National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Hurricane Maria Forecast To Bring Impacts To East Coast

Hurricane Maria will approach the Mid-Atlantic coast early this week then finally shove eastward into the open Atlantic. Maria will likely not make landfall but will come close to portions of North Carolina midweek and could bring tropical storm force winds, locally heavy rain, storm surge, and very rough surf. Maria will create hazardous surf and rip currents for much of the East Coast this week. Read More >

NWS Shreveport Aviation Weather Services
 
Local TAFs
LOUISIANA
Shreveport Regional (SHV) Monroe (MLU)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid

590
FTUS44 KSHV 242324
TAFSHV
TAF
KSHV 242324Z 2500/2524 12004KT P6SM SCT060
TEMPO 2510/2514 5SM BR
FM251400 15005KT P6SM SKC
FM251600 14007KT P6SM SCT040
FM252100 13007KT P6SM SCT050=

594
FTUS44 KSHV 242324
TAFMLU
TAF
KMLU 242324Z 2500/2524 VRB03KT P6SM SCT060
TEMPO 2510/2514 3SM BR
FM251400 11003KT P6SM SKC
FM251600 11005KT P6SM SCT040
FM252100 10005KT P6SM SCT050=
   
TEXAS
Tyler (TYR) Longview (GGG)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
592
FTUS44 KSHV 242324
TAFTYR
TAF
KTYR 242324Z 2500/2524 14006KT P6SM SCT060
     FM251400 16006KT P6SM SCT015
     FM251600 16006KT P6SM SCT035 SCT045
     FM252100 14007KT P6SM SCT050=
593
FTUS44 KSHV 242324
TAFGGG
TAF
KGGG 242324Z 2500/2524 13004KT P6SM SCT060
      TEMPO 2511/2514 5SM BR
     FM251400 15005KT P6SM SKC
     FM251600 14006KT P6SM SCT035 SCT045
     FM252100 13007KT P6SM SCT050=
Lufkin (LFK)
Tactical Decision Aid

588
FTUS44 KSHV 242324
TAFLFK
TAF
KLFK 242324Z 2500/2524 10003KT P6SM SKC
TEMPO 2508/2512 4SM BR
FM251200 00000KT 4SM BR SKC
FM251400 12005KT P6SM SKC
FM251600 13007KT P6SM SCT030
FM252100 12007KT P6SM SCT050=
   
ARKANSAS
Texarkana (TXK) El Dorado (ELD)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
591
FTUS44 KSHV 242324
TAFTXK
TAF
KTXK 242324Z 2500/2524 14004KT P6SM VCSH SCT060
     FM250200 03004KT P6SM SKC
      TEMPO 2510/2514 5SM BR
     FM251400 15004KT P6SM SKC
     FM251600 14006KT P6SM SCT040
     FM252100 12006KT P6SM SCT050=
589
FTUS44 KSHV 242324
TAFELD
TAF
KELD 242324Z 2500/2524 VRB03KT P6SM SCT060
      TEMPO 2509/2513 5SM BR
     FM251400 12004KT P6SM SKC
     FM251600 12005KT P6SM SCT040
     FM252100 10005KT P6SM SCT050=
 
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Regional TAFs
LOUISIANA
Alexandria (AEX) Baton Rouge (BTR)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
313
FTUS44 KLCH 242322
TAFAEX
TAF
KAEX 242322Z 2500/2524 11006KT P6SM VCSH SCT050
     FM250200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250
      TEMPO 2510/2513 4SM BR
     FM251400 10004KT P6SM SKC
     FM251800 10007KT P6SM VCTS SCT050CB=
564
FTUS44 KLIX 242337
TAFBTR
TAF
KBTR 242337Z 2500/2524 VRB04KT P6SM SKC
     FM251400 07006KT P6SM SCT035
     FM252000 10005KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB BKN100=
Lake Charles (LCH) New Orleans (MSY)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid

311
FTUS44 KLCH 242322
TAFLCH
TAF
KLCH 242322Z 2500/2524 15005KT P6SM VCTS SCT050CB
FM250200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250
FM251400 07006KT P6SM SKC
FM251800 11007KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB=

467
FTUS44 KLIX 242337
TAFMSY
TAF
KMSY 242337Z 2500/2524 08012KT P6SM FEW040 FEW110
FM250400 00000KT P6SM FEW045 FEW110
FM251400 06008KT P6SM SCT030 SCT110
FM251900 07005KT P6SM VCTS BKN035CB BKN100=
 
TEXAS
College Station (CLL) Dallas/Fort Worth International (DFW)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KHGX 242332
TAFCLL
TAF
KCLL 242332Z 2500/2524 11003KT P6SM SKC
     FM251300 12007KT P6SM FEW015
     FM251600 13008KT P6SM SCT035
     FM252200 11008KT P6SM VCSH SCT050=
559
FTUS44 KFWD 242346
TAFDFW
TAF
KDFW 242346Z 2500/2606 15012KT P6SM SCT060
     FM250900 16007KT P6SM SCT030 BKN050
     FM251600 16009KT P6SM BKN050 BKN250=
Dallas-Love Field (DAL) Houston-Bush Intercontinental (IAH)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
561
FTUS44 KFWD 242346
TAFDAL
TAF
KDAL 242346Z 2500/2524 15012KT P6SM SCT060
     FM250900 16007KT P6SM SCT030 BKN050
     FM251600 16009KT P6SM BKN050 BKN250=
000
FTUS44 KHGX 242332
TAFIAH
TAF
KIAH 242332Z 2500/2606 10009KT P6SM FEW045 FEW090 SCT250
     FM250100 10005KT P6SM SCT250
     FM251300 10006KT P6SM SCT025
     FM251800 13011KT P6SM VCSH SCT045
     FM260030 13006KT P6SM FEW060 BKN250=
Houston-Hobby (HOU)
Tactical Decision Aid
000
FTUS44 KHGX 242332
TAFHOU
TAF
KHOU 242332Z 2500/2524 12011KT P6SM FEW040 SCT050 SCT120
     FM250100 12005KT P6SM FEW035 SCT250
     FM251300 11007KT P6SM SCT030
     FM252100 13010KT P6SM SCT040 BKN250=
 
ARKANSAS
Hot Springs (HOT) Little Rock (LIT)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
704
FTUS44 KLZK 242334
TAFHOT
TAF
KHOT 242334Z 2500/2524 VRB05KT P6SM VCSH SCT050
     FM250200 VRB04KT P6SM SCT250
     FM251000 VRB03KT 5SM BR FEW020 SCT250
     FM251300 14006KT P6SM FEW050
     FM251900 15009G16KT P6SM VCTS SCT050CB SCT250=
705
FTUS44 KLZK 242334
TAFLIT
TAF
KLIT 242334Z 2500/2524 12007KT P6SM FEW050 SCT250
     FM250200 VRB04KT P6SM FEW250
     FM251500 12005KT P6SM SCT050
     FM251900 15009G16KT P6SM VCTS SCT050CB SCT250=
Pine Bluff (PBF)
Tactical Decision Aid
707
FTUS44 KLZK 242334
TAFPBF
TAF
KPBF 242334Z 2500/2524 13006KT P6SM FEW250
     FM250200 VRB04KT P6SM FEW250
      TEMPO 2511/2513 4SM BR
     FM251500 12005KT P6SM SCT050
     FM251900 15009G16KT P6SM VCTS SCT050CB SCT250=
 
OKLAHOMA
McAlester (MLC) Oklahoma City-Will Rogers (OKC)
Tactical Decision Aid Tactical Decision Aid
103
FTUS44 KTSA 242332
TAFMLC
TAF
KMLC 242332Z 2500/2524 15004KT P6SM FEW050 SCT250
     FM251500 18007KT P6SM FEW035 SCT250
     FM251700 17009KT P6SM SCT040=
252
FTUS44 KOUN 242321
TAFOKC
TAF
KOKC 242321Z 2500/2524 14010KT P6SM BKN150
     FM251500 17012KT P6SM OVC050 PROB30 2520/2524 5SM -SHRA=
Tulsa International (TUL)
Tactical Decision Aid
101
FTUS44 KTSA 242332
TAFTUL
TAF
KTUL 242332Z 2500/2524 15006KT P6SM FEW050 SCT250
     FM251500 17010KT P6SM SCT250
     FM251700 16011KT P6SM SCT050=
 
NWS-Shreveport Aviation Forecast Discussion
 
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Flight Category Definitions
Category Ceilings And/Or Visibilities
VFR Greater than 3000 ft AND Greater than 5 SM
MVFR Greater than or equal to 1000 ft, but less than or equal to 3000 ft AND/OR Greater than or equal to 3 SM, but less than or equal to 5 SM
IFR Greater than or equal to 500 ft, but less than 1000 ft AND/OR Greater than or equal to 1 SM, but less than 3 SM
LIFR Less than 500 ft AND/OR Less than 1 SM
 
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Southern Plains Southern Mississippi Valley
Southern Plains radar loop Southern Mississippi Valley radar loop
   
Shreveport (SHV) Base Reflectivity 0.5º Shreveport (SHV) Base Velocity 0.5º
Shreveport Radar Base Reflectivity 0.5 degrees Shreveport Radar Base Velocity 0.5 degrees
   
Fort Polk (POE) Base Reflectivity 0.5º Fort Polk (POE) Base Velocity 0.5º
Fort Polk Radar Base Reflectivity 0.5 degrees Fort Polk Radar Base Velocity 0.5 degrees
 
Fort Smith (SRX) Base Reflectivity 0.5º Fort Smith (SRX) Base Velocity 0.5º
Fort Smith Radar Base Reflectivity 0.5 degrees Fort Smith Radar Base Velocity 0.5 degrees
 
Little Rock (LZK) Base Reflectivity 0.5º Little Rock (LZK) Base Velocity 0.5º
Little Rock Radar Base Reflectivity 0.5 degrees Little Rock Radar Base Velocity 0.5 degrees
 
Inola (INX) Base Reflectivity 0.5º Inola (INX) Base Velocity 0.5º
Inola Radar Base Reflectivity 0.5 degrees Inola Radar Base Velocity 0.5 degrees
 
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Latest Observed Sounding from Shreveport
 
RAP Vertical Wind Forecasts
Shreveport Regional Airport (SHV) Monroe Regional Airport (MLU)
RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for Shreveport RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for Monroe
Tyler Pounds Regional Airport (TYR) Longview-East Texas Regional Airport (GGG)
RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for Tyler RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for Longview
Lufkin-Angelina County Airport (LFK) Texarkana Regional Airport-Webb Field (TXK)
RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for Lufkin RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for TXK
El Dorado-South Arkansas Regional Airport (ELD)
RAP Vertical Wind Forecast for El Dorado
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Latest Area Forecast Discussion (AFD)
000
FXUS64 KSHV 242242
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
542 PM CDT Sun Sep 24 2017

.AVIATION...
Dealing with some isolated showers in the vicinity of the TXK/MLU
terminals attm but we should lose this activity over the next
couple hours. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail overnight
with the exception of some patchy fog developing at the terminals
a few hours before sunrise and an hour or two after sunrise Monday
morning.

Expect cu field to begin developing near 15z on Mon across our
terminal airspace with the possibility of isolated afternoon and
evening showers and thunderstorms once again.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 234 PM CDT Sun Sep 24 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Weak upper low/weakness over the central Gulf Coast has allowed
for isold convection this aftn across our ern half. Overall upper
flow pattern characterized by a trof over the wrn CONUS and
amplified upper ridge over the ern CONUS, with hurricane Maria
battling the ern periphery of the upper ridge.

Overall pattern to hold through midweek, as the ridge continues to
hold its ground against the erosion of the trof to our w. Models
continue to trend drier for the approaching cold front for our
area for mid to late week, no longer bringing anything better than
an isold chance for tstms for our extreme nwrn areas. The trof
will eventually force the ridge s and w late in the work week,
allowing a cooler airmass to filter into our region. However, we
will unfortunately be lacking the deep-layer moisture needed to
get some rain with the passage of the front. Some question as to
how this will affect the influence of the cooler airmass, so temps
in the extended may end up being too cool. For now, have stayed
close to blended guidance, which brings us temps down in the low
80s for Friday and Saturday.

/12/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  72  91  70  92 /   0  20  10  10
MLU  70  90  68  92 /  10  20  10  10
DEQ  69  90  67  91 /   0  20  10  10
TXK  70  90  69  90 /   0  20  10  10
ELD  69  89  67  90 /  10  20  10  10
TYR  71  90  70  90 /   0  10  10  10
GGG  70  91  69  91 /   0  20  10  10
LFK  71  91  70  91 /  10  20  10  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

12/13

   
Latest Hazardous Weather Outlook
000
FLUS44 KSHV 241638
HWOSHV

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1138 AM CDT Sun Sep 24 2017

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-251645-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1138 AM CDT Sun Sep 24 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

A few isolated thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon
mainly east of a line from De Queen Arkansas to Sam Rayburn Dam.
Any storms that develop should dissipate around sunset.
Otherwise, no hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will remain possible
Monday and Tuesday during peak daytime heating.

There will be a slight chance for more organized thunderstorm
activity Wednesday and Thursday across portions of Southeast
Oklahoma and East Texas as a cold front approaches and moves
across the area. However, no hazardous weather is expected at
this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators...and storm spotters will not be needed through tonight.

$$

12

 
 

 

 
IMPORTANT: This page is a tool to help pilots better visualize weather and weather-related hazards, and is not a substitute for a weather briefing obtained from a Flight Service Station (1-800-WXBRIEF). The information contained here does not meet the FAA requirements for a pre-flight weather brief. Therefore, it is important that pilots call and obtain a briefing from an FAA Flight Service Specialist.