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Here's our latest thinking on storm timing Late Saturday PM into Early Sunday AM. Storms will initially start out to the northwest in the early to late evening hours on Saturday. Initial storms may pose a tornado and hail risk, but the primary hazard will be damaging winds. Thereafter, they will likely grow upscale into a line of storms, resulting in mostly a damaging wind threat. There will be an enhanced threat for brief spin-up tornadoes within the line as well as the potential for an enhanced hail and tornado threat IF storms can develop ahead of the line. For midnight and beyond, most activity should be in the form of a squall line promoting a continued risk for damaging winds. Brief spin up tornadoes cannot be completely ruled out as well as a threat for hail.
Rain chances are low this afternoon and evening, but there are three opportunities for convection. This afternoon, some showers and storms are possible east of a Cooper to Corsicana to Cameron line. A cap should limit the extent of storms, but with considerable instability, any storms that are able to develop this afternoon could quickly become severe with large hail and damaging winds. An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. Late this afternoon and evening, some thunderstorms may form along a dryline to our west and could move into areas west of a line from Gainesville to Weatherford to Stephenville. These storms could potentially be severe with a threat for damaging winds, hail, and possibly an isolated tornado. Finally, a line of storms, likely severe, will start moving in from the northwest late this evening.
A series of cold fronts will shape the temperatures the next several days. After a cloudy start to the day today, the sun will warm temperatures into the 80s. It will be the last humid day for a while as a cold front will move through the region tonight, bringing with it widespread thunderstorms, some of which may be severe. The sun will re-emerge, and Sunday will be mild but breezy. Temperatures will reach 80 degrees in some locations on Monday before the next front arrives. A warming trend through the middle of the week will get afternoon temperatures back into the 80s by Thursday. A stronger cold front will arrive late in the week, bringing with it the next chance for rain.
Here is some information on Wireless Emergency Alerts (WEA). Take time to review this information as we prepare for severe weather across the region!

 
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Forecast Type Guide

Point-n-Click
Currently experimental,  this suite of forecasts offers new and exciting ways of presenting forecasts on a smaller scale, both temporally and spatially. The forecasts are actually done by your Ft. Worth National Weather Service forecasters! The data used for the forecasts is created through our Interactive Forecast Preparation System (IFPS)

Point-n-click forecasts are on a more "neighborhood" type scale, as forecast grid points are currently at a 5km spacing. This "neighborhood" forecast may differ, at times, from the County Averaged forecast, due simply to the smaller scale of forecast parameters used to generate the text. Differences between the Point-n-click forecasts and the County Averaged forecasts may also occur since the text is formatted from the data in slightly different ways. However, it is important to note that even the County Averaged forecasts are derived from the data the the forecaster had entered into the IFPS system.

Currently the "neighborhood", or Point-n-Click forecast, is displayed, by default, from our main homepage.

Point-n-Click also allows us to offer exciting new ways to display forecast elements.  The Element Forecast Meteorogram show various user selectable forecast elements, on an hourly basis, based upon a gridded data forecast point. The Digital Tabular Forecast is similar to the Meteorogram, but it shows the data in a different format.

The Element Forecast Meteorogram

The Digital Tabular Forecast

Image of a forecast meteorogram for the Ft. Worth, Texas area. Image of a digital tabular forecast for Ft. Worth, Texas

County Averaged
County Averaged forecasts are the official forecasts created by the National Weather Service in Ft. Worth. 
Forecast text is also generated by entering data through our
Interactive Forecast Preparation System (IFPS), but the text is generated based upon groupings of counties where the weather is expected to be similar. This may result in a slightly different forecast than that from the Point-n-Click system. The County Averaged forecast is simply reading our Zone Forecast Product (ZFP) and breaking the forecasts back up to the county level.

Digital (AFM)
TheDigital AFM is yet another way to display forecast parameters that are generated by forecasters at the National Weather Service Forecast in Ft. Worth. Similar to the Digital Tabular Forecast, forecast elements are broken down to 3 hour snap shots for a grouping of counties. Codes in the product make it look quite similar to data that is output from computer forecast models. The grouping of counties is the same that is used for the County Averaged Forecast, which is to say the same as in the Zone Forecast Product.

Graphical AFM
The Graphical AFM decodes the Digital RDF product in a manner that is more easily understood. It presents the forecast parameters with graphical images and allow users to quickly get a more detailed forecast. It to, however, is based upon groupings of counties. This forecast is currently experimental. 

Forecast Images
Your Official National Weather Service Forecast from Ft. Worth, Texas is actually derived by forecaster images of sensible weather elements. This is done through theInteractive Forecast Preparation System (IFPS). The Forecast Images are actual copies (in .png format) of the images the forecaster created to come up with all the forecasts for the day. The images provide yet another way to view forecast elements in higher resolution.

Aviation
The National Weather Service Forecast office in Ft. Worth, Texas produces Terminal Aerodome Forecasts (TAF's) for several airports across North Texas. Currently we link the Aviation section to our National Aviation Weather Center. This allows pilots to view much more weather information than is produced in the TAF products.

Fire Weather
Fire Weather Forecasts are generated to assist other governmental agencies in the protection of life and property. Governmental agencies can use this section of forecasts to request spot forecasts and to view other weather information they require.