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Here's our latest thinking on storm timing Late Saturday PM into Early Sunday AM. Storms will initially start out to the northwest in the early to late evening hours on Saturday. Initial storms may pose a tornado and hail risk, but the primary hazard will be damaging winds. Thereafter, they will likely grow upscale into a line of storms, resulting in mostly a damaging wind threat. There will be an enhanced threat for brief spin-up tornadoes within the line as well as the potential for an enhanced hail and tornado threat IF storms can develop ahead of the line. For midnight and beyond, most activity should be in the form of a squall line promoting a continued risk for damaging winds. Brief spin up tornadoes cannot be completely ruled out as well as a threat for hail.
It will be mostly cloudy tonight with isolated showers possible late along and east of the I-35 corridor. Lows will be in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Winds will be southeast at 10 to 20 mph with some gusts up to 30 mph possible.
We'll have mostly cloudy skies Saturday. Some showers are possible in the morning southeast of a Lampasas to Paris line. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible during the afternoon. IF the cap breaks, a few storms could become severe producing hail larger than 1 inch in diameter and wind gusts over 60 mph. Otherwise, cloud to ground lightning will accompany any storms that develop.
The strong cold front will sweep through the southeastern parts of the region by mid morning Sunday. The chances of showers and thunderstorms will be ending from northwest to southeast during the morning across most of North and Central Texas but some low chances will linger into early afternoon east of a Bonham to Temple line. Severe thunderstorms will be possible ahead of the front. It will be breezy behind the front with north winds 15 to 25 mph. Highs will be in the 70s.
Here is some information on Wireless Emergency Alerts (WEA). Take time to review this information as we prepare for severe weather across the region!

 
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North & Central Texas
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Anderson Bell Bosque Collin Comanche Cooke
Coryell Dallas Delta Denton Eastland Ellis
Erath Falls Fannin Freestone Grayson Hamilton
Henderson Hill Hood Hopkins Hunt Jack
Johnson Kaufman Lamar Lampasas Leon Limestone
McLennan Milam Mills Montague Navarro Palo Pinto
Parker Rains Robertson Rockwall Somervell Stephens
Tarrant Van Zandt Wise Young


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North & Central TX 1950-2017 Tornado Table
North & Central TX 1950s Tornado Table
  Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Total
1950 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
1951 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
1952 0 0 2 3 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 8
1953 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3
1954 0 1 1 3 10 3 0 1 4 1 0 0 24
1955 0 0 5 7 6 5 0 2 0 0 0 0 25
1956 0 1 4 1 3 0 1 3 0 0 0 0 13
1957 0 0 0 24 5 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 32
1958 2 0 1 6 0 3 1 5 0 0 3 0 21
1959 0 0 4 0 3 2 1 0 2 4 3 0 19
 
North & Central TX 1960s Tornado Table
  Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Total
1960 2 0 0 1 16 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 23
1961 0 0 11 4 1 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 20
1962 0 0 4 0 0 6 1 1 1 0 0 0 13
1963 0 0 2 3 3 1 1 3 3 0 2 0 18
1964 0 0 0 5 1 0 2 3 1 0 2 0 14
1965 0 0 1 2 4 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 10
1966 0 1 0 5 10 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 20
1967 0 0 5 5 6 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 20
1968 1 0 1 5 11 2 0 0 0 1 0 5 26
1969 0 0 0 3 4 0 0 3 1 1 0 0 12
 
North & Central TX 1970s Tornado Table
  Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Total
1970 0 0 1 12 0 3 0 1 1 7 0 0 25
1971 0 6 6 12 8 2 3 1 0 2 1 21 62
1972 0 0 4 2 3 0 0 2 2 6 4 0 23
1973 2 0 8 3 13 3 0 0 0 1 4 2 36
1974 0 0 0 8 4 3 0 0 0 11 0 0 26
1975 0 0 5 2 12 5 3 0 1 1 0 0 29
1976 0 0 1 20 31 3 2 0 3 2 0 0 62
1977 0 0 2 9 2 2 1 2 7 0 0 0 25
1978 0 0 0 9 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 12
1979 0 2 6 6 17 4 1 2 0 10 0 0 48
 
North & Central TX 1980s Tornado Table
  Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Total
1980 0 0 0 8 5 2 0 1 0 4 0 0 20
1981 0 0 1 1 19 3 1 0 0 15 3 0 43
1982 0 0 2 8 25 5 1 0 0 0 3 0 44
1983 0 0 3 1 2 7 0 1 0 0 1 0 15
1984 0 7 6 3 2 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 23
1985 0 0 1 7 11 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 21
1986 0 2 3 9 5 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 23
1987 0 0 4 0 4 9 1 0 1 0 6 2 27
1988 0 0 0 3 0 1 1 1 2 4 3 0 15
1989 1 0 2 1 11 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 21
 
North & Central TX 1990s Tornado Table
  Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Total
1990 1 1 3 29 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 39
1991 0 0 0 14 0 5 0 0 0 0 1 0 20
1992 0 0 1 1 8 0 0 0 1 5 2 0 18
1993 0 1 0 3 18 2 0 0 12 11 0 0 47
1994 0 0 1 41 14 2 1 0 0 8 6 0 73
1995 0 0 1 19 7 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 29
1996 9 0 0 22 2 1 1 0 8 7 1 0 51
1997 1 3 1 2 21 8 0 0 1 1 0 0 38
1998 6 1 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 7 0 0 20
1999 0 0 2 5 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 14
 
North & Central TX 2000s Tornado Table
  Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Total
2000 0 2 10 7 7 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 29
2001 0 0 0 4 6 1 0 0 3 8 0 0 22
2002 0 0 9 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 23
2003 0 0 2 3 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 11
2004 0 0 9 1 0 6 0 0 0 0 1 0 17
2005 0 0 4 5 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
2006 0 0 3 6 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 23 41
2007 1 0 7 10 3 5 0 0 2 0 0 0 28
2008 0 0 4 20 5 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 32
2009 0 3 2 5 1 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 19
 
North & Central TX 2010s Tornado Table
  Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May. Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Total
2010 5 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 8 3 0 0 22
2011 0 0 1 25 14 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 41
2012 0 0 0 17 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 18
2013 0 0 0 0 23 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 24
2014 0 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
2015 0 0 0 19 42 0 0 0 0 0 3 12 76
2016 0 0 11 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18
2017 6 0 3 9 1 0 0 0 0 -- -- -- 19

 

 

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WFO Fort Worth Event Review Links

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