National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Thunderstorms With Heavy Rain Possible from the Upper Midwest to the Mid-Atlantic; Excessive Heat For Central U.S.

Storms will move from the Upper Great Lakes to the Ohio Valley/Lower Great Lakes into the northern Mid-Atlantic through the day. Damaging winds, large hail, and flooding will be the primary threats with these storms. Excessive heat warnings and heat advisories are in place for states in the Central Plains, the Southeast, and the Mid-Atlantic. Localized flash flooding may occur in the Southwest. Read More >

We'll have mostly sunny skies today with highs in the mid 90s east to 103 degrees northwest. When you account for the humidity, it will feel like it is 101 to 109 degrees. A Heat Advisory is in effect along and east of a Bowie to Killeen line. Isolated thunderstorms are possible by late afternoon southeast of a Temple to Athens line. Stay hydrated and don't overexert yourself.
Yes, it's July and it's hot. So you're probably thinking why is the National Weather Service bothering us? Well, it's simple: heat kills. Know the signs of heat exhaustion versus heat stroke. Faint or dizzy with excessive sweating, that's heat exhaustion. Get to a cooler place and drink water. If you or someone you know, is in the heat and suddenly stop sweating, get a throbbing headache and/or nausea, these are signs of heat stroke and it is an emergency situation. Your body is no longer able to cool off and if you don't get immediate care, you can die. If you're suffering from Heat Stroke, you should call 9-1-1. . When you stop sweating, you're in real trouble.
Low storm chances are possible northeast of a Sherman-Greenville- Emory line on Tuesday. High pressure will once again build back through the middle and end of next week, resulting in heat index values to rise between 105-110 on Thursday and Friday.
There will be a low risk for isolated thunderstorms on Sunday morning mainly across northwestern and southeastern counties. Severe weather is UNLIKELY during this time. The better risk for more numerous thunderstorms will be on Sunday afternoon and evening, especially across the southeastern counties. There will be a risk for strong to severe thunderstorms capable of damaging downburst winds. Isolated instances of minor flooding will be possible due to the slow moving nature of thunderstorms.

 
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Soaring Forecast


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE DALLAS - FORT WORTH AREA. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR DFW           DATE... 07/21/17...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -5.0
       5000 FT MSL........ -2.5
       6000 FT MSL........ -2.0
      10000 FT MSL........ 2.0
      15000 FT MSL........ 8.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 4400 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 8000 FT MSL
DFW MAX TEMPERATURE....... 100 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 94 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 415 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 000 DEGREES AT 00 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 210 DEGREES AT 26 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 200 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 210 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          5000 FT MSL..... 195 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 220 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 290 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 310 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 305 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 335 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          13000 FT MSL.... 000 DEGREES AT 00 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 165 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          15000 FT MSL.... 165 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 145 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          17000 FT MSL.... 130 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          18000 FT MSL.... 150 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          19000 FT MSL.... 130 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 145 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          24000 FT MSL.... 125 DEGREES AT 23 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 135 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 160 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 160 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 135 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE AMARILLO - PANHANDLE REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR AMA           DATE... 07/21/17...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -14.0
       5000 FT MSL........ -6.0
       6000 FT MSL........ -5.0
      10000 FT MSL........ -2.5
      15000 FT MSL........ 3.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 9100 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 13600 FT MSL
AMA MAX TEMPERATURE....... 96 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 88 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 547 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 235 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 235 DEGREES AT 26 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 230 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 225 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 230 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 235 DEGREES AT 03 KNOTS
          13000 FT MSL.... 360 DEGREES AT 01 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 090 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS
          15000 FT MSL.... 130 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 145 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 145 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 110 DEGREES AT 09 KNOTS
          18000 FT MSL.... 150 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          19000 FT MSL.... 130 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 145 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          24000 FT MSL.... 125 DEGREES AT 23 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 135 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 160 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 160 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 135 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 160 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 160 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 135 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE MIDLAND - WEST TEXAS REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR MAF           DATE... 07/21/17...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -11.0
       5000 FT MSL........ -6.5
       6000 FT MSL........ -6.0
      10000 FT MSL........ -1.0
      15000 FT MSL........ 3.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 8600 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 11700 FT MSL
MAF MAX TEMPERATURE....... 97 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 86 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 488 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 165 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 170 DEGREES AT 26 KNOTS
          5000 FT MSL..... 190 DEGREES AT 31 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 195 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 205 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 210 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 200 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          10000 FT MSL.... 160 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          11000 FT MSL.... 150 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 155 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 155 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          15000 FT MSL.... 175 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 185 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 205 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          24000 FT MSL.... 220 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 235 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 135 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 160 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 160 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 135 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 160 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 160 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 135 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE SHREVEPORT - EAST TEXAS REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR SHV           DATE... 07/21/17...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -3.5
       5000 FT MSL........ -2.0
       6000 FT MSL........ -0.5
      10000 FT MSL........ 4.5
      15000 FT MSL........ 11.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 3400 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 7000 FT MSL
SHV MAX TEMPERATURE....... 97 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 92 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 386 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 225 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS
          1000 FT MSL..... 245 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 215 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 215 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 175 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 170 DEGREES AT 03 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 110 DEGREES AT 02 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 135 DEGREES AT 03 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 075 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          10000 FT MSL.... 040 DEGREES AT 01 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 060 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 065 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 100 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          19000 FT MSL.... 100 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 120 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          21000 FT MSL.... 110 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          22000 FT MSL.... 125 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          24000 FT MSL.... 120 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 130 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 140 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 110 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          29000 FT MSL.... 125 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 135 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE BROWNSVILLE - DEEP SOUTH TEXAS REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR BRO           DATE... 07/21/17...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -2.5
       5000 FT MSL........ 0.5
       6000 FT MSL........ 2.0
      10000 FT MSL........ 7.0
      15000 FT MSL........ 12.0

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 2800 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 4500 FT MSL
BRO MAX TEMPERATURE....... 96 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 94 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 274 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 190 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          1000 FT MSL..... 195 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 185 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 170 DEGREES AT 23 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 185 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          5000 FT MSL..... 185 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 160 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 155 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 125 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 115 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 065 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 065 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          15000 FT MSL.... 110 DEGREES AT 02 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 145 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 055 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 080 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          22000 FT MSL.... 125 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          24000 FT MSL.... 120 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 130 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 140 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 110 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          29000 FT MSL.... 125 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 135 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE CORPUS CHRISTI - MID-TEXAS GULF COAST REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR CRP           DATE... 07/21/17...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -2.0
       5000 FT MSL........ 1.5
       6000 FT MSL........ 3.0
      10000 FT MSL........ 7.0
      15000 FT MSL........ 12.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 2500 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 4100 FT MSL
CRP MAX TEMPERATURE....... 95 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 94 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 253 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 000 DEGREES AT 00 KNOTS
          1000 FT MSL..... 190 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 190 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 190 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 190 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 145 DEGREES AT 09 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 130 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 115 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 105 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS
          11000 FT MSL.... 145 DEGREES AT 01 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 065 DEGREES AT 01 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 075 DEGREES AT 03 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 025 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 015 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          24000 FT MSL.... 000 DEGREES AT 00 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 080 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 100 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 090 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          29000 FT MSL.... 075 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 140 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 110 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          29000 FT MSL.... 125 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 135 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE DEL RIO - BIG BEND/EWARDS PLATEAU REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR DRT           DATE... 07/21/17...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -10.0
       5000 FT MSL........ -5.0
       6000 FT MSL........ -4.0
      10000 FT MSL........ 1.5
      15000 FT MSL........ 6.0

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 6700 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 8900 FT MSL
DRT MAX TEMPERATURE....... 102 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 92 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 438 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 095 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 140 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 165 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 175 DEGREES AT 27 KNOTS
          5000 FT MSL..... 185 DEGREES AT 23 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 160 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 150 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 145 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 160 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          10000 FT MSL.... 195 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 210 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          13000 FT MSL.... 205 DEGREES AT 09 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 195 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 175 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          18000 FT MSL.... 140 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 160 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 210 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 090 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          29000 FT MSL.... 075 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 140 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 110 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          29000 FT MSL.... 125 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 135 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________