National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce


Valentine Groundhog Day Climatology

 

February 2 is celebrated as Groundhog Day. One of the most famous groundhogs is Punxsutawney Phil, located in Punxsutawney, PA. It is said that if the groundhog sees his shadow, he predicts 6 more weeks of winter, otherwise the prediction is for an early spring. While the prediction of the groundhog is not always right, many enjoy the tradition. Below is a climatology for Valentine on Groundhog Day, February 2.

 

GROUNDHOG DAY IN VALENTINE
PERIOD OF RECORD 126 YEARS: 1890-2016*
(*Missing 1893)

TEMPERATURE DATA

Highest 66 degrees (1890)
Lowest -36 degrees (1905)
Lowest Maximum -12 degrees (1989)
Highest Minimum 38 degrees (1890)
Average High 33.9 degrees
Average Low 8.2 degrees
30 year Normal High 37 degrees
30 year Normal Low 12 degrees
Average Temperature Range 25.7 degrees
Largest Range
between High and Low
55 degrees
High 40, Low -15 (2015)
Smallest Range
between High and Low
4 degrees
High 9, Low 5 (1895)

 

High Temperature by 10 Degree Ranges

-10s -0s 0s 10s 20s 30s 40s 50s 60s
1 4 5 16 19 33 23 18 7
0.8% 3.2% 4.0% 12.7% 15.1% 26.2% 18.3% 14.3% 5.6%

 

Low Temperature by 10 Degree Ranges

-30s -20s -10s -0s 0s 10s 20s 30s
2 5 11 19 26 27 27 9
1.6% 4.0% 8.7% 15.1% 20.6% 21.4% 21.4% 7.1%

 

PRECIPITATION DATA

Maximum Precipitation 0.39 inches (1995)
Maximum Snowfall 5.8 inches (2 times)
(1919 & 1936)
Number of Times Precipitation 44 Occurrences or 34.9%
Number of Times
Measurable Precipitation
(more than a Trace)
21 Occurrences or 16.7%
Number of Times Snowfall 37 Occurrences or 31.6%
Number of Times
Measurable Snowfall
(more than a Trace)
17 Occurrences or 14.5%
Number of Times No Precipitation 82 Occurrences or 65.1%
Most Snow on Ground
at Observation Time
15 inches (1936)

 

WHITE GROUNDHOG DAY IN VALENTINE
PERIOD OF RECORD 116 YEARS: 1900-2016

White Groundhog Day = 1 inch or more of snow on ground
at observation time on February 2
(snow depth rounded to nearest whole inch or trace if 0.4 inches or less)

Number of Years with a
White Groundhog Day (116 years)
53 Years (45.3%)
Number of Years with a
White Groundhog Day (last 25 years)
7 Years (28.0%)
Number of Years with a
White Groundhog Day (last 10 years)
2 Years (20.0%)
  2010 - 1 inch
2011 - 2 inches
2016 - 1 inch
Number of Years with trace or
more snow on Ground (116 years)
74 Years (63.2%)
Number of Years with trace or
more snow on Ground (last 25 years)
7 Years (28.0%)
Number of Years with trace or
more snow on Ground (last 10 years)
3 Years (30.0%)
Consecutive Years with a
White Groundhog Day
6 Years (1956 - 1961)
Consecutive Years without a
White Groundhog Day
8 Years (2002 - 2009)
Current Streak Consecutive Years
White Groundhog Day
1 Year

 

White Groundhog Day Occurences by Decade
* incomplete decade

1900s 1910s 1920s 1930s 1940s 1950s
4 5 4 5 5 6
1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s
6 4 7 2 2 3*

 

DAILY WEATHER SUMMARIES PAST 5 GROUNDHOG DAYS

Date High Low Precip Snow Snow Depth Remarks
2012 54 17 0.00 0.0 0  Mostly cloudy morning, partly sunny
 afternoon
2013 49 24 T 0.0 0  Morning Sprinkle, partly sunny, windy
 (peak wind 38 mph)
2014 38 -5 0.00 0.0 0  Sunny
2015 40 -15 0.00 0.0 0  Mostly sunny
2016 31 23 0.05 1.0 1  Cloudy, light snow most of the day

 

YEAR BY YEAR WEATHER FOR PAST NEW YEAR'S DAYS
CLICK ON GRAPH FOR LARGER IMAGE

Temperatures - High & Low with Averages

Precipitation

Temperatures - High & Low with Averages

Precipitation

ALSO VISIT NORTH PLATTE GROUNDHOG DAY CLIMATOLOGY

For more holiday climate studies see the main menu
Holiday Climate Studies for North Platte and Valentine

 

  Page composition by
Matthew Masek
  Update includes 2016