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" # $ % & ' ( ) * + , - . / 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 : ; < = > ? @ A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z [ \ ] ^ _ ` a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z { | } ~        !"#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|}~      !"#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|}~      !"#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|}~      !"#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|}~      !"#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|}~      !"#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|}~      !"#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz{|}~     WPCx) ~ G2R3Vi}D&&$|",,,,'3XXXX3' >A R +aKr'l/" #kw$F%A'c)_I+-/Ro/WPC ,"    ,2  I  .3  NationalWeatherService....2  1  .3  BecomingMorePredictable GregMandtDirectorOfficeofClimate,Water,andWeatherServicesJune8,2001-# -2  I  .3  NationalWeatherService....2  1  .3  TodaysChallenges..2  A  .3  WorkingBetterWithOurPartnersandCustomers..2  A  .3  SystemEvolutionthroughTechnologyInsertion..2  A  .3  TransitioningtoInteractiveGenerationofDigitalProducts..2  A  .3  DevelopProcessforNationalStandardizationofNewProducts-# -2  I  .3  OfficeofClimate,WaterandWeatherServices....2  1  .3  OCWWS..2  A  .3  Howwillwemeetthechallenge?....2  1  .3  O, \AZ"Arial RegularOLLLOCWWSis:O, \AZ"Arial RegularO......2  a  .3  O, \AZ"Arial RegularOPassionateaboutserviceexcellence......2  a  .3  O, \AZ"Arial RegularOTheNWSleaderforclimate,waterandweatherservices......2  a  .3  O, \AZ"Arial RegularOStructuredaroundkeyserviceareas:O, \AZ"Arial RegularO........2(  1  )3  O, \AZ"Arial RegularOClimate,Water,Public,FireWeather,Aviation,Marine,ObservationsO, \AZ"Arial RegularO......2  a  .3  O, \AZ"Arial RegularOBringingpartnerfeedbackintoNWSplanningO, \AZ"Arial RegularO"  "2  I  .3  1'./   12  I  .3  MajorInvestmentAreas..2  A  .3  ObservingSystems..2  A  .3  CentralOperations....2  1  .3  Computers....2  1  .3  ModelEnhancements..2  A  .3  TelecommunicationsGateway..2  A  .3  AWIPSEvolution1'01   12  I  .3  ObservingSystems..2  A  .3  NPOESS..2  A  .3  GOES..2  A  .3  ASOSEvolution..2  A  .3  RadiosondeReplacement..2  A  .3  NEXRADEvolution..2  A  .3  CoopModernization..2  A  .3  BuoyExpansion1'  12  I  .3  NewWorkstationTechnologyatNWSForecastOffices......2  a  .3  InteractiveForecastingPreparationSystem....2  1  .3  Digitaldatabaseofhighresolutiongriddedweatherelements....2  1  .3  Deliveryofdigitaldatabaseforprivatesectorapplications....2  1  .3  AutomaticproductionoftraditionalNWSproducts....2  1  .3  Experimentalproductionofgraphicalandimageforecasts((2  I  .3  NWSProductandVisionTeams..2  A  .3  EachServiceBranchestablishesteamfor:....2  1  .3  Evaluationofnewproducts....2  1  .3  Validationofcustomer/partnerrequirements....2  1  .3  Standardizationofnewproductsnationally....2  1  .3  Definitionofpolicy'  '2  I  .3  ProductDevelopmentProcess," ,2  I  .3  NewProductConcepts..2  A  .3  ProvideconsolidatedwebsiteforaccesstoNWSexperimentalproducts..2  A  .3  Conductsurveystoobtainfeedbackfromusers..2  A  .3  Incorporatesuggestionsobtainedfromuserstorefineproducts1'    12  I  .3  FutureServices..2  A  .3  AviationWeatherServices..2  A  .3  PublicWeatherServices..2  A  .3  FireWeatherServices..2  A  .3  HydrologicServices..2  A  .3  MarineWeatherServices..2  A  .3  ClimateServices6,!"#  62  I  .3  FutureServices....2  1  .3  AviationWeatherProgram..2  A  .3  PartneringwiththeFAAtoacceleratethedevelopmentanddeliveryofnewtoolsforforecastersandend-userproducts6,$%&  62  I  .3  FutureServices....2  1  .3  AviationServicesWorksinprogress..2  A  .3  Developinga4-DGRIB/BUFRdatabasecontainingaviationparameters..2  A  .3  Developing GuidanceTerminalAerodromeForecastcapability..2  A  .3  Verifyingandbaseliningaviationservicesskill1'  12  I  .3  FutureServices....2  1  .3  PublicWeatherServices?5  ,-2    ?2  I  .3  FutureServices....2  1  .3  FireWeatherServices..2  A  .3  RAWSwildlandsitestobeingestedandassimilatedintomodels1''(   12  I  .3  FutureServices....2  1  .3  Hydrology6,)*+   62  I  .3  NewHydrologicServices....2  1  .3  Whatweredoingtogetthere..2  A  .3  Newinformationandproductsprovidedthroughtheinfusionofnewscienceandtechnology...2  A  .3  Theseservicesimprovefloodwarningsandwaterresourceforecaststomeetdiverseandchangingcustomerneeds.6,     62  I  .3  FutureServices....2  1  .3  MarineWeatherProgram..2  A  .3  GraphicforecastsingriddedandvectorformatforGIScompatability..2  A  .3  TakingAdvantageofHighResolutioǹLocalModels..2  A  .3  Increasenumberofvessel̀observationsfromautomatedsystems6,   62  I  .3  FutureServices....2  1  .3  ClimateProgram..2  A  .3  InteractionwiththeAmericanAssociationofStateClimatologists6,    62  I  .3  FutureServices....2  1  .3  ClimateProgram..2  A  .3  NationalDroughtMitigationCenter(weeklyDroughtMonitor)c&d9 Z6Times New Roman Regularc@@@(34(2  I  .3  EnhancingNWSCorporateWebImage..2  A  .3  Redesigningtoimprovenationalpresence..2  A  .3  Experimentalcorporatewebpagewillbeopenforpublicreviewandcomments..2  A  .3  Implementdesignnationwideforallregionalandlocalforecastwebsites"! 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Workshop with Weather Risk Management Industry (with RPI and WRMA) - 2-day workshop in Bethesda, MD in early October. - goal: partners interact directly at technical level with NOAA scientists involved in productionNational Drought Mitigation Center (weekly Drought Monitor) - Drought Monitor is an example of national operational analysis being produced as a cooperative venture among the NWS, the USDA, Academia, and state and local jurisdictions. - Partners exechange information collaboratively on-line to produce this weekly product. Providing technology and model output to private sector - One of our goals is to allow access by private sector meteorologists to NWS guidance technology and model-ensemble output. Promoting Cooperation with Our Partners at Regional and Local Levels through Integrated Regional Assessments - Purpose of the Regional Assessments is to characterize regional climate variability, its impacts, and society's climate sensitivities. - Includes assessing vulnerability to climate variability and how demographic changes affect risks. - CSD encourages strengthening of existing university/NOAA Integrated Regional Assessments programs. Developments under study of interest to the private sector Graphic forecasts in gridded and vector format for GIS compatability - Development of high seas graphic forecasts in gridded and vector formats for compatibility with electronic chart systems, vessel routing software, and other GIS applications. Taking Advantage of High Resolution Local Models - New suite of graphic products for coastal and offshore areas, taking advantage of new high resolution local models currently under development. Increase number of vessel observations from automated systems - New means to collect greater numbers of marine observations from volunteer vessels in coastal areas, taking advantage of advances in both automated weather systems and improved marine communication systems, thereby improving the quality of forecasts. Development of marine text forecasts in XML, or similar format, for greater compatibility with external webpages and data providers.Gather requirements from customers and partners Hold meetings/workshops to discuss and document requirements and develop concepts. Perform research and development. (Work with Academia when possible) Distribute Experimental Products. Internet will be primary dissemination method. Solicit feedback and adjust product as necessary. (As many times as needed.) Establish policy and standardization for new products. Provide notification of schedule and dissemination information. Generate new products routinely. Receive continuous feedback. Could lead to new requirement.IFPS is the enabling technology which provides the capability to generate digital/graphical forecasts to customers and partners. IFPS provides the capability to initialize the forecasts from numerical models, forecast guidance, and the previous forecast. The IFPS digital database contains forecasts of gridded sensible weather elements. All products are generated from this database. This new site is available from the Office of Climate, Water and Weather Services main home page. Under Services, New Product Concepts. We will add additional products to this list periodically. Close working partnership with the FAA to accelerate the development and delivery of new aviation focused tools for forecasters and end-user products Expected AHPS Benefits - Better accuracy through advanced science - More specific & timely information on fast-rising floods - Easier to use products - Products which convey forecast uncertainty - Products with longer forecast horizons - Increased distribution of products using advanced information technologies - Expanded outreachPleasant Hill, MO Temperature Denver Dew Points Tuscon Relative Humidity NCEP Cloud Cover Chart Pink is "FAIR" Green is "Partly Cloudy" Blue is "Mostly Cloudy" Purple is "Cloudy" Even though the National Weather Service web site is consistently ranked among the most popular web sites--- those of you who have used this site know that the presentation and content need to be improved.5/  f+&(DZL4Ox_VgqowrXu/.: Ϧ b^p.M9.56 9 BEH3"W(Z\dGl2 yx.mMk, +:WPC-XX81%XX81%e3'XXXXKKKK9Tj  *%'153"4:/ :/  :/ 5:F/c&d9 Z6Times New Roman Regularc@@@          c&d9 Z6Times New Roman Regularc@@@Q Qc&d9 Z6Times New Roman Regularc@@@ MajorProgrammaticObjectives(FY01-FY05)"+:/ :/  :/*%3'153&M 5:F/c&d9 Z6Times New Roman Regularc@@@     3   @&M  Q Qc&d9 Z6Times New Roman Regularc@@@ MajorProgrammaticObjectives(FY01-FY05)WPC,,d2&,,d2&)3',,,,KKKK9#*"!g7R !/# R !/# "R !/#.)*+%M'13 ! !/'#c(/ Z6Times New Roman Regularc@@@     M   @  Q Qc(/ Z6Times New Roman Regularc@@@ NationalWeatherServiceWPC,,d2&,,d2&)3',,,,KKKK9#*$&/ /  $/%313&M #5F/c(/ Z6Times New Roman Regularcxxx     3   @&M  Q Qc(/ Z6Times New Roman Regularcxxx TodaysChallengesWPC,,d2&,,d2&3',,,,KKKK9x%*obY /<Y /= 2r9AArial Bold +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +C , \AZ"Arial Regular +9-/-111  ZM 4   @ @ @ @ L" LKKddd$   Y /-.)*+'153 e .1 I2r9AArial BoldI        a -/-111aI2r9AArial BoldI        @I2r9AArial BoldI           $ I2r9AArial BoldI        @0.. 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