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Active Pattern for the Center of the Nation

Severe thunderstorms, excessive rainfall, critical fire weather are all in the outlook today and into this last weekend of April. Very large hail, severe wind gusts, and a couple strong tornadoes will all be possible across the central and southern Plains today. Flash flooding also possible for portions of the Plains and Mississippi Valley. Critical fire weather conditions for Southern High Plains Read More >

Overview

A warm and very humid air mass was in place over the mid-Atlantic on July 17. A warm front which had sagged south into the region on the night of the 16th pushed back to the north on the morning of the 17th. Meanwhile, a cold front slowly approached by evening, with a pre-frontal surface trough ahead of it. The presence of multiple synoptic and mesoscale boundaries led to a highly complex convective evolution. Several areas and multiple rounds of convection affected the eastern mid-Atlantic over about a 12 hour period from early afternoon on the 17th to a little after midnight on the 18th. With wind shear falling in the weak to moderate range, convection mainly took the form of multi-cellular and linear clusters, though some semi-discrete supercellular structures were noted at times. A number of storms became severe with damaging wind. A weak tornado was confirmed in Burlington County, NJ in association with a line of thunderstorms in the later evening. This was likely aided by a remnant outflow boundary from earlier storms. Areas of heavy rain and flash flooding also occurred due to the widespread and at times slow moving nature of the convection. Flash flooding was especially severe in and around Hunterdon County, NJ. Eventually, by later in the night, the approach of the cold front and significant overturning of the atmosphere from the day's convection caused remaining activity to weaken and shift offshore.
 

Image
KDIX radar loop from 10:20PM to 10:36PM on July 17, 2021, featuring the Burlington County, NJ EF-1 tornado.

Meteorological Environment/Setup

Synoptic Overview at 12z 17 Jul 2021 (courtesy of SPC)

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Figure 1: 250-mb analysis Figure 2: 300-mb analysis Figure 3: 500-mb analysis
 
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Figure 4: 700-mb analysis Figure 5: 850-mb analysis Figure 6: 925-mb analysis

Synoptic Overview at 00z 18 Jul 2021 (courtesy of SPC)

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Figure 7: 250-mb analysis Figure 8: 300-mb analysis Figure 9: 500-mb analysis
 
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Figure 10: 700-mb analysis Figure 11: 850-mb analysis Figure 12: 925-mb analysis
 

Surface Maps (courtesy of WPC)

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Figure 13: 12z surface map Figure 14: 15z surface map Figure 15: 18z surface map
 
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Figure 16: 21z surface map Figure 17: 00z surface map Figure 18: 03z surface map

Observed Soundings
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Figure 19: 12z Long Island, NY sounding Figure 20: 12z Wallops Island, VA sounding Figure 21: 18z Albany, NY special sounding
Environment Environment Environment
Figure 22: 00z Long Island, NY sounding Figure 23: 00z Sterling, VA sounding Figure 24: 00z Wallops Island, VA sounding

Preliminary Storm Reports

prelimreports prelimreports prelimreports
Figure 1: National Preliminary Reports 12z 17 Jul 2021 to 12z 18 Jul 2021 Figure 2: Zoomed Preliminary Reports for the same period. Figure 3: Prelim Reports vs. 1630z SPC Convective Outlook

Watches, Warnings, and Advisories Issued

Click here for a county warning area based plot of local storm reports and warnings/advisories issued for the 17 Jul 2021 event.

Preliminary Local Storm Reports

 

NWUS51 KPHI 182100
LSRPHI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
500 PM EDT SUN JUL 18 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1245 PM     HAIL             1 SSE DOYLESTOWN AIRPOR 40.33N 75.12W
07/17/2021  E0.25 INCH       BUCKS              PA   TRAINED SPOTTER  

             

0108 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 E GARDENVILLE         40.37N 75.05W
07/17/2021                   BUCKS              PA   TRAINED SPOTTER  

            SEVERAL LARGE TREES AND NUMEROUS BRANCHES 
            DOWN WITH POWER OUTAGES. 

0115 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SERGEANTSVILLE          40.45N 74.94W
07/17/2021                   HUNTERDON          NJ   911 CALL CENTER  

            REPORTS OF TREES DOWN AROUND DELAWARE 
            TOWNSHIP. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 

0115 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 W STOCKTON            40.41N 75.01W
07/17/2021                   HUNTERDON          NJ   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS 

            TREE DOWN ON NJ ROUTE 29, ALL LANES AND 
            RIGHT SHOULDER CLOSED. 

0135 PM     TSTM WND DMG     RARITAN TWP             40.50N 74.87W
07/17/2021                   HUNTERDON          NJ   911 CALL CENTER  

            REPORTS OF TREES DOWN AROUND RARITAN 
            TOWNSHIP. 

0200 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LEBANON                 40.64N 74.84W
07/17/2021                   HUNTERDON          NJ   911 CALL CENTER  

            REPORTS OF TREES DOWN IN LEBANON AND CLINTON 
            TOWNSHIPS. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 

0215 PM     TSTM WND DMG     TEWKSBURY TWP           40.71N 74.77W
07/17/2021                   HUNTERDON          NJ   911 CALL CENTER  

            REPORTS OF TREES DOWN IN TEWKSBURY TOWNSHIP. 
            TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 

0215 PM     HAIL             1 S GLEN GARDNER        40.69N 74.94W
07/17/2021  U0.50 INCH       HUNTERDON          NJ   PUBLIC           

            REPORT FROM MPING: HALF-INCH (0.50 IN.). 

0227 PM     FLOOD            1 NW LAKE COMO          40.18N 74.03W
07/17/2021                   MONMOUTH           NJ   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS 

            FLOODING REPORTED ON NJ 71. ONE LANE CLOSED 
            IN EACH DIRECTION. 

0300 PM     TSTM WND GST     NORTH CATASAUQUA        40.66N 75.48W
07/17/2021  M58 MPH          NORTHAMPTON        PA   TRAINED SPOTTER  

            MEASURED WIND GUST FROM THE EAST FROM A 
            MICROBURST. A SECOND GUST OF 57 MPH OCCURRED 
            FROM THE WEST A SHORT TIME LATER. TREES AND 
            TREE BRANCHES SNAPPED NEARBY. 

0307 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     WOODBRIDGE              40.56N 74.28W
07/17/2021                   MIDDLESEX          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER  

            SPOTTER REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD AT 3:07 PM. 
            FROM HIS VANTAGE POINT, IT DID NOT APPEAR TO 
            MAKE CONTACT WITH THE GROUND. 

0310 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N UPPER MACUNGIE TWP. 40.60N 75.62W
07/17/2021                   LEHIGH             PA   PUBLIC           

            LARGE TREE SNAPPED. TIME ESTIMATED FROM 
            RADAR. 

0310 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NE UPPER MACUNGIE TWP 40.59N 75.59W
07/17/2021                   LEHIGH             PA   PUBLIC           

            SOME SIDING BLOWN OFF A HOME. TIME ESTIMATED 
            FROM RADAR. 

0331 PM     HAIL             HOPELAWN                40.53N 74.29W
07/17/2021  E0.88 INCH       MIDDLESEX          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER  

             

0337 PM     TSTM WND GST     HOPELAWN                40.53N 74.29W
07/17/2021  M54 MPH          MIDDLESEX          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER  

             

0400 PM     HEAVY RAIN       HOPELAWN                40.53N 74.29W
07/17/2021  M2.38 INCH       MIDDLESEX          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER  

            FELL WITHIN 1 HOUR...BETWEEN 3 PM AND 4 PM. 

0500 PM     HAIL             FLEMINGTON              40.51N 74.86W
07/17/2021  E0.25 INCH       HUNTERDON          NJ   PUBLIC           

             

0510 PM     TSTM WND DMG     FLEMINGTON              40.51N 74.86W
07/17/2021                   HUNTERDON          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER  

            TREE AND WIRES DOWN ACROSS A ROAD IN 
            FLEMINGTON. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 

0530 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 ESE WHITEHOUSE STATIO 40.60N 74.73W
07/17/2021                   HUNTERDON          NJ   911 CALL CENTER  

            TREE DOWN COMPLETELY BLOCKING THE ROAD. TIME 
            ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 

0615 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LEBANON                 40.64N 74.84W
07/17/2021                   HUNTERDON          NJ   PUBLIC           

            TREE AND WIRES DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM 
            RADAR. 

0630 PM     TSTM WND GST     CHALFONT                40.29N 75.21W
07/17/2021  E50 MPH          BUCKS              PA   TRAINED SPOTTER  

            ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN. 

0635 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NE RINGOES            40.47N 74.83W
07/17/2021                   HUNTERDON          NJ   OTHER FEDERAL    

            FLOODING ALONG THE NESHANIC RIVER AT 
            REAVILLE BASED ON THE RIVER GAUGE. 

0643 PM     HAIL             2 NE LAMBERTVILLE       40.39N 74.92W
07/17/2021  E1.00 INCH       HUNTERDON          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER  

             

0655 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LAWNDALE                40.05N 75.09W
07/17/2021                   PHILADELPHIA       PA   UTILITY COMPANY  

            SEVERAL POWER OUTAGES REPORTED IN NORTHEAST 
            PHILADELPHIA. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 

0700 PM     FLASH FLOOD      FLEMINGTON              40.51N 74.86W
07/17/2021                   HUNTERDON          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER  

            REPORTS OF SEVERAL ROADS FLOODED. TIME 
            ESTIMATED. 

0700 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ABINGTON                40.12N 75.13W
07/17/2021                   MONTGOMERY         PA   PUBLIC           

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN AND POWER OUTAGES. TIME 
            ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 

0705 PM     TSTM WND GST     RINGOES                 40.44N 74.85W
07/17/2021  E50 MPH          HUNTERDON          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER  

            ALONG WITH DIME SIZE HAIL. TIME ESTIMATED 
            FROM RADAR. 

0705 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LUMBERVILLE             40.41N 75.04W
07/17/2021                   BUCKS              PA   PUBLIC           

            SEVERAL TREES BLOWN DOWN NEAR THE 
            INTERSECTION OF FLEECY DALE ROAD AND RIVER 
            ROAD. 

0710 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SW QUAKERTOWN         40.53N 74.97W
07/17/2021                   HUNTERDON          NJ   PUBLIC           

            WATER RESCUE IN THE AREA OF OAK GROVE AND 
            LOWER OAK GROVE IN FRANKLIN TOWNSHIP. 

0710 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 ESE STANTON           40.56N 74.80W
07/17/2021                   HUNTERDON          NJ   PUBLIC           

            WATER RESCUE ON PLEASANT RUN ROAD. 

0715 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 WSW MANVILLE          40.53N 74.62W
07/17/2021                   SOMERSET           NJ   911 CALL CENTER  

            US ROUTE 206 IS IMPASSABLE AT CAMPLAIN ROAD 
            IN HILLSBOROUGH TOWNSHIP DUE TO FLOODING. 

0720 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 ENE LAMBERTVILLE      40.39N 74.89W
07/17/2021                   HUNTERDON          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER  

            FEW TREES SNAPPED. TIME ESTIMATED FROM 
            RADAR. 

0730 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 E FRENCHTOWN          40.53N 75.01W
07/17/2021  M3.75 INCH       HUNTERDON          NJ   MESONET          

            KINGWOOD TOWNSHIP - NEW JERSEY WEATHER 
            NETWORK. 

0730 PM     TSTM WND DMG     RINGOES                 40.44N 74.86W
07/17/2021                   HUNTERDON          NJ   PUBLIC           

            REPORT OF A TREE BLOWN DOWN INTO A HOUSE. 
            TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 

0735 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 WSW CLINTON           40.63N 74.92W
07/17/2021                   HUNTERDON          NJ   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS 

            TREE DOWN ON INTERSTATE 78. TIME ESTIMATED 
            FROM RADAR. 

0805 PM     FLOOD            1 SSW WASHINGTON CROSSI 40.28N 74.88W
07/17/2021                   BUCKS              PA   PUBLIC           

            REPORT FROM MPING: RIVER/CREEK OVERFLOWING; 
            CROPLAND/YARD/BASEMENT FLOODING. 

0808 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BENSALEM                40.11N 74.93W
07/17/2021                   BUCKS              PA   TRAINED SPOTTER  

            SEVERAL POWER OUTAGES. LARGE BRANCHES BLOWN 
            DOWN AND SIDING BLOWN OFF A HOUSE. SPOTTER 
            ESTIMATED WINDS ABOVE 60 MPH. TIME ESTIMATED 
            FROM RADAR. 

0815 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NW BENSALEM           40.12N 74.94W
07/17/2021                   BUCKS              PA   TRAINED SPOTTER  

            TREE DOWN. 

0825 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MEDFORD                 39.89N 74.82W
07/17/2021                   BURLINGTON         NJ   PUBLIC           

            SEVERAL TREES BLOWN DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED 
            FROM RADAR. 

0830 PM     FLASH FLOOD      EWING                   40.27N 74.80W
07/17/2021                   MERCER             NJ   911 CALL CENTER  

            WIDESPREAD ROADWAY FLOODING WITH SOME ROADS 
            BECOMING IMPASSABLE. 

0835 PM     TSTM WND GST     LAWRENCEVILLE           40.30N 74.73W
07/17/2021  M54 MPH          MERCER             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER  

             

0850 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 ESE RARITAN TWP       40.50N 74.86W
07/17/2021                   HUNTERDON          NJ   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS 

            FLOODING ON 202 SOUTHBOUND. ALL LANES 
            CLOSED. TIME ESTIMATED. 

0855 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 ESE LUMBERTON TWP     39.96N 74.79W
07/17/2021  M58 MPH          BURLINGTON         NJ   MESONET          

            CWOP STATION EW8027 MEASURED GUST. 

0900 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NW SAND BROOK         40.50N 74.95W
07/17/2021                   HUNTERDON          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER  

            A FEW FEET OF WATER FLOODING WHISKEY LANE. 
            TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 

0900 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 E LUMBERTON TWP       39.96N 74.80W
07/17/2021  M53 MPH          BURLINGTON         NJ   PUBLIC           

            WUNDERGROUND GAUGE KNJLUMBE10 MEASURED GUST. 
            A DAVIS STATION. 

0915 PM     FLASH FLOOD      HOPEWELL                40.39N 74.75W
07/17/2021                   MERCER             NJ   911 CALL CENTER  

            WIDESPREAD ROADWAY FLOODING WITH SOME ROADS 
            BECOMING IMPASSABLE. 

0920 PM     HEAVY RAIN       FLEMINGTON              40.51N 74.86W
07/17/2021  M5.41 INCH       HUNTERDON          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER  

            UPDATED TOTAL THROUGH 9 PM. 

0929 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 ENE LANDENBERG        39.80N 75.73W
07/17/2021                   CHESTER            PA   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE 

            TREE LIMBS BLOCKING THE ROAD ON KAOLIN RD AT 
            LIMESTONE RD. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR AND 
            DISPATCH REPORT. 

0930 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 9 WNW CAPE MAY POINT    38.99N 75.11W
07/17/2021  M78 MPH          ANZ431             NJ   OTHER FEDERAL    

            BRND1. 

0932 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S KENNETT SQUARE      39.81N 75.71W
07/17/2021                   CHESTER            PA   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE 

            TREE DOWN BLOCKING THE ROAD ON ROUND HILL RD 
            AT KAOLI RD. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR AND 
            DISPATCH REPORT. 

1000 PM     FLOOD            GLOUCESTER CITY         39.89N 75.12W
07/17/2021                   CAMDEN             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER  

            REPORT OF STREET FLOODING IN THE AREA OF 
            BROADWAY AND MARKET. TIME ESTIMATED. 

1002 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CHERRY HILL TWP         39.93N 75.03W
07/17/2021                   CAMDEN             NJ   PUBLIC           

            SOME TREES BLOWN DOWN IN A CHERRY HILL 
            NEIGHBORHOOD. 

1003 PM     HAIL             1 S VILLAS              39.02N 74.94W
07/17/2021  U0.50 INCH       CAPE MAY           NJ   PUBLIC           

            REPORT FROM MPING: HALF-INCH (0.50 IN.). 

1005 PM     TSTM WND DMG     TACONY                  40.03N 75.05W
07/17/2021                   PHILADELPHIA       PA   PUBLIC           

            REPORT FROM MPING: TREES UPROOTED OR 
            SNAPPED; TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 

1010 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DELRAN                  40.02N 74.95W
07/17/2021                   BURLINGTON         NJ   PUBLIC           

            SEVERAL LARGE LIMBS BLOWN DOWN. TIME 
            ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 

1014 PM     TSTM WND DMG     EDGEWATER PARK          40.05N 74.91W
07/17/2021                   BURLINGTON         NJ   PUBLIC           

            NUMEROUS LIMBS DOWN AND POWER OUTAGE IN 
            EDGEWATER PARK. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 
            REPORT RELAYED FROM NWS EMPLOYEE. 

1016 PM     FLOOD            1 NW EDDINGTON          40.10N 74.96W
07/17/2021                   PHILADELPHIA       PA   PUBLIC           

            REPORT FROM MPING: STREET/ROAD FLOODING; 
            STREET/ROAD CLOSED; VEHICLES STRANDED. 

1020 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 N MOUNT LAUREL        39.97N 74.89W
07/17/2021                   BURLINGTON         NJ   PUBLIC           

            REPORT FROM MPING: TREES UPROOTED OR 
            SNAPPED; TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 

1020 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BURLINGTON              40.07N 74.86W
07/17/2021                   BURLINGTON         NJ   PUBLIC           

            SEVERAL LARGE TREE LIMBS BLOWN DOWN IN 
            BURLINGTON. 

1025 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NNW HOLMESBURG        40.05N 75.03W
07/17/2021                   PHILADELPHIA       PA   OTHER FEDERAL    

            FLOODING ALONG THE PENNYPACK CREEK BASED ON 
            THE RIVER GAUGE. 

1025 PM     TORNADO          2 NW JOBSTOWN           40.05N 74.72W
07/17/2021                   BURLINGTON         NJ   NWS STORM SURVEY 

            NWS STORM SURVEY CONFIRMED A TORNADO BEGAN 
            AT 10:25 PM EDT JUST EAST OF THE ROUTE 206 
            AND COLUMBUS-JOBSTOWN ROAD INTERSECTION. A 
            NARROW, DISCONTINUOUS, PATH OF TREE DAMAGE 
            CONTINUED FOR 7.9 MILES, ENDING NEAR 
            JACOBSTOWN, NJ. THE TORNADO DISSIPATED 
            AROUND 10:36 PM EDT. ESTIMATED PEAK WIND WAS 
            80 TO 90 MPH. 

1027 PM     TSTM WND DMG     EVESHAM TWP             39.89N 74.91W
07/17/2021                   BURLINGTON         NJ   911 CALL CENTER  

            SEVERAL TREES WERE DOWNED IN EVESHAM TWP. 
            TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 

1030 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NE RINGOES            40.47N 74.83W
07/17/2021                   HUNTERDON          NJ   PUBLIC           

            3 VEHICLES STRANDED IN FLOOD WATERS ON OLD 
            YORK ROAD AT THE NESHANIC RIVER. TIME 
            ESTIMATED. 

1030 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SSW SUMMERDALE        40.02N 75.10W
07/17/2021                   PHILADELPHIA       PA   OTHER FEDERAL    

            FLOODING ALONG THE FRANKFORD CREEK BASED ON 
            THE RIVER GAUGE. 

1032 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSW CHESTERFIELD      40.08N 74.66W
07/17/2021                   BURLINGTON         NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER  

            LARGE TREE SNAPPED AND SEVERAL LARGE LIMBS 
            DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 

1040 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 20 E FENWICK ISLAND     38.45N 74.68W
07/17/2021  M40 MPH          ANZ475             DE   OTHER FEDERAL    

             

1045 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SW NESHANIC STATION   40.49N 74.76W
07/17/2021                   SOMERSET           NJ   PUBLIC           

            WATER RESCUE REPORTED AT AMWELL ROAD AND 
            BLACKPOINT ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED. 

1050 PM     FLOOD            1 ESE ROXBOROUGH        39.99N 75.20W
07/17/2021                   PHILADELPHIA       PA   PUBLIC           

            REPORT OF FLOODING ON I-76 WESTBOUND BETWEEN 
            CITY AVE AND MONTGOMERY DR. 

1100 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 ESE JACKSONVILLE      40.04N 74.74W
07/17/2021                   BURLINGTON         NJ   NWS EMPLOYEE     

            WARNER ROAD JUST WEST OF THE FAIRGROUNDS WAS 
            FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE. THE ROAD REMAINED 
            CLOSED THE NEXT DAY. TIME ESTIMATED FROM 
            RADAR. 

1100 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BENSALEM                40.11N 74.94W
07/17/2021                   BUCKS              PA   TRAINED SPOTTER  

            REPORT OF A WATER RESCUE IN BENSALEM. 
            SPOTTER ALSO REPORTED OVER 3 INCHES OF RAIN. 
            TIME ESTIMATED. 

1100 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 E BRANCHBURG TWP      40.56N 74.68W
07/17/2021                   SOMERSET           NJ   OTHER FEDERAL    

            FLOODING ON THE NORTH BRANCH OF THE RARITAN 
            RIVER AT SOUTH BRANCH BASED ON THE RIVER 
            GAUGE. 

1115 PM     FLOOD            LEVITTOWN               40.16N 74.89W
07/17/2021                   BUCKS              PA   TRAINED SPOTTER  

            TRENTON ROAD IN LEVITTOWN IS FLOODED AND 
            ALMOST IMPASSABLE. TIME ESTIMATED. 

1130 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 1 SW SEASIDE PARK       39.93N 74.08W
07/17/2021  M39 MPH          ANZ451             NJ   PUBLIC           

            PERSONAL WEATHER STATION KNJSEASI6. 

1135 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 1 WNW FORTESCUE         39.24N 75.18W
07/17/2021  M40 MPH          ANZ430             NJ   MESONET          

            NJ WEATHERNET SITE NJ67. 

1135 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 1 W FORTESCUE           39.24N 75.18W
07/17/2021  M40 MPH          ANZ430             NJ   MESONET          

            NJ WEATHERNET SITE NJ67. 

1145 PM     FLOOD            WHITMAN PARK            39.93N 75.11W
07/17/2021                   CAMDEN             NJ   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS 

            FLOODING ON I-676 RAMP NORTHBOUND AT 
            ATLANTIC AVE. ALL LANES CLOSED. TIME 
            ESTIMATED. 

0300 AM     FLOOD            1 NNW HAMILTON TWP      40.25N 74.73W
07/18/2021                   MERCER             NJ   OTHER FEDERAL    

            THE MERCERVILLE USGS GAUGE ROSE ABOVE FLOOD 
            STAGE ON THE ASSUNPINK CREEK AT 3:00 AM. 

0400 AM     FLOOD            1 NE TRENTON            40.22N 74.75W
07/18/2021                   MERCER             NJ   OTHER FEDERAL    

            USGS GAUGE IN TRENTON ON THE ASSUNPINK CREEK 
            HIT MINOR FLOOD STAGE AT 4 AM. 

0545 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SSE STANTON           40.55N 74.82W
07/18/2021  M5.02 INCH       HUNTERDON          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER  

            UPDATES PREVIOUS HEAVY RAIN REPORT FROM 2 
            SSE STANTON. 


&&

$$

Public Information Statement - Tornado

NOUS41 KPHI 181938
PNSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-070-071-101>106-190745-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
338 PM EDT Sun Jul 18 2021

...NWS Damage Survey for 07/17/2021 Tornado Event...

Thunderstorms developed and moved across the region starting 
early Saturday afternoon and continuing into late Saturday night. 
Late Saturday evening, a line of thunderstorms developed in far 
southeastern Pennsylvania and far northern Delmarva. A surging 
segment of this line progressed through Burlington County NJ, 
producing a tornado in the northwestern portion of the county.

.Springfield Township NJ Tornado...

Rating:                 EF-1
Estimated Peak Wind:    80-90 mph
Path Length /statute/:  7.9 miles
Path Width /maximum/:   800 yards
Fatalities:             0
Injuries:               0

Start Date:             July 17, 2021
Start Time:             10:25 PM EDT
Start Location:         1.5 Miles South of Columbus, NJ
Start Lat/Lon:          40.051/-74.722

End Date:               July 17, 2021
End Time:               10:36 PM EDT
End Location:           Jacobstown, NJ
End Lat/Lon:            40.079/-74.580

A narrow, discontinuous, path of tree damage began just east of 
the Route 206 and Columbus-Jobstown Road intersection. This is 1 
mile northeast of the Burlington County Fairgrounds. Significant 
tree damage was observed in a neighborhood north of Columbus-
Jobstown Road. From there, several large limbs were snapped off on
Island Road. One tree was uprooted and one was snapped on 
Juliustown-Georgetown Road. An additional tree was snapped on NJ 
Route 68. Numerous large limbs were blown on powerlines on Monmouth
Road near Tilghmans Corner. Scattered tree damage was observed in
Jacobstown in North Hanover Township. The tornado dissipated 
before the Ocean County line.

The National Weather Service thanks Burlington County Emergency 
Management, the media, our Skywarn spotters, and the public for 
their assistance in identifying areas of damage.

&&

EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies tornadoes into the
following categories:

EF0...Weak......65 to 85 mph
EF1...Weak......86 to 110 mph
EF2...Strong....111 to 135 mph
EF3...Strong....136 to 165 mph
EF4...Violent...166 to 200 mph
EF5...Violent...>200 mph

NOTE:
The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to
change pending final review of the event and publication in NWS
Storm Data.

$$

Davis/Johnson/O'Brien

Radar Interrogation

Notable Radar Imagery (GR2Analyst)

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Figure 1: TEWR radar reflectivity loop for the 0.3 degree elevation angle from 1902 UTC to 1916 UTC 17 July 2021. Rotation associated with this storm prompted a Tornado Warning. This is a remarkably good look at the wrapping up of this circulation as it approached the TEWR radar site, with a pronounced hook echo seen. Velocity data (archives for which are unavailable) also showed evidence of a velocity couplet. A funnel cloud was sighted with this storm, and several impressive and ominous photos and videos of strong rotation were received. However, no damage was reported in the area, and there is no indication a tornado ever touched down. Figure 2: KDIX radar reflectivity factor (z; top left), storm relative velocity (SRM; top right), spectrum width (w, bottom left) and correlation coefficient (CC; bottom right) for the 0.8 degree elevation angle valid at 2117 UTC 17 July 2021. This area of rotation near Flemington also prompted a Tornado Warning. Good vertical continuity of 20 to 25 kt of rotational velocity was observed for several volume scans over the lowest 3 to 4 elevation angles. This area experienced severe thunderstorms in its vicinity for several hours, and a number of reports of downed trees and power lines were received. However, none appeared to occur in concert with this area of rotation. Should a tornado have occurred, confirming it likely would have been difficult due to the long duration of severe storms producing various directions of straight line wind damage as the storms evolved.
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Figure 3: KDIX radar reflectivity loop for the 0.5 degree elevation angle from 2030 UTC 17 July 2021 to 0030 UTC 18 July 2021, at approximately 30 minute intervals. Repeated rounds of convection can be seen affecting the same areas of central and northern New Jersey, especially Hunterdon County. Rainfall totals up to 6 inches were reported in the area. Significant flash flooding occurred. A number of wind damage reports were also received, as these storm clusters were severe for much of their lifespan. An outflow boundary can also be seen surging southward away from the convection. Figure 4: KDIX radar reflectivity factor (left) and base velocity (right) for the 0.5 degree elevation angle valid at 0019 UTC 18 July 2021. An intense straight line wind event occurred in the area of Medford, NJ around this time. The bright green colors indicate radar estimated wind speeds of near to above 70 mph. A small bowing structure appears evident in the reflectivity. Numerous reports of downed trees and power outages were received. Another line of severe convection would move through Burlington County and surrounding areas about 2 hours later, which would produce additional wind damage and a tornado several miles further northeast.
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Figure 5: Same as Figure 2 but for the 0.5 degree elevation angle, valid at 0230 UTC 18 July 2021. The Burlington County, NJ tornado was near its peak intensity at this time. The reflectivity and velocity data show a classic QLCS tornado, with about 40 kt of rotational velocity present, a typical value for EF-0 or EF-1 tornadoes. The CC and spectrum width data are unimpressive, however. There is no evidence of a tornado debris signature (TDS) in the CC data, and while spectrum width values are somewhat elevated within the circulation, they lack the strong maximum often associated with the chaotic circulation of a tornado. As is often the case in our region, damage produced by this tornado was comparable to several other areas of straight line wind damage across NJ and PA. Figure 6: KDOX radar reflectivity factor (left) and base velocity (right) for the 0.5 degree elevation angle valid at 0122 UTC 18 July 2021. In another example of this event’s complex evolution, a small cluster of storms formed with the help of an outflow boundary over eastern Delaware, and intensified over Delaware Bay. While fairly innocuous in reflectivity, the velocity data reveals strong winds within the southernmost core. A wind gust of 78 mph was measured at Brandywine Shoal Light on Delaware Bay. The storm moved into Cape May County, but weakened significantly as it moved ashore, an occurrence which is frequently observed for storms in that area.