National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce
WATER RESOURCES OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OHIO RIVER FORECAST CENTER WILMINGTON OH 212 PM EDT Saturday July 1 2017 THE FOLLOWING IS THE 30-DAY WATER RESOURCES OUTLOOK FOR THE MONTH OF JULY .WATER RESOURCES STREAMFLOW OUTLOOK... Streamflows will remain above normal for the start of July and then trend towards normal, especially across the northern third of the basin heavy rain has fallen over the last couple of weeks. ..................................................................... .HYDROLOGIC FLOOD AND DROUGHT POTENTIAL... Flood potential is slightly elevated across the northern and central basin where heavy rain fell the later half of June. Drought conditions are not expected across the Ohio River Basin. ..................................................................... .PAST 30 DAY HYDROLOGICAL AND METEOROLOGICAL REVIEW... RAINFALL DEPARTURES... The month of June was fairly wet across most of the Ohio Valley. Remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy brought heavy rainfall to the region towards the end of the month. Another system brought heavy rainfall to the northern basin the last couple days of the month. Monthly totals ranged from 2 to isolated amounts to 10 inches. The highest amounts were across Indiana, middle Tennessee and southwest Ohio. Monthly totals were 90 to 200 percent of normal. http://www.weather.gov/ohrfc/images/dynamic/latest30day.jpeg SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS... Soil mositures are in the 80th to 90th percentile across southwest New York, western Pennsylvania, eastern Indiana, western Ohio and southern West Virginia. Elsewhere, they are normal. http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/soilmst/w.shtml STREAMFLOW CONDITIONS... Current streamflows across the Ohio Valley are generally normal to above normal. There were pockets of much above normal where heavy rains from remnants of Cindy fell late in the month. http://watermonitor.gov ..................................................................... .ATMOSPHERIC TELECONNECTION AND OSCILLATION FORECASTS FOR JULY... ARCTIC OSCILLATION trending neutral = normal NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION neutral = normal PACIFIC/NORTH AMERICAN TELECONNECTION neutral = normal ENSO neutral = normal http://www.cpc.noaa.gov ..................................................................... .TECHNICAL DISCUSSION... July will start out wet and return to normal by the middle of the month. Streamflows will be generally normal or above normal for the start of the month and return to near normal. ....................................................................... VISIT OUR WATER RESOURCES WEBSITE AT http://www.weather.gov/ohrfc/WRO IN ADDITION TO A 30-DAY STREAMFLOW OUTLOOK...YOU CAN ALSO OBTAIN A 60- AND 90-DAY OUTLOOK AT THE WEBSITE $$