National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Hurricane Maria Forecast To Bring Impacts To East Coast

Hurricane Maria will approach the Mid-Atlantic coast early this week then finally shove eastward into the open Atlantic. Maria will likely not make landfall but will come close to portions of North Carolina midweek and could bring tropical storm force winds, locally heavy rain, storm surge, and very rough surf. Maria will create hazardous surf and rip currents for much of the East Coast this week. Read More >

There will be a threat for showers and a few isolated thunderstorms today---primarily along and west of a Gainesville to Decatur to Hamilton line. Widespread severe weather is NOT expected, but a few pockets of brief heavy rainfall may develop. Afternoon high temperatures across the area will climb into the upper 70s (northwest counties) to mid to upper 80s elsewhere.
There will be a continued threat for unsettled weather across the western half of North and Central TX through Friday. Widespread severe weather is unlikely, but there may be a few pockets of heavy rain. Otherwise, conditions will be MUCH more pleasant than week's past with afternoon high temperatures in the 70s and 80s.

 
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Soaring Forecast


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE DALLAS - FORT WORTH AREA. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR DFW           DATE... 09/26/17...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -3.0
       5000 FT MSL........ -1.0
       6000 FT MSL........ 0.5
      10000 FT MSL........ 5.5
      15000 FT MSL........ 12.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 3100 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 5800 FT MSL
DFW MAX TEMPERATURE....... 87 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 84 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 304 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 000 DEGREES AT 00 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 180 DEGREES AT 23 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 175 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 175 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          5000 FT MSL..... 165 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 170 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 155 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 175 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 185 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          10000 FT MSL.... 185 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 215 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          13000 FT MSL.... 250 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 240 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 205 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          19000 FT MSL.... 200 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 225 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS
          23000 FT MSL.... 215 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 240 DEGREES AT 30 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 245 DEGREES AT 29 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE AMARILLO - PANHANDLE REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR AMA           DATE... 09/26/17...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -5.0
       5000 FT MSL........ -2.0
       6000 FT MSL........ 2.0
      10000 FT MSL........ 8.5
      15000 FT MSL........ 13.0

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 4800 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 5200 FT MSL
AMA MAX TEMPERATURE....... 62 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 69 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 140 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 020 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 105 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 145 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 180 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 165 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          11000 FT MSL.... 230 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 245 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 155 DEGREES AT 01 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 235 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          17000 FT MSL.... 215 DEGREES AT 23 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 195 DEGREES AT 31 KNOTS
          21000 FT MSL.... 190 DEGREES AT 37 KNOTS
          23000 FT MSL.... 220 DEGREES AT 30 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 220 DEGREES AT 37 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 220 DEGREES AT 44 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 220 DEGREES AT 32 KNOTS
          23000 FT MSL.... 215 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 240 DEGREES AT 30 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 245 DEGREES AT 29 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE MIDLAND - WEST TEXAS REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR MAF           DATE... 09/26/17...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -3.5
       5000 FT MSL........ -0.5
       6000 FT MSL........ 1.0
      10000 FT MSL........ 6.5
      15000 FT MSL........ 10.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 3400 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 5500 FT MSL
MAF MAX TEMPERATURE....... 76 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 79 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 182 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 135 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 160 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 145 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 150 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 145 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 155 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 140 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 185 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 190 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 245 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          24000 FT MSL.... 230 DEGREES AT 47 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 220 DEGREES AT 50 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 220 DEGREES AT 62 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 220 DEGREES AT 37 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 220 DEGREES AT 44 KNOTS
          28000 FT MSL.... 220 DEGREES AT 32 KNOTS
          23000 FT MSL.... 215 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 240 DEGREES AT 30 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 245 DEGREES AT 29 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE SHREVEPORT - EAST TEXAS REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR SHV           DATE... 09/26/17...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ 4.5
       5000 FT MSL........ 6.0
       6000 FT MSL........ 7.0
      10000 FT MSL........ 12.5
      15000 FT MSL........ 20.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 300 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 700 FT MSL
SHV MAX TEMPERATURE....... 76 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 86 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 75 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 000 DEGREES AT 00 KNOTS
          1000 FT MSL..... 195 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 190 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 185 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 140 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          5000 FT MSL..... 155 DEGREES AT 02 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 110 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 100 DEGREES AT 07 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 100 DEGREES AT 03 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 110 DEGREES AT 03 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 095 DEGREES AT 03 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 335 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 025 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 290 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          22000 FT MSL.... 230 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          23000 FT MSL.... 250 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          24000 FT MSL.... 240 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 265 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          27000 FT MSL.... 250 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE BROWNSVILLE - DEEP SOUTH TEXAS REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR BRO           DATE... 09/26/17...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -3.0
       5000 FT MSL........ -0
       6000 FT MSL........ 1.0
      10000 FT MSL........ 7.5
      15000 FT MSL........ 13.5

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 3000 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 5200 FT MSL
BRO MAX TEMPERATURE....... 93 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 91 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 299 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 135 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          1000 FT MSL..... 130 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 140 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 160 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 155 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 165 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 165 DEGREES AT 18 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 175 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 160 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 185 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 195 DEGREES AT 11 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 235 DEGREES AT 09 KNOTS
          17000 FT MSL.... 225 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 230 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          21000 FT MSL.... 245 DEGREES AT 14 KNOTS
          23000 FT MSL.... 250 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 220 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 210 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          29000 FT MSL.... 210 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE CORPUS CHRISTI - MID-TEXAS GULF COAST REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR CRP           DATE... 09/26/17...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -2.0
       5000 FT MSL........ 0.5
       6000 FT MSL........ 2.0
      10000 FT MSL........ 7.5
      15000 FT MSL........ 14.0

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 2100 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 4600 FT MSL
CRP MAX TEMPERATURE....... 90 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 88 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 270 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 135 DEGREES AT 05 KNOTS
          1000 FT MSL..... 135 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 145 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 155 DEGREES AT 20 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 160 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 170 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 165 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 160 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 145 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 150 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 155 DEGREES AT 09 KNOTS
          15000 FT MSL.... 150 DEGREES AT 08 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 175 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          19000 FT MSL.... 190 DEGREES AT 16 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 210 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          22000 FT MSL.... 200 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          23000 FT MSL.... 230 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          24000 FT MSL.... 215 DEGREES AT 19 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 215 DEGREES AT 25 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 220 DEGREES AT 30 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________


THIS FORECAST IS FOR THE DEL RIO - BIG BEND/EWARDS PLATEAU REGION. 

SOARING FORECAST FOR DRT           DATE... 09/26/17...12Z

THERMAL INDEX....MINUS SIGN INDICATES INSTABILITY
       3000 FT MSL........ -3.0
       5000 FT MSL........ -0
       6000 FT MSL........ 1.0
      10000 FT MSL........ 7.5
      15000 FT MSL........ 15.0

HEIGHT OF THE -3 INDEX.... 2900 FT MSL
TOP OF THE LIFT........... 5200 FT MSL
DRT MAX TEMPERATURE....... 84 DEGREES F
FIRST USEABLE LIFT........ 83 DEGREES F
MAXIMUM LIFT.............. 252 FT/MIN

UPPER LEVEL WINDS
          SURFACE......... 095 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          2000 FT MSL..... 130 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          3000 FT MSL..... 145 DEGREES AT 32 KNOTS
          4000 FT MSL..... 150 DEGREES AT 30 KNOTS
          6000 FT MSL..... 145 DEGREES AT 26 KNOTS
          7000 FT MSL..... 145 DEGREES AT 27 KNOTS
          8000 FT MSL..... 125 DEGREES AT 27 KNOTS
          9000 FT MSL..... 135 DEGREES AT 22 KNOTS
          11000 FT MSL.... 145 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS
          12000 FT MSL.... 135 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
          14000 FT MSL.... 140 DEGREES AT 06 KNOTS
          15000 FT MSL.... 165 DEGREES AT 02 KNOTS
          16000 FT MSL.... 290 DEGREES AT 04 KNOTS
          17000 FT MSL.... 285 DEGREES AT 17 KNOTS
          19000 FT MSL.... 260 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
          20000 FT MSL.... 190 DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS
          23000 FT MSL.... 235 DEGREES AT 21 KNOTS
          25000 FT MSL.... 220 DEGREES AT 26 KNOTS
          26000 FT MSL.... 205 DEGREES AT 27 KNOTS
          29000 FT MSL.... 200 DEGREES AT 34 KNOTS


IT IS EMPHASIZED...THIS SOARING FORECAST INFORMATION IS VALID
ONLY FOR THE RAOB SITE AREA AND FREQUENTLY WILL NOT APPLY
TO OTHER AREAS IN THE STATE.

_____________________________________________________________