HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
10 AM LST MON FEB 26 2007

...DRIER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SUMMER...

NO CHANGES SINCE LAST WEEK'S UPDATE. THE WEAK TO MODERATE EL NINO 
THAT DOMINATED THE LATTER HALF OF 2006 CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. DRIER 
THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER THROUGH EARLY SUMMER. 

METEOROLOGISTS AT THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER IN WASHINGTON...AT 
THE PACIFIC ENSO (EL NINO-SOUTHERN OSCILLATION) APPLICATIONS CENTER 
AT THE UNIVERSITY OF GUAM AND THE UNIVERSITY OF HAWAII...AND THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE AT TIYAN GUAM ARE IN 
AGREEMENT THAT DRIER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS WILL DOMINATE THE REGION 
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL MONTHS. IN GENERAL...RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE 
60 TO 70 PERCENT OF NORMAL...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF 1 TO 2 MONTHS 
BEING BELOW 50 PERCENT OF NORMAL. 

THERE WILL BE PERIODS OF RAIN...BUT IN GENERAL...THE RAIN WILL BE 
LESS FREQUENT THAN NORMAL...LIGHTER THAN NORMAL AND SHORTER THAN 
NORMAL IN DURATION. 

ON 24 FEBRUARY...SAIPAN INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT RECEIVED 0.90 INCHES 
OF RAIN. THIS WILL REDUCE THE FIRE DANGER ON SAIPAN FOR A FEW DAYS 
...BUT WILL LIKELY NOT RECHARGE THE WATER TABLE THERE TO ANY 
SIGNIFICANT EXTENT. GUAM INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT HAS RECEIVED ONLY 
1.36 INCHES OF RAIN SO FAR IN FEBRUARY. 

FOR GUAM AND ROTA...THESE CONDITIONS COULD LAST INTO JULY. FOR 
TINIAN...SAIPAN AND THE NORTHERN ISLANDS...THESE CONDITIONS COULD 
LAST INTO AUGUST. WE DO NOT EXPECT CONDITIONS TO BE AS DRY AS DURING 
1983 AND 1998 EL NINO-RELATED DROUGHTS. HOWEVER...WE DO ENCOURAGE 
VOLUNTARY WATER CONSERVATION MEASURES FOR LOCATIONS THAT NORMALLY 
EXPERIENCE WATER SHORTAGES DURING EXTENDED PERIODS OF DRY WEATHER. 
THESE CONDITIONS ALONG WITH STRONGER THAN NORMAL TRADE-WINDS WILL 
GREATLY INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR WILDFIRES. RESIDENTS SHOULD USE 
EXTREME CAUTION WHEN BURNING TRASH. SMOKERS SHOULD USE ASHTRAYS TO 
DISCARD CIGARETTE BUTTS. 

THIS OUTLOOK WILL BE UPDATED EACH MONDAY UNTIL SUCH TIME THAT IT IS 
NO LONGER NEEDED. 

RESIDENTS AND VISITORS SHOULD STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR 
LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION. PEOPLE ON 
GUAM CAN DIAL 211 ON THEIR TELEPHONE. 

GUARD/AHN