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Adams, S. A., 1989: Structure flow diagram generator. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 89-1,             National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.

__, 1989: String search. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 89-2, National Weather Service, NOAA,       U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.

Alaka, M. A., R. C. Elvander, and R. E. Saffle, 1979: Nowcasts and short-range (0-2 hour) forecasts of thunderstorms and severe convective            weather for use in air traffic control. Final Report No. FAA-RD-79-98, Federal Aviation Agency, U.S. Department of Transportation, 31 pp.

__, __, and , 1979: The use of digitized radar to forecast severe convective weather at or near air terminals, Preprints, WHO Technical                    Conference on Aviation Meteorology, Geneva, World Meteor. Org., 21 pp.

__, J. P. Charba, and R. M. Reap, 1977: Automated operational prediction of thunderstorms and severe local storms. Proceedings of the 7th            Technical Exchange Conference. El Paso. Texas. 30 November-3 December 1976, Atmospheric Sciences Laboratory, White Sands Missile             Range, New Mexico, 137-144.

__, __, and R. C. Elvander, 1977: Thunderstorm prediction for use in air traffic control (0-6 hours time range). Final Report No. FAA-RD-77-40,          Federal Aviation Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation, 32 pp.

__, J. P. Charba, and R. C. Elvander, 1976: Short-range thunderstorm prediction for air terminals and surrounding airlines. Final Report No. FAA-     D-77-40, Federal Aviation Agency, U.S. Department of Transportation, 31 pp.

__, __, and , 1975: Short range thunderstorm forecasting for aviation. Interim Report No. FAA-RD-75-220, Federal Aviation Agency, U.S.               Department of Transportation, 24 pp.

__, 1974: The advantages and requirements of optimum interpolation in the objective analysis of meteorological fields. Preprints, Fifth Conference on Forecasting and Analysis, St. Louis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 148-151.

__, and R. C. Elvander, 1974: Comparative capabilities of current radiosonde and satellites in determining geopotentia1 heights and their space     derivatives at 300 mb. TDL Office Note 74-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.

__, W. D. Bonner, J. P. Charba, R. L. Crisci, R. C. Elvander, and R. M. Reap, 1973: Objective techniques for forecasting thunderstorms and       severe convective weather. Final Report No. FAA-RD-73-ll7, Federal Aviation Agency, U.S. Department of Transportation, 97 pp.

__, Robert C. Elvander, 1973: Comparative Capabilities of Current Radiosondes and Satellites in Determining Geopotential Heights and Their       Space Deriviative at 300 MB. TDL Office Note 73-7, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.


__, and __, 1972: Optimum interpolations from observations of mixed quality. Mon. Wea. Rev., 100, 612-624. , and , 1972: Matching of                 observational accuracy and sampling resolution in meteorological data acquisition experiments. J. Appl. Meteor., 11, 567-577.

__, 1970: Theoretical and practical considerations for network design. Meteor. Mono., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 11, 20-27.

__, and R. C. E1vander, 1970: Some considerations of meteorological network design in the tropics. Proceedings of the Symposium on Tropica1   Meteorology, Honolulu, Amer. Meteor. Soc. and World Meteor. Soc., BX 1-8.

__, and , 1970: Current High Altitude Observations--Investigation and Possible Improvement. ESSA Technical Memorandum WBTM TDL-36,         Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 24 pp.

__, 1969: Theoretical and practical considerations for network design. Proceedings of the 1969 Symposium on Meteorological Observations and     Instrumentation, Washington, D.C., Amer. Meteor. Soc. 20-27.

__, 1968: Climatology of Atlantic tropical storms and hurricanes. ESSA Technical Report WB-6, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 18 pp.

__, and F. Lewis, 1968: Numerical experiments pertinent to the design of optimum aerological networks. Proceedings WMO/IVGG Symposium on Numerical Weather Prediction, Tokyo, Japan Meteor. Agency, V9-V18.

__, 1967: A survey of studies of aero1ogica1 network requirements. Weather Bureau Technical Memorandum WBTM TDL-9, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.

__, and Frank Lewis, 1967: Numerical Experiments Leading to the Design of Optimum Global Meteorological Networks. Weather Bureau Technical Memorandum TDL-7, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.

__, __, L. S. Gandin, and S. A. Mashkovich, 1967: Network for aero1ogica1 observing stations. Report No. 21, Wor1d Meteor. Qrg., 58 pp.

__, D. T. Rubsam, and G. E. Fisher, 1967: An Experiment in the Use of the Balance Equation in the Tropics. Weather Bureau Technical Memorandum WBTM TDL-8, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.

__, and D. T. Rubsam, 1965: Evaluation of the kinematic and thermal fields during the development of hurricane Ella (1962). Mon. Wea. Rev., 93, 673-686.

__, 1964: On the nature of the triggering mechanism in hurricane formation. Geofisica International, Mexico, 231-240. , 1964: Problems of tropical meteorology. Technical Note No. 62, WHO No. l55.TP.75, World Meteor. Org., 1-36.

      Allegrino, A. S., D. R. Rodenhuis, and R. G. Miller, 1983: Diagnostic studies of the influence of station climatology on a Markov forecast             procedure. Preprints Eighth Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Hot Springs, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 138-147.

Allen, R. L., 2001: Observational data and MOS: The challenges in creating high-quality guidance. Preprints, Eighteenth Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Fort Lauderdale, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 322-325.

__, 2001: MRF-based MOS precipitation type guidance for the United States. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 485, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.

__, and M. C. Erickson, 2001: AVN-based MOS precipitation type guidance for the United States. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 476, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 11 pp.

__, 1999: AVN-based MOS precipitation type forecasts. Program National Weather Association Twenty Fourth Annual Meeting, Biloxi, National Weather Association, p. 36.

__, 1970: Single station prediction of ceiling and visibility. Interim Report No. FAA-RD-70-26, Federal Aviation Agency, U.S. Department of Transportation, 51 pp.

__, 1970: Predicting ceiling and visibility with boolean predictors. Interim Report No. FAA-RD-70-37, Federal Aviation Agency, U.S. Department of Transportation, 47pp.

__, 1969: Operational evaluation of a ceiling and visibility prediction technique. Final Report No. FAA-RD-70-l7, Federal Aviation Agency, U.S. Department of Transportation, 19 pp.

Annett, J. R. and W. D. Bonner, 1972: The Use of Model Output Statistics (MOS) to Estimate Daily Maximum Temperatures. Technical Memorandum 45 (TDL-45), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.

Antolik, M. S., and M. N. Baker, 2009: On the ability to develop MOS guidance with short dependent samples from an evolving numerical model. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/19th Conf. Numerical Prediction, Omaha, NE, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

__, 2004: Using new remotely-sensed datasets in MOS development: A step toward true high-resolution statistical quantitative precipitation forecasts. Preprints, 17th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM, 1.10.

__, 2000: An overview of the National Weather Service's centralized statistical quantitative precipitation forecasts. Journal of Hydrology, 306-337.

__, 2000: NGM-based statistical quantitative precipitation forecast guidance for the contiguous United States and Alaska. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 461, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 28 pp.

__, 1998: Eta-based MOS quantitative precipitation forecasts in an era of rapidly changing numerical models: How well can we do? Preprints, 16th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 446-449.

__, 1996: Toward an objective NGM-based expected-value quantitative precipitation forecast system. Preprints, 13th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, San Francisco, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 57-64.

__, 1996: What are our needs for synoptic-scale interpretive statistical QPF guidance in a modernized National Weather Service? How should TDL help meet them? Abstracts Fifth National Heavy Precipitation Workshop, State College, Nat. Wea. Svc., p. 4.

__, 1996: Synoptic-scale statistical quantitative precipitation forecasts: Present and future. Abstracts National Weather Association 21st Annual Meeting Program, Cocoa Beach, Nat. Wea. Assoc., (no page number).

__, 1995: NGM-based quantitative precipitation forecast guidance: Performance tests and practical applications. Preprints, 14th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 182-187.

__, 1993: New NGM-based quantitative precipitation forecast guidance. Abstracts National Weather Association Eighteenth Annual Meeting Program, Raleigh, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 35.
 

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Ba, M., B. Smith, S., O’Donnell, S., Sperow, K., Tan, X., Roberts, R., Megenhardt, D., Saxen, T., Albo, D., Fano, S., and Patrick, G., 2008: Transitioning NCAR’s autonowcast system capability into NWS operation. Preprints, 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology, New Orleans, LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 3.1.


Baker, J. M., 1984: Model Output Statistics (MOS) forecast guidance for U.S. Air Force locations in Alaska. TDL Office Note 84-7, National Weather Service, NOAA,   U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.

Baker, M. N., K. L. Sheets, and G. A. Wagner, 2009: Using gridded MOS techniques to derive snowfall climatologties.Preprints, 23rd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/19th Conf. Numerical Prediction, Omaha, NE, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

Barrientos, C. S., and K. W. Hess, 1983: Ocean oil spill concentration and trajectory forecast project. Final Report prepared for Environmental Protection Agency,       Department of Energy, Interagency Agreement EPA-IAG-0693, Techniques Development Laboratory, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of  Commerce, 86 pp.

__, and K. W. Hess, 1978: Techniques for foracasting trajectories and fates of ocean oil spills. TDL Office Note 78-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 44 pp.

__, 1977: Development of ocean oil spill concentration and trajectory forecast methods. Proceedings of the Program Review Meeting. Environmental Protection Agency's Interagency Energy/Environment Program, Newport, 10 pp.

__, 1974: SPLASH--A numerical model for forecasting hurricane storm surges. Fourteenth Report on Research Work in Tropical Meteorology, World Meteor. Org., 3 pp.

__, and C. P. Je1esnianski, 1974: Some numerical experiments of the effects of hurricane modification on storm surges. Proceedings of the WHO Technical Conference, Manila, World Meteor. Org., 31-36.

__, and J. Chen, 1974: Storm surge shoaling corrections along the east coast. Study for the Federal Insurance Administration, Interagency Agreement IAA-H-19-75, Techniques Development Laboratory, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.

__, C. P. Jelesnianski, and A. D. Taylor, 1974: Users' guide for the SPLASH program. Prepared for the National Technical Information Service, Techniques Development Laboratory, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 19 pp.

__, and , 1973: Storm surge shoaling corrections along the Gulf Coast. Study for Federal Insurance Administration, Interagency Agreement lAA-H-5-73, Techniques Development Laboratory, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 26 pp.

__, 1971: An objective method for forecasting winds over Lake Erie and Lake Ontario. Proceedings 14th Conference on Great Lakes Research, Hamilton, Int. Asso. Great Lakes Res., 401-411.

__, 1970: An Objective Method for Forecasting Winds Over Lake Erie and Lake Ontario. Technical Memorandum 34 (TDL-34), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.

Battel, G. F., J. P. Tuell, G. Trojan, S. V. Romano, and B. N. Baxter, 1999: Generating automated weather summaries in the AWIPS era. Preprints, 15th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 345-348.

__, __, __, S. Romano, and B. Baxter, 1998: Generating automated weather summaries in the AWIPS era. Abstracts National Weather Association 23rd Annual Meeting Program, Norman, Nat. Wea. Assoc., (no page number).

__, G. A. Kokolis, and J. E. Calkins, 1994: NOAA weather radio hourly weather roundup formatter. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 94-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 41 pp.

__, M. A. Leaphart, J. T. Moeller, and M. A. Petrie, 1993: AFOS profiler software system. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 93-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 188 pp.

__, 1989: Wind profiler applications software development plan. TDL Office Note 89-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.

Beasley, R. A., 1996: Retrieving individual observations from surface aviation observation collectives. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 96-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.

__, 1996: ASOS quality control. Abstracts National Weather Association 21st Annual Meeting Program, Cocoa Beach, Nat. Wea. Assoc., (no page number).

__, 1994: Miscellaneous disk utility application programs for the AFOS background partition. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 94-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.

__, 1994: A utility for examining the contents of DATAKEY0. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 94-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 13 pp.

__, 1993: AFOS surface observation decoding. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 93-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 74 pp.

__, 1993: Decoding satellite cloud products. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 93-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.

__, 1993: Decoding nested grid model statistical forecasts. NOAA Tech- niques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 93-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 17 pp.

__, 1993: Retrieving alphanumeric and graphic products from the AFOS database through the background partition. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 93-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.

__, 1992: Separating individual synoptics from within synoptic collectives. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program, NWS TDL CP 92-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 13 pp.

Bermowitz, R. J., 1987: Combining forecast periods in computer worded forecasts. TDL Office Note 87-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.

__, 1986: An algorithm for forecasting precipitation type. Natl. Wea. Digest, 11, No.3, 30-36.

__, 1986: Humidity and thunderstorm forecasting in computer worded forecasts. TDL Office Note 86-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 8 pp.

__, and R. L. Miller, 1984: A field evaluation and some recent changes in the computer worded forecast. Preprints, l8th Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Clearwater Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 92-97.

__, and R. L. Miller, 1983: The computer worded forecast: A field evaluation. TDL Office Note 83-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 7 pp.

__, M. M. Heffernan, and H. R. Glahn, 1980: Computer worded forecasts: An update. Preprints, Eighth Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 453-456.

__, and D. L. Best, 1979: An objective method for maximizing threat score. Preprints, Sixth Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Banff, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103-107.

__, and E. A. Zurndorfer, 1979: Automated guidance for predicting quantitative precipitation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 107, 122-128.

__, and , 1978: On the use of LFM predictors in PE-based PoPA equations. TDL Office Note 78-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 9 pp.

__, and , 1978: On the use of LFM predictors in PE-based probability of precipitation amount equations. Natl. Wea. Digest, 3, No.4, 45-47.

__, and D. L. Best, 1978: An objective method for maximizing threat score. TDL Office Note 78-15, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 11 pp.

__, and E. A. Zurndorfer, 1977: Verification of warm season PoPA categorical forecasts of precipitation amount. TDL Office Note 77-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 5 pp.

__, and , 1977: Verification of PoPA categorical forecasts of precipitation amount--Cool season. TDL Office Note 77-21, National Weather Service , NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 4 pp.

__, __, and J. P. Dallavalle, 1977: Development of updated warm season precipitation and temperature equations for the Columbia River Basin. Report prepared for Bonneville Power Administration, U.S. Department of Interior, BPA Contract No. l4-03-5269N, Phase III, Techniques Development Laboratory, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 17 pp.

__, __, and __, 1977: Development of updated cool season precipitation and temperature equations for the Columbia River Basin. Report prepared for Bonneville Power Administration, U.S. Department of Interior, BPA Contract No. l4-03-5269N, Phase IV, Techniques Development Laboratory, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.

__, 1976: An on-station method for forecasting precipitation amount. TDL Office Note 76-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 9 pp.

__, 1976: Reply (to "Comments on 'An application of model output statistics to forecasting quantitative precipitation'''). Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 1183-1184.

__, E. A. Zurndorfer, J. P. Dallavalle, and G. A. Hammons, 1976: Development of warm season precipitation and temperature equations for the Columbia River Basin. Report prepared for Bonneville Power Administration, U.S. Department of Interior, Contract No. 14-03-5269N, Phase I, Techniques Development Laboratory, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 21 pp.

__, __, __, and __, 1976: Development of cool season precipitation and temperature equations for the Columbia River Basin. Report prepared for Bonneville Power Administration, U.S. Department of Interior, Contract No. l4-03-5269N, Phase II, Techniques Development Laboratory, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.

__, 1975: An application of model output statistics to forecasting quantitative precipitation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 103, 149-153.

__, and E. A. Zurndorfer, 1975: Current status of probability of precipitation amount (POPA) forecasting. TDL Office Note 75-10, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 13 pp.

__, 1974: Forecasting quantitative precipitation with use of model output statistics. Preprints Fifth Conference on Forecasting and Analysis, St. Louis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 75-78.

__, and T. H. Grayson, 1974: Comparative verification of SUM, PE, and LFM models for the winter season 1973-1974. TDL Office Note 74-8, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.

__, 1971: Objectively Computed Surface Diagnostic Fields. Technical Memorandum 38 (TDL-38), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 22 pp.

__, 1971: Some Experiments with a Fine-Mesh 500-millibar Barotropic Model. Technical Memorandum 42 (TDL-42), National Wether Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 26 pp.

__, 1969: A Comparison of Two Methods of Reducing Truncation Error. ESSA Technical Memorandum WBTM TDL-20, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 7 pp.

Best, D. L., 1980: Surface wind forecasting using generalized operator model output statistics. TDL Office Note 80-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 13 pp.

Blier, W., S. Keefe, W. A. Shaffer, and S. C. Kim, 1998: Observational and Numerical Moeling Investigations of Three Bearing Sea Storms and Their Associated Storm Surges in the Region of Nome, Alaska Conference on Coastal and Oceanic and Atmospherice Prediction, Atlanta, Georgia, American Meteorological Society.

__, __, __, and __, 1997: Storm Surges in the Region of Western Alaska. Mon. Wea. Rev., Vol. 125, No. 12, 3094-3108.


__, __, __, and __, 1996: Observational and numerical modeling investigations of three Bering Sea storms and their associated storm surges in the region of Nome, Alaska. Preprints, Conference on Coastal Oceanic and Atmospheric Prediction, Atlanta, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 272-280.

Bocchieri, J. R., 1984: Some results from the Local AFOS MOS Program (LAMP) for forecasting precipitation type in the Washington, D.C. WSFO forecast area. Preprints, l8th Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Clearwater Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 278-285.

__, and A. L. Forst, 1984: Experiments in the use of the Local AFOS MOS Program (LAMP) for forecasting precipitation type in the Washington, D.C. WSFO forecast area. TDL Office Note 84-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.

__, 1983: Automated guidance for forecasting snow amount. Mon. Wea. Rev., 111, 2099-2109.

__, and G. J. Maglaras, 1983: An improved operational system for forecasting precipitation type. Mon. Wea. Rev., 111, 405-419.

__, 1982: Recent experiments in the use of model output statistics for forecasting snow amounts. TDL Office Note 82-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.

__, 1982: Further development and testing of an automated system to forecast snow amounts. TDL Office Note 82-7, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 21 pp.

__, and G. J. Mag1aras, 1982: Recent improvements in an automated system for forecasting precipitation type. TDL Office Note 82-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 38 pp.

__, J. P. Da11ava11e, K. F. Hebenstreit, G. W. Hollenbaugh, D. J. Verce11i, and E. A. Zurndorfer, 1981: Comparative verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 9 (October 1979 - March 1980). TDL Office Note 81-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 78 pp.

__, 1980: The objective use of upper air soundings to specify precipitation type. Mon. Wea. Rev., 108, 598-603.

__, 1980: Experiments in the use of local surface and upper-air observations to update MOS precipitation type guidance. Preprints, Eighth Conference on Weather Forecastin~ and Analysis, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 457-462.

__, 1979: A new operational system for forecasting precipitation type. Mon. Wea. Rev., 107, 637-649.

__, 1979: An improved use of the logit model to transform predictors for precipitation type forecasting. TDL Office Note 79-7, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.

__, 1979: Experiments in the use of local surface and upper-air observations to update MOS precipitation type guidance. TDL Office Note 79-14, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.

__, 1979: Studies in the specification of precipitation type from observed upper-air soundings. TDL Office Note 79-12, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 18 pp.

__, 1979: The use of LFM output for automated prediction of heavy snow. Preprints, Fourth Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, Silver Spring, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77-81.

__, 1979: Use of the logit model to transform predictors for precipitation type forecasting. Preprints, Sixth Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Banff, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 49-54.

__, 1978: A new automated system for forecasting precipitation type. Preprints, Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis and Aviation Meteorology, Silver Spring, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 355-362.

__, 1978: Verification of MOS heavy snow forecasts for the 1977-78 winter season. TDL Office Note 78-11, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 9 pp.

__, 1977: Two cases of inaccurate probability of frozen precipitation (PoF) forecasts. TDL Office Note 77-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.

__, 1977: Experiments to improve the conditional probability of frozen precipitation (PoF) forecasts for the Eastern Region of the National Weather Service. TDL Office Note 77-16, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 9 pp.

__, 1977: A graphical aid for forecasting the conditional probability of freezing rain. TDL Office Note 77-17, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 7 pp.

__, 1977: A graphical aid for forecasting the conditional probability of freezing rain. Natl. Wea. Digest, 2, No.4, 3-4.

__, 1977: The use of Model Output Statistics (MOS) for predicting the probability of heavy snow. TDL Office Note 77-18, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 21 pp.

__, G. M. Carter, R. L. Crisci, D. B. Gilhousen, K. F. Hebenstreit, G. W. Hollenbaugh, and D. J. Verce11i, 1977: Comparative verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 3 (October 1976 - March 1977). TDL Office Note 77-14, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 49 pp.

__, and H. R. Glahn, 1976: Verification and further development of an operational model for forecasting the probability of frozen precipitation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 691-701.

__, and __, 1976: Reply (to "Comments on 'Verification and further development of an operational model for forecasting the probability of frozen precipitation'). Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 1446-1448.

__, 1974: A Comparison Between the Single Station and Generalized Operator Techniques for Automated Prediction of Precipitation Probability. Technical Memorandum 53 (TDL-53), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce.

__, H. R. Glahn, and G. W. Hollenbaugh, 1974: Comparative verification of guidance and local forecasts of precipitation type. TDL Office Note 74-11, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 8 pp.

__, R. L. Crisci, H. R. Glahn, F. Lewis, and F. T. G1obokar, 1974: Recent developments in automated prediction of ceiling and visibility. J. Meteor., 13, 277-288.

__, and H. R. Glahn, 1973: Computer prediction of the probability of snow. Weatherwise, 26, 264-269.

__, H. R. Glahn, and F. T. Globokar, 1973: An application of model output statistics to the prediction of ceiling and visibility. Federal Aviation Administration Interim Report No. FAA-RD-73-l4, Federal Aviation Agency, U.S. Department of Transportation, 64 pp.

__, and H. R. Glahn, 1972: Use of model output statistics for predicting ceiling height. Mon. Wea. Rev., 100, 869-879.

Bonner, W. D., 1972: Some applications of numerical model output to severe storm prediction. Proceedings of the Ninth Stanstead Seminar, McGill University.

__, and J. E. Kemper, 1971: Broad-scale relations between radar and severe weather reports. Seventh Conference on Severe Local Storms, Kansas City, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 140-147.

__, R. M. Reap, and J. E. Kemper, 1971: Preliminary results on severe storm prediction by screening regression using forecast predictors. Seventh Conference on Severe Local Storms, Kansas City, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 36-41.

Bonner, W. H., and J. Paegle, 1970: Diurnal variations in boundary-layer winds over the south-central United States in summer. Mon. Wea. Rev., 98, 735-744.

Bower, J. B., 1994: Using new technology at TDL to improve objective weather guidance. Abstracts National Weather Association Nineteenth Annual Meeting Program, Salt Lake City, Nat. Wea Assoc., p. 23.

__, 1994: NGM-based MOS snowfall amount forecasts for the United States. Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 420, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.

__, 1993: NGM-based MOS thunderstorm and severe thunderstorm probability forecasts for the contiguous United States. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 407, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administra- tion, U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.
__, 1993: New NGM-based MOS guidance for snowfall amount. Abstracts National Weather Association Eighteenth Annual Meeting Program, Raleigh, Nat. Wea. Assoc., 34-35.

__, 1990: An evaluation of surface wind forecast equations based on a new wind speed predictand. TDL Office Note 90-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 26 pp.

__, 1990: Development of NGM MOS guidance for the prediction of thunder- storms and severe weather. Abstracts Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the National Weather Association, New Carrollton, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 31.

Boyer, T. R., and D. P. Ruth, 2003: National Digital Forecast Database design and development. Preprints, 19th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 12.3.

__, and , 2002: Tools for model interpretation in the Interactive Forecast Preparation System. Preprints, Interactive Symposium on the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS), Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 46-51.

Breidenbach, J. P., D. H. Kitzmiller, W. E. McGovern, and R. E. Saffle, 1995: The use of volumetric radar reflectivity predictors in the development of a second-generation severe weather potential algorithmWea. Forecasting, 10, 369-379.
__, __, R. E. Saffle, and W. E. McGovern, 1993: Evaluation of new radar predictors and their use in severe weather potential algorithms. Preprints, 26th International Conference on Radar Meteorology, Norman, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 163-166.

__, __, and __, 1993: Joint relationship between severe local storm occurrence and radar-derived and environmental variables. Preprints, 13th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Vienna, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 588-591.

__, D. H. Kitzmiller, R. E. Saffle, and W. E. McGovern, 1992: Initial development of a second generation severe weather algorithm from volumetric radar reflectivity. Preprints, 12th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Toronto, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 144-149.

Burroughs, L. B., and J. P. Dallavalle, 1997: Great Lakes storm surge guidance. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 434, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce.

__, 1997: Great Lakes wind and wave guidance. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 433, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce.

__, W. A. Shaffer, 1997: East coast extratropical storm surge and beach erosion. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 436, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce.

__, 1984: Development of forecast guidance for Santa Ana conditions. Preprints, l8th Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Clearwater Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 450-454.

__, 1984: Great Lakes nearshore wind predictions from Great Lakes MOS wind guidance. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-74, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 21 pp.

__, 1983: Development of automated Santa Ana forecast guidance-Phase I. TDL Office Note 83-12, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 27 pp.

__, 1982: Analyses of elements of the marine environment for the Atlantic Remote Sensing Land Ocean Experiment (ARSLOE)--An atlas for October 22 through October 27, 1980. NOAA Technical Report NWS 29, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 10 pp.

__, 1982: Coastal wind forecasts based on model output statistics. Preprints, Ninth Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Seattle, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 351-355.

__, 1979: Verification of great lakes MOS wind forecasts. Office Note 79-9, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.

__, and R. N. Larson, 1979: Wave clouds in the vicinity of Oahu Island, Hawaii. Mon. Wea. Rev., 107, 608-611

Burt, E., 1966: Fog droplet growth detector test and evaluation. Final Report, Cwb FA65 WAI-88, Techniques Development Laboratory, Weather Bureau, ESSA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.

 

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      Cahir, J. J., J. M. Norman, and D. A. Lowry, 1981: Use of a real-time computer graphics system in analysis and forecasting. Mon. Wea. Rev., 109, 485-500.

__, __, and __, 1978: Use of a real-time computer graphics system for diagnosis and forecasting. Preprints Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis and Aviation Meteorology, Silver Spring, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 194-196.

Calkins, J. E., E. J. Mandel, and R. K. Meiggs, 2002: Providing user support for the Interactive Forecast Preparation System. Preprints, Interactive Symposium on the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS), Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 84-87.

__, M. R. Peroutka, R. K. Meiggs, and J. Lang, 1998: Creating NOAA Weather Radio broadcast scripts using Interactive Forecast Preparation. Preprints, 14th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., pp. 355-358.

__, and __, 1997: Local effect phrases in the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. Preprints, 13th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 120-123.

__, and G. F. Battel, 1993: NOAA weather radio climatological data reports. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 93-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 51 pp.

Cammarata, M. W., and J. M. Kosarik, 1992: The automated generation of cloud phrases for the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. TDL Office Note 92-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 17 pp.

__, and , 1992: The automated generation of precipitation phrases for the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. TDL Office Note 92-9, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 27 pp.

__, 1990: The automated specification of explicit weather type and intensity from MOS. Abstracts Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the National Weather Association, New Carrollton, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 27.

__, 1987: Forecasting temperature, dew point, and maximum temperature, using the Local AFOS MOS Program (LAMP). TDL Office Note 87-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 30 pp.

Carroll, K. L., 2005: GFS-based MOS temperature and dewpoint guidance for the United States, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 05-05, NOAA, U.S. Dept of Commerce, 8 pp.

__, and Maloney, J. C., 2004: Improvements in extended range temperature and precipitation guidance. Preprints, Symposium on the 50th Anniversary of Operational Numerical Weather Prediction, College Park, MD, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

__, and M. C. Erickson, 1999: Statistical forecasts of temperature in the medium range. Program National Weather Association Twenty Fourth Annual Meeting, Biloxi, National Weather Association, p. 32.

Carroll, L. A., III, 1992: An enhanced precipitation type guidance system for short range forecasting. Preprints, 12th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Toronto, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 155-160.

__, 1991: Using the wind profiler's range normalized returned power to monitor moisture changes. TDL Office Note 91-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 9 pp.

__, 1990: An estimation of the relative importance of the observations, simple advection models, and MOS to short range forecast- ing. Abstracts Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the National Weather Association, New Carrollton, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 27.

Carter, G. M., J. P. Dallavalle, and H. R. Glahn, 1989: Statistical forecasts based on NMC's numerical weather prediction system. Wea. Forecasting, 4, 401-412.

__, 1987: Short range forecasting based on statistical interpretation of output variables from an evolving numerical weather prediction system. Preprints Tenth Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Edmonton, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 1-11.

__, 1987: Statistical methods for interpretation of NWP products to local weather elements. Lecture Notes WHO RA I Seminar on Modern Weather Forecasting, Addis Ababa, World Meteor. Org., 350-359.

__, 1986: Moving towards a more responsive statistical guidance system. Preprints 11th Conference on Weather Forecastine and Analysis, Kansas City, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 39-45.

__, and P. D. Polger, 1986: A 20-year summary of National Weather Service verification results for temperature and precipitation. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS FCST-3I, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 50 pp.

__, and V. J. Dagostaro, 1985: Testing MOS surface wind gust prediction equations. TDL Office Note 85-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 11 pp.

__, and J. P. Da11ava11e, 1985: Applications of the MOS technique: A bib1iography--No. 4. TDL Office Note 85-12, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 43 pp.

__, V. J. Dagostaro, J. P. Da11avalle, N. S. Foat, G. W. Hollenbaugh, and G. J. Mag1aras, 1985: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 3 (October 1984 - March 1985). TDL Office Note 85-10, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 66 pp.

__, __, __, __, __, and __, 1985: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 4 (April 1985 - September 1985). TDL Office Note 85-13, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 48 pp.

__, __, __, __, J. T. Hawes, G. W. Hollenbaugh, and G. J. Maglaras, 1985: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 2, (April 1984 - September 1984). TDL Office Note 85-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 52 pp.

__, and J. P. Dallavalle, 1984: Application of the MOS technique: A bibliography--No. 3. TDL Office Note 84-17, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 38 pp.

__, J. R. Bocchieri, and J. P. Dallavalle, 1983: Applications of the MOS technique: A bibliography--No. 2. TDL Office Note 83-15, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 36 pp.

__, J. P. Dallavalle, G. W. Hollenbaugh, G. J. Maglaras, and B. E. Schwartz, 1983: Comparative verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 14 (April 1982 - September 1982). TDL Office Note 83-7, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 70 pp.

__, __, __, __, and __, 1983: Comparative verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 15 (October 1982 - March 1983). TDL Office Note 83-16, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 76 pp.

__, J. R. Bocchieri, and J. P. Da11ava11e, 1982: Applications of the MOS technique: A bib1iography--No. 1. TDL Office Note 82-10, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 33 pp.

__, __, __, G. W. Hollenbaugh, G. J. Mag1aras, and B. E. Schwartz, 1982: Comparative verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 12 (April 1981 - September 1981). TDL Office Note 82-8, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 71 pp.

__, __, __, __, __, and , 1982: Comparative verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 13 (October 1981 - March 1982). TDL Office Note 82-11, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 75 pp.

__, H. R. Glahn, and D. S. Cooley, 1982: Quality and trends in National Weather Service forecasts. Preprints 9th Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Seattle, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 89-93.

__, 1979: Experimental forecasts of convective gust potential-Phase II. TDL Office Note 79-10, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.

__, and D. B. Gilhousen, 1979: The potential impact of automated wind guidance on wind energy conversion operations. Preprints Conference on Wind Characteristics and Wind Energy Siting, Portland, U.S. Department of Energy and Amer. Meteor. Soc., 191-203.

__, J. P. Dallavll1e, A. L. Forst, and W. H. Klein, 1979: Improved automated surface temperature guidance. Mon. Wea. Rev., 107, 1263-1274.

__, A. L. Forst, W. H. Klein, and J. P. Da11ava11e, 1978: Improved automated forecasts of maximum/minimum and 3-hour1y temperatures. Preprints Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis and Aviation Meteorology, Silver Spring, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 171-178.

__, 1977: Automated prediction of surface winds in A1aska--No. 4. TDL Office Note 77-15, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 5 pp.

__, 1977: Automated prediction of surface winds in A1aska--No. 3. TDL Office Note 77-7, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.

__, 1977: Automated prediction of surface winds in A1aska--No. 2. TDL Office Note 77-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 11 pp.

__, and T. H. Grayson, 1977: Experimental forecasts of convective gust potential. TDL Office Note 77-9, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 9 pp.

__, and J. S. Jensenius, 1977: Experimental rate of pan evaporation forecasts. TDL Office Note 77-13, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 10 pp.

__, 1976: Automated prediction of cloud amount from numerical model output. Preprints Sixth Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Albany, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 62-66.

__, 1976: Comparative verification of local and guidance cloud amount forecasts--No. 2. TDL Office Note 76-8, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 13 pp.

__, 1976: Testing LFM- and PE-based statistical cloud prediction for the cool season. TDL Office Note 76-18, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 11 pp.

__, 1976: Automated prediction of surface winds in A1aska--No. 1. TDL Office Note 76-15, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 11 pp.

__, and G. W. Hollenbaugh, 1976: Comparative verification of local and guidance surface wind forecasts--No. 4. TDL Office Note 76-7, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 18 pp.

__, and K. F. Hebenstreit, 1976: Testing LFM-based statistical cloud prediction equations for the cool season. TDL Office Note 76-12, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 3 pp.

__, and H. R. Glahn, 1976: Objective prediction of cloud amount based on model output statistics. Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 1565-1572.

__, J. R. Bocchieri, R. L. Crisci, and G. W. Hollenbaugh, 1976: Comparative verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts-¬No.1. TDL Office Note 76-13, National Weather Service, NOAA. U.S. Department of Commerce, 32 pp.

__, 1975: Automated prediction of thunderstorms, drizzle, rain, and showers--No. 2. TDL Office Note 75-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 4 pp.

__, 1975: Automated prediction of surface wind from numerical model output. Mon. Wea. Rev., 103, 866-873.

__, 1975: Comparative verification of local and guidance cloud amount forecasts--No. 1., TDL Office Note 75-7, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 8 pp.

__, 1975: Forecasting surface wind direction using deviations from the PE boundary layer wind. TDL Office Note 75-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 9 pp.

__, and G. W. Hollenbaugh, 1975: Comparative verification of local and guidance surface wind forecasts--No. 3, TDL Office Note 75-9, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 13 pp.

__, H. R. Glahn, and G. W. Hollenbaugh, 1975: Comparative verification of local and guidance surface wind forecasts--No. 2., TDL Office Note 75-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 7 pp.

__, 1974: A brief study of wind gust factors. TDL Office Note 74-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 6 pp.

__, 1974: The use of model output statistics in automated prediction of surface winds--No. 2. TDL Office Note 74-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 9 pp.

__, 1974: Automated prediction of thunderstorms, drizzle, rain, and showers. TDL Office Note 74-7, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 8 pp.

__, H. R. Glahn, and G. W. Hollenbaugh, 1974: Comparative verification of local and guidance surface wind forecasts--No. 1. TDL Office Note 74-12, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 9 pp.

__, 1973: Use of model output statistics in automated prediction of surface winds. TDL Office Note 73-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 9 pp.

 

    Charba J. P., F. G. Samplatsky, and A. J. Kochenash, 2017:  Supplemental Automated Quality Control of MRMS Reflectivity Products for LAMP Convection and Lightning Forecast Guidance Applications. Preprints,  28th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J6.1.

Charba J. P., F. G. Samplatsky, P. E. Shafer, J. E. Ghirardelli, and A. J. Kochenash, 2017:  Experimental Upgraded LAMP Convection and Total lightning Probability and "Potential" Guidance for the CONUS. Preprints, 18th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 2.4.

 

     __, F. G. Samplatsky, P. E. Shafer, J. E. Ghirardelli, and A. J. Kochenash, 2016: LAMP Convection Probability and "Potential" Guidance: an Experimental HI-RES Upgrade, Preprints, 96th  AMS Annual Meeting, Amer. Meteor. Soc., New Orleans, LA, 1.2

__, __, __, __, and __, 2016: LAMP convection / total lightning probability and “potential” guidance: An experimental hi-res upgrade. Poster,
National Weather Association's 41st

__, __, J. E. Ghirardelli, A. J. Kochenash, and P. D. Bothwell, 2015: Statistical Properties of ENI IC/CG Flashes relative to NLDN CG Flashes over the CONUS. Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data, 95th Amer. Meteor. Soc., Phoenix, AZ

__, and __, 2011: Deriving Improved 6-H Probabilistic QPFs (PQPFs) By Blending Two Model-Produced PQPFs: Preliminary Results. MDL Office Note 11-1, National Weather Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 13 pp.

__, and __, 2011: Comparative verification of experimental HRMOS QPFs with model and forecaster-prepared QPFs in the NWS. Preprints, 24th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/ 20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 10B.2.

__, F.G. Samplatsky, and P.E. Shafer, 2011: Experimental LAMP 2-h convection guidance on a 20-km grid. Preprints, 24th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J19.3.

__, and __, 2011: High resolution GFS-based MOS quantitative precipitation forecasts on a 4-km grid. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 39-68.

__, and __, 2011: Regionalization in fine grid GFS MOS 6-h quantitative precipitation forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 24-38.

__, and __, 2009: Hi-res gridded MOS 6-h QPF guidance. Preprints,23rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/19th Conference on Numerical Prediction, Omaha, NE, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 17B.2.

__, and __, 2009: Operational 2-h thunderstorm guidance forecasts to 24 hours on a 20-km grid. Preprints,23rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/19th Conference on Numerical Prediction, Omaha, NE, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 15B.5.

__, and Liang, F., 2005: Automated two hour thunderstorm guidance forecasts. Preprints, Conference on Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data, San Diego, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM 3.4.

     __, and __, 2005: Quality control of gridded national radar reflectivity data. Preprints, 21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Washington, D.C., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 6A5.

__, D. W. Reynolds, B. E. McDonald, and G. M. Carter, 2003: Comparative verification of recent quantitative precipitation forecasts in the National Weather Service: A simple approach for scoring forecast accuracy. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 161-183.

__, 1998: Evaluation of LAMP quantitative precipitation forecasts. Preprints, 16th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 440-442.

__, 1998: The LAMP QPF products. Part I: Model development. Wea. Forecasting, 934-965.

__, Y. Liu, M. H. Hollar, B. Exley, and A. Belayachi, 1998: Gridded climatic monthly frequencies of precipitation amount for 1-, 3-, and 6-h periods over the conterminous United States. Wea. Forecasting, 13, 25-57.

__, 1996: The LAMP QPF product: What are some potential hydrologic forecast applications. Abstracts Fifth National Heavy Precipitation Workshop, State College, Nat. Wea. Svc., p. 15.

__, 1994: The LAMP QPF product: An overview and initial results. Abstracts Fourth National Heavy Precipitation Workshop, Scottsdale, Nat. Wea. Svc., 10-11.

__, 1992: Estimates of hourly precipitation amount from routine observations of current weather. Postprints Third National Heavy Precipitation Workshop, Pittsburgh, Nat. Wea. Svc., 81-93.

__, A. W. Harrell III, and A. C. Lackner III, 1992: A monthly precipitation amount climatology derived from published atlas maps: Development of a digital database. TDL Office Note 92-7, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.

__, 1990: Geographical and seasonal variability in predictability and predictor variables for operational 0-6 and 3-9 h heavy precipitation forecasts. Preprints, Eighth Conference on Hydrometeorology, Kananaskis Park, Canada, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 124-131.

__, 1990: The use of operational 0-6 and 3-9 h quantitative precipitation forecasts for predicting heavy rain events. Abstracts Second National Heavy Precipitation Workshop, Reno, Nat. Wea. Svc., p. 4.

__, and J. T. Moeller, 1989: Use of operational 0-6 and 3-9 h quantitative precipitation forecasts for predicting heavy rain events. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-80, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 34 pp.

__, __, and P. D. Yamamoto, 1988: Performance of operational objective 0-6 h quantitative precipitation forecasts relative to manual and model generated forecasts: A preliminary assessment. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-79, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 31 pp.

__, 1987: Features of an operational 0-6 and 3-9 h system for forecasting heavy precipitation amounts. Preprints Seventh Conference on Hydrometeorology, Edmonton, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 137-142.

__, 1985: Climatological relative frequencies of six-hour precipitation amount over the conterminous United States. Preprints Sixth Conference on Hydrometeorology, Indianapolis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 1-8.

__, 1983: Experiments in 0-9 hour objective quantitative precipitation forecasting. Preprints Fifth Conference on Hydrometeorology, Tulsa, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 269-278.

__, and P. A. Jendrowski, 1982: A comparison of 6-12 h forecasts of atmospheric surface variables using pattern correlation and other simple models. Preprints 12th Conference on Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 105-109.

__, __, and G. W. VandenBerghe, 1981: Six-to-twelve hour forecasting of meteorological fields using a pattern correlation model. TDL Office Note 81-9, National Weather Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 36 pp.

__, and W. H. Klein, 1980: Skill in precipitation forecasting in the National Weather Service. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 61, 1546-1555.

__, and __, 1980: Trends in precipitation forecasting skill in the National Weather Service. Preprints Eighth Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 391-396.

__, 1979: Two to six hour severe local storm probabilities: An operational forecasting system. Mon. Wea. Rev., 107, 268-282.

__, 1979: Recent performance of operational two-six hour objective forecasts of severe local storms on outbreak days. Preprints 11th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Kansas City, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 600-607.

__, and S. M. Burnham, 1979: Comparative verification of operational two to six hour objective forecasts and official NWS watches of severe local storms: An update. TDL Office Note 79-1, National Weather Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 10 pp.

__, and S. M. Burnham 1978: Comparative verification of operational two to six hour objective forecasts and official NWS watches of severe local storms. Preprints Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis and Aviation Meteorology, Silver Spring, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 20-26.

__, and __, 1978: Comparative verification of operational two to six hour objective forecasts and official NWS watches of severe local storms. TDL Office Note 78-6, National Weather Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.

__, 1977: Operational system for predicting thunderstorms two to six hours in advance. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-64, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 24 pp.

__, 1977: Operational System for Predicting Severe Local Storms two to Six Hours in Advance. Technical Memorandum TDL-65, National Weather Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 36 pp.

__, 1977: Features of a two to six hour forecasting system of thunderstorms and severe local storms as revealed by individual predictor-predictand relationships. Preprints 10th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Omaha, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 344-351.

__, 1975: Operational scheme for short range forecasts of severe local weather. Preprints Ninth Conference on Severe Local Storms, Norman, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 51-57.

__, 1974: Objective forecasts of severe thunderstorms from observed surface predictors. TDL Office Note 74-1, National Weather Service, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.

__, 1974: Application of gravity current model to analysis of squall-line gust front. Mon. Wea. Rev., 102, 140-156.

__, and M. K. Livingston, 1973: Preliminary results on short-range forecasting of severe storms from surface predictors. Preprints Eighth Conference on Severe Local Storms, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 226-231.

__, 1972: Gravity current model applied to analysis of squall-line gust front. NOAA Technical Memorandum ERL NSSL-6l, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 58 pp.

Chen, J., W. A. Shaffer, 1999: Evaluation of Surge Forecasts from the NWS's Extratropical Storm Surge Model. Preprints, 3rd Conference on Coastal and Oceanic Predictions and Process, New Orleans, LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

__, 1993: On the operational storm surge model in the United States. Proceedings Conference on Marine Meteorology, Taipei, Taiwan Central Weather Bureau, 21-32.

__, W. A. Shaffer, and S.-C. Kim, 1993: A forecast model for extratropical storm surge. Advances in Hydro-Science and Engineering. Center for Computational Hydroscience and Engineering, University of Mississippi, 1437-1444.

Churma, M. E., and S. B. Smith, 1998: Evaluation of the AWIPS thunderstorm product. Preprints, 16th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 472-474.

Colson, D., 1968: Meteorological Analysis of 1964-1965 ICAO Turbulence Data. Weather Bureau Technical Memorandum WBTM TDL-14, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 80 pp.

__, 1966: Analyses of clear air turbulence during selected 5-day data periods. Final Report No. RD-66-79, Federal Aviation Agency, U.S. Department of Transportation, 69 pp.

__, and H. A. Panofsky, 1965: An index of clear air turbulence. Quart. J. Royal Meteor. Soc., 91, 507-513.

Cosgrove, R. L., and Dallavalle, J. P., 2005: GFS-based MOS Guidance - The extended-range alphanumeric messages from the 0000/1200 UTC forecast cycles. MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 05-07, NOAA, U.S. Dept of Commerce, 12 pp.

__, Sfanos, B., 2004: Producing MOS snowfall amounts from cooperative observer reports. Preprints, 20th Conference on Weather, Analysis, and Forecasting, Seattle,       WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc

Crisci, R. L., 1978: A plan for improved short-range aviation weather forecasts. Final Report No. FAA-RD-78-73, Federal Aviation Agency, U.S. Department of Transportation, 38 pp.

__, G. M. Carter, and G. W. Hollenbaugh, 1977: Comparative verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 2 (April - September 1976). TDL Office Note 77-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 32 pp.

__, 1976: Improving the bias in MOS ceiling and visibility forecasts. TDL Office Note 76-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 8 pp.

__, G. W. Hollenbaugh, and D. J. Vercelli, 1976: Comparative verification of guidance, local, and persistence forecasts of ceiling and visibility-No.1. TDL Office Note           76-11, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 8 pp.

__, 1974: A development plan to improve short range aviation weather forecasts. Preprints Sixth Conference on Aerospace and Aeronautical Meteorology, El Paso, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 14 pp.

__, 1973: Automated ceiling and visibility forecasts--An evaluation of an operational test. Final Report, Phase III, No. FAA-RD-73-l82, Federal Aviation Agency, U.S.           Department of Transportation, 15 pp.

__, and F. Lewis, 1973: Automated probability forecasts of ceiling and visibility based on single station data. Final Report No. FAA-RD-73-l3, Federal Aviation Agency,       U.S. Department of Transportation, 68 pp.

 

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      Dagostaro, V. J., W. A. Shaffer, M. J. Schenk, J. L. Gorline, and A. A. Taylor, 2004: A prototype verification system for examining NDFD forecasts. Preprints, 17th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 2.7.

__, and J. P. Dallavalle, 2002: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 25 (October 1995 - March 1996). MDL Office Note 02-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 51 pp.

__, and J. L. Offutt, 2002: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 24 (April 1995 - September 1995). MDL Office Note 02-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 48 pp.

__, J. P. Dallavalle, 1997: AFOS-era Verification of Guidance and Local Aviation/Public Weather Forecasts--No. 23 (October 1994 - March 1995). TDL Office Note 97-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 53pp.

__, __, and V. C. Southall, 1996: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 22 (April 1994 - September 1994). TDL Office Note 96-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 48 pp.

__, and __, 1995: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 20 (April 1993 - September 1993). TDL Office Note 95-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 50 pp.

__, M. D. Miller, and V. C. Southall, 1995: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 21 (October 1993 - March 1994). TDL Office Note 95-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 52 pp.

__, and J. P. Dallavalle, 1993: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 18 (April 1992 - September 1992). TDL Office Note 93-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 49 pp.

__, and __, 1993: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 19 (October 1992 - March 1993). TDL Office Note 93-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 52 pp.

__, and __, 1992: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 13 (October 1989 - March 1990). TDL Office Note 92-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 51 pp.

__, __, and R. W. Kessler, 1992: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 14 (April 1990 - September 1990). TDL Office Note 92-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 49 pp.

__, and __, 1992: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local avia- tion/public weather forecasts--No. 15 (October 1990 - March 1991). TDL Office Note 92-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 52 pp.

__, and __, 1992: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local avia- tion/public weather forecasts--No. 16 (April 1991 - September 1991). TDL Office Note 92-10, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 49 pp.

__, and __, 1992: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 17 (October 1991 - March 1992). TDL Office Note 92-12, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 52 pp.

__, and J. P. Dallavalle, 1991: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 11 (October 1988 - March 1989). TDL Office Note 91-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 64 pp.

__, and __, 1991: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 12 (April 1989 - September 1989). TDL Office Note 91-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 47 pp.

__, C. L. Alex, G. M. Carter, J. P. Dallavalle, and P. D. Polger, 1989: Evolution of the NWS national verification system: Past, present, and future. Preprints, 11th Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J41-J46.

__, G. M. Carter, and J. P. Dallavalle, 1989: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 10 (April 1988 - September 1988). TDL Office Note 89-6 , National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 56 pp.

__, 1988: The national verification score archive. TDL Office Note 88-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 33 pp.

__, G. M. Carter, and J. P. Dallavalle, 1988: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 8 (April 1987 September 1987). TDL Office Note 88-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 46 pp.

__, __, and , 1988: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 9 (October 1987 - March 1988). TDL Office Note 88-4. National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 58 pp.

__, __, and J. P. Dallavalle, 1987: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No.7 (October 1986 - March 1987). TDL Office Note 87-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 54 pp.

__, __, __, and G. W. Hollenbaugh, 1986: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 5 (October 1985 - March 1986). TDL Office Note 86-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 58 pp.

__, __, __, __, 1986: AFOS-era verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 6 (April 1986 - September 1986). TDL Office Note 86-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 48 pp.

__, 1985: The National AFOS-era verification data processing system. TDL Office Note 85-9, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 47 pp.

Dallavalle, J. P., 2015: The early years statistical interpretation systems, verification, and computer-worded forecasts, Harry R. Glahn Symposium, Phoenix, AZ, 95th Amer. Meteor. Soc., 1.2.

__, and Cosgrove, R. L., 2005: GFS-based MOS guidance - the short-range alphanumeric messages from the 0000/1200 UTC forecast cycles. MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 05-03, NOAA, U.S. Dept of Commerce, 13 pp.

__, and Cosgrove, R. L., 2005: GFS-based MOS guidance - the short-range alphanumeric messages from the 0600/1800 UTC forecast cycles. MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 05-04, NOAA, U.S. Dept of Commerce, 13 pp.

__, and Cosgrove, R. L., 2005: ETA-based MOS guidance - the 0000/1200 UTC alphanumeric messages. MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 05-06, NOAA, U.S. Dept of Commerce, 11 pp.

__, and Glahn, B., 2005: Toward a Gridded MOS System. Preprints, 21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Washington, D. C., Amer. Meteor. Soc.

__, and Su, J. C., 2005: GFS-based MOS guidance - the extended- range alphanumeric messages from the 0000/1200 UTC forecast cycles. MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 05-01, NOAA, U.S. Dept of Commerce, 11 pp.

__, M. C. Erickson, and J. C. Maloney, III, 2004: Model Output Statistics (MOS) guidance for short-range projections. Preprints, 20th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM, 6.1.

__, and V. J. Dagostaro, 2004: Objective interpretation of numerical weather prediction model output - A perspective based on verification of temperature and precipitation guidance. Symposium on the 50th Anniversary of Operational Numerical Weather Prediction, College Park, MD, CD-ROM.

__, and M. C. Erickson, 2001: Eta-based MOS guidance - The 0000/1200 UTC alphanumeric messages. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 486, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 8 pp.

__, 2001: AVN-based MOS guidance - The 0000/1200 UTC alphanumeric messages. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 482, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.

__, 2001: AVN-based MOS guidance - The 0600/1800 UTC alphanumeric messages. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 481, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.

__, and M. C. Erickson, 2000: AVN-based MOS guidance - The alphanumeric messages. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 463, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce.

__, and , 1999: MOS-2000: A new era in interpretive weather guidance? Program National Weather Association Twenty Fourth Annual Meeting, Biloxi, National Weather Association, p. 25.

__, 1997: Changes in the National Weather Service's Statistical forecasting system. Proceedings EPRI 11th Forecasting Symposium, Arlington, Electrical Power Research Institute, 10 pp.

__, 1996: A perspective on the use of Model Output Statistics in objective weather forecasting. Preprints, 15th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Norfolk, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 479-482.

__, 1995: MOS forecasts of cold air damming along the lee of the Appalachians. Abstracts Training Symposium for Operational Fore- casters in the Carolinas and Virginia Program, Raleigh, Nat. Wea. Svc., (no page number).

__, and V. J. Dagostaro, 1995: The accuracy of ceiling and visibility forecasts produced by the National Weather Service. Preprints, Sixth Conference on Aviation Weather Systems, Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 213-218.

__, S. A. Gilbert, and F. G. Meyer, 1995: NGM-based MOS guidance for Alaska - The FOAK13/FOAK14 messages. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 425, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 13 pp.

__, and M. C. Erickson, 1993: Using the National Weather Service's NGM-based statistical guidance for short-range forecasting. Preprints, 13th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Vienna, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 44-47.

__, J. B. Bower, V. J. Dagostaro, D. T. Miller, and J. C. Su, 1992: Development of a new statistical weather forecast system. Preprints, 12th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Toronto, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 201-206.

__, and J. S. Jensenius, Jr., 1992: Characteristics of the National Weather Service's new systems for producing statistical weather forecast guidance. Abstracts Sixteenth Annual Meeting of the National Weather Association, St. Louis, Nat. Wea. Assoc., 13-14.

__, __, and S. A. Gilbert, 1992: NGM-based MOS guidance - The FOUS14/FWC message. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 408, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.

__, 1990: Development of new statistical weather guidance in the National Weather Service. Abstracts Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the National Weather Association, New Carrollton, Nat. Wea. Assoc., 24-25.

__, 1988: An evaluation of techniques used by the National Weather Service to produce objective maximum/minimum temperature forecasts. Preprints Eighth Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, Baltimore, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 572-579.

__, and J. S. Jensenius, Jr., 1985: Objective prediction of temperature and precipitation for medium-range projections. Preprints, Ninth Conference on Probability and Statistics Atmospheric Sciences, Virginia Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 137-143.

__, 1984: Objective forecasts of some record-breaking minimum temperatures during December 1983. TDL Office Note 84-11, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 17 pp.

__, and W. D. Bonner, 1983: Statistical methods in the U.S. National Weather Service for the interpretation of NWP products. Papers Presented at the Asia and Southwest Pacific Conference on Operational Weather Forecasting Including Interpretation of Numerical Weather Prediction, Beijing, World Meteor. Org., 145-152.

__, and M. C. Murphy, 1983: Development of LFM-based MOS temperature forecast equations for Alaska. TDL Office Note 83-14, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 27 pp.

__, and V. J. Dagostaro, 1982: Objectively predicting temperature in the low and middle troposphere. Preprints 9th Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Seattle, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 344-350.

__, and R. J. Bermowitz, 1981: Development of precipitation, surface temperature, and upper-air temperature forecast equations for the Columbia River Basin. Report prepared for Bonneville Power Administration, U.S. Department of Interior, BPA Contract No. 14-03-5269N, Phase V, Techniques Development Laboratory, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 32 pp.

__, J. S. Jensenius, Jr., and W. H. Klein, 1980: Improved surface temperature guidance from the Limited-Area Fine Mesh Model. Preprints Eighth Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 1-8.

__, 1979: Development of objective maximum/minimum temperature forecast equations for Alaska. TDL Office Note 79-16, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 28 pp.

__, and G. M. Carter, 1979: An objective scheme for including observed snow cover in the MOS temperature guidance. TDL Office Note 79-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.

__, __, and A. L. Forst, 1979: Development of LFM maximin and 3-hour1y temperature equations for the cool season. TDL Office Note 79-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 27 pp.

__, __, D. B. Gilhousen, K. F. Hebenstreit, G. W. Hollenbaugh, J. E. Janowiak, and D. J. Verce11i, 1979: Comparative verification of guidance and local aviation/ public weather forecasts--No. 6 (April 1978 - September 1978). TDL Office Note 79-11, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 61 pp.

__, and T. H. Grayson, 1978: Development and operational use of 3-hour temperature guidance. TDL Office Note 78-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 24 pp.

__, 1977: Development of 0000 GMT cycle statistical 3-hr temperature forecast equations for the fall season. TDL Office Note 77-20, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 7 pp.

__, 1977: Development of objective 72-hr 0000 GMT cycle maximum temperature prediction equations for the summer and fall seasons. TDL Office Note 77-22, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 5 pp.

__, and G. A. Hammons, 1977: Tests on various predictor lists used in development of maximum/minimum forecast equations. TDL Office Note 77-19, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.

__, __, and , 1977: Testing and implementation of MOS maximin forecast equations derived from extended range PE fields. TDL Office Note 77-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.

__, W. H. Klein, and G. A. Hammons, 1977: Verification of the National Weather Service's objective maximum/minimum temperature guidance. Preprints Fifth Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Las Vegas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 347-352.

__, and G. A. Hammons, 1976: Use of LFM data in PE-based maximin forecast equations. TDL Office Note 76-14, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 10 pp.

__, and L. F. Bosart, 1975: A synoptic investigation of anti-cyclogenesis accompanying North American polar air outbreaks. Mon. Wea. Rev., 103, 941-957.

Das, P. K., M. Miyazaki, and C. P. Je1esnianski, 1978: Present techniques of tropical storm surge prediction. Reports on Marine Science Affairs No. 13, WHO No. 500, World Meteor. Org., 87 pp.

Derouin, R. 1973: Experimental Forecasts of Freezing Level(s), Conditional Precipitation Type, Surface Temperature, and 50-meter Wind, Produced by the Planetary Boundary Layer (PBL) Model. NOAA Technical Procedures Bulletin 101, 8 pp.

Dewey, K. F., 1977: Lake-effect snowstorms and the record breaking 1976-77 snowfall to the lee of Lakes Erie and Ontario. Weatherwise, 30, 228-231.

__, 1977: Daily maximum and minimum temperature forecasts and the influence of snow cover. Mon. Wea. Rev., lOS, 1594-1597.

Di Liberto, T., B.A. Colle, N. Georgas, A.F. Blumberg and A.A. Taylor, 2011: Verification of a Multimodel Storm Surge Ensemble around New York City and Lond Island for the Cool Season. Mon. Wea. Rev., 26, 922-939.

 

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     Eckel, A., and D. Hilderbrand, 2011: Advancing the national ensemble prediction system capability. Preprints, 24th Conference on Weather       Analysis and Forecasting, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

Elvander, R. C., 1980: Further studies on the relationships between parameters observed with objectively defined echoes and reported severe weather events. Preprints 19th Conference on Radar Meteorology, Miami Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 80-86.

__, 1977: Relationships between radar parameters observed with objectively defined echoes and reported severe weather occurrences. Preprints Tenth Conference on Severe Local Storms, Omaha, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 73-76.

__, 1976: An evaluation of the relative performance of three weather radar echo forecasting techniques. Preprints 17th Conference on Radar Meteorology, Seattle, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 526-532.

__, 1975: The relationship between digital weather radar data and reported severe weather occurrences. Preprints 16th Radar Meteorology Conference, Houston, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 333-336.

__, 1971: Prediction of Surface Dew Point Temperatures. Technical Memorandum 37 (TDL-37), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 40 pp.

Erickson, M. C., J. P. Dallavalle, and K. L. Carroll, 2002: The new AVN/MRF MOS development and model changes: A volatile mix?. Preprints, Sixteenth Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 82-87.

__, and , 2000: MRF-based MOS guidance - The alphanumeric messages. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 460, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce.

__, and K. L. Carroll, 1999: Updated MRF-based MOS guidance: Another step in the evolution of objective medium-range forecasts. Preprints, 17th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 190-195.

__, 1996: Medium-range prediction of PoP and max/min in the era of ensemble model output. Preprints, 15th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Norfolk, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J35-J38.

__, 1995: Evaluating NWS precipitation type forecasts. Preprints, Sixth Conference on Aviation Weather Systems, Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 219-224.

__, 1995: NGM-based MOS precipitation type forecasts for the United States. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 421, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.

__, 1995: Medium-range prediction of PoP and max/min: New possibilities based on ensemble model output. Abstracts National Weather Association Twentieth Annual Meeting Program, Houston, Nat. Wea. Assoc., (no page number).

__, 1993: Rain, snow, sleet, or freezing rain: TDL delivers NGM MOS precipitation type guidance. Abstracts National Weather Association Eighteenth Annual Meeting Program, Raleigh, Nat. Wea. Assoc., 33-34. , J. P. Dallavalle, and J. S. Jensenius, Jr., 1993: Comments on "Snow versus rain: Looking beyond the 'magic' numbers". Wea. Forecasting, 8, 542-544.

__, 1992: MOS precipitation type forecasts based on the Nested Grid Model. Preprints, 12th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Toronto, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 195-200.

__, J. B. Bower, V. J. Dagostaro, J. P. Dallavalle, E. Jacks, J. S. Jensenius, Jr., and J. C. Su, 1991: Evaluating the impact of RAFS changes on the NGM-based MOS guidance. Wea. Forecasting, 6, 142-147.

 

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     Farrar, M., 2015: National Weather Service's Meteorological Development Lab (MDL) Where We Are and Where We're Going, Harry R. Glahn Symposium, 95th Annual Conference, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Phoenix, AZ

Feit, D. M., and N. A. Pore, 1978: Objective wind forecasting and verification on the Great Lakes. J. Great Lakes Res., 4, 10-18.

__, 1976: Single station marine wind forecasts based on model output statistics. Preprints Conference on Coastal Meteorology, Virginia Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 83-87.

__, and D. S. Goldenberg, 1976: Climatology of surface temperatures of Lakes Superior, Huron, Erie and Ontario. TDL Office Note 76-16, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.

__, and C. S. Barrientos, 1974: Great Lakes wind forecasts based on model output statistics. Preprints 17th Conference on Great Lakes Research, Hamilton, Int. Asso. Great Lakes Res., 725-732.

__, 1972: A study of numerical simulation of maritime fog. Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, Technical Paper No. 13-17, 39 pp.


Feng, Y., and D. H. Kitzmiller, 2002: A comparison between neural network and linear regression approaches to a short-range quantitative precipitation forecasting problem. Preprints, Sixteenth Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Orlando, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J220-J226.

Fiebrich, C. A., V. J. Dagostaro, J. P. Dallavalle, 1997: An Algorithm to Eliminate Precipitation Reports Caused by Surface Condensation in AEV-ASOS Data. TDL Office Note 97-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 6 pp.

__, S. B. Smith, M. Churma, L. Xin, and M. Glaudemans, 2002: Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction Version 2.0: Continued AWIPS Modernization. Preprints, Interactive Symposium on the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS), Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J179-J182.

Foose, J. M., 1997: NGM-based MOS wind guidance for Alaska. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 439, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 21 pp.

Foster, D. S., and R. M. Reap, 1978: Archiving the new manually-digitized radar data. TDL Office Note 78-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 21 pp.

__, and __, 1978: Comparative verification on the operational 24-hr convective outlooks with the objective severe local storm guidance based on model output statistics. TDL Office Note 78-7, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 17 pp.

__, and __, 1978: Verification of forecasts made from the thunderstorm probability nomogram for Washington, D.C. TDL Office Note 78-8, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce,S pp.

__, and __, 1977: Thunderstorm probability nomogram. TDL Office Note 77-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 4 pp.

__, 1976: Severe local storm relative frequency distributions for use in deriving severe thunderstorm forecast equations. TDL Office Note 76-1. National Weather Service, NOAA. U.S. Department of Commerce, 3 pp.

__, 1976: Thunderstorm relative frequency distributions for use in deriving thunderstorm forecast equations. TDL Office Note 76-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 18 pp.

__, 1976: Verification of Severe Local Storm Warnings Based on Radar Echo Characteristics. Technical Memorandum 60 (TDL-60), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 36 pp.

__, and R. M. Reap, 1976: Verification of thunderstorm probability forecasts for the summer of 1975. TDL Office Note 76-5, National Weather Service, NOAA. U.S. Department of Commerce, 26 pp.

__, and __, 1976: Verification of severe local storm conditional probability forecasts for 1975. TDL Office Note 76-9, National Weather Service, NOAA, U,S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.

__, and __, 1975: Thunderstorm and severe local storm distributions for 1974 derived from manually digitized radar data and severe local storm reports. Preprints Ninth Conference on Severe Local Storms, Norman, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 64-67.

__, and __, 1973: Archiving of manually digitized radar data. TDL Office Note 73-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Depart¬ment of Commerce, 5 pp.

 

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     Gales, D. M., 1968: Objective Visibility Forecasting Techniques Based on Surface and Tower Observations. Weather Bureau Technical            Memorandum WBTM TDL-16, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 29 pp.

__, 1964: Critical dew-point temperatures for fog at Los Angeles International Airport. TWA Supplement to Technical Bull. No. 62.6, 6 pp.

Gardner, T. J., 1986: Consistency checks for the fourth period MOS maximum/minimum temperature forecasts. TDL Office Note 86-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 6 pp.

Ghirardelli, J. E.,: 2015. Localized Aviation MOS Program (LAMP): A Statistical Post-processing System for the Past, Present, and Future, Harry R. Glahn Symposium, 95th Annual Conference, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Phoenix, AZ, 3.5A

__, J. P. Charba, J. S. Im, F. G. Samplatsky, R. Yang, A. J. Kochenash, and B. Glahn, 2015: Improving Gridded Localized Aviation MOS Program (LAMP) Guidance by Using Emerging Forecast and Observation Systems, Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling, 95th Annual Conference, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Phoenix, AZ,3.2

__, and B. Glahn, 2011: Gridded Localized Aviation MOS Program (LAMP) guidance for aviation forecasts. Preprints, 15th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, Los Angeles, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 4.4

__, and __, 2010: The Meteorological Development Laboratory's Aviation Weather Prediction System. Weather and Forecasting, Vol. 24, Number 4, 1027-1051.

__, 2005: An overview of the redeveloped Localized Aviation MOS Program (LAMP) for short-range forecasting. Preprints, 21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Washington, D.C., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 13B5.

__, D. E. Rudack, and J. M. Flatley, 2004: Using 20-km Rapid Update Cycle (RUC) model output in redeveloping the Local AWIPS MOS Program (LAMP). Preprints, 20th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 9.4.

__, 2000: Current status and future plans for the Local AWIPS MOS Program (LAMP). Program National Weather Association 25th Annual Meeting, Gaithersburg, MD, National Weather Association, p. 49.

__, and D. A. Unger, 1997: Cloud layer forecasting within the Local AWIPS MOS Program (LAMP). Preprints, Seventh Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 426-431.

__, 1995: Cloud layer forecasting within the Local AWIPS MOS Program: Guidance for the aviation terminal forecast. Abstracts National Weather Association Twentieth Annual Meeting Program, Houston, Nat. Wea. Assoc., (no page number).

Gilbert, K K., M. S. Antolik, S. D. Scallion, P. E. Shafer, J. E. Ghirardelli, Y. Fan, and G. A. Wagner, 2015: An Overview of the Model Output Statistics System. Harry R. Glahn Symposium, 95th Annual Conference, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Phoenix, AZ

__, J. P. Craven, D. R. Novak, T. M. Hamill, J. Sieveking, D. P. Ruth, and S. J. Lord, 2015: An introduction to the National Blend of Global Models project. Post-Processing and Product Generation, Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 3.1.

__, B. Glahn, Rebecca L. Cosgrove, K. L. Sheets, and G. A. Wagner, 2009: Gridded model output statistics: Improving and expanding. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/19th Conf. Numerical Prediction, Omaha, NE, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

__, R. L. Cosgrove, and J. C. Maloney 2008: NAM-based MOS guidance - The 0000/1200 UTC alphanumeric messages. MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 08-01, NOAA, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 11 pp.

Gilhousen, D. B., J. E. Kemper, and D. J. Vercelli, 1983: Cross sectional analysis of wind speed and Richardson number. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 83-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 18 pp.

__, 1980: Automated prediction of tower winds and turbulence for the Savannah River Nuclear Facility. Preprints Second Joint Conference in Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology, New Orleans, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 792-792.

__, 1980: Development and testing of automated wind forecasts for wind turbine generator sites. Final Report No. PNL-3620 UC-60, Battelle Pacific Northwest Laboratories, U.S. Department of Energy, 24 pp.

__, 1979: Automated prediction of boundary layer winds and turbulence for the Savannah River Laboratory. Final Report prepared for U.S. Department of Energy, Agreement No. EY-77-A-09-1007. Techniques Development Laboratory, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 23 pp.

__, 1979: Improved prediction of liquid precipitation type. TDL Office Note 79-8, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 10 pp.

__, J. R. Bocchieri, G. M. Carter, J. P. Dallavalle, K. F. Hebenstreit, G. W. Hollenbaugh, J. E. Janowiak, and D. J. Verce11i, 1979: Comparative verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No.5 (October 1977 - March 1978). TDL Office Note 79-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 73 pp.

__, 1977: Automated prediction of probability of precipitation (PoP) in Alaska--Summer season. TDL Office Note 77-8, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 11 pp.

__, 1977: Automated prediction of the conditional probability of frozen precipitation (PoF) for Alaska. TDL Office Note 77-12, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.

__, 1977: Automated prediction of probability of precipitation (PoP) in Alaska--Fall season. TDL Office Note 77-11, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 6 pp.

__, 1976: Improving short-range precipitation guidance during the summer months. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS ER-6l, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp. , 1976: Testing the LFM for PoP forecasting-summer season. TDL Office Note 76-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 10 pp.


Glahn, H. R. , 2017: Tuning BCDG for GFS MOS for the CONUS. MDL Office Note 17-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U. S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.

__, G. A. Wagner, and P. A. Shafer, 2017: Gridded MOS improvements over the CONUS and Alaska. Preprints, 28th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/24 Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 6A.

       __, A. D. Schnapp, J. E. Ghirardelli, and J.-S. Im, 2017:  A LAMP/HRRR Meld for improved aviation guidance.  Wea. Forecasting32, 391-405.

__, 2016: Verification of LAMP and MOS Forecasts of 10-M Wind Speed and Comparison to Values Retrieved from Analyses. MDL Office Note 16-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.

__, __, and A. D. Schnapp, J. E. Ghirardelli, and J.-S. Im, 2016: Improved aviation guidance with a LAMP/HRRR meld, Preprints, 96th  AMS    Annual Meeting, Amer. Meteor. Soc., New Orleans, LA, 1.1

__, __, and J.-S. Im, 2015: The LAMP and HRRR ceiling height and visibility meld. MDL Office Note 15-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 28 pp.

__, and J.-S. Im, 2015: Objective analysis of visibility and ceiling height observations and forecasts. MDL Office Note 15-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 17 pp.

__, D. Rudack, and B. Veenhuis, 2014: On bias correcting MOS wind speed forecasts, MDL OFFICE NOTE 14-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce.

__, and J.-S. Im, 2013: Error estimation of objective analysis of surface observations. J. Operational Meteor., 11 (1), 114-127.

__, 2012: Bias Correction of MOS Temperature and Dewpoint Forecasts. MDL Office Note 12-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 35 pp.

__, J.S. Im and G. Wagner, 2012: Objective Analysis of MOS Forecasts and Observations in Sparse Data Regions. Preprints, 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, New Orleans, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

__, and __, 2011: Algorithms for effective objective analysis of surface weather variables. Preprints, 24th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

__, and __, 2011: Error Estimation of Objective Analysis of Surface Observations. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-85, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 28 pp.

__, and __, 2010: Estimating the error of the BCDG analysis of surface data.Preprints, 20th Conf. on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Atlanta, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

__, K. Gilbert, R. Cosgrove, D.P. Ruth, and K. Sheets, 2009: The Gridding of MOS. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 520-529.

__, M. Peroutka, J. Wiedenfeld, J. Wagner, G. Zylstra, B. Schuknecht, and B. Jackson, 2009: MOS Uncertainty Estimates in an Ensemble Framework. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 246-268.

__, A. Taylor, N. Kurkowski, and W. A. Shaffer, 2009: The Role of the SLOSH Model in National Weather Service Storm Surge Forecasting. National Weather Digest, Volume 33, Number 1, 3-14.

__, 2008: Comments on "Weather and Calculated Risk". Air and Space Power Journal, Volume XXII, No. 4.

__, 2008: Reforecasts: An Important Dataset for Improving Weather Predictions, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Comments, Volume 89, Issue 89, pp. 1373-1376.

__, Gilbert, K., Cosgrove, R., Ruth, D., and Sheets, K., 2008: Gridded MOS guidance in the national digital guidance database., Preprints, 19th Conference on Probability and Statistics, New Orleans, LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 11.3.

__, Peroutka, M., Wiedenfeld, J., Wagner, J., Zylstra, G., Schuknecht, B., and Jackson, B., 2008: MOS uncertainty estimates in an ensemble framework. Preprints, 19th Conference on Probability and Statistics, New Orleans, LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 3.3.

__, and Dallavalle, J.P., 2006: Gridded MOS - Techniques, Status and Plans. 18th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Atlanta, GA.

__, and Wiedenfeld, J.R., 2006: Insuring temporal and spatial consistency in short range statistical weather forecasts. 18th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Atlanta, GA.

__, 2005: Comments on Implementation and Refinement of Digital Forecasting Databases. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Volume 86, Issue 9, 1315-1318.

__, 2005: Comments on "Understanding User Decision Making and the Value of Improved Precipitation Forecasts: Lessons from a Case Study". Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Volume 86, Issue 10, 1484-1487.

__, 2005: Tornado-Warning Performance in the Past and Future- Another Perspective. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Volume 86, Issue 8, 1135-1141.

__, 2004: Discussion of Verification Concepts in Forecast Verification: A practitioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science. Weather and Forecasting, Volume 19, 769-775.

__, and J. E. Ghirardelli, 2004: The new and improved Localized Aviation MOS Program (LAMP) Analysis and Prediction system. Preprints, 17th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J12.3.

__, 2003: Comments on "IFPS and the Future of the National Weather Service. Weather and Forecasting, Volume 19, Number 4, 1299-1304.

__, and D. P. Ruth, 2003: The new digital forecast database of the National Weather Service. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 84, 195-201.

__, 2002: A methodology for evaluating and estimating performance metrics. MDL Office Note 02-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 18 pp.

__, 2002: NWS Receives Rare Book. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., September 2002, p. 1360

__, and J. P. Dallavalle, 2002: The new NWS MOS development and implementation systems. Preprints, Sixteenth Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 78-81.

__, and B. Lawrence, 2002: GRIB2: The WMO standard for the transmission of gridded data - Current status and NWS plans. Preprints, Interactive Symposium on the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS), Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J267-J269.

__, 2000: "Millennium Perspectives". Amer. Meteor. Soc., Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., Vol. 80, No. 11, p. 2684.

__, and J. P. Dallavalle, 2000: MOS-2000. TDL Office Note 00-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce.

__, 2000: Computer programs for MOS-2000. TDL Office Note 00-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce.

__, 1998: Packing of radar mosaics. TDL Office Note 98-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 8 pp.

__, 1997: Satellite, Gridpoint, and Vector Data Packing. TDL Office Note 97-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.

__, and J. P. Dallavalle, 1996: Publications of members of the Techniques Development Laboratory. TDL Office Note 96-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 26 pp.

__, 1995: GRIB product sizes for AWIPS. TDL Office Note 95-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 29 pp.

__, 1994: An improved algorithm for determining the groups in GRIB second-order packing. TDL Office Note 94-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 25 pp.

__, 1993: An analysis of some features of the GRIB code. TDL Office Note 93-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 42 pp.

__, and G. M. Carter, 1993: Eastern Region Publications Handbook. Eastern Region Scientific Services Division, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 56 pp.

__, 1992: On the packing of gridpoint data for efficient transmission. TDL Office Note 92-11, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 32 pp.

__, J. P. Charba, J. P. Dallavalle, and R. E. Saffle, 1992: The quantitative precipitation forecast program of the Techniques Development Laboratory. Preprints, 12th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Toronto, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 132-137.

__, __, __, and __, 1992: Providing objective quantitative precipitation guidance forecasts in the modernized Weather Service. Abstracts Sixteenth Annual Meeting of the National Weather Association, St. Louis, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 17.

__, 1991: The evolution and use of statistical guidance forecasts in the United States. PSMP Report Series No. 34, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, XX57-XX62.

__, 1991: On MOS and perfect prog for interpretive guidance. TDL Office Note 91-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 23 pp.

__, J. P. Charba, J. P. Dallavalle, and R. E. Saffle, 1991: The production and use of quantitative precipitation forecasts in the modernized NWS and TDL's role in their production. TDL Office Note 91-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 13 pp.

__, A. H. Murphy, L. J. Wilson, and J. S. Jensenius, Jr., 1991: Lectures and papers presented at the WMO training workshop on the interpretation of NWP products in terms of local weather phenomena and their verification, Wageningen, The Netherlands, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, 340 pp.

__, 1990: The equivalency of the tangent and secant Lambert conformal map projections. Mon. Wea. Rev., 118, 2781-2783.

__, 1990: On the provision of 5-minute satellite data for AWIPS-90. TDL Office Note No. 90-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 32 pp.

__, 1989: The Techniques Development Laboratory--The first 25 years. Preprints, 11th Conference of Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J20-J27.

__, 1989: Publications of members of the Techniques Development Laboratory, 1964-1989. TDL Office Note 89-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 68 pp.

__, and W. L. Wolf, 1989: Simulation of AWIPS-90 technique processing load for a WFO. TDL Office Note 89-7, National Weather Service, NOAA, U. S. Department of Commerce, 28 pp.

__, 1988: Characteristics of map projections and implications for AWIPS-90. TDL Office Note 88-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 48 pp.

__, 1987: Comments on "Error determination of a successive correction type objective analysis scheme." J. Atmos. Oceanic Tech., 4, 348-350.

__, 1987: Formulation and verification of weather forecasts. ISF 87 The Seventh International Symposium on Forecasting, Boston, International Institute of Forecasters, 89.

__, G. M. Carter, and D. A. Unger, 1987: Current status, recent developments, and extensions to the MOS guidance system in the United States. Extended Abstracts of Papers Presented at the WHO Workshop on Significant Weather Elements Prediction and Objective Interpretation Methods, Toulouse, PSMP Report Series No. 25, World Meteor. Org., 39-44.

__, 1986: Simulated stratification for prediction of precipitation type. Natl. Wea. Digest, 11, No.4, 4-11.

__, and D. A. Unger, 1986: A Local AFOS MOS Program (LAMP) and its application to wind prediction. Mon. Wea. Rev. 114, 1313-1329.

__, 1985: Yes, precipitation forecasts have improved. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 66, 820-830.

__, 1985: Statistical weather forecasting, Chapter 8 in Probability, Statistics. and Decision Making in Atmospheric Sciences, A. H. Murphy and R. W. Katz, editors, Westview Press, Boulder, 289-335. Also published in Seminar Workshop 1982. Interpretation of Numerical Weather Prediction Products. European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, 1983, 263-310.

__, T. L. Chambers, W. S. Richardson, and H. P. Perrotti, 1985: Objective map analysis for the local AFOS MOS program. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-75, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Depart¬ment of Commerce, 34 pp.

      __, 1984: Comparison of LAMP and GEM wind forecasts. TDL Office Note 84-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 29 pp.

__, 1984: Experimental wind forecasts from the local AFOS MOS program. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-72, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 60 pp.

__, 1984: Surface wind forecasts from the local AFOS program (LAMP). Preprints 18th Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Clearwater Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 78-86.

__, 1984: Trends in skill and accuracy of National Weather Service PoP forecasts. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-73, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 34 pp.

__, 1983: MOS support for military locations from the Techniques Development Laboratory. TDL Office Note 83-9, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 10 pp.

__, 1982: Comments on "An average correlation coefficient." J. Appl. Meteor., 21, 1202-1203.

__, and D. A. Unger, 1982: Some results from the Local AFOS MOS Program (LAMP). Preprints 9th Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Seattle, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 364-371.

__, 1981: Comments on "A comparison of interpolation methods for sparse data: Application to wind and concentration fields." J. App1. Meteor., 20, 88-91.

__, 1981: Comments "On the evaluation of point precipitation probability forecasts in terms of areal coverage." Mon. Wea. Rev., 109, 1120-1121.

__, 1980: Methods and accuracy of statistical weather forecasting in the United States. Preprints WMO Symposium on Probabilistic and Statistical Methods in Weather Forecasting, Nice, World Meteor. Org., 387-395.

__, 1980: Plans for the development of a Local AFOS MOS Program (LAMP). Preprints Eighth Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Suc., 302-305.

__, 1979: Computer worded forecasts. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 60, 4-11

__, 1979: Comments on "The number of significant proper functions of two dimensional fields." J. Appl. Meteor., 18, 713.

__, 1979: Statistical Weather Forecasting in the National Weather Service, Preprints Sixth Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Banff, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 139-147.

__, 1979: Techniques Development Laboratory software standards. TDL Office Note 79-13, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 18 pp.

__, 1978: Computer worded forecasts. Preprints Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis and Aviation Meteorology, Silver Spring, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 374-381.

__, 1978: Comments on "Determining the relative frequency of occurrence of local cumulonimbus activity through discriminant analysis." Mon. Wea. Rev., 106, 265-267.

__, 1978: Computer Worded Public Weather Forecasts. Technical Memorandum 67 (TDL-67), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 30 pp.

__, and K. F. Hebenstreit, 1978: Design study for the development and use of model output statistics in automated aviation weather forecasting. Final Report prepared for Air Force Geophysicia1 Laboratory, Hanscom Air Force Base, Massachusetts, Contract No. AFGL-TR-79-0002, Techniques Development Laboratory, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 37 pp.

__, E. A. Zurndorfer, J. R. Bocchieri, G. M. Carter, D. J. Verce11i, D. B. Gilhousen, J. P. Da11ava11e, and K. F. Hebenstreit, 1978: The role of statistical weather forecasts in the National Weather Service's operational system. Preprints Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis and Aviation Meteorology, Silver Spring, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 382-389.

__, 1977: Automated forecasts of surface weather elements. Proceedings of the 7th Technical Exchange Conference. El Paso. Texas. 30 November-3 December 1976, Atmospheric Sciences Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, New Mexico, 29-36.

__, 1976: Comments on "A central Texas synoptic climatology and its use as a precipitation forecast tool." Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 1069-1070.

__, 1976: Progress in automation of public weather forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 1505-1512.

__, 1976: Numerical-statistical forecasting in the National Weather Service. Weather Forecasting and Weather Forecasts: Models. Systems. and Users--Vol. 2. National Center for Atmospheric Research Colloquium, Boulder, 448-552.

__, 1976: Forecast evaluation at Techniques Development Laboratory. Weather Forecasting and Weather Forecasts: Models. Systems. and Users--Vol. 2. National Center for Atmospheric Research Colloquium, Boulder, 831-838.

__, 1976: Automation of public weather forecasting. Preprints Sixth Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Albany, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 44-49.

__, 1976: Comments on "Bayes Strategies." Aerospace Sciences Rev.,76-1, Air Weather Service, USAF, U.S. Department of Defense, 48-51.

__, and J. R. Bocchieri, 1976: Testing the Limited Area Fine Mesh Model for probability of precipitation forecasting. Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 127-132.

__, 1975: Making probability forecasts by objective methods, Aerospace Sciences Review, 75-3, Air Weather Service, USAF, U.S. Department of Defense, 13-23.

__, and J. R. Bocchieri, 1975: Testing the LFM for PoP forecasting. TDL Office Note 75-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 13 pp.

__, and , 1975: Objective estimation of the conditional probability of frozen precipitation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 103, 3-15.

__, G. W. Hollenbaugh, and F. T. Globokar, eds., 1975: Computer programs for the MOS development system IBM 360/195 version. TDL Office Note 75-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, Updated as necessary, in 1989 contained 186 programs of 1 to 20 pages each.

__, and W. H. Klein, 1975: Present status of statistical weather forecasting. Preprints Fourth Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmosuheric Sciences, Tallahassee, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 1-6.

__, 1974: An objective cloud forecasting system. Preprints Fifth Conference on Forecasting and Analysis, St. Louis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 79-80.

__, 1974: Problems in the use of probability forecasts. Preprints Fifth Conference on Forecasting and Analysis, St. Louis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 32-35.

__, 1974: The TDL MOS development system IBM 360/195 version. TDL Office Note 74-14, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 66 pp.

__, and J. Bocchieri, 1974: Predicting the Conditional Probability of Frozen Precipitation. Technical Memorandum 51 (TDL-51), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 33 pp.

__, 1973: An objective cloud forecasting system. TDL Office Note 73-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 4 pp.

__, 1973: The TDL MOS development system CDC 6600 version. TDL Office Note 73-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 72 pp.

__, 1973: Comments on "The correlation of the total precipitable water in a vertical column and absolute humidity at the surface." J. Appl. Meteor., 12, 1411-1414.

__, J. R. Bocchieri, and R. H. Jones, 1973: Forecasting the conditional probability of frozen precipitation. Preprints Third Conference on Probaility and Statistics in Atmospheric Science, Boulder, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 47-54.

__, and D. A. Lowry, 1972: The use of Model Output Statistics (MOS) in objective weather forecasting. J. Appl. Meteor., 11, 1203-1211.

__, and __, 1972: An operational Subsynoptic Advection Model (SAM). J. Appl. Meteor., 11, 578-585.

__, and J. E. McDonell, 1971: Comments on "Objective analysis of a two dimensional data field by the cubic spline technique." Mon. Wea. Rev., 99, 977-978.

__, 1971: Reply (to "Good morning, yourself"). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 52, 255.

__, and R. A. Allen, 1971: Preliminary results of a program for the automation of terminal forecasts. Automated Weather Support. Proceedings of the 6th AWS Technical Exchange Conference. U.S. Naval Academy 21-24 September 1970, Annapolis, Tech. Rep. 242, Air Weather Service, USAF, U.S. Department of Defense, 169-175.

__, D. A. Lowry, G. W. Hollenbaugh, and J. R. Annett, 1971: Statistics of numerical prediction models, Preprints International Symposium on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Honolulu, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 15-20.

__, 1970: A Method for Predicting Surface Winds . Technical Memorandum 29 (TDL-29), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 18 pp.

__, 1970: Computer Produced Worded Forecasts. Technical Memorandum 32 (TDL-32), National Wether Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 8 pp.

__, 1970: Regression estimation of surface winds. Interim Report No. FAA-RD-70-43, Federal Aviation Agency, U.S. Department of Transportation, 6 pp.

__, 1970: Computer-produced worded forecasts. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 51, 1126-1131.

__, and D. L. Jorgensen, 1970: Climatological aspects of the Brier P-score. Mon. Wea. Rev., 98, 136-141.

__, 1969: Some relationships derived from canonical correlation theory. Econometrica, 37, 252-256.

__, 1969: Comments on "The relative efficiency of certain schema in the solution of a Poisson equation." J. Atmos. Sci., 26, 1146-1153.

__, and G. W. Hollenbaugh, 1969: An Operationally Oriented Small-Scale 5OO-millibar Height Analysis Program. ESSA Technical Memorandum WBTM TDL-19, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 17 pp.

__, __, and D. A. Lowry, 1969: An Operationally Oriented Objective Analysis Program. Technical Memorandum, TDL-22, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.

__, __, and D. A. Lowry, 1969: An Operation Method for Objectively Forecasting Probability of Precipitation. Technical Memorandum 27 (TDL-27), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 24 pp.

__, __, and G. W. Hollenbaugh, 1969: An Operational Subsynoptic Advection Model. Technical Memorandum 23 (TDL-23), National Wether Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 26 pp.

__, 1968: Canonical correlation and its relationship to discriminant analysis and multiple regression. J. Atm. Sci., 25, 23-31. Reprinted in Selected Meteorological Papers No. 23, The Meteorological Society of Japan, March 1974, 167-175. Reprinted in Multivariate Statistical Methods, E. D. Bryant and W. R. Atchly, editors, Dowden, Hutchinson, and Ross, Inc., Stroudsburg, 1975, 383-391.

__, and D. A. Lowry, 1967: Short Range, Subsynoptic Surface Weather Prediction. Weather Bureau Technical Memorandum TDL-11, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.

__, and __, 1967: Short range, subsynoptic surface weather prediction. Proceedings of the Technical Exchange Conference 4-7 April 1967, Monterey, AWS Technical Report 196, Air Weather Service, USAF, U.S. Department of Defense, 254-259.

__, 1966: On the usefulness of satellite infrared measurements in the determination of cloud top heights and areal coverage. J. Appl. Meteor., 5, 189-197.

__, and R. A. Allen, 1966: A note concerning the "inflation" of regression forecasts. J. Appl. Meteor., 5, 124-126.

__, 1965: Objective weather forecasting by statistical methods. The Statistician, 15, 111-142.

__, 1964: The use of decision theory in meteorology with an application to aviation weather. Mon. Wea. Rev., 92, 383-388.

__, 1964: An application of adaptive logic to meteorological prediction. J. Appl. Meteor., 3, 718-725.

__, and J. O. Ellis, 1964: Note on the determination of probability estimates. J. Appl. Meteor., 3, 647-650.

__, and R. A. Allen, 1964: A comparison of scatter-diagram analysis with discriminant analysis and a note on maximizing the skill score. Mon. Wea. Rev., 92, 509-512.

Globokar, F. T., 1974: Computerized ceiling and visibility forecasts. Preprints Fifth Conference on Forecasting and Analysis, St. Louis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 228-233.

Gorline, J. L. and McQueen, J. T., 2011: Performance of the National Air Quality Forecast Capability, Urban vs. Rural and Other Comparisons, 10th Annual Community Modeling and Analysis System Conference, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill.

__, 2011: Performance of the National Air Quality Forecast Capability, Urban vs. Rural and Other Comparisons, 3rd International Workshop on Air Quality Forecasting Research, Bolger Conference Center, Osgood Building, Potomac, MD.

__, and Lee, P., 2009: Performance of NOAA-EPA Air Quality Predictions, 2007-2009, 8th Annual Community Modeling and Analysis System Conference, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill.

__, 2009: Performance of NOAA-EPA Air Quality Predictions, 2007-2008, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Eighth Symposium on the Urban Environment, Dispersion and Air Quality in Cities, Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

__, and Lee, P., 2008: Performance of NOAA-EPA Air Quality Predictions, 2007-2008, 7th Annual Community Modeling and Analysis System Conference, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill.

__, 2008: Performance Evaluation of NOAA-EPA Developmental Aerosol Forecasts, Journal Environmental Fluid Mechanics, DOI:10.1007/s10652-008-9090-7, Springer Netherlands.

__, and Lee, P., 2007: Verification of NOAA-EPA Developmental Aerosol Forecasts, 6th Annual Community Modeling and Analysis System Conference, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill.

__, Schenk, M., Shaffer, W., and Taylor, A., 2006: Verification of the NOAA-EPA Air Quality Forecasts for Summer 2005, 5th Annual Community Modeling and Analysis System Conference, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill.

__, 2002: Determining the effect of IFPS implementation on verification metrics. MDL Office Note 02-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 5 pp.

Grayson, T. H., G. M. Carter, S. Brown, and A. MacDonald, 1978: Forecasting high level convection and gusty surface winds--An interactive man machine experiment. Preprints Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis and Aviation Meteorology, Silver Spring, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 313-319.

__, 1977: Analysis of cool season lake-related mesoscale phenomena using numerical variational analysis. Preprints Third Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, Omaha, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 182-188.

__, and J. P. Dallavalle, 1977: Development and operational use of 3-hr objective temperature forecasts. Preprints Fifth Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Las Vegas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 53-56.

__, and R. J. Bermowitz, 1974: A Subsynoptic Update Model and forecast system with application to aviation weather. Final Report, Phase II, No. FAA-RD-74-l00, Federal Aviation Agency, U.S. Department of Transportation, 46 pp.

Greene, D. R., J. D. Nilsen, R. E. Saffle, D. W. Holmes, M. D. Hudlow, and P. R. Ahnert, 1983: RADAP II, an interim radar data processor. Preprints 21st Conference on Radar Meteorology, Edmonton, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 404-408.

__, and R. E. Saffle, 1978: Radar Analysis of the 1977 Johnstown flash flood. Preprints Conference on Flash Floods: Hydrometeoro1ogical Aspects, Los Angeles, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 176-180.

__, 1972: A comparison of echo predictability: Constant elevation vs. vil radar-data patterns. 15th Radar Meteorology Conference, Urbana, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 111-116.

__, 1972: Numerical techniques for the analysis of digital radar data with applications to meteorology and hydrology. A & M Research Foundation Project Report, Texas A & M University, 124 pp.

__, and R. A. Clark, 1972: Vertically integrated liquid water--A new analysis tool. Mon. Wea. Rev., 100, 548-552.

__, and __, 1971: An indicator of explosive development in severe storms. Preprints Seventh Conference of Severe Local Storms, Kansas City, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97-104.

Guan, S., D. H. Kitzmiller, and F. G. Samplatsky, 2000: National Weather Service program for the development of radar mosaic products. Program National Weather Association 25th Annual Meeting, Gaithersburg, MD, National Weather Association, p. 41-42.


Guillot, E. M., V. Lakshmanan, T.M. Smith, and G.J. Stumpf, and D.W. Burgess, K.L. Elmore, 2008: Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm Warning Forecast Skill and its Relationship to Storm Type. Extended Abstracts, 24th Conf. on Interactive Information Processing Systems, New Orleans, LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 4A.3.

 

 

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      Hamill, T., 2015: New directions in statistical post-processing. Harry R. Glahn Symposium, 95th Annual Conference, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Phoenix, AZ, 4.1.


Hammons, G. A., J. P. Dallavalle, and W. H. Klein, 1976: MOS temperature forecast equations based on three-month seasons. Preprints Sixth Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Albany, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 50-55.

__, __, and __, 1976: Automated temperature guidance based on three-month seasons. Mon.Wea. Rev., 104, 1557-1564.

__, and W. H. Klein, 1974: Operational temperature forecasting by means of model output statistics. TDL Office Note 74-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.

__, 1974: New MOS temperature forecast equations based on winter 1969-1974 data. TDL Office Note 74-13, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.

Harnack, R. P., and M. W. Cammarata, 1987: Winter season temperature forecasts using discriminant analysis. Natl. Wea. Digest, 12, No.2, 15-20.

Harris, D. L., N. A. Pore, and R. A. Cummings, 1965: Tide and tidal current prediction by high speed digital computer. International Hydrographic Rev., XLII, 95-103.

__, and C. P. Jelesnianski, 1964: Some problems involved in the numerical solutions of tidal hydraulics equations. Mon. Wea. Rev., Volume 92, Number 9, 409-422.

Harrison, W., P. A. Bullock, and N. A. Pore, 1971: Forecasting storm-induced beach changes along Virginia's ocean coast. Final Report prepared for Coastal Engineering Research Center, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Con¬tract No. DACW 72-69-C-003l, Virginia Institute of Marine Science, 110 pp.

__, 1970: Reduction of surface pressure to functions useful in analysis and forecasting. Meteor. Mono., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 11, 121-136.

__, 1970: Calculation of Precipitable Water. Technical Memorandum 33 (TDL-33), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 61 pp.

__, 1969: Reduction of surface pressure to functions useful in analysis and forecasting. Proceedings of the 1969 Symposium on Meteorological Observations and Instrumentation, Washington, D.C., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 121-136.

__, 1965: Proposal for an experimental triple-tubed adiabatic salurator to measure thermodynamic wet-bulb temperature as a limit approached during the saturation process. Humidity and Moisture: Measurement and Control in Science and Industry, Vol. 1, R. E. Ruskin, ed., Reinhold, 33-63.

__, 1965: Fundamental concepts and definitions relating to humidity. Humidity and Moisture: Measurement and Control in Science and Industry, Vol. 3, A. Wexler and W. A. Wi1dhack, eds., Reinhold, 3-69.

__, 1965: Some fundamental considerations regarding psychrometry. Humidity and Moisture: Measurement and Control in Science and Industry, Vol. 3, A. Wexler and W. A. Wi1dhack, eds., Reinhold, 71-103.

__, 1965: Imperfect gas relationships. Humidity and Moisture: Measurement and Control in Science and Industry, Vol. 3, A. Wexler and W. A. Wi1dhack, eds., Reinhold, 105-256.

__, N. A. Pore, and D. R. Tuck, Jr., 1965: Predictor equations for beach processes and responses. J. Geophvsica1 Res., 70, 6103-6109.

__, and __, 1964: Alternate multiregression technique for obtaining predictor equations. Technical Memorandum No.7, U.S. Army Coastal Engineering Research Center, 8 pp.

Harrison, Y., and N. A. Pore, 1967: An approach to correlation and prediction in the wind-runoff-drift system. ESSA Professional Paper 3, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 43-79.

Hebenstreit, K. F., and K. A. Peterson, 1982: Verification of MOS guidance for cloud amount, ceiling, and visibility. Preprints 9th Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Seattle, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 356-363.

__, J. R. Bocchieri, G. M. Carter, J. P. Dallavalle, D. B. Gilhousen, G. W. Hollenbaugh, J. E. Janowiak, and D. J. Vercelli, 1979: Comparative verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 7 (October 1978 - March 1979). TDL Office Note 79-17, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 85 pp.

Heffernan, M. M., 1983: Results of the field test of the AFOS-era forecast verification program. TDL Office Note 83-13, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.

__, M. C. Newton, and R. L. Miller, 1983: AFOS-era forecast verification. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 83-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 45 pp.

__, H. R. Glahn, and A. E. MacDonald, 1980: AFOS-era forecast verification program. Preprints Eighth Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 403-406.

__, and H. R. Glahn, 1979: Users guide for TDL's computer worded forecast program. TDL Office Note 79-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 44 pp.

Herrmann, W. C., 1983: Generalized Exponential Markov (GEM) updating procedure for AFOS. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 83-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 11 pp.

Hess, K. W., 1984: Single-point forecasts of wind-driven and tidal currents in San Pedro Channel. TDL Office Note 84-8, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 25 pp.

__, 1984: A technique for forecasting spilled oil transport in bays. Natl. Wea. Digest, 9, No.2, 26-33.

__,1984: Models of gulf stream behavior: A literature survey. TDL Office Note 84-12, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.

__, 1984: Assessment techniques for coastal hazards. Proceedings of the Geologic and Hydrologic Hazards Training Program, Denver, Agency for International Development, and U.S. Geological Survey, 812-832.

__, 1983: Simulation of spilled oil behavior in bays and coastal waters. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 83-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 21 pp.

__, 1982: A revised user's guide to COSMOS (Composite Oil Spill Model for Operational Services). TDL Office Note 82-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.

__, 1981: A user's guide to COSMOS (Composite Oil Spill Model for Operational Services). TDL Office Note 81-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 23 pp.

__, 1979: The National Weather Service oil spill motion forecasting program. Preprints Workshop on the Physical Behavior of Oil in the Marine Environment, Princeton, Princeton University and National Weather Service, 311-322.

__, and C. L. Kerr, 1979: A model to forecast the motion of oil on the sea. Preprints 1979 Oil Spill Conference (Prevention. Behavior. Control. Cleanup), Los Angeles, Amer. Petroleum Institute, 653-663.

Hirschberg, P.A., S. B. Smith, and M. M. Mercer, 2000: National Weather Service SAFESEAS - Update on a new marine/coastal monitoring and forecasting capability for AWIPS. Preprints, 16th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 128-131.

Hlywiak, K. P., and J. P. Dallavalle, 1984: Two case studies of MOS temperature forecast inconsistencies at Brownsville, Texas during the winter of 1983-1984. TDL Office Note 84-14, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.

Hodge, M. W., H. B. Cole, and D. Colson, 1969: Analysis of clear air turbulence from rawinsonde ascensional rates. Final Report No. FAA-FD-69-S2, Federal Aviation Agency, U.S. Department of Transportation, 81 pp.

Hollenbaugh, G. W., H. R. Glahn, and D. A. Lowry, 1969: Automatic Decoding of Hourly Weather Reports. ESSA Technical Memorandum WBTM TDL-2l, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 27 pp.

Hondl, K.D., V. Lakshmanan, T.M. Smith, and G.J. Stumpf, 2007: Warning Decision Support System - Integrated Information (WDSS-II) Progress and Plans. Preprints, 23rd Conf. on Interactive Information Processing Systems, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 6.3.

Houston, S. H., W. A. Shaffer, M. D. Powell, and J. Chen, 1999: Comparisons of HRD and SLOSH Surface Wind Fields in Hurricanes: Implications for Storm Surge Modeling. Wea. Forecasting.

__, __, __, and __, 1996: Incorporating HRD surface wind fields into the SLOSH model. Preprints, Conference on Coastal Oceanic and Atmospheric Prediction, Atlanta, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 265-267.

__, __, __, and __: Comparisons of SLOSH parametric and HRD analyzed surface wind fields in recent hurricanes. Preprints, 21st Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Miami, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 619-621.

Hoxit, L. R., R. A. Maddox, C. F. Chappell, F. L. Zuckerberg, H. M. Mogil, I. Jones, D. R. Greene, R. E. Saffle, and R. A. Scofield, 1978: Meteorological analysis of the Johnstown, Pennsylvania, flash flood, 19-20 July 1977. NOAA Technical Report ERL 40l-APCL 43, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 71 pp.

Hughes, K. K., 2004: Probabilistic forecast guidance for aviation. Preprints, 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

__, and R. A. Trimarco, 2004: Impacts of resolution on gridded probability thunderstorm forecast guidance. Preprints, 20th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM, J6.5.

__, 2002: Automated gridded forecast guidance for thunderstorms and severe local storms based on the Eta model. Preprints, Nineteenth Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J19-J22.

__, 2001: Development of MOS thunderstorm and severe thunderstorm forecast equations with multiple data sources. Preprints, Eighteenth Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Fort Lauderdale, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 191-195.

__, 1999: AVN-based statistical forecasts of thunder storms and severe thunderstorms for the contiguous U.S. Preprints, 17th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 201-205.

__, 1996: Complementing ASOS cloud reports with the GOES satellite cloud product. Preprints, 15th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Norfolk, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 36-39.

__, and J. S. Jensenius, Jr., 1994: Improvements in statistical forecasts of medium-range maximum and minimum temperature. Abstracts National Weather Association Nineteenth Annual Meeting Program, Salt Lake City, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 24.

__, and __, 1993: Statistical forecasts of maximum and minimum temperature and mean wind speed for medium-range projections. Preprints, 13th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Vienna, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 315-318.

Huntemann, T. L., D. E. Rudack, and D. P. Ruth, 2015: Forty years of NWS forecasts: Past performance and future advances. Preprints, Harry R. Glahn Symposium, Phoenix, AZ, 95th Amer. Meteor. Soc., 449.

__, M. J. Schenk, P. Fajman, 2014: Verification of precipitating weather type forecasts in the National Digital Forecast Database and National Digital Guidance Database. Preprints, 39th Natl. Wea. Assoc. Annual Meeting, Salt Lake City, UT, Natl. Wea. Assoc., P1.64.

__, P. E. Shafer, K. K. Gilbert, and M. R. Peroutka, 2012: MOS precipitation forecasts formatted for the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD). Preprints, 37th National Weather Association Annual Meeting, Madison, WI, Natl. Wea. Assoc., P2.64.

 

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     Im, J.-S. and B. Glahn, 2015: Updates of MDL Objective Analyses of Observations and Forecasts: Current and Planned Implementations of Localized Aviation MOS Products. 17th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, 95th Annual Conference, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Phoenix, AZ, 313

__, and __, 2012: Objective analysis of hourly 2-m temperature and dewpoint observations at the Meteorological Development Laboratory. Natl. Wea. Dig.,36, 103-114.

__, __, and J. E. Ghirardelli, 2011: Real-Time Hourly Objective Analysis of Surface Observations. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-84, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 24 pp.

__, __, and __, 2010: Real-time objective analysis of surface data at the Meteorological Development Laboratory. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Atlanta, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

 

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     Jacks, E., 1990: Development and evaluation of the National Weather Service's NGM-based MOS guidance for the contiguous 48 states. Abstracts Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the National Weather Association, New Carrollton, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 43.

__, 1990: A quiz on the interpretation and use of the National Weather Service's statistical guidance products. Nat. Wea. Digest, 15-4, 2-15.

__, J. B. Bower, V. J. Dagostaro, J. P. Dallavalle, M. C. Erickson, and J. C. Su, 1990: New NGM-based MOS guidance for maximum/minimum temperature, probability of precipitation, cloud amount, and surface wind. Wea. Forecasting, 5, 128-138.

__, , M. C. Erickson, and J. C. Su, 1990: NGM-based MOS guidance for maximum/minimum temperature, probability of precipitation, cloud amount, and surface wind. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 387, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.

__, G. M. Carter, J. P. Dallavalle, J. S. Jensenius, Jr., M. C. Erickson, and J. B. Bower, 1989: Enhancing interactions among the developers and users of statistical guidance products. Preprints, 11th Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 120-125.

__,, 1988: Results of a survey on the use of statistical guidance by field forecasters. TDL Office Note 88-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 28 pp.

Janowiak, J. E., 1981: The usefulness of LFM boundary layer forecasts as predictors in objective surface wind forecasting. TDL Office Note 81-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.

Jelesnianski, C. P., J. Chen, and W. A. Shaffer, 1992: SLOSH: Sea, lake, and overland surges from hurricanes. NOAA Technical Report NWS 48, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U. S. Department of Commerce, 71 pp.

__, 1976: A Sheared Coordinate System For Storm Surge Equations of Motion with a Mildly Curved Coast. Technical Memorandum 61 (TDL-61), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 65 pp.

__, __, __, and A. J. Gilad, 1984: SLOSH--A hurricane storm surge forecast model. Preprints Oceans 84, Washington, D.C., Marine Tech. Soc. and IEEE/Oceanic Eng. Soc., 314-317.

__,, 1979: Tropical storm surge forecasting in the National Weather Service. Preprints Improved Hydrologic Forecasting Why and How Meeting. Pacific Grove, Amer. Soc. of Civil Eng. and Amer. Meteor. Soc., 65-75.

__, nd C. S. Barrientos, 1975: A Preliminary View of Storm Surges Before and after Storm Modifications for Alongshore-Moving Storms. Technical Memorandum 58 (TDL-58), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.

__, 1974: SPLASH (Special Program to List Amplitudes of Surges From Hurricanes: Part Two. General Track \softline and Variant Storm Conditions. Technical Memorandum 52 (TDL-52), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 55 pp.

__, and A. D. Taylor, 1973: A preliminary view of storm surges, before and after storm modifications. NOAA Technical Memorandum ERL WMPO-3, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 33 pp.

__, and C. S. Barrientos, 1973: Flood insurance study: Storm surge model for Puerto Rico. Study for Federal Insurance Administration, Interagency Agreement IAA-H-5-73, Techniques Development Laboratory, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.

__, 1972: SPLASH (Special Program to List Amplitudes of Surges From Hurricanes): 1 Landfall Storms. Technical Memorandum 46 (TDL-46), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 52 pp.

__, 1970: "Bottom stress time-history" in linearized equations of motion for storm surges. Mon. Wea. Rev., 98, 462-478.

__, 1967: Numerical computations of storm surges with bottom stress. Mon. Wea. Rev., Volume 95, Number 11, 740-756.

__, 1965: A numerical calculation of storm tides induced by a tropical storm impinging on a continental shelf. Mon. Wea. Rev., Volume 93, number 6, 343-358.

Jendrowski, P. A., and G. J. Huffman, 1986: Performance of quantitative parameters associated with the NEXRAD mesocyclone detection algorithm from simulated single doppler velocities. Preprints 23rd Conference on Radar Meteorology, Snowmass, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 5-13.

Jensenius, J. S., Jr., K. K. Hughes, and J. B. Settelmaier, 1995: The National Weather Service's AVN- and MRF-based statistical weather forecast systems. Preprints, 14th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 163-170.

__, J. P. Dallavalle, and S. A. Gilbert, 1994: The AVN-based statistical guidance message. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 415, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 13 pp.

__, J. P. Dallavalle, and S. A. Gilbert, 1993: The MRF-based statistical guidance message. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 411, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.

__, 1990: A comparison of the observed and forecast frequencies of various precipitation amounts in the 1986, 1987, and 1988 versions of the Nested Grid Model. TDL Office Note 90-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 6 pp. , 1990: A statistical comparison of the forecasts produced by the NGM and LFM for the 1987-88 cool season. Wea. Forecasting, 5, 116-127.

__, 1992: The use of grid-binary variables as predictors for statistical weather forecasting. Preprints, 12th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Toronto, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 225-230. , K. K. Hughes, and J. B. Settelmaier, 1992: Calibrated perfect prog temperature and probability of precipitation forecasts for medium-range projections. Preprints, 12th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Toronto, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 213-218.

__, 1989: A statistical comparison of the forecasts produced by the NGM and LFM for the cool season of 1987-88. TDL Office Note 89-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.

__, 1989: Insolation Forecasting. Solar Heat Technologies: Fundamentals and Applications. MIT Press, Cambridge, Vol. II, 335-349.

__, 1985: The accuracy of objective sunshine forecasts produced by the National Weather Service. Preprints 17th Conference on Agriculture and Forest Meteorology, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 105-108.

__, 1988: Statistical characteristics of the National Meteorological Center's regional and global weather prediction models. Preprints Eighth Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, Baltimore, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 550-557.

__, 1988: Objectively forecasting sunshine. Wea. and Forecasting, 3, 5-17.

__, and M. C. Erickson, 1987: Monthly relative frequencies of precipitation for the United States for 6-, 12-, and 24-h periods. NOAA Technical Report NWS TDL-39, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 267 pp.

__, 1984: Automated forecasts of percent of possible sunshine. Preprints l8th Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Clearwater Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 69-74.

__, 1983: Automated forecasts of daily global solar energy. Preprints Annual Meeting of the Solar Energy Society, Minneapolis, Amer. Solar Energy Soc., 859-864.

__, and G. M. Carter, 1979: Automated forecasts of agricultural weather elements. Preprints Fourteenth Conference on Agriculture and Forest Meteorology, Minneapolis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 42-44.

__, and , 1979: Specialized agricultural weather guidance for South Carolina. TDL Office Note, 79-15, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.

__, and J. P. Dallavalle, 1981: Automated forecasts of surface temperature and dew point at 3-h intervals. Preprints Fifteenth Conference on Agriculture and Forest Meteorology, Anaheim, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 190-193.

__, and V. J. Dagostaro, 1980: Specialized agricultural weather guidance for Kentucky. TDL Office Note 80-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 8 pp.

__, and G. M. Carter, 1978: Ground condensation guidance for Indiana and Michigan. TDL Office Note 78-12, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 13 pp.

__, and __, 1978: Experimental rate of pan evaporation forecasts-- Phase II. TDL Office Note 78-10, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.

__, E. A. Zurndorfer, and G. M. Carter, 1978: Specialized agriculture forecast guidance for Michigan and Indiana. TDL Office Note 78-9, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.

Johannessen, K. R., 1965: Atmospheric Effects on Re-Entry Vehicle Dispersions. Weather Bureau Technical (Memorandum) Note 29-TDL-3, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 32 pp.

Johnson, J. T., M. D. Eilts, D. Ruth, W. Goodman, and L. Rothfusz, 2000: Warning Operations in Support of the 1996 Centinnial Olympic Games. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 543-554.

Jorgensen, D. L. and W. H. Klein, 1970: Persistence of Precipitation at 108 Cities in the Conterminous United States. Technical Memorandum 31 (TDL-31), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 23 pp.

__, and William H. Klein, 1969: Conditional Probabilities of Precipitation Amounts in the Conterminous United States. ESSA Technical Memorandum WBTM TDL-18, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 100 pp.

__, August F. Korte and James A. Bunce, Jr., 1967: Charts Giving Station Precipitation in the Plateau States from 700-mb Lows During Winter. Weather Bureau Technical Memorandum TDL-12, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 60 pp.

__, 1967: Climatological probabilities of precipitation for the conterminous United States. ESSA Technical Report YB-5, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 60 pp.

__, 1967: Comments on "Accuracy of Atlantic tropical cyclone forecasts." Mon. Yea. Rev., 95, 308.

__, A. F. Korte, and J. A. Bunce, Jr., 1967: Charts giving station precipitation in the plateau states from 700-mb lows during winter. Weather Bureau Technical Memorandum WBTM TDL-12, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.

__, Y. H. Klein, and A. F. Korte, 1967: A synoptic climatology of winter precipitation from 700-mb lows for intermountain areas of the West. J. Appl. Meteor., 6, 782-790.

__, Donald L., William H. Klein and August F. Korte, 1966: A Synoptic Climatology of Winter Precipitation from 700-mb Lows for Intermountain Areas of the West. Weather Bureau Technical (Memorandum) Note 45-TDL-4, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 36 pp.

 

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      Kellenbenz, D. J., 1996: The New York derecho event of 15 July 1995. Abstracts National Weather Association 21st Annual Meeting Program, Cocoa Beach, Nat. Wea. Assoc., (no page number).

Kelly, D.S., and J. E. Ghirardelli, 1998: A general overview of methodology and applications of the Local AWIPS MOS Program (LAMP), a short-range forecast guidance product. Preprints, 16th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 437-439.

__, D. S., 1996: Local AWIPS MOS Program (LAMP) graphical display: Guidance for short term and first period forecasts. Abstracts National Weather Association 21st Annual Meeting Program, Cocoa Beach, Nat. Wea. Assoc., (no page number).

Kemper, J. E., P. E. Long, Jr., W. A. Shaffer, and M. McDonald, 1981: Application of output from the Techniques Development Laboratory's Boundary Layer Model to MOS forecasts of temperature, dew point, and precipitation type. Preprints Seventh Conference on probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 90-93.

__, __, and __, 1979: Forecast guidance products from the Techniques Development Laboratory's Boundary Layer Model. Preprints Fourth Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, Silver Spring, Amer. Meteor. Soc. I 270-277.

__, __, K. Park, and J.K. Choi, 1998: Coastal surges from extratropical storms on the west coast of the Korean Peninsula. Journal of Coastal Research, 14(2), 660-666.

__, __, and W. A. Shaffer, 1996: An operational Forecast Model for Extratropical Storm Surges along the U.S. East Coast. Preprints, Conference on Coastal Oceanic and Atmospheric Prediction, Atlanta, Georgia, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 281-286.

Kitzmiller, D. H., Frederick G. Samplatsky and David L. Keller, 2002: Production of a National Radar Reflectivity Mosaic and Automated Radar Observations from WSR-88D Radar Coded Messages. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-83, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 28 pp.

__, and C. Mello, 2002: Probabilistic forecasts of severe local storms in the 0-3 hour timeframe from an advective-statistical technique. Preprints, Nineteenth Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J89-J92.

__, S. D. Vibert, and F. G. Samplatsky, 2001: Short-range forecasts of rainfall amount from an extrapolative-statistical technique utilizing multiple remote sensor observations. Preprints, Symposium on Precipitation Extremes: Prediction, Impacts, and Responses, Albuquerque, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 266-270.

__, 2000: Forecasts of rainfall amount and lightning occurrence from an extrapolative-statistical technique utilizing multiple remote sensor observations. Program National Weather Association 25th Annual Meeting, Gaithersburg, MD, National Weather Association, p. 45.

__, S. D. Vibert, and F. G. Samplatsky, 2001: Short-range forecasts of rainfall amount from an extrapolative-statistical technique utilizing multiple remote sensor observations. Preprints, Symposium on Precipitation Extremes: Prediction, Impacts, and Responses, Albuquerque, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 266-270.

__, M. A. R. Lilly, and S. D. Vibert, 1999: Probabilistic 0-3 hour rainfall forecasts from an extrapolative-statistical technique utilizing radar, satellite, and lightning observations. Preprints, 29th Conference on Radar Meteorology, Montreal, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 876-879.

__, 1998: Probabilistic 0-3 hour rainfall forecasts from a satellite extrapolative-statistical technique. Preprints, 16th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 453-455.

__, and J. Sun, 1997: Probabilistic 0-3 hour rainfall forecasts from a radar extrapolative-statistical technique. Preprints, 28th Conference on Radar Meteorology, Austin, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 216-217.

__, 1996: What is the skill of short-range extrapolation forecasts of rainfall? Abstracts Fifth National Heavy Precipitation Workshop, State College, Nat. Wea. Svc., p. 40.

__, 1996: One-hour forecasts of radar-estimated rainfall by an extrapolative-statistical method. TDL Office Note 96-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 26 pp.

__, 1995: Quantitative high-resolution rainfall forecasts by an extrapolative-statistical method. Abstracts National Weather Association Twentieth Annual Meeting Program, Houston, Nat. Wea. Assoc., (no page number).

__, and Jay P. Breidenbach, 1995: Detection of Severe Local Storm Phenomena by Automated Interpretation of Radar and Storm Environment. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-82, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 42 pp.

__, and __, 1995: Probabilistic nowcasts of severe local storms based on radar and storm environment data. Preprints, 27th Conference on Weather Radar, Vail, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 68-70.

__, W. E. McGovern, and R. E. Saffle, 1995: The WSR-88D severe weather potential algorithm. Wea. Forecasting, 10, 141-159.

__, and J. P. Breidenbach, 1993: Probabilistic nowcasts of large hail based on volumetric reflectivity and storm environment characteristics. Preprints, 26th International Conference on Radar Meteorology, Norman, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 157-159.

__, and J. B. Ator, 1993: Extrapolative-statistical forecasts of radar reflectivity. National Weather Digest, 18-2, 12-19.

__, and __, 1992: An extrapolative-statistical method for forecasting radar reflectivity. TDL Office Note 92-15, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 18 pp.

__, W. E. McGovern, and R. E. Saffle, 1992: The NEXRAD severe weather potential algorithm. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-81, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 76 pp.

__, 1990: Relationships between vertically-integrated liquid and thunderstorm severity over different regions of the United States. Abstracts Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the National Weather Association, New Carrollton, Nat. Wea. Assoc., 30-31.

__, 1990: Prognostic relationships between profiler winds and warm-season rain events near Denver. Profiler Forum, January, 3-8.

__, and W. E. McGovern, 1990: Wind profiler observations preceding outbreaks of large hail over northeastern Colorado. Wea. Forecasting, 5, 78- 88.

__, R. E. Saffle, M. McDonald, R. G. Miller, J. Lang, and W. E. McGovern, 1990: Relationships between vertically-integrated liquid and thunderstorm severity over central Florida. Preprints, 16th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Kananaskis Park, Canada, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 603-606.

__, and W. E. McGovern, 1989: VAS retrievals as a source of information for convective weather forecasts: An objective assessment and comparison with other sources of upper-air observations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 117, 2095-2109.

__, __, 1988: Relationships between profiler winds and hail occurrence over northern Colorado. Profiler Forum, April, 2-5.

__, and __, 1988: Objective assessment of 1984-85 VAS products as indices of thunderstorm and severe local storm potential. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-78, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 38 pp.

__, &nd W. E. McGovern, 1987: VAS products as indices of thunderstorms and severe local storm potential. Proceedings Symposium on Mesoscale Analysis and Forecasting, Vancouver, Int. Asso. of Meteor. and Atm. Physics, 85-90.

__, 1986: An objective comparison of severe local storm predictors derived from VAS temperature and dew point profiles. Preprints Second Conference on Satellite Meteorology/Remote Sensing Applications, Williamsburg, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 353-358.

__, 1986: Characteristic subsynoptic patterns in the tornado environment as analyzed from observations and model forecasts. Preprints 11th Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Kansas City, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 109-113.

__, 1985: Characteristic subsynoptic features of the tornado environment as analyzed from surface observations and model forecasts. TDL Office Note 85-11, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.

__, 1985: The application of cumulus models to MOS forecasts of convective weather. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-76, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 50 pp.

Klein, W. H., 1989: Objective guidance for weather forecasts. Preprints, 11th Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J28-J32.

__, and J. P. Da11ava11e, 1980: The evolution of MOS and perfect prog methods of forecasting maximin surface temperatures in the United States. Preprints WMO Symposium on Probabilistic and Statistical Methods in Weather Forecasting, Nice, World Meteor. Org., 431-438.

__, 1976: AFOS forecast applications. Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 1494-1504.

__, 1976: AFOS forecast applications. Preprints Sixth Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Albany, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 36-43.

__, 1976: AFOS program and some forecast applications. Weather Forecasting and weather Forecasts: Models. Systems. and Users--Vol. 2. National Center for Atmospheric Research Colloquium, Boulder, 672-681.

__, 1976: AFOS--Automation of field operations and services. Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors, 12, 112-117.

__, 1976: Statistical forecasting of local weather from numerical programs. Preprints WHO Symposium on Interpretation of Broad-scale NWP Products for Local Forecasting Purposes, Warsaw, World Meteor. Org., 85-93.

__, and G. A. Hammons, 1975: Maximum/minimum temperature forecasts based on model output statistics. Mon. Wea. Rev., 103, 796-806.

__, 1974: Weather forecasting from Model Output Statistics (MOS). Preprints Second Annual Forecast Research Symposium, Toronto, Canadian Atmospheric Environment Service, 29 pp.

__, 1974: Review of "On synoptic climatology methods and applications." Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 55, 1023-1024.

__, and R. L. Crisci, 1974: Objective forecasting of ceiling and visibility. Preprints Sixth Conference on Aerospace and Aeronautical Meteorology, El Paso, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 472-477.

__, and H. R. Glahn, 1974: Forecasting local weather by means of model output statistics. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 55, 1217-1227.

__, and F. Marshall, 1973: Screening improved predictors for automated maximin temperature forecasting. Preprints Third Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Science, Boulder, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 36-43 pp.

__, and G. A. Hammons, 1973: Use of model output statistics for automated prediction of max/min temperatures. TDL Office Note 73-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 11 pp.

__, 1972: On the accuracy of automated maximin temperature forecasts. J. Appl. Meteor., 11, 1381-1384.


__, 1972: Mean heights with monthly and diurnal changes. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 53, 1117-1118.

__, 1971: Computer Prediction of Precipitation Probability for 108 Cities in the United States. Technical Memorandum 39 (TDL-39), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 32 pp.

__, F. Lewis, F. Marshall, and H. Cole, 1971: An operational system for automated prediction of precipitation probability. Preprints International Symposium on Probability of Statistics, Honolulu, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 15-20.

__, __, and G. A. Hammons, 1971: Recent developments in automated max/min temperature forecasting. J. Appl. Meteor., 10, 916-920.

__, 1970: The forecast research program of the Techniques Development Laboratory. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 51, 133-142.

__, and F. Lewis, 1970: Computer forecasts of maximum and minimum temperatures. J. Appl. Meteor., 9, 350-359.

__, 1969: The computer's role in weather forecasting. Meteorological Resources and Capabilities in the '70's. Proceedings of the 5th AWS Technical Exchange Conference, Colorado Springs, Technical Report 217, Air Weather Service, USAF, U.S. Department of Defense, 144-153.

__, 1969: The computer's role in weather forecasting. Weatherwise, 22, 195-218.

__, F. Lewis, and G. P. Casely, 1969: Computer Forecasts of Maximum and Minimum Surface Temperatures. Technical Memorandum 26 (TDL-26), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 27 pp. plus an appendix. ESSA Technical Memorandum WBTM TDL-25, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 92 pp.

__, 1968: The forecasting research program of the Weather Bureau. Proceedings of the 4th AWS Technical Exchange Conference, Fort Monmouth, Technical Report 207, Air Weather Service, USAF, U.S. Department of De¬fense, 97-117.

__, 1968: An objective method of predicting quantitative precipitation in the Tennessee and Cumberland Valleys. Preprints First Statistical Meteoro¬logical Conference, Hartford, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 20-28.

__, 1968: Precipitation and circulation patterns. Proceedings of the Seventh Stanstead Seminar on the Middle Atmosphere, McGill University, Publication in Meteorology No. 90, 127-139.

__, D. L. Jorgensen, and A. F. Korte, 1968: Relation between upper air lows and winter precipitation in the western plateau states. Mon. Wea. Rev., 96, 162-168.

__, 1967: Specification of sea-level pressure from 700-mb height. Quart. J. Royal Meteor. Soc., 93, 214-226.

__, 1967: The precipitation program of the Techniques Development Laboratory. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 48, 890-894.

__, F. Lewis, and G. P. Case1y, 1967: Automated nation-wide forecasts of maximum and minimum temperature. J. App1. Meteor., 6, 216-228.

__, __, and J. D. Stackpole, 1967: Objective determination of sea level pressure from upper level heights. Weather Bureau Technical Memorandum WBTM TDL-10, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 26 pp.

__, 1966: Objective forecasts of surface temperature from one to three days in advance. J. Appl. Meteor., 5, 137-147.

__, and Billy M. Lewis, 1966: Hemispheric Specification of Sea Level Pressure from Numerical 700-mb Height Forecasts. Weather Bureau Technical (Memorandum) Note 47-TDL-5, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 40 pp.

__, 1965: Synoptic climatological models for the United States. Weatherwise, 18, 252-259.

__, 1965: Application of synoptic climatology and short-range numerical prediction to five-day forecasting. Research Paper No. 46, Weather Bureau, U.S. Department of Commerce, 109 pp.

__, 1965: Five-day precipitation patterns derived from circulation and moisture. Humidity and Moisture. Measurement and Control in Science and Industry, Vol. 2, Reinhold, 532-549.

__, 1965: Application of synoptic climatology and existing numerical prediction to medium-range forecasting. WHO-IUGG Symposium on Research and Development Aspects of Long Range Forecasting, Boulder, Technical Note No. 66, WHO No. 162.TP.79, World Meteor. Org., 103-125.

__, Curtis W. Crockett and Carlos R. Dunn, 1965: Objective Prediction of Daily Surface Temperature. Weather Bureau Technical (Memorandum) Note 10-TDL-1, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 50 pp.

__, __, and J. Andrews, 1965: Objective prediction of daily precipitation and cloudiness. J. Geophysical Res., 70, 801-813.

Kluepfel, C. K., A. J. Schreiner, and D. A. Unger, 1994: The satellite-derived cloud cover product (sounder). NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 410, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.

Korte, A. F. and D. Colson, 1972: Synoptic Climatological Studies of Precipitation in the Plateau States from 850-Millibar Lows During Fall. Technical Memorandum 49 (TDL-49), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 56 pp.

__, __, and __, 1972: Mean Diurnal and Monthly Height Changes in the Troposphere Over North America and Vicinity. Technical Memorandum 47 (TDL-47), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 30 pp.

__, __, D. L. Jorgensen, and W. H. Kleine, 1972: Synoptic Climatological Studies of Precipitation in the Plateau States from 850-, 700-, and 500-Milibar Lows During Spring. Technical Memorandum 48 (TDL-48), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 131 pp.

__, __ and __, 1969: Charts Giving Station Precipitation in the Plateau States from 700- and 500millibar Lows During Winter.

Kosarik, J. M., and M. W. Cammarata, 1992: The automated generation of wind phrases for the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. TDL Office Note 92-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 17 pp.


__, M. A. Przybocki, M. W. Cammarata, J. F. Wantz, J. Lang, and M. R. Peroutka, 1992: The automated generation of temperature phrases for the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. TDL Office Note 92-8, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.

Kuhlman, K. M., E. Gruntfest, K.A. Scharfenberg, and G.J. Stumpf, 2009: Beyond Storm-Based Warnings: An Advanced WAS*IS Workshop to study communication of probabilistic hazardous weather information. Extended Abstracts, 4th Symp. on Policy and Socio-Economic Research, Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 3.5.

__, T.M. Smith, G.J. Stumpf, K.L. Ortega, and K.L. Manross, 2008: Experimental probabilistic hazard information in practice: Results from the 2008 EWP Spring Program. Extended Abstracts, 24th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Savannah, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 8A.2.

Kuligowski, R. J., 1997: An Overview of National Weather Service Quantitative Precipitation Estimates. TDL Office Note 97-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 27 pp.

__, 1996: An overview of NWS QPF products. TDL Office Note 96-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 22 pp.

 

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LaDue, J. G., S. B. Smith, and D. R. MacGorman, 1994: The integration of satellite, radar, and lightning data for the study of tornadic storms. Preprints, 7th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography, Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 341-344.

Lakshmanan, V., A. Fritz, T. Smith, K. Hondl, G. J. Stumpf, 2007: An Automated technique to quality control radar reflectivity data. J. Appl. Meteor., 46, 288-305.

__, T. Smith, G.J. Stumpf, K.D. Hondl, 2007: The Warning Decision Support System-Integrated Information. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 596-612.

__, __, K. Hondl, G.J. Stumpf, and A. Witt, 2006: A real-time, three dimensional, rapidly updating, heterogeneous radar merger technique for reflectivity, velocity and derived products. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 802-823.

__, __, K. Cooper, J.J. Levit, G.J. Stumpf, and D.R. Bright, 2006: High-resolution radar data and products over the continental United States. Preprints, 22nd Intl. Conf. on Interactive Information Processing Systems for Meteor., Oceanography, and Hydrology, Atlanta, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 9.7.

__, G.J. Stumpf, and A. Witt, 2005: A Neural Network for Detecting and Diagnosing Tornadic Circulations using the Mesocyclone Detection and Near Storm Environment Algorithms. Preprints, 4th Conf. on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science, San Diego, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J5.2.

__, and __, 2005: A Real-Time Learning Technique to Predict Cloud-to-Ground Lightning. Preprints, 4th Conf. on Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science, San Diego, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J5.6.

__, I. Adrianto, T.M. Smith, G.J. Stumpf, 2005: A spatiotemporal approach to tornado prediction. Preprints, Intl. Joint Conf. on Neural Networks 2005, Montreal, Canada, INNS, 1072.

__, K.D. Hondl, D. MacGorman, and G.J. Stumpf, 2004: The use of Lightning Mapping Array data in WDSS-II. Preprints, 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P14.3.

Laybe, P., K. S. Sperow, and R. K. Meiggs, 2000: Generating watches, warnings, and advisory broadcast scripts for the NOAA Weather Radio using Interactive Forecast Preparation. Preprints, 16th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 90-93.

Leaphart, M. A., 1989: Extended memory library for AFOS applications. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 89-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 47 pp.

Lee, W. J., J. Y. Cho, and R. G. Miller, 1989: Local very short range weather forecasting in the Republic of Korea. J. Korean Meteor. Soc., (page numbers unknown).

Leffler, R. J., and W. E. McGovern, 1995: Use of National Weather Service cooperative station climatic data for the preparation of objective county-level temperature adjustments. Preprints, 14th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 112-117.

Lenning, E., and M.S. Antolik, 1999: New AVN-based MOS precipitation forecasts: Taking the primary statistical precipitation guidance to the threshold of the medium range. Preprints, 17th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 196-200.

Lewis, F., D. A. Unger, and J. R. Bocchieri, 1985: Estimation of saturation thickness to initialize the LAMP moisture model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 113, 1933-1941.

__, P. L. Moore, and D. A. Lowry, 1978: Use of manually digitized radar data in forecasting precipitation and flash floods. Preprints 18th Conference on Radar Meteorology, Atlanta, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 453-456.

__, and T. H. Grayson, 1972: The adjustment of surface wind and pressure by Sasaki's variational matching technique. Technical Note No. 72-1, Fleet Numerical Weather Central, USN, Department of Defense, 49 pp.

__, and __, 1972: The adjustment of surface wind and pressure by Sasaki's variational matching technique. J. Appl. Meteor., 11, 586-597.

__, D. Greene, and R. McInturff, 1971: The correlation of tail-wind components and temperature at SST levels. Final Report No. DOT-SST-7l-l, Federal Aviation Agency, U.S. Department of Transportation, 10 pp.

__, __, and R. E. Saffle, 1971: Developing techniques for automated forecasting of clear air turbulence. Final Report No. DOT-FAA-RD-102, Federal Aviation Agency, U.S. Department of Transportation, 34 pp.

__, F., 1968: Regression of complex variables. Preprints First Statistical Meteorological Conference, Hartford, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 83-88.

Li, Y., and S. B. Smith, 1996: An automated technique for determining satellite cloud-top temperatures for thunderstorms. Preprints, 15th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Norfolk, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 150-152.

Long, P. E., Jr., and D. W. Pepper, 1981: An examination of some simple numerical schemes for calculating scalar advection. J. App1. Meteor., 20, 146-156.

__, J. E. Kemper, and W. A. Shaffer, 1979: Physics, numerics, and forecasts of the National Weather Service's atmospheric Boundary Layer Model. Preprints Third IMACS International Symposium on Computer Methods for Partial Differential Eauations, Bethlehem, Int. Assoc. Math. and Computers in Simulation, 427-434.

__, 1978: Calculations for estimating the equilibrium washout of tritium. Report No. DP-1443, E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Company, Savannah River Laboratory, Aiken, South Carolina, 35 pp.

__, W. A. Shaffer, J. E. Kemper, and F. J. Hicks, 1978: The state of the Techniques Development Laboratory's Boundary Layer Model: May 24, 1977. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-66, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 58 pp.

__, __, __, and __, 1977: The State of the Techniques Development Laboratory's Bounday Layer Model. Technical Memorandum 66 (TDL-66), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 66 pp.

__, and D. W. Pepper, 1976: A comparison of six numerical schemes for calculating the advection of atmospheric pollution. Preprints Third Symposium on Atmospheric Turbulence. Diffusion. and Air Oualitx, Raleigh, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 181-187.

__, 1975: Dissipation, Dispersion and Difference Schemes. Technical Memorandum 56 (TDL-56), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, pp. 33.

__, and W. A. Shaffer, 1975: Some Physical and Numerical Aspects of Boundary Layer Modeling. Technical Memorandum 55 (TDL-55), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, pp. 36.

__, and F. J. Hicks, 1975: Simple properties of chapeau functions and their application to the solution of the advection equation. TDL Office Note 75-8, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 23 pp.

Lowry, D. A., 1981: The physical relationships contained within the MOS precipitation model. Preprints Fourth Conference on Hydrometeorology, Reno, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 88-93.

__, 1980: How to use and not to use MOS guidance. Preprints Eighth Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 11-12.

__, and H. R. Glahn, 1976: An operational model for forecasting probability of precipitation--PEATMOS PoP. Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 221-232.

__, 1975: Meteorological forecast applications associated with AFOS. IEEE Transactions of Geoscience Electronics, Vol. GE 13, 116-122.

__, W. H. Klein, H. R. Glahn, and R. L. Crisci, 1974: Forecast applications associated with AFOS. Preprints Fifth Conference on Forecasting and Analysis, St. Louis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 7-12.

__, 1972: Climatological relationships among precipitable water, thickness, and precipitation. J. Appl. Meteor., 11, 1326-1333.

__, __, and R. E. Saffle, 1971: Developing techniques for automated forecasting of clear air turbulence. Final Report No. DOT-FAA-RD-102, Federal Aviation Agency, U.S. Department of Transportation, 34 pp.

__, 1970: Recent advances in the National Meteorological Service of Greece. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 51, 938-942.

__, and H. R. Glahn, 1969: Relationships between integrated atmospheric moisture and surface weather. J. App1. Meteor., 8, 762-768.

__, and E. F. Danielsen, 1968: 1000-mb graphical prediction model. Effects of variable stability in a Mon. Wea. Rev., 96, 86-97.

 

Liu, H., A. Taylor, and R. Schuster, 2015: Creating Inundation Guidance from NWS's Extra-Tropical Storm Surge Model. Preprints, 95th AMS Annual Meeting, Phoenix, AZ, 95th Amer. Meteor. Soc., 3.2
 

 

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      Maglaras, G. J., and G. M. Carter, 1986: How to use MOS guidance effectively. Preprints 11th Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Kansas City, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 17-22.

__, 1985: The performance of MOS snow amount guidance during two heavy snow events. Preprints Sixth Conference on Hydrometeorology, Indianapolis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 324-330.

__, 1985: Verification of objective snow amount guidance (October 1983 - March 1984). TDL Office Note 85-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 8 pp.

__, and E. L. Chiang 1985: Development of an improved automated system for forecasting the probability of liquid precipitation type. TDL Office Note 85-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.

__, F. Lewis, and H. R. Glahn, 1985: Development of an experimental system to forecast precipitation using empirical orthogonal functions. TDL Office Note 85-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 13 pp.

__, __, __, and K. A. Hocker, 1985: Experiments using empirical orthogonal functions to forecast the probability of precipitation. Preprints Ninth Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Virginia Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 31-36.

__, 1984: Verification of objective snow amount guidance (October 1982 - March 1983). TDL Office Note 84-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 7 pp.

__, G. M. Carter, J. P. Dallavalle, G. W. Hollenbaugh, and B. E. Schwartz, 1984: Comparative verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 16 (April 1983 - September 1983). TDL Office Note 84-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 69 pp.

__, 1983: Development of an improved automated system for forecasting the probability of frozen precipitation in Alaska. TDL Office Note 83-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 25 pp.

__, 1983: Development of an improved automated system for forecasting cloud amount, ceiling height, visibility, and obstructions to vision in Alaska. TDL Office Note 83-11, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.

__, 1982: Development of an improved automated system for forecasting the probability of precipitation in Alaska. TDL Office Note 82-9, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 17 pp.

__, J. P. Dallavalle, K. F. Hebenstreit, G. W. Hollenbaugh, B. E. Schwartz, and D. J. Vercelli, 1981: Comparative verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 10 (April 1980 - September 1980). TDL Office Note 81-7, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 61 pp.

Magsig, M. A., and G.J. Stumpf, 2006: The first workshop on severe weather technology for NWS warning decision making. Preprints, Symp. on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms. Atlanta, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P1.8.

Maloney, J. C., K. K. Gilbert, M. N. Baker, and P. E. Shafer, 2010: GFS-based MOS guidance - The extended-range alphanumeric messages from the 0000/1200 UTC forecast cycles. MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 2010-01, NOAA, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 12 pp.

__, Eric Engle, Phillip Shafer, and Geoffrey A. Wagner, 2009:
The NMM MOS replacement for the Eta MOS. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/19th Conf. Numerical Prediction, Omaha, NE, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

__, 2002: Eta-based MOS probability of precipitation (PoP) and quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF) guidance for the continental United States. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 487, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 22 pp.

__, 2002: Eta-based probability of precipitation amount guidance for the continental United States. Preprints, Nineteenth Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 415-418.

Mannarano, D., and R. Beasley, 1998: Quality control of ASOS observations. Preprints, 14th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 487-491.

Manross, K. L., T.M. Smith, J.T. Ferree, and G.J. Stumpf, 2008: An on-demand user interface for requesting multi-radar, multi-sensor time accumulated products to support severe weather verification. Extended Abstracts, 24th Conf. on Interactive Information Processing Systems, New Orleans, LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P2.13.

__, J.G. LaDue, and G.J. Stumpf, 2005: The Volume Coverage Pattern Explorer: A New Tool for Visualizing Radar Beam Paths. Preprints, 21st Intl. Conf. on Interactive Information Processing Systems for Meteor., Oceanography, and Hydrology, San Diego, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 5.5.

McClelland, J. M., 1970: Technique for Forecasting Low Water Occurrences in Baltimore and Norfolk. Technical Memorandum 28 (TDL-28), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 34 pp.

McDonald, M., and R. E. Saffle, 1994: Revised RADAP II archive data user's guide. TDL Office Note 94-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 48 pp.

__, and __, 1989: RADAP II archive data user's guide. TDL Office Note 89-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.

McGovern, W. E., 1992: The ratio of the range to the standard deviation: Potential applications within meteorology. Preprints, 12th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Toronto, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 114-118.

__, 1992: The range of a data set: Its relationship to the standard deviation for various distributions. American Journal of Physics, 60, 943-944.

__, 1992: Plan for the development of advanced severe weather algorithms for NEXRAD/AWIPS sites. TDL Office Note 92-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 19 pp.

__, D. H. Kitzmiller, and R. E. Saffle, 1992: First generation NEXRAD severe weather potential algorithm. Preprints, 12th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Toronto, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 138-143.

__, 1989: High resolution ground based remote sensors: New local or mesoscale climatic data sources. Preprints, Sixth Conference on Applied Climatology, Charleston, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 209-216.

__, 1989: Subsynoptic guidance forecasts and mesoscale processes. Preprints, 11th Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J33-J40.

__, 1986: Remote Sensing - Upscale forecasting: A technical strategy for contributing to improved mesoscale forecasting. TDL Office Note 86-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.

__, R. E. Saffle, and R. C. Elvander, 1985: Mesobeta scale thunderstorm forecasting with mesogamma scale data base. Preprints Ninth Conference on probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Virginia Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 11-15.

__, __, and K. C. Crawford, 1984: Verification results from 1982-1984 operational radar reflectivity experiment. Preprints 22nd Conference on Radar Meteorology, Zurich, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 188-191.

__, and __, 1983: Results of the 1982-83 RADAP II/ICRAD operational experiments. Papers Presented at the Workshop on Very Short-Range Forecasting Systems Research Aspects, Boulder, PSMP Pub. Series No.5, World Meteor. Org., 53-58.

Meiggs, R. K., and B. D. Papa, 2002: Performing service backup with the Interactive Forecast Preparation System. Preprints, Interactive Symposium on the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS), Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 80-83.

__, M. R. Peroutka, and D. P. Ruth, 1998: Implementing Interactive Forecast Preparation nationwide. Preprints, 14th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 359-363.

__, __, and S. L. Snyder, 1997: Updating forecasts via the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. Preprints, 13th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 116-119.

__, 1995: An overview of the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. Abstracts Training Symposium for Operational Forecasters in the Carolinas and Virginia Program, Raleigh, Nat. Wea. Svc., (no page number).

Meyer, F. G., V. J. Dagostaro, and D. T. Miller, 1997: NGM-based MOS visibility and obstruction to vision guidance for the contiguous U.S. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 431, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 10 pp.

Miller, D. T., 1995: NGM-based MOS ceiling height guidance for the contiguous U.S. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 414, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.

__, 1993: NGM-based MOS wind guidance for the contiguous United States. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 399, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 19 pp.

Miller, R. G., and J. Lang, 1991: Verification of 1-6 hour statistical weather forecasts. TDL Office Note 91-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 51 pp.

__, 1989: Very short range weather forecasting using automated observations. Statistics: A Guide to the Unknown. Wadsworth & Brooks/Cole Advanced Books & Software, Pacific Grove, 261-267.

__, 1988: Very short range weather forecasting using automated observations. Statistics: A Guide to the Unknown, J. Tanur, F. Mosteller, W. Kruskal, R. Link, R. Pieters, G. Rising, eds., Wadsworth and Brooks/Cole Advanced Books and Software, Pacific Grove, 261-267.

__, 1988: Very short range statistical forecasting of automated weather observations. Final Report DOT/FAA/PS-88/3, Federal Aviation Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation, 236 pp.

__, 1987: Very short range weather forecasting using automated observations. Preurints Tenth Conference on probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Edmonton, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 26-31.

__, 1987: Very short range statistical forecasting of automated weather observations. Third Interim Report No. DOT/FAA/PM-87/2, Federal Aviation Agency, U.S. Department of Transportation, 128 pp.

__, 1986: Very short range statistical forecasting of automated weather observations. Interim Report No. DOT/FAA/PM-86/10, Federal Avia¬tion Agency, U.S. Department of Transportation, 91 pp.

__, 1985: Very short range statistical forecasting of automated weather observations. Preprints Ninth Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Virginia Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 388-391.

__, and T. J. Perrone, 1985: Comparative verification between GEM and the official aviation Terminal Forecast (FT). TDL Office Note 85-8, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 58 pp.

__, and , 1985: A comparative verification between GEM and the official aviation Terminal Forecast (FT). Preprints Ninth Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Virginia Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 23-30.

__, and H. R. Glahn, 1985: Techniques used in the computer worded forecast for zones: Interpolation and combination. TDL Office Note 85-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 22 pp.

__, 1984: Very short range statistical forecasting of automated weather observations. Report No. DOT/FAA/PM-84/3l, Federal Aviation Agency, U.S. Department of Transportation, 17 pp.

__, 1984: GEM: A statistical weather forecasting procedure. PMSP Publication Series No. 6, World Meteor. Org., 102 pp.

__, M. M. Heffernan, and D. P. Ruth, 1984: AFOS era forecast verification. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 84-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 44 pp.

__, 1983: GEM. Papers Presented at the Workshop on Very Short-Range Forecasting Systems Research Aspects, Boulder, PSMP Pub. Series No.5, World Meteor. Org., 63-70.

__, and T. J. Perrone, 1983: GEM. Preprints Ninth Conference on Aerospace and Aeronautical Meteorology, Omaha, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 129-138.

__, __, and D. L. Best, 1983: A critical look at GEM. PreDrints Eighth Conference on probability and Statistics in AtmosDheric Sciences, Hot Springs, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 158-165.

__, 1981: GEM: A statistical weather forecasting procedure. NOAA Technical Report NWS 28, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 103 pp.

__, 1981: The Generalized Equivalent Markov (GEM) model. Preprints Seventh Conference on probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 159-165.

__, and D. L. Best, 1981: A beta classification model. TDL Office Note 81-8, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.

__, T. J. Perrone, and W. C. Herrmann, 1981: Details on the application of GEM. Preprints Seventh Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 166-169.

__, 1979: Estimating event probabilities by discrete likelihood functions. Preprints Sixth Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Banff, Amer. Meteor. Soc. 93-97.

__, 1979: Conditional climatology given the local observation. Natl. Wea. Digest, 4, No.4, 2-15.

__, and D. L. Best, 1979: A model for converting probability forecasts to categorical forecasts. Preprints Sixth Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Banff, Amer. Meteor. Soc. 98-102.

__, and R. C. Whiton, 1979: A weather simulation model based on REEP. Preprints Sixth Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Banff, Amer.Meteor. Soc., 167-172.

__, and D. L. Best, 1978: A model for converting probability forecasts to categorical forecasts. TDL Office Note 78-14, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 10 pp.

__, R. C. Whiton and M. J. Kelly, Jr., 1977: Results of a single station forecasting experiment. Preprints Fifth Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Las Vegas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 37-40.

Mogil, H. M., and R. L. Holle, 1972: Anomalous gradient winds: Existence and implications. Mon. Wea. Rev., 100, 709-716.

__, and W. D. Bonner, 1972: Use of Surface Observations in Boundary- Layer Analysis. Technical Memorandum 44 (TDL-44), National Wether Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.

__, and W. D. Bonner, 1971: On the use of surface observations in boundary-layer analysis, Seventh City, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 7-12.

Monteverdi, J. P., R. Edwards, G.J. Stumpf, and D. Gudgel, 2006: An Analysis of the 7 July 2004 Rockwell Pass, CA tornado: Highest elevation tornado documented in the US extended abstract. Preprints, 23rd Conf. on Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc. P12.2.

Morrill, R. A., E. H. Chin., and W. S. Richardson, 1979: Maine coastal storm and flood of February 2, 1976. Geological Survey Professional Paper No. 1087, Geological Survey, U.S. Department of the Interior, and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Department of Commerce, 20 pp.

Morris, K. R., and C. K. Kluepfel, 1999: WFO forecast verification in AWIPS--initial capabilities and future plans. Preprints, 15th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 360-363.

__, and R. W. Kessler, 1993: Helicity characteristics in tornadic storm environments from hourly wind profiler data. TDL Office Note 93-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 33 pp.

Mueller, C., T. Saxen, R. Roberts, J. Wilson, T. Betancourt, S. Dettling, N. Oien, and J. Yee, 2003: NCAR Auto-Nowcast System Weather and Forecasting,18, 545-561.

Murphy, M. C., and J. P. Dallavalle, 1984: An investigation of MOS minimum temperature errors in North and South Dakota during December 1982. TDL Office Note 84-16, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.

Murphy, A. H., and G. M. Carter, 1980: On the comparative evaluation of objective and subjective precipitation probability forecasts in terms of economic value. Preprints Eighth Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 478-487.

__, and R. A. Allan, 1970: Probabilistic Prediction in Meteorology; a Bibliography. Technical Memorandum 35 (TDL-35), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 60 pp.

 

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      Newton, M. C., 1984: AFOS display of MDR data on local map background. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 84-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce.

__, 1984: A field evaluation of the AFOS plotting program for manually digitized radar data. TDL Office Note 84-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 9 pp.

Norman, G. A., and M. C. Newton, 1987: AFOS monitoring of MDR data using flash flood guidance. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 87-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerc, 31 pp.

__, and D. J. Vercelli, 1985: The effect of terminal forecast remarks on the AFOS terminal forecast monitoring system. Preprints Second International Conference on the Aviation Weather System, Montreal, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 238-242.

 

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     Oberfield, M. G., M. R. Peroutka, and C. Abelman, 2008: Using probabilistic forecast guidance and an update technique to generate terminal aerodrome forecasts. Preprints, 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology, New Orleans, LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 5.4.

__, and D. P. Ruth, 1997: Preparing aviation terminal forecasts via the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. Preprints, Seventh Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J18-J21.

__, 1996: Creation of aviation forecasts from a digital database. Preprints, 12th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Atlanta, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 247-251.

Olson, S. R., M. R. Peroutka, J. E. Calkins, D. C. Young, A. P. Noel, A. Thomas, A.E. Danaher, and J. M. Huddelston, 2007: Tabular product evolution using extensible markup language. Preprints, 23rd International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 3A.4.

Ortega, K.L., T.M. Smith and G.J. Stumpf, 2006: Verification of multi-sensor, multi-radar hail diagnosis techniques. Preprints, Symp. on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms. Atlanta, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P1.1.

__, __, __, J. Hocker, and L. Lopez, 2005: A comparison of multi-sensor hail diagnosis techniques. Preprints, 21st Intl. Conf. on Interactive Information Processing Systems for Meteor., Oceanography, and Hydrology, San Diego, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P1.11.

 

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    Palko, J. M., J. S. Jensenius, Jr., and J. P. Dallavalle, 1985: Development of medium range forecast equations for maximum/minimum temperature and probability of precipitation. TDL Office Note 85-7, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.

Papa, B. D., M. A. McInerney, M. R. Peroutka, and J. L. Schattel, Jr., 2002: Generating marine watches, warnings, and advisories using Interactive Forecast Preparation. Preprints, Interactive Symposium on the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS), Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 62-65.

Pepper, D. W., D. C. Kern, and P. E. Long, 1979: Modeling the dispersion of atmospheric pollution using cubic splines and chapeau functions. Atmospheric Environment, 13, 223-237.

__, and P. E. Long, 1978: A comparison of results using second order moments with and without correction to solve the advection equations. J. Appl. Meteor., 17, 228-233.

Peroutka, M. R., 2015: Ensemble forecast systems and MOS, Harry R. Glahn Symposium, Phoenix, AZ, 95th Amer. Meteor. Soc., 2.1.

__, G. Zylstra, T. Huntemann, and J. Wagner, 2010: Probability distributions of apparent temperature from ensemble MOS. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Atlanta, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

__, G. Zylstra, and J. L. Wagner, 2005: Assessing forecast uncertainty in the National Digital Forecast Database. Preprints, 21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Washington, D.C., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 2B.3.

__, M. Graf, M. G. Oberfield, G. Trojan, and B. Li, 2004: The Aviation Forecast Preparation System of The National Weather Service. Preprints, 11th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P3.2.

__, M. G. Oberfield, J. T. Davis, and R. Yu, 2002: Identifying local effects in gridded forecasts for the Interactive Forecast Preparation System. Preprints, Interactive Symposium on the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS), Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 58-61.

__, and J. E. Calkins, 2000: Generating marine forecasts using Interactive Forecast Preparation. Preprints, 16th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98-101.

__, R. K. Meiggs, and M. B. Romberg, 1998: The generation of products in Interactive Forecast Preparation. Preprints, 14th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 350-354.

__, M. G. Oberfield, and J. M. Sierchio, 1997: Fire weather products in the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. Preprints, 13th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 64-67.

__, 1990: "Explicit weather"--A new approach to forecast formatting. Abstracts Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the National Weather Association, New Carrollton, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 28.

Perrone, T. J., and R. G. Miller, 1985: Generalized exponential Markov and model output statistics: A comparative verification. Mon. Wea. Rev., 113, 1524-1541.

__, and __, 1984: A comparative verification of GEM and MOS. PMSP Publication Series No. 10, World Meteor. Org., 67 pp.

__, and __, 1983: A comparative verification of GEM and MOS. TDL Office Note 83-10, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 70 pp.

Phan, L. T., E. Simiu, M. A. McInerney, A. A. Taylor, B. Glahn, and M. D. Powell, 2007: Methodology for development of design criteria for joint hurricane wind speed and strom surge events: proof of concept. NIST Technical Note 1482, U. S. Department of Commerce, 45 pp.

Plant, N. G., H. F. Stockdon, A. H. Sallenger Jr., M. J. Turco, J. W. East, A. A. Taylor, and W. A. Shaffer, 2010: Forecasting hurricane impact on coastal topography. EOS, Volume 91, Number 7, 65-72.

Polger, P. D., R. M. Thompson, and G. M. Carter, 1985: NWS precipitation forecast verification: A new look. Preprints Ninth Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Virginia Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 90-95.

Pore, N. A., 1983: Experimental automated wave forecasts for the Chesapeake Bay and lower Potomac River. TDL Office Note 83-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 11 pp.

__, 1983: Experimental automated wave forecasts for the Chesapeake Bay and lower Potomac River. Natl. Wea. Digest, 8, No.4, 47-54.

__, 1982: An updated comparison of surface winds on the Great Lakes as reported by buoys and ships. TDL Office Note 82-5, National Weather U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.

__, and B. G. Smith, 1981: Chesapeake Bay wave forecasts. TDL Office Note 81-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 19 pp.

__, W. E. Kennedy, and J. A. May, 1981: Comparison of surface winds on the Great Lakes as reported by buoys and ships. TDL Office Note 81-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 10 pp.

__, 1980: Verification of ocean wave forecasts by the singular and spectral methods. TDL Office Note 80-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 4 pp.

__, and S. F. Brown, 1980: Improvement in the National Weather Service's North Atlantic wave forecasts. Natl. Wea. Digest, 5, 39-42.

__, and , 1980: Improvement in the National Weather Service's North Atlantic wind and wave forecasts. Preprints Second Conference on Coastal Meteorology, Los Angeles, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 54-57.

__, 1979: Automated wave forecasting for the Great Lakes. Mon. Wea. Rev., 107, 1275-1286.

__, 1977: Automated Great Lakes Wave Forecasts. Technical Memorandum 63 (TDL-63), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.

__, 1977: Storm hazards. Coastal Ecosystem Management. John Wiley and Sons, 720-723.

__, and P. S. DeLeonibus, 1977: An aid for reducing wind speeds over water to a standard level. TDL Office Note 77-10, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 5 pp.

__, 1976: Automated forecasting of extratropical storm surges. Preprints Fifteenth Coastal Engineering Conference, Honolulu, Amer. Soc. of Civil Eng., Vol. 1, 906-920.

__, 1976: Operational marine environmental prediction programs of the Techniques Development Laboratory. TDL Office Note 76-10, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 22 pp.

__, 1976: Low water-storm of April 3-4, 1975. Mariners Weather Log, 20, 6-8.

__, and C. S. Barrientos, 1976: Storm Surge. MESA New York Bight Atlas Monograph 6, New York Sea Grant Institute, Albany, New York, 44 pp.

__, H. P. Perotti, and W. S. Richardson, 1975: Climatology of Lake Erie Storm Surges at Buffalo and Toledo. Technical Memorandum 54 (TDL-54), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, pp. 27.

__, 1974: A forecast aid for extratropical storm surges at Washington, North Carolina. TDL Office Note 74-9, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.

__, 1974: A forecast aid for extratropical storm surge at Minnesott Beach, North Carolina. TDL Office Note 74-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 11 pp.

__, W. S. Richardson, and H. P. Perrotti, 1974: Forecasting Extratropical Storm Surges the Northeast Coast of the United States. Technical Memorandum 50 (TDL-50), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 70 pp.

__, 1973: Marine conditions and automated forecasts for the Atlantic coastal storm of February 18-20, 1972. Mon. Wea. Rev., 101, 363-370.

__, 1973: Automated forecasting of extratropical storm surges for the northeast coast of the United States. Proceedings Fifth Annual Offshore Technology Conference, Dallas, Amer. Inst. Mining, Metallurgical, and Petroleum Eng. 83-96.

__, 1971: Low water--A navigational hazard. Mariner's Weather Log, 15, 125-127.

__, J. M. McClelland, C. S. Barrientos, and W.E. Kennedy, 1971: Wave Climatology for the Great Lakes. Technical Memorandum 40 (TDL-40), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 61 pp.

__, 1970: Summary of Selected Reference Material on the Oceanographic Phenomena of Tides, Storm Surges, Waves, and Breakers. Technical Memorandum 30 (TDL-30), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 103 pp.

__, and W. S. Richardson, 1969: Second Interim Report on Sea and Swell Forecasting. ESSA Technical Memorandum WBTM TDL-17, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 7 pp.

__, and R. A. Cummings, 1967: A Fortran Program for the Calculation of Hourly Values of Astronomical Tide and Time and Height of High and Low Water. Weather Bureau Technical Memorandum WBTM TDL-6, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 17 pp.

__, and W. S. Richardson, 1967: Interim Report on Sea and Swell Forecasting. Weather Bureau Technical Memorandum TDL-13, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 30 pp.

__, 1965: Chesapeake Bay extratopical storm surges. Chesapeake Science, 6, 172-182.

__, A.T. Angelo and J.G. Taylor, 1965: Hurricane Cindy Galveston Bay Tides. Weather Bureau Technical (Memorandum) Note 11-TDL-2, Environmental Science Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.

__, 1964: The relation of wind and pressure to extratropical storm surges at Atlantic City. J. ADD1. Meteor., 3, 155-163.

 

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      Reap, R. M., 1997: Probability forecasts of aircraft icing for the contiguous U.S. Preprints, Seventh Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 100-105.

__, 1997: Aircraft icing forecasts for the contiguous U.S. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 437, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce.

__, 1996: Probability forecasts of clear-air turbulence for the contiguous U.S. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 430, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 15 pp.

__, 1994: Analysis and prediction of lightning strike distributions associated with synoptic map types over Florida. Mon. Wea. Rev., 122, 1698-1715.

     __, 1994: 24-h NGM-based probability and categorical forecasts of thunder- storms and severe local storms for the contiguous U.S. NWS       Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 419, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.

__, 1993: The use of network lightning data to detect thunderstorms near surface reporting stations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 464-469.

__, 1992: The Techniques Development Laboratory three-dimensional trajectory model. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 397, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 11 pp.

__, 1992: Detection of thunderstorms near surface stations by lightning data. Proceedings International Aerospace and Ground Conference on Lightning and Static Electricity, Atlantic City, National Inter agency Coordinating Group, 49.1-49.9.

__, 1991: Climatological characteristics and objective prediction of thunderstorms over Alaska. Wea. Forecasting, 6, 309-319.

__, 1991: Lightning strike distributions associated with synoptic map types over Florida. Abstracts Fifteenth Annual Meeting of the National Weather Association, Salt Lake City, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 37.

__, 1991: Thunderstorm probability forecasts for Alaska. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 392, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administra- tion, U.S. Department of Commerce, 5 pp.


__, 1990: Thunderstorms over Alaska as revealed by lightning location data. Preprints, 16th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Kananaskis Park, Canada, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J46-J51.

__, 1990: Six-hour thunderstorm probability forecasts for Kansas-Oklahoma and the Northeast United States. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 385, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 6 pp.

__, 1990: Forecasting snow amounts from net vertical displacements. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 389, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 7 pp.

__, and R. E. Orville, 1990: On the relationships between network lightning locations and surface hourly observations of thunderstorms. Mon. Wea. Rev., 118, 94-108.

__, and D. R. MacGorman, 1989: Cloud to ground lightning: Climatological characteristics and relationships to model fields, radar observations, and severe local storms. Mon. Wea. Rev., 117, 518-535.

__, and __, 1988: A comparison of cloud-to-ground lightning to analyzed model fields, radar observations, and severe local storms. Preprints 15th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Baltimore, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 505-510.

__, and R. E. Orville, 1988: A comparison of network lightning locations and surface hourly observations of thunderstorms. EOS. Trans. Amer. Geophysicial Union, 69, 1076.

__, and J. P. Charba, 1987: Automated prediction of convective storms and associated weather phenomena. Extended Abstracts of Papers Presented at the WHO Workshop on Significant Weather Elements Prediction and Objective Interpretation Methods, Toulouse, PSMP Report Series No. 25, World Meteor. Org., 17-21.

__, 1986: Evaluation of cloud-to-ground lightning data from the western United States for the 1983-84 summer seasons. J. Climate Appl. Meteor., 25, 785-799.

__, 1984: Evaluation of MOS probability forecasts for major tornado outbreaks. Preprints 10th Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Clearwater Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 521-524.

__, 1983: Preliminary evaluation of 1982-83 cool season forecasts from an automated convective outlook (AC) chart. Preprints 13th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Tulsa, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 47-50.

__, D. S. Foster, and S. J. Weiss, 1982: Development and evaluation of an automated convective outlook (AC) chart. Preprints 12th Conference on Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 110-115.

__, __, and __, 1981: The experimental convective outlook (AC) chart: Comparative verification and preliminary evaluation. TDL Office Note 81-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 24 pp.

__, and __, 1980: Reply (to "Comments on 'Automated 12-36 hour probability forecasts of thunderstorms and severe local storms'"). J. Appl. Meteor., 19, 1334-1339.

__, and __, 1979: Automated 12-36 hour probability forecasts of thunderstorms and severe local storms. J. Appl. Meteor., 18, 1304-1315.

__, and __, 1979: On producing categorical forecasts from operational probability forecasts of thunderstorms and severe local storms. Preprints 11th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Kansas City, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 619-624.

__, 1976: Assimilation of Surface, Upper Air, and Grid-Point Data in the Objective Analysis Procedure for Three-Dimensional Trajectory Model. Technical Memorandum 59 (TDL-59), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 17 pp.

__, and D. S. Foster, 1975: New operational thunderstorm and severe storm probability forecasts based on Model Output Statistics (MOS). Preprints Ninth Conference on Severe Local Storms, Norman, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 58-63.

__, 1974: Thunderstorm and severe weather probabilities based on model output statistics. Preprints Fifth Conference on Forecasting and Analysis, St. Louis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 266-269.

__, 1972: An operational three-dimensional trajectory model. J. Appl. Meteor., 11, 1193-1202.

__, 1971: Air-Sea Energy Exchange in Lagrangian Temperature and Dew Point Forecasts. Technical Memorandum 43 (TDL-43), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 23 pp.

__, and M. A. A1aka, 1969: An objective quasi-Lagrangian index for predicting convective weather outbreaks. Preprints Sixth Conference on Severe Local Storms, Chicago, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 119-124.

__, 1968: Prediction of Temperature and Dew Point by Three-Dimensional Trajectories. Weather Bureau Technical Memorandum WBTM TDL-15, Environ-Services Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.

__, 1967: Lagrangian prediction of temperature and moisture fields. Preprints Fifth Conference on Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 129-134.
 

     Richardson, W. S., and C. S. Gilman, 1984: Improved automated extra tropical storm surge forecast guidance for East Coast cities. Natl. Wea. Digest, 9, No.2, 11-17.

__, and H. P. Perrotti, 1984: Computer worded high seas forecasts. TDL Office Note 84-13, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 18 pp.

__, 1983: Statistical wave forecast equations for a deepwater buoy location off the Washington-Oregon coast. TDL Office Note 83-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.

__, and D. C. Marsico, 1983: A method for estimating waves at a nearshore buoy location off the Delaware-New Jersey coast. TDL Office Note 83-4, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 11 pp.

__, and C. S. Gilman, 1983: Improved 6-, 12-, 18-, and 24-h extratropical storm surge forecast guidance for Boston, Mass.; New York, N.Y.; Norfolk, Va.; and Charleston, S.C. TDL Office Note 83-8, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 26 pp.

__, and __, 1983: Improved 6-, 12-, 18-, and 24-h extratropical storm surge forecast guidance for Willets Point, N.Y. TDL Office Note 83-17, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 13 pp.

__, N. A. Pore, and D. M. Feit, 1982: A tide climatology for Boston, Massachusetts. NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS TDL-71, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 67 pp.

__, and C. L. Boggio, 1980: A new extratropical storm surge forecast equation for Charleston, South Carolina. TDL Office Note 80-7, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 10 pp.

__, 1980: Improved beach erosion forecasts for the U.S. East Coast. TDL Office Note 80-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 13 pp.

__, 1979: Extratropical storm surge forecast guidance for Ocean City, Md. TDL Office Note 79-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 6 pp.

__, D. A. Andrews, and F. A. Rosentein, 1979: Verification of Automated East Coast Extratropical Storm Surge Forecasts. TDL Office Note 79-18, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 33 pp.

__, and D. J. Schawb, 1979: Comparison and Verification of Dynamical and Statistical Lake Erie Storm Surge Forecasts. Technical Memorandum 69 (TDL-69), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 28 pp.

__, 1978: Extratropical storm-related beach erosion. Mariners Wea. Log, 22, 149-153.

__, 1978: Forecasting extratropical storm-related beach erosion along the U. S. east coast. TDL Office Note 78-13, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 29 pp.

__, 1975: Evaluation of computer-produced Lake Erie storm surge forecasts from September 1, 1974 through April 30, 1975. TDL Office Note 75-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 18 pp.

__, 1974: Evaluation of computer-produced Lake Erie storm surge forecasts from September 1, 1973 through April 30, 1974. TDL Office Note 74-10, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 8 pp.

__, 1973: Application of modified Lake Erie storm surge program to 1972-1973 surge cases. TDL Office Note 73-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 7 pp.

__, and N. A. Pore, 1969: A Lake Erie Storm Surge Forecasting Technique. Technical Memorandum 24 (TDL-24), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 23 pp.


Rodenhuis, D. R., F. Lewis, A. L. Forst, A. S. Allegrino, and D. H. Kitzmiller, 1983: Improvements in terminal weather forecasts. Final Report, Contract No. NA-80-SAC-0284, University of Maryland, 89 pp.

Rothfusz, L. P., J. Noffsinger, M. R. Peroutka, S. Schotz, and J. T. Johnson, 1996: Weather information display, analysis and product generation tools used in support of the 1996 Summer Olympic Games: Daily forecasts. Preprints, 12th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Atlanta, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 7-12.

__, 1996: Probability forecasts of clear-air turbulence for the contiguous U.S. Preprints, 13th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, San Francisco, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 66-71.


Rudack, D. E., 2015: Results of sensitivity testing of MOS wind speed and direction guidance using various sample sizes from the Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) reforecasts. Post-Processing and Product Generation, Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 4.3.

__, D. P. Ruth, K. K. Gilbert, and T. Curtis, 2014: A first look at the Meteorological Development Laboratory's experimental ECMWF MOS system. 26th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Atlanta, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J4.1.

__, and J.E. Ghirardelli, 2010: A comparative verification of Localized Aviation Model Output Statistics Program (LAMP) and Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) model forecasts of ceiling and visibility. Weather and Forecasting, Vol. 24, Number 4, 1161-1178.

__, 2009: Aviation Weather Observations vs. LAMP Forecasts with the Onset of Precipitation. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 90, 929-938.

__, and Ghirardelli, J., 2008: Statistical guidance for terminal aerodrome forecasts from the localized aviation MOS program., Preprints, 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology. New Orleans, LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P1.1.

__, 2006: GFS-based MOS Wind Gust Guidance for the United States, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 06-01, NOAA, U.S. Dept of Commerce, 9 pp.

__, 2005: Improvements in the Localized Aviation MOS Program (LAMP) categorical visibility and obstruction to vision statistical guidance. Preprints, 21st Confrerence on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Washington, D.C., Amer. Meteor. Soc., P1.52.


Ruth, D. P., 2015: The advent of operational digital forecasts. Harry R. Glahn Symposium, 95th Annual Conference, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Phoenix, AZ, 2.1.

__, 1993: The interactive modification of gridded forecasts. Preprints, Ninth International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Anaheim, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 327-332.

__, B. Glahn, V. Dagostaro, and K. Gilbert, 2009: The Performance of MOS in the Digital Age. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 504-519.

__, M. A. Mathewson, T. J. LeFebvre, and P. K. Wu, 1998: Interpretation and editing techniques for Interactive Forecast Preparation. Preprints, 14th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 345-349.

__, and M. R. Peroutka, 1993: The Interactive Computer Worded Forecast. Preprints, Ninth International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Anaheim, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 321-326

__, 1992: The systematic interpolative radial search (SIRS)--A method to compute gridpoint values from contours. TDL Office Note 92-14, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 16 pp.

__, and A. Rezek, 1990: Interactive computer worded forecasts and the local forecaster, an operational experiment. Abstracts Fourteenth Annual Meeting of the National Weather Association, New Carrollton, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 28.

__, and D. J. Vercelli, 1989: Interactive techniques for preparing domestic and international terminal forecast products. Preprints, Fifth International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Anaheim, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 313-320.

__, and C. L. Alex, 1987: AFOS-era forecast verification. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 87-2, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 50 pp.

__, R. L. Miller, and M. M. Heffernan, 1985: AFOS-era forecast verification. NOAA Techniques Development Laboratory Computer Program NWS TDL CP 85-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 47 pp.

 

 

 

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     Saffle, R., J. Cappelletti, W. Carrigg, T. Ganger, M. Jain, D. Miller, and S. B. Smith, 1998: Accelerating the integration of new meteorological algorithms into the WSR-88D. The Common Operations and Development Environment. Preprints, 14th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 254-258.

Saffle, R. E., 1989: Plan for the development and implementation of severe weather probability relationships at NEXRAD sites. TDL Office Note 89-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.

__, 1988: Radar rainfall estimates for the Pittsburgh Little Pine Creek flash flood of May 1986. Preprints 15th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Baltimore, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 198-200.

__, and R. C. Elvander, 1986: Refinement of the National Weather Service severe weather probability algorithm. Preprints 23rd Conference on Radar Meteorology, Snowmass, Amer. Meteor. Soc., JP 70-72.

__, W. E. McGovern, and M. McDonald, 1986: Use of RADAP II data to estimate the impact of NEXRAD scan strategies on calculations of vertically integrated liquid water. Preprints 23rd Conference on Radar Meteorology, Snowmass, Amer. Meteor. Soc., JP 60-61.

__, and R. C. Elvander, 1981: Use of digital radar data in automated short range estimates of severe weather probability and radar reflectivity. Preprints Seventh Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 192-199.

__, 1979: Objective forecasts of convective weather using digital radar data. Preprints 11th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Kansas City, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 199-201.

__, and D. R. Green, 1978: The role of radar in the flash flood watch warning system: Johnstown examined. Preprints 18th Conference on Radar Meteorology, Atlanta, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 468-473.

__, 1977: A case study of reported severe weather events and concurrent vertically integrated liquid water content values. Preprints Tenth Conference on Severe Local Storms, Omaha, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104-109.

__, 1976: D/RADEX products and field operation. Preprints 17th Conference on Radar Meteorology, Seattle, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 555-559.

Salem, T. L., Jr., 1987: Wind forecasts for the central United States from the local AFOS MOS program. TDL Office Note 87-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.

Schaake, J., Z. Toth, D. Reynolds, M. Antolik, J. Maloney, J. Du, B. Zhou, M. Halpert, R. Martin, P. Dallavalle, E. Danaher, and K. Lynott, 2003: Toward a science infusion strategy for NWS probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting (PQPF). Preprints, 17th Conference on Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

Scharfenberg, K. A., T.M. Smith, and G.J. Stumpf, 2005: The testing of NSSL multi-sensor applications and data from prototype platforms in NWS forecast operations. Preprints, 21st Conf. on Wea. Analysis and Forecasting, Washington, DC, USA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 6A.2.

Schattel, J. L., P. R. Hershberg, and R. Bunge, 2009: User Preferences for Weather Data Dissemniation Standards on the Web. Preprints, 25th Conference on International Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J1.2.

__, and R. Bunge, 2008: WEB APPLICATIONS: The National Weather Service Shares Digital Forecasts Using Web Services. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 89, 449-450.

__, A. A. Taylor, P. R. Hershberg, and R. Bunge., 2007: Disseminating National Weather Service digital forecasts using open geospatial standards. Preprints, 23rd International Conference on Interaction and Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 3B.9.

__, Jr., and R. K. Meiggs, 2000: Managing product improvement in the Interactive Forecast Preparation System. Preprints, 16th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 94-97.

Schenk, M., 2006: Performance of three forecast systems at selected MOS and non-MOS stations. MDL Office Note 06-01, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 9 pp.

Schwartz, B. E., 1984: Typical warm season MOS guidance errors. Preprints 10th Conference on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Clearwater Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 50-56.

__, and E. L. Chiang, 1984: Testing of objective guidance for Hawaii. TDL Office Note 84-10, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 22 pp.

__, 1983: Development of a new automated system for forecasting surface winds in Alaska. TDL Office Note 83-5, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. ITepartment of Commerce, 14 pp.

__, and G. M. Carter, 1982: An evaluation of a modified speed enhancement technique for objective surface wind forecasting. TDL Office Note 82-1, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 11 pp.

__, J. P. Da11ava11e, 1982: An evaluation of MOS maximum/minimum temperature forecasts for the eastern United States during two Arctic outbreaks. TDL Office Note 82-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 18 pp.

__, J. R. Bocchieri, G. M. Carter, J. P. Dallavalle, G. W. Hollenbaugh, G. J. Maglaras, and D. J. Vercelli, 1981: Comparative verification of guidance and local aviation/public weather forecasts--No. 11 (October 1980 - March 1981). TDL Office Note 81-10, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 77 pp.

Seguin, W. R. and S.B. Smith, 2010: The Student Career Experience Program - A Door to a Career with the National Weather Service. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 91, 1-7.

__, R. A. Beasley, and J. L. Pellett, 1994: Changes in the surface observation program and their impact on applications programs, developers, and users. Abstracts National Weather Association Nineteenth Annual Meeting Program, Salt Lake City, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 25.

__, and A. A. Rezek, 1993: Opportunities for producing new forecast products in the era of the modernized Weather Service. Abstracts National Weather Association Eighteenth Annual Meeting Program, Raleigh, Nat. Wea. Assoc., 31-32.

__, 1989: Impact of local computer applications programs on concurrent and future Weather Service operations. Preprints, 11th Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J47-J52.

__, 1987: Implementation plans for TDL's local application system. TDL Office Note 87-6, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 20 pp.

Settelmaier, J. B., 1996: Evaluating medium-range weather forecasts: An analysis of errors. Preprints, 15th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Norfolk, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 461-464.

__, 1995: A developer's approach to forecasting the precipitation type associated with a major cyclone. Preprints, 14th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 274-279.

__, 1995: Medium-range weather forecasting: A backward look and a forward look. Abstracts National Weather Association Twentieth Annual Meeting Program, Houston, Nat. Wea. Assoc., (no page number).

__, 1993: Precipitation type guidance for medium-range projections. Abstracts National Weather Association Eighteenth Annual Meeting Program, Raleigh, Nat. Wea. Assoc., p. 34.

__, and J. S. Jensenius, Jr., 1993: Objective forecasts of probability of precipitation and mean opaque cloudiness at medium-range projections. Preprints, 13th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Vienna, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 319-322.

Sfanos, B., 2001: AVN-based MOS wind guidance for the United States and Puerto Rico. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 474, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 9 pp.

Shafer, P. E., 2015: A sample size sensitivity test for MOS precipitation type. Special Symposium on Model Postprocessing and Downscaling, Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 4.1.

__, and D. E. Rudack, 2015: Development of a MOS thunderstorm system for the ECMWF model. Seventh Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data, Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 2.1.

__, and D. E. Rudack, 2014: Experimental MOS precipitation type guidance from the ECMWF model. 22nd Conf. on Prob. and Stat. in the Atmos. Sci., Atlanta, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 6.4.

__, J. P. Charba and F. G. Samplatsky, 2013: Probabilistic Convection and Lightning Forecasts: A Multi-Model 'Consensus' MOS Approach. Sixth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data, 93rd Annual Conference, Amer. Meteor. Soc.,Austin, TX, 737.

__, 2010: Logit transforms in forecasting precipitation type. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Atlanta, GA, Amer. Mieteor. Soc.

__, and Gilbert, K., 2008: Developing GFS-Based MOS thunderstorm guidance for Alaska., Preprints, Third Conference on Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data, New Orleans, LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P2.9.

Shaffer, W. A., C. P. Jelesnianski, and J. Chen, 1989: Hurricane Storm Surge Forecasting. Preprints, 11th Conference on Probability and Statistics in Atmospheric Sciences, Monterey, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J53-J58.

__, __, and J. Chen, 1986: Hurricane storm surge forecasting. Preprints Oceans 86, Washington, D.C., Marine Tech. Soc. and IEEE/Oceanic Eng. Soc., 1379-1385.

__, P. E. Long, and J. E. Kemper, 1981: Use of trajectory forecasts from the TDL Boundary Layer Model. Preprints Fifth Symposium on Turbulence. Diffusion. and Air Pollution, Atlanta, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 2 pp.

__, 1979: A Simple Soil Heat Flux Calculation for Numerical Models. Technical Memorandum 68 (TDL-68), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 23 pp.

__, and P. E. Long, Jr., 1975: A Predictive Boundary Layer Model. Technical Memorandum 57 (TDL-57), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, pp. 44.

Sheets, K. L., 2008: Employing geographic information systems for gridded output statistics. Preprints, 24th Conference on IIPS, New Orleans, LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 5A.14.

__, 2007: Supporting gridded model output statistics forecast guidance system. Conference Proceeding, 27th Annual ESRI International User Conference, San Diego.

__, Trimarco, R. A., and Hughes, K. K., 2005: Using Geographic Information Systems to Develop Gridded Model Output Statistics. Preprints, 21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Washington, D. C., Amer. Meteor. Soc.

Shirey, M. A., and M. C. Erickson, 1999: Statistical quantitative precipitation forecasts based on the medium range forecast model. Preprints, 17th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Denver, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 206-211.

Silverman, A. M., R. W. Przybylinski, and D. H. Kitzmiller, 1998: Derived WSR-88D products and environmental indices as severe weather predictors - a statistical evaluation. Preprints, 19th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 744-747.

Smith, S. B., D. Pace, S. Goodman, D. Burgess, D. Smarsh, R. Roberts, and M. Wolfson, 2001: The THOR Project: Reducing the impact of thunderstorms on aviation and the general public through a multi-agency effort. Preprints, Eighteenth Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Fort Lauderdale, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 314-315.

__, 2000: Categorical thunderstorm and tornado warnings in the National Weather Service. Preprints, 20th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 307-309.

__, 2000: The THOR project: Improved thunderstorm forecasts for aviation and the general public. Preprints, 9th Conf. on Aviation Range and Aerospace Meteorology, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J15-J17.

__, J. G. LaDue, and D.R. MacGorman, 2000: The relationship between cloud-to-ground lightning polarity and surface equivalent potential temperature during three tornadic outbreaks. Mon. Wea. Rev., 3320-3328.

__, J. Roe, M. T. Filiaggi, M. Glaudemans, M. Churma, L. Xin, and R. Erb, 2000: Flash flood monitoring and prediction in AWIPS build 5 and beyond. Preprints, 15th Conference on Hydrology, Long Beach, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 229-232.

__, S. K. Goel, M. T. Filiaggi, M. Churma, and L. Xin, 1999: Overview and status of the AWIPS System for Convection Analysis and Nowcasting (SCAN). Preprints, 15th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 326-329.

__, P. A. Hirschberg, and J. L. Partain, 1999: NWS SAFESEAS - A new marine/coastal monitoring and forecasting capability for AWIPS. Program National Weather Association Twenty Fourth Annual Meeting, Biloxi, National Weather Association, p. 23.

__, __, and M. M. Mercer, 1999: National Weather Service SAFESEAS - A new marine/coastal monitoring and forecasting capability for AWIPS. Preprints, 3rd Conference on Coastal Atmospheric and Oceanic Prediction and Processes, New Orleans, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 176-179.

__, G. W. Reuter, and M. K. Yau, 1998: The episodic occurrence of hail in Central Alberta and Highveld of South Africa. Atmosphere-Ocean, 36-2, 169-178.

__, J. T. Johnson, R. D. Roberts, S. M. Zubrick, and S. J. Weiss, 1998: The System for Convection Analysis and Now-casting Field Test 1997-98. Preprints, 19th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 790-793.

__, T. M. Graziano, R. A. Lane, W. O. Alexander, M. D. Eilts, J. T. Johnson, J. W. Wilson, R. D. Roberts, D. W. Burgess, D. H. Kitzmiller, R. E. Saffle, R. C. Elvander, S. M. Zubrick, J. T. Schaefer, S. J. Weiss, and D. A. Imy, 1998: The System for Convection Analysis and Nowcasting (SCAN). Preprints, 16th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J22-24.

__, 1997: Comments on "An interesting mesoscale storm- environment interaction observed just prior to changes in severe storm behavior." Wea. Forecasting, 12, 368-372.

__, 1996: How soon can a thunderstorm be identified? A comparison of satellite-observed cloud-top cooling and the onset of cloud-to-ground lightning. Preprints, 18th Conference on Severe Local Storms, San Francisco, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 479-482.

__, and M. E. Churma, 1996: An overview of the AWIPS thunderstorm product. Preprints, 15th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Norfolk, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 297-300.

__, J. G. LaDue, and D. R. MacGorman, 1995: Integrated data sets in the study and forecasting of thunderstorms. Preprints, 14th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 347-351.

__, __, and __, 1994: Intensification of tornadic storms in relation to their mesoscale environment. Preprints, 6th Conference on Mesoscale Processes, Portland, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 205-208.

Sohl, C. J., and M. R. Peroutka, 1993: Implementation of the Interactive Computer Worded Forecast at the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Norman, Oklahoma. Preprints, 13th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Vienna, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 209-212.

Sperow, K. S., R. K. Meiggs, W. J. Goodman, and W. D. Jiang, 2000: Generating watches, warnings, and advisories using Interactive Forecast Preparation. Preprints, 16th International Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Long Beach, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 86-89.

Stumpf, G. J., J. G. LaDue, R. A. Prentice, M. Elliott, and D. M. Kingfield, 2014: The Multiple-Radar/Multiple-Sensor Severe Weather Products Best Practices Experiment in the HWT. 27th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Atlanta, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 40.

__, C. Karstens, and L. P. Rothfusz, 2014: Enhanced Warning Verification Techniques for FACETs. 27th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Atlanta, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 40.

__, T. M. Smith, D. L. Andra, D. W. Burgess, J. G. LaDue, L. R. Lemon, M. A. Magsig, K. Manross, D. J. Miller, S. Nelson, K. L. Ortega, K. Scharfenberg, D. W. Sharp, 2008: Experimental gridded warning guidance for severe convective weather threats. 24th Conf. on Interactive Information Processing Systems, New Orleans, LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P1.3.

__, __, K. Manross, and D.L. Andra, 2008: The Experimental Warning Program 2008 Spring Experiment at the NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed. Extended Abstracts, 24th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Savannah, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., DC-ROM, 8A.1.

__, M. T. Filiaggi, M. A. Magsig, K. D. Hondl, S. B. Smith, R. Toomey, C. Kerr, 2006: Status on the integration of the NSSL Four-dimensional Stormcell Investigator (FSI) into AWIPS. Preprints, 23rd Conf. on Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 8.3.

__, S.B. Smith and K.E. Kelleher, 2005: Collaborative activities of the NWS MDL and NSSL to improve and develop new severe weather warning guidance applications. Preprints, 21st Intl. Conf. on Interactive Information Processing Systems for Meteor., Oceanography, and Hydrology, San Diego, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P2.13.

__, K. D. Hondl, S. B. Smith, M. T. Filiaggi, and V. Lakshmanan, 2005: Status on the four-dimensional base radar data analysis tool for AWIPS. Preprints, 32nd Conf. on Radar Meteor., Albuquerque, NM, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 8R.5.

__, S. B, Smith, and K. E. Kelleher, 2005: Collaborative activities of the NWS MDL and NSSL to improve and develop new severe weather warning guidance applications. Preprints, 21st Intl. Conf. on Interactive Information Processing Systems for Meteor., Oceanography, and Hydrology, San Diego, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P2.13.

__, M. T. Filiaggi, V. Lakshmanan, W. F. Roberts, M. J. Istok, and S. B. Smith, 2004: A four-dimensional radar analysis tool for AWIPS. Preprints, 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 8B.6.

__, T. M. Smith, and J. Hocker, 2004: New Hail Diagnostic Parameters Derived by Integrating Multiple Radars and Multiple Sensors. Preprints, 22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P7.8.

__, __, V. Lakshmanan, K.L. Manross, and K.D. Hondl, 2004: Status of Multiple-Sensor Severe Weather Application Development at NSSL. Preprints, 20th Intl. Conf. on Interactive Information and Processing Systems for Meteor., Oceanography, and Hydrology, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 12.3a - CD preprints.

Su, J. C., K. K. Gilbert, and S. Scallion, 2013: GFS-based MOS guidance for the Western Pacific - The short-range alphanumeric messages from the 0000/1200 UTC forecast cycles. MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 2013-01, NOAA, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 5 pp.

__, 2008: Performance of MOS statistical weather forecast guidance over the tropical western Pacific warm pool. Preprints, 28th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 11D.6.

__, 2007: GFS-based MOS precipitation forecast guidance for islands in the tropical western Pacific Ocean. Preprints, 22nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/18th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, Park City, UT, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 6A6.

__, 2005: GFS-based MOS wind forecast guidance for islands in the tropical western Pacific Ocean. Preprints, 21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Washington, D. C., Amer. Meteor. Soc.

__, 2005: GFS-based MOS wind forecast guidance for the western Pacific Islands. MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 05-02, NOAA, U.S. Dept of Commerce, 11 pp.
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__, 1993: Development of the NGM-based probability of precipitation guidance. Preprints, 13th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Vienna, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 121-124.

__, 1993: NGM-based MOS guidance for the probability of precipitation (PoP). NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 409, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 14 pp.

__, 1990: LFM-based MOS forecasts of the probability of precipitation (PoP). NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 386, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, 12 pp.

 

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      Uhlenhake, H. M., T. R. Boyer, and D. P. Ruth., D. P., 2008: Developing tools for calibrating four-dimensional aviation weather forecasts. Preprints, 13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology, New Orleans, LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P1.10.

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__, 1982: The Sea Leve Pressure Prediction Model of the Local AFOS MOS Program. Technical Memorandum 70 (TDL-70), National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 28 pp. Aviation Meteorology, Silver Spring, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 369-373.

 

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      Zurndorfer, E. A., 1980: A comparison of objective models for deriving threshold probabilities to maximize the threat score. TDL Office Note 80-3, National Weather Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, 5 pp.

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