National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

A strong storm system will move through the Southern Plains on Sunday and will help generate scattered showers and thunderstorms along and east of a Pacific front/dryline during the afternoon hours. A few storms could be strong during the afternoon mainly east of I-35. To the west of the dryline, critical fire weather conditions are expected. A Red Flag Warning is in effect for part of the area. A cold front will move through Sunday night allowing temperatures to cool for Monday.
A strong storm system will move through the Southern Plains on Sunday and will send a Pacific front/dryline through the area during the afternoon hours. As this front moves through, west-southwest winds will increase to 20 to 30 mph with higher gusts. In addition, relative humidity will drop to 15 to 20% with temperatures in the lower 70s. This will lead to a critical fire weather threat mainly west of a Jacksboro to Comanche line. Winds are expected to remain gusty through the night although moisture will increase some after dark.
Here are some fire weather safety tips for those who will experience such conditions across western North-Central Texas Sunday afternoon and evening. Avoid outdoor burning at all costs and check county burn bans to see if yours is included. If driving, please do not toss lit cigarettes out a moving vehicle, as these can cause rapidly growing grass fires that quickly could affect structures nearby.
Dry and near or slightly above seasonal normal conditions are expected Monday through Wednesday. No rainfall is expected, with lows in the 30s and highs between 55 and 65 degrees.

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Waco Climate Overview

One of the major cities of Texas, Waco is located in the rich agricultural region of the Brazos River Valley in Central Texas. The city lies on the edge of the gently rolling Blackland Prairies. To the west lies the rolling to hilly Grand Prairie. Waco is a commercial hub with an economy based on industry, education and agriculture. Baylor University, founded in 1845, is located here. Regional agriculture includes chiefly cattle, poultry, sorghum, cotton and corn. Soils are black waxy, loam and sandy types. Lake Waco, a reservoir of 7,260 surface acres, lies within the Waco city limits, with the north shoreline approximately 0.8 mile south of the airport.

The climate of Waco is humid subtropical with hot summers. It is a continental type climate characterized by extreme variations in temperature. Tropical maritime air masses predominate throughout the late spring, summer and early fall months, while Polar air masses frequent the area in winter. In an average year, April and May are the wettest months, while the July-August period is the driest. Most warm season rainfall occurs from thunderstorm activity. Consequently, considerable spatial variation in amounts occur. Winters are mild. Cold fronts moving down from the High Plains often are accompanied by strong, gusty, northerly winds and sharp drops in temperature. Cold spells are of short duration, rarely lasting longer than 2 or 3 days before a rapid warming occurs. Winter precipitation is closely associated with frontal activity, and may fall as rain, freezing rain, sleet or snow. During most years, snowfall is of little or no consequence.

Daytime temperatures are hot in summer, particularly in July and August. The highest temperatures are associated with fair skies, light winds, and comparatively low humidities. There is little variety in the day-to-day weather during July and August. Air conditioning is recommended for maximum comfort indoors or while traveling. The spring and fall seasons are very pleasant at Waco. Temperatures are comfortable. Cloudiness and showers are more frequent in the spring than in the fall. The average first occurrence of 32°F is late November and the average last occurrence is in mid March.