HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
800 AM CDT THU NOV 1 2007
...DROUGHT CONDITIONS IMPROVE SIGNIFICANTLY WITH RECENT RAINS...
HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH OVER THE PAST TWO WEEKS HAS
SIGNIFICANTLY HELPED THE DROUGHT SITUATION. THE LATEST U.S.
DROUGHT MONITOR WHICH WAS ISSUED THURSDAY NOVEMBER 1ST...ONLY HAS A
D1 OR MODERATE DROUGHT FOR TISHOMINGO...ITAWAMBA...AND MONROE
COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI. A DO DROUGHT OR ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS
EXIST ACROSS AREAS EAST OF A LINE FROM HOUSTON MS...TO MEMPHIS
TN...TO PARSONS TN. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH...NO
CLASSIFICATION OF A DROUGHT IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT.
BELOW ARE TABLES FROM SELECTED OBSERVING SITES ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH
INCLUDED NEWLY ADDED JONESBORO AR THAT DISPLAY THE TOP 5 DRIEST
YEARS SINCE JANUARY 1ST. ALSO INCLUDED ARE RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND
RAINFALL DEFICITS.
TOP 5 DRIEST YEARS FOR MEMPHIS TN THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST:
(DATA FROM 1930-2007)
YEAR-TO-DATE THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST
------------------------------
1. 21.72 IN 1931
2. 26.56 IN 2007*
3. 27.21 IN 1986
4. 27.89 IN 2000
5. 28.09 IN 1934
RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND RAINFALL DEFICITS THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST:
MEMPHIS TN
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SINCE OCTOBER 1...........3.96 INCHES....*SURPLUS OF 0.65 INCHES*
SINCE SEPTEMBER 1.........5.35 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 1.27 INCHES
SINCE JUNE 1.............12.93 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 5.21 INCHES
SINCE MARCH 1............19.72 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 14.50 INCHES
YEAR-TO-DATE.............26.56 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 16.65 INCHES
TOP 5 DRIEST YEARS FOR JACKSON TN THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST:
(DATA FROM 1948-2007)
YEAR-TO-DATE THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST
------------------------------
1. 29.24 IN 1963
2. 30.13 IN 2007*
3. 30.91 IN 1987
4. 31.12 IN 1958
5. 31.47 IN 1986
RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND RAINFALL DEFICITS THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST:
JACKSON TN
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SINCE OCTOBER 1...........8.72 INCHES....*SURPLUS OF 5.40 INCHES*
SINCE SEPTEMBER 1........13.33 INCHES....*SURPLUS OF 6.25 INCHES*
SINCE JUNE 1.............17.84 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 2.05 INCHES
SINCE MARCH 1............23.72 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 11.90 INCHES
YEAR-TO-DATE.............30.13 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 14.22 INCHES
TOP 5 DRIEST YEARS FOR WFO MEMPHIS TN THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST:
(DATA FROM 1986-2007)
YEAR-TO-DATE THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST
------------------------------
1. 27.91 IN 2007*
2. 34.48 IN 1995
3. 34.68 IN 1992
4. 35.89 IN 1999
5. 37.94 IN 2006
RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND RAINFALL DEFICITS THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST:
WFO MEMPHIS TN
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SINCE OCTOBER 1...........5.06 INCHES....*SURPLUS OF 1.75 INCHES*
SINCE SEPTEMBER 1.........7.04 INCHES....*SURPLUS OF 0.33 INCHES*
SINCE JUNE 1.............14.69 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 3.54 INCHES
SINCE MARCH 1............20.51 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 13.23 INCHES
YEAR-TO-DATE.............27.91 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 14.14 INCHES
TOP 5 DRIEST YEARS FOR TUPELO MS THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST:
(DATA FROM 1930-2007)
YEAR-TO-DATE THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST
------------------------------
1. 26.96 IN 1943
2. 28.53 IN 1988
3. 28.84 IN 1941
1987
5. 29.16 IN 1942
*NOTE* 2007 RANKED 15TH WITH 35.41 IN
RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND RAINFALL DEFICITS THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST:
TUPELO MS
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SINCE OCTOBER 1...........6.93 INCHES....*SURPLUS OF 3.55 INCHES*
SINCE SEPTEMBER 1........11.20 INCHES....*SURPLUS OF 4.47 INCHES*
SINCE JUNE 1.............21.89 INCHES....*SURPLUS OF 4.09 INCHES*
SINCE MARCH 1............28.10 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 6.65 INCHES
YEAR-TO-DATE.............35.41 INCHES.....DEFICIT OF 9.32 INCHES
TOP 5 DRIEST YEARS FOR DYERSBURG TN THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST:
(DATA FROM 1895-2007)
YEAR-TO-DATE THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST
------------------------------
1. 24.87 IN 1963
2. 26.48 IN 1954
3. 28.33 IN 1987
4. 29.57 IN 1983
5. 29.73 IN 1960
*NOTE* 2007 RANKED 9TH WITH 32.76 IN
TOP 5 DRIEST YEARS FOR ABERDEEN MS THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST:
(DATA FROM 1900-2007)
YEAR-TO-DATE THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST
------------------------------
1. 24.84 IN 1952
2. 26.19 IN 1942
3. 27.02 IN 2007*
4. 27.27 IN 1954
5. 28.47 IN 1904
TOP 5 DRIEST YEARS FOR CORINTH 7 SW MS THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST:
(DATA FROM 1903-2007)
YEAR-TO-DATE THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST
------------------------------
1. 29.61 IN 1904
2. 30.09 IN 1978
3. 30.28 IN 1943
4. 30.36 IN 1931
5. 30.70 IN 2007*
TOP 5 DRIEST YEARS FOR HOLLY SPRINGS MS THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST:
(DATA FROM 1948-2007)
YEAR-TO-DATE THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST
------------------------------
1. 32.81 IN 1986
2. 34.46 IN 2007*
3. 35.12 IN 1963
4. 35.42 IN 2005
5. 36.12 IN 1978
TOP 5 DRIEST YEARS FOR SAVANNAH 6 SW TN THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST:
(DATA FROM 1894-2007)
YEAR-TO-DATE THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST
------------------------------
1. 26.97 IN 1941
2. 29.55 IN 1986
3. 30.13 IN 1914
4. 30.49 IN 1931
5. 30.51 IN 1952
*NOTE* 2007 RANKED 8TH WITH 32.29 IN
TOP 5 DRIEST YEARS FOR JACKSON EXPERIMENT STATION TN THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST:
(DATA FROM 1891-2007)
YEAR-TO-DATE THROUGH OCTOBER 31ST
------------------------------
1. 27.50 IN 1963
2. 27.66 IN 1941
3. 29.37 IN 1904
4. 29.57 IN 1903
5. 29.62 IN 1953
*NOTE* 2007 RANKED 13TH WITH 33.19 IN
...FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...
WITH RECENT RAINFALL ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH...THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO
COUNTIES UNDER A BURN BAN.
ACROSS WEST TENNESSEE...BURNING PERMITS ARE STILL REQUIRED FROM
THE TENNESSEE DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE DIVISION OF FORESTRY
BEFORE ANY OUTDOOR OPEN BURNING OF DEBRIS IS CONDUCTED WITHIN 500
FEET OF WOODLANDS...GRASSLANDS...OR FORESTLANDS.
PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL GOVERNMENT OR FIRE CONTROL OFFICIALS FOR
INFORMATION CONCERNING BURN RESTRICTIONS.
...OUTLOOK...
DRY WEATHER WILL BE IN STORE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA ON TUESDAY NOVEMBER 6TH WHICH WILL
BRING SOME RAIN ACROSS THE AREA.
THE MIDSOUTH IS NOW TRANSITIONING INTO CLIMATOLOGICALLY THE WETTER
MONTHS. HOWEVER...WITH LA NINA EXPECTED THIS WINTER...THE AREA
COULD SEE REDUCED AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL DUE TO THE EXPECTED DRIER
CONDITIONS THAT LA NINA TYPICALLY BRINGS TO THE AREA.
...UPDATE STATEMENT...
THIS WILL BE THE LAST DROUGHT STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE NWS MEMPHIS
UNLESS A COUNTY IN OUR FORECAST AREA IS UNDER A D2 DROUGHT OR WORSE.
FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE DROUGHT...PLEASE CALL (901)544-0399.
KNS