 April 7-8, 2007 (Easter)
2.3 February 13-14, 2004 (Valentine's Day)
2.4 November 25, 1993 (Thanksgiving)

 

Following the snow events, little precipitation fell the remainder of the month.  Two events during the last week of the month brought rainfall to areas mainly east of the I-35 corridor.  Even with that rain, nearly all of North Texas finished February with below normal precipitation.  The driest areas were in western portions of North Texas.

Keeping with La Niña, winter precipitation totals were below normal across all of North Texas.  Thanks to the heavy rain/snow event on January 9, Waco was within the middle (near normal) tercile.  However, DFW was very near the dividing line between the middle and driest terciles.

 

 

 

 

February 2011 Precipitation
Location Precipitation Normal Departure
DFW Airport 0.92 2.37 -1.45
Waco 1.82 2.43 -0.61
Dallas Love Field 1.35 2.31 -0.96
Fort Worth Meacham 0.78    
Dallas Executive 0.94    
Fort Worth Alliance 0.79    
Arlington 1.24 2.60 -1.36
Denton 0.71 2.55 -1.84
McKinney 1.33 2.91 -1.58
Terrell 2.68 2.95 -0.27
Corsicana 2.05 3.08 -1.03
Mineral Wells 0.72 1.99 -1.27
Winter 2010-2011 Precipitation (December-February)
Location Precipitation Normal Departure % of Normal
DFW Airport 4.57 6.84 -2.27 67
Waco 6.29 7.09 -0.80 89
Dallas Love Field 4.66 6.73 -2.07 69
Fort Worth Meacham 3.63      
Dallas Executive 3.91      
Fort Worth Alliance 3.64      
Arlington 4.92 7.43 -2.51 66
Denton 3.93 7.15 -3.22 55
McKinney 4.99 8.58 -3.59 58
Terrell 6.70 8.73 -2.03 77
Corsicana 6.72 9.17 -2.45 73
Mineral Wells 2.92 5.15 -2.23 57

 

Precipitation deficits grew regionwide this winter, and drought has continually expanded across the Lone Star State.

 

 

 

 U.S. Drought Monitor - March 1, 2011