National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Current STI Grants and Projects

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Program Subject Area      Project Title                    Principal Inverstigator(s) PI Affiliation  Project Start    Project End       Total Budget
CSTAR Hydrology, Ensembles Understanding and Improving the Full Hydrometeorological Forecasting Chain Using Multimodel Ensembles Alfonso Mejia Penn State University 5/1/2014 4/30/2018 $291,189
CSTAR Atmospheric Physics Improving Understanding and Prediction of High Impact Weather Associated with Low-Topped Severe Convection in the Southeastern U.S. Matthew Parker, Joanna Jones, Gary Lackmann North Carolina State University 5/1/2014 4/30/2018 $375,000
CSTAR Coastal Weather An Ensemble-Based Approach to Forecasting Surf, Set-Up, and Surge in the Coastal Zone Stephen Lazarus and Robert Weaver Florida Institute of Technology 7/1/2014 6/30/2018 $374,565
CSTAR Hazardous Weather Improving Warning Decision Support for Convective Storm Events in the Eastern United States Paul Markowski and Barbara Rigg Penn State University 5/1/2014 4/30/2018 $375,000
CSTAR Atmospheric Physics Development of Probabilistic and Sensitivity-Based Forecast Tools to Improve High-Impact Forecasting Guidance at the NWS Brian Ancell Texas Tech University 5/1/2014 4/30/2018 $369,333
CSTAR Data Assimilation, Ensembles A Partnership to Develop and Evaluate Optimized Realtime Convective-Scale Ensemble Data Assimilation and Prediction Systems for Hazardous Weather Ming Xue University of Oklahoma 5/1/2016 4/30/2019 $450,000
CSTAR Atmospheric Physics Prediction of Heavy Banded Snowfall: Resolution Requirements, Microphysical Sensitivity, and Hydrometeor Lofting Gary Lackmann, Joanna Jones, Jennifer Teixera North Carolina State University 5/1/2016 4/30/2019 $355,734
CSTAR Decision Support Major Risks, Uncertain Outcomes: Making Ensemble Forecasts Work for Multiple Audiences Burrell Montz East Carolina University 7/1/2016 6/30/2018 $132,997
CSTAR Atmospheric Physics Development of Improved Diagnostics, Numerical Models, and Situational Awareness of High-Impact Cyclones and Convective Weather Events Kristen Corbosiero SUNY Albany 5/1/2016 4/30/2019 $450,000
CSTAR Atmospheric Physics Adaptive, High Resolution Modeling for the Arctic Test Bed at NWS Alaska Thomas Heinrichs University of Alaska-Fairbanks 5/1/2016 4/30/2019 $450,000
CSTAR Atmospheric Physics Collaborative Research on Improved Understanding and Prediction of Warm-Season (Derecho) and Cold-Season (Intense Mesoscale Snow Banding) High Impact Events Robert Hart and Henry Fuelberg Florida State University 5/1/2016 4/30/2019 $449,019
CSTAR Post-Processing, Hazardous Weather Using Reforecasts and Historical Observations to Assess Severe Weather Threat in the Extended Forecast Period Charles Graves Saint Louis University 5/1/2016 4/30/2018 $212,325
CSTAR Verification, Atmospheric Physics Collaborative Research to Advance Analysis, Forecast, and Decision Support Services for High-Impact Weather Events James Steenburgh, John Horel, and Courtenay Strong University of Utah 7/1/2017 6/30/2020 $450,000
CSTAR Atmospheric Physics Understanding Fundamental Processes and Evaluating High-Resolution Model Forecasts in High-Shear Low-CAPE Severe Storm Environments Matthew Parker and Gary Lackmann North Carolina State University 7/1/2017 6/30/2020 $436,719
CSTAR Ensembles Ensemble Sub-setting within Optimized Ensembles to Improve Probabilistic Prediction of Severe Weather Brian Ancell and Christopher Weiss Texas Tech University 7/1/2017 6/30/2020 $444,686
CSTAR Ensembles, Decision Support Better Use of Ensembles in the Forecast Process: Scenario Based Tools for Predictability Studies and Hazardous Weather Communication Brian Colle, Edmund Kar-Man Chang, and Christine O'Connell SUNY Stony Brook 7/1/2017 6/30/2020 $420,671
CSTAR Hydrology, Ensembles Applications of HRRR Ensembles for Hydrologic Prediction using the WRF-Hydro and SACSMA Models Kristie Franz and William Gallus Iowa State University 7/1/2017 6/30/2019 $229,768
HFIP Tropical Weather Assessing the Predictability of Tropical Cyclone Intensity using HWRF Ryan Torn SUNY Albany 8/1/2014 7/31/2018 $337,385
HFIP Tropical Weather Addressing Deficiencies in Forecasting Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification in HWRF Jun Zhang, David Nolan and Hua Chen University of Miami 8/1/2014 7/31/2018 $389,332
HFIP Tropical Weather Advancing the assimilation of airborne hurricane observations using the GSI-based hybrid ensemble-variational data assimilation system for HWRF Xuguang Wang University of Oklahoma 8/1/2014 7/31/2018 $294,099
HFIP Tropical Weather Understanding the impact of sub-grid scale physics in HWRF on the predicted inner-core structure and intensity of tropical cyclones Ping Zhu Florida International University 8/1/2014 7/31/2018 $333,090
NGGPS Testbeds Synoptic Weather Validation of Significant Weather Features and Processes in Operational Models Using a Cyclone Relative Approach Brian Colle SUNY Stony Brook 5/1/2015 4/30/2018 $415,219
NGGPS Testbeds Post-Processing, Hazardous Weather Test and Evaluation of Rapid Post-Processing and Information Extraction from Large Convection Allowing Ensembles Applied to 0-3hr Tornado Outlooks James Correia University of Oklahoma 5/1/2015 4/30/2018 $329,282
NGGPS Testbeds Hazardous Weather Improvement of Convective/Severe Weather Prediction through an Integrative Analysis of WRF Simulations and NEXRAD/GOES Observations over the CONUS Baike Xi, Xiquan Dong

University of Arizona

University of North Dakota

5/1/2015 4/30/2018 $491,707
NGGPS Testbeds Tropical Weather, Ensembles Exploitation of Ensemble Prediction System Information in support of Atlantic Tropical Cyclogenesis Prediction Christopher Thorncroft SUNY Albany 5/1/2015 4/30/2018 $378,566
NGGPS Testbeds Hazardous Weather Data Mining of High-resolution Storm-scale Data Sets Travis Smith University of Oklahoma 5/1/2015 4/30/2018 $368,240
NGGPS Testbeds Synoptic Weather An Investigation of the Skill of Week Two Extreme Temperature and Precipitation Forecasts at NCEP-WPC Lance Bosart SUNY Albany 5/1/2015 4/30/2018 $449,994
NGGPS Testbeds Hazardous Weather Information Extraction and Verification of Numerical Weather Predication for Severe Weather Forecasting Israel Jirak University of Oklahoma 5/1/2015 4/30/2018 $429,784
NGGPS Satellite Modeling, Data Assimilation Enhancing NCEP GFS Forecasts via Assimilating Satellite Soil Moisture and Snow Observations Mitchell A. Schull, Christopher Hain University of Maryland 5/1/2015 4/30/2018 $280,000
NGGPS Ensembles, Weeks 3-4 Accelerating Development of NOAA's NGGPS for Week-3 and Week-4 Weather Prediction James Kinter George Mason University 5/1/2015 4/30/2018 $401,897
NGGPS Atmospheric Physics Developing Physics-Oriented Diagnostic Tools for Model Evaluation and Improvement Zhuo Wang University of Illinois 5/1/2015 4/30/2018 $214,673
NGGPS Aerosol Modeling Investigation of Aerosol Effects on Weather Forecasts using NCEP Global Forecast System Sarah Lu SUNY Albany 5/1/2015 4/30/2018 $286,913
NGGPS Atmospheric Physics Integrating Unified Gravity Wave Physics into the Next Generation Global Prediction System Timothy Fuller-Rowell University of Colorado 5/1/2015 4/30/2018 $468,629
NGGPS Data Assimilation Development of Advanced Data Assimilation Techniques for Improved use of Satellite-Derived Atmospheric Motion Vectors James Jung University of Wisconsin 5/1/2015 4/30/2018 $317,130
NGGPS Aerosol Modeling Evaluating the Impact of Cloud-Aerosol-Precipitation Interaction (CAPI) Schemes on Rainfall Forecast in the NGGPS Zhanqing Li, Seoung-Sae Lee University of Maryland 5/1/2015 4/30/2018 $379,501
NGGPS Atmospheric Physics Advancing Storm-Scale Forecasts over Nested Domains for High-Impact Weather David Stensrud Penn State University 5/1/2015 4/30/2018 $447,493
NGGPS Post-Processing Subseasonal Prediction over the Western United States Greg Hakim, Clifford Mass University of Washington 5/1/2015 4/30/2018 $395,275
NGGPS Data Assimilation Improving Global and Hurricane Prediction by Using Minimum-Cost Large Ensemble in GFS 4DEnVar Hybrid Data Assimilation System Xuguang Wang University of Oklahoma 5/1/2015 4/30/2018 $388,917
NGGPS Ensembles, Climate Modeling Development and testing of a multi-model ensemble prediction system for sub-monthly forecasts Andrew Robertson Columbia University 5/1/2015 4/30/2018 $446,438
NGGPS Data Assimilation, Tropical Weather Improved Tropical Cyclone Initialization for NCEP Operations Kayo Ide University of Maryland 5/1/2015 4/30/2018 $319,569
NGGPS Data Assimilation An Operational Hybrid 3DVar/EnKF Ocean Assimilation System - NCEP Stephen Penny University of Maryland 5/1/2015 4/30/2018 $437,309
NGGPS Atmospheric Physics Estimation and Correction of the GFS Systematic Errors Eugenia Kalnay University of Maryland 9/1/2016 8/31/2018 $289,818
NGGPS Verification Advancing Forecast Verification and Model Development Efforts through the Development of A Flexible Satellite-Based Verification System for the GFS Jason Otkin University of Wisconsin 9/1/2016 8/31/2018 $370,478
NGGPS Climate Modeling Improving Global Wind-Wave Probabilistic Forecasts and Products Beyond Week 2 Stephen Penny University of Maryland 1/1/2017 12/31/2018 $328,330
NGGPS Data Assimilation Implementation and testing of lognormal humidity and cloud-related control variables for the NCEP GSI hybrid EnVar assimilation scheme Steven Fletcher Colorado State University 9/1/2016 8/31/2018 $399,702
NGGPS Atmospheric Physics Implementation of a Processes-Based Evaluation System for Tracing the Sources of Systematic Errors and their Evolution with Forecast Lead time in the NGGPS Ming Cai Florida State University 9/1/2016 8/31/2018 $311,718
NGGPS Climate Modeling Weather Regime Diagnostic Tools for Sub-Monthly Ensemble Forecasts Andrew Robertson Columbia University 1/1/2017 12/31/2018 $377,534
NGGPS Data Assimilation Enhancing surface data assimilation and near-surface weather forecasts in NGGPS through improved coupling between the land surface and atmosphere Zhaoxia Pu University of Utah 9/1/2016 8/31/2018 $313,632
NGGPS Verification Critical Comparison and Evaluation of Skill Scores in Support of NGGPS Betsy Weatherhead University of Colorado 9/1/2016 8/31/2018 $400,000
NGGPS Atmospheric Physics A High-Resolution Blended Snow Depth Analysis for NGGPS Cezar Kongoli University of Maryland 9/1/2016 8/31/2018 $360,660
NGGPS Climate Modeling Improving Prediction of Large-scale Regime Transitions Paul Roebber University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee 9/1/2016 8/31/2018 $392,415
NGGPS Climate Modeling Towards Advancing the MJO and 1-30 day Weather Forecasting in the Fully Coupled NGGPS Joshua Xiouhua Fu University of Hawaii at Manoa 10/1/2016 9/30/2018 $373,303
HFIP Tropical Weather Evaluating Methods of Parameterizing Model Error in the HWRF Ensemble Prediction System Ryan Torn SUNY Albany 9/1/2016 8/31/2018 $328,574
HFIP Tropical Weather Characteristics of Hurricane Intensity Error Growth and Predictability Limit in the HWRF Model Chanh Kieu Indiana University 9/1/2016 8/31/2018 $205,843
HFIP Tropical Weather Probabilistic Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Track, Intensity, and Structure with an Analog Ensemble WIlliam Lewis University of Wisconsin 9/1/2016 8/31/2018 $352,627
HFIP Tropical Weather Further Advancement of HWRF Self-consistent Ensemble-variational Hybrid Data Assimilation System to Improve High Resolution Hurricane Vortex Initialization Xuguang Wang University of Oklahoma 9/1/2016 8/31/2018 $292,285
HFIP Tropical Weather Improving HWRF's Ability to Predict Rapid Change in Tropical Cyclone Intensity Governed by Internal Physical Processes Ping Zhu Florida International University 9/1/2016 8/31/2018 $339,161
NGGPS Testbeds Hazardous Weather Information Extraction and Verification of Convection Allowing Models for Tornado Forecasting Robert Hepper University of Oklahoma 9/1/2016 8/31/2018 $297,690
NGGPS Testbeds Weeks 3-4, Data Assimilation Data Assimilation in the Vertically Extended Global Atmosphere of NEMS Valery Yudin University of Colorado 9/1/2016 8/31/2018 $386,820
NGGPS Testbeds Weeks 3-4, Tropical Weather Advanced Diagnostics for Tropical-Midlatitude Interactions and Teleconnections on Intraseasonal Timescales Cristiana Stan George Mason University 9/1/2016 8/31/2018 $385,606
NGGPS Testbeds Synoptic Weather Developing and Testing a High-Resolution Ensemble-Based 6-10 Day Forecast System for Atmospheric Rivers and Heavy Precipitation over the Western U.S. Clifford Mass University of Washington 9/1/2016 8/31/2018 $343,144
NGGPS Testbeds Data Assimilation Assimilation of GOES-R total lightning into GSI to improve short-term forecasts of high impact weather events at cloud resolving scales Alex Fierro University of Oklahoma 9/1/2016 8/31/2018 $230,048
NGGPS Testbeds Synoptic Weather Evaluation of Model Forecasts of High-Impact Precipitation and Temperature for Days 8-10 James Nelson NCEP/WPC 10/1/2016 9/30/2018 $400,000