National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

As a line of showers and a few storms continues to move east, the threat for severe weather will increase. This threat will be highest from Waco to Palestine through late afternoon. Thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage later this afternoon.
Light to moderate rainfall continues to push through North and Central Texas this morning, and will continue to move through eastern portions of the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex over the next couple of hours. Rainfall rates of one-tenth to one-quarter inch per hour can be expected, which will lead to wet roadways. Occasional lightning will also be possible. Later this afternoon, a severe weather threat is expected to develop across Northeast Texas, generally along and east of State Highway 19. The primary severe weather threats will likely be damaging wind gusts and small hail.
A dryline will move east across parts of North and Central Texas today. Afternoon high temperatures will climb into the lower 80s with gusty southwest winds 15 to 30 mph. Wind gusts up to 40 mph will also occur. The combination of strong and gusty winds along with humidity values in the teens to lower 30s will result in high to extreme fire weather conditions along and west of Interstate 35/35E. A Red Flag Warning is in effect late this morning through the early evening hours along and west of a line from Mills County to Dallas County to Grayson County. AVOID outdoor burning of any sort Friday afternoon, not just in the watch area, but all across the region. DO NOT toss lit cigarette butts from any moving vehicle. Any fires will ignite and spread quickly!
Another upper-level system will cross the Plains Sunday afternoon and night. There will be a potential for discrete thunderstorm development east of a dryline and south of a warm front, with conditions likely to be favorable for thunderstorms to become severe. Confidence is increasing in this severe weather setup, as models have come into better agreement. Some uncertainty still remains however, especially with regards to timing and placement of the highest threat area. Still, interests in North and Central Texas are advised to monitor weather forecasts closely moving into the weekend.
Model guidance indicates that an upper-level low is likely to move into the Southern Plains by Wednesday next week. Deep Gulf moisture will spread into the Southern Plains ahead of this low, leading to the potential for heavy rainfall. There remains some disagreement in timing and placement of the upper-level low, and thus the heavy rainfall. While it is too early to know exact amounts of rainfall, the latest data suggest that the primary threat towards the middle of next week would likely be heavy rainfall and flooding rather than severe thunderstorms. However, severe weather can rarely be ruled out with a springtime storm system. We will continue to refine the forecast details of this event over the coming days.

 
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North & Central Texas
Tornado Climatology Mainpage
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County Name (Click for individual County Tornado Climatology Page)
Anderson Bell Bosque Collin Comanche Cooke
Coryell Dallas Delta Denton Eastland Ellis
Erath Falls Fannin Freestone Grayson Hamilton
Henderson Hill Hood Hopkins Hunt Jack
Johnson Kaufman Lamar Lampasas Leon Limestone
McLennan Milam Mills Montague Navarro Palo Pinto
Parker Rains Robertson Rockwall Somervell Stephens
Tarrant Van Zandt Wise Young


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North & Central TX 1950-2017 Tornado Table
North & Central TX 1950s Tornado Table
  Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Total
1950 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
1951 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
1952 0 0 2 3 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 8
1953 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3
1954 0 1 1 3 10 3 0 1 4 1 0 0 24
1955 0 0 5 7 6 5 0 2 0 0 0 0 25
1956 0 1 4 1 3 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 13
1957 0 0 0 24 5 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 32
1958 2 0 1 6 0 3 1 5 0 0 3 0 21
1959 0 0 4 0 3 2 1 0 2 4 3 0 19
 
North & Central TX 1960s Tornado Table
  Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Total
1960 2 0 0 1 16 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 23
1961 0 0 11 4 1 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 20
1962 0 0 4 0 0 6 1 1 1 0 0 0 13
1963 0 0 2 3 3 1 1 3 3 0 2 0 18
1964 0 0 0 5 1 0 2 3 1 0 2 0 14
1965 0 0 1 2 4 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 10
1966 0 1 0 5 10 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 20
1967 0 0 5 5 6 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 20
1968 1 0 1 5 11 2 0 0 0 1 0 5 26
1969 0 0 0 3 4 0 0 3 1 1 0 0 12
 
North & Central TX 1970s Tornado Table
  Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Total
1970 0 0 1 12 0 3 0 1 1 7 0 0 25
1971 0 6 6 12 8 2 3 1 0 2 1 21 62
1972 0 0 4 2 3 0 0 2 2 6 4 0 23
1973 2 0 8 3 13 3 0 0 0 1 4 2 36
1974 0 0 0 8 4 3 0 0 0 11 0 0 26
1975 0 0 5 2 12 5 3 0 1 1 0 0 29
1976 0 0 1 20 31 3 2 0 3 2 0 0 62
1977 0 0 2 9 2 2 1 2 7 0 0 0 25
1978 0 0 0 9 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12
1979 0 2 6 6 17 4 1 2 0 10 0 0 48
 
North & Central TX 1980s Tornado Table
  Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Total
1980 0 0 0 8 5 2 0 1 0 4 0 0 20
1981 0 0 1 1 19 3 1 0 0 15 3 0 43
1982 0 0 2 8 25 5 1 0 0 0 3 0 44
1983 0 0 3 1 2 7 0 1 0 0 1 0 15
1984 0 7 6 3 2 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 23
1985 0 0 1 7 11 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 21
1986 0 2 3 9 5 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 23
1987 0 0 4 0 4 9 1 0 1 0 6 2 27
1988 0 0 0 3 0 1 1 1 2 4 3 0 15
1989 1 0 2 1 11 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 21
 
North & Central TX 1990s Tornado Table
  Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Total
1990 1 1 3 29 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 39
1991 0 0 0 14 0 5 0 0 0 0 1 0 20
1992 0 0 1 1 8 0 0 0 1 5 2 0 18
1993 0 1 0 3 18 2 0 0 12 11 0 0 47
1994 0 0 1 41 14 2 1 0 0 8 6 0 73
1995 0 0 1 19 7 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 29
1996 9 0 0 22 2 1 1 0 8 7 1 0 51
1997 1 3 1 2 21 8 0 0 1 1 0 0 38
1998 6 1 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 7 0 0 20
1999 0 0 2 5 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 14
 
North & Central TX 2000s Tornado Table
  Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Total
2000 0 2 10 7 7 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 29
2001 0 0 0 4 6 1 0 0 3 8 0 0 22
2002 0 0 9 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 23
2003 0 0 2 3 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 11
2004 0 0 9 1 0 6 0 0 0 0 1 0 17
2005 0 0 4 5 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
2006 0 0 3 6 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 23 41
2007 1 0 7 10 3 5 0 0 2 0 0 0 28
2008 0 0 4 20 5 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 32
2009 0 3 2 5 1 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 19
 
North & Central TX 2010s Tornado Table
  Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Total
2010 5 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 8 3 0 0 22
2011 0 0 1 25 14 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 41
2012 0 0 0 17 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 18
2013 0 0 0 0 23 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 24
2014 0 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
2015 0 0 0 19 42 0 0 0 0 0 3 12 76
2016 0 0 11 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18
2017 6 0 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 6

 

WFO Fort Worth Event Review Links

12/26/2015
Tornado Outbreak
5/19/2015
Tornado Outbreak
5/15/2013
Severe Weather Outbreak
4/3/2012
Severe Weather Outbreak
5/2/2007
Derecho Event
12/29/2006
Tornado Outbreak
3/28/2000
North TX Tornado Event
5/5/1995
Mayfest Event
4/2/1957
Dallas Tornado
5/11/1953
Waco Tornado