[top]
000
WWUS84 KAMA 040300
SPSAMA
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1000 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2009
OKZ003-040345-
BEAVER OK-
1000 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2009
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1045 PM CDT FOR BEAVER COUNTY.
AT 1000 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF BEAVER...MOVING EAST AT 25
MPH.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
$$
JOHNSON
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000
WWUS84 KOUN 040130
SPSOUN
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
830 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2009
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-041000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
830 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2009
...HOT WEATHER WITH A CHANCE FOR STORMS THIS FOURTH OF JULY...
A COLD FRONT LOCATED ACROSS KANSAS FRIDAY EVENING WILL MOVE SOUTH
INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA BY MIDDAY ON THE FOURTH OF JULY... LIKELY
REACHING CENTRAL OKLAHOMA BY EARLY SATURDAY EVENING. THE FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE RED RIVER VALLEY AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
SLIGHTLY COOLER WEATHER WILL SPREAD INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA BEHIND
THE FRONT... WHILE TO THE SOUTH... TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT IS EXPECTED
OVER SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. MEANWHILE... HEAT
INDEX VALUES WILL LIKELY REACH OR EXCEED 105 ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA... AND PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
THOSE CELEBRATING THE HOLIDAY WITH OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES SHOULD TAKE
EXTRA PRECAUTIONS TO GUARD AGAINST HEAT-RELATED ILLNESSES AND
SUNBURN.
IT ALSO APPEARS SEVERAL LOCATIONS COULD SEE SOME NATURAL FIREWORK
DISPLAYS IN THE FORM OF LIGHTNING AS SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR AND NORTH OF THE COLD FRONT DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND NIGHTTIME HOURS. IN ADDITION TO CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING... A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD ALSO PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER.
IF YOU WILL BE OUTSIDE THIS HOLIDAY... STAY AWARE OF THE WEATHER...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU PLAN TO BE OUT ON AREA LAKES.
TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE AS HOT ON SUNDAY AS HIGHS WILL RANGE IN THE
MID 80S TO LOWER 90S BEHIND THE FRONT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA
AND OVER WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
$$
CJS
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000
FLUS44 KOUN 040036
HWOOUN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
735 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2009
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-041200-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
735 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH KANSAS TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS
THAT FORM ALONG THE FRONT IN KANSAS THIS EVENING COULD DEVELOP
SOUTHWARD TOWARDS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA LATE TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE MAY ALSO MOVE INTO
PARTS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA LATER TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW AS INSTABILITIES WILL REMAIN
LIMITED OVERNIGHT.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SATURDAY JUL 4.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...40 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...20 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH KANSAS TONIGHT WILL TRACK ACROSS
OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY NEAR THIS FRONT... ESPECIALLY LATE
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. THESE STORMS WILL HAVE
THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL... STRONG STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS...
VERY HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING. THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES WILL PERSIST ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS PORTIONS OF THE AREA INTO TUESDAY.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL REACH NEAR 105 DEGREES ON THE FOURTH OF JULY
MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
THOSE PARTICIPATING IN OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES THIS HOLIDAY SHOULD TAKE
EXTRA PRECAUTIONS TO AVOID HEAT RELATED ILLNESSES AND SUNBURN.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM
SATURDAY MORNING.
$$
30/CJS
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000
FLUS44 KTSA 032221
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
521 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2009
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-041000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
521 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2009
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...REST OF TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.
DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.
DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS IGNITING ALONG A WEAK BOUNDARY DURING THE HIGH HEAT OF
THE AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT A PORTION OF SOUTHEASTERN
OKLAHOMA INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. THESE STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL... WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND BRIEF
HEAVY RAINFALL.
IN ADDITION... MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA WILL CONTINUE TO
EXPERIENCE DANGEROUS HEAT INDEX VALUES INTO THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
BETTER CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL ARRIVE BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE
REGION. STRONG AFTERNOON HEATING AND CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT
WILL EVENTUALLY ERODE ANY EXISTING CAP...WITH THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING NEAR THE BOUNDARY BY LATER SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. FORECAST WIND FIELDS SHOULD BE MARGINAL...BUT THE
EXPECTED INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...
WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREAT.
AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES MAY APPROACH 105 DEGREES SATURDAY
AFTERNOON... ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST
CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
EMERGENCY PERSONNEL SHOULD PREPARE FOR EXCESSIVE HEAT AND POSSIBLE
SEVERE STORMS OVER THE UPCOMING HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$
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000
FLUS44 KAMA 031801
HWOAMA
TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
100 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2009
OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-041100-
ARMSTRONG-BEAVER-CARSON-CIMARRON-COLLINGSWORTH-DALLAM-DEAF SMITH-
DONLEY-GRAY-HANSFORD-HARTLEY-HEMPHILL-HUTCHINSON-LIPSCOMB-MOORE-
OCHILTREE-OLDHAM-POTTER-RANDALL-ROBERTS-SHERMAN-TEXAS-WHEELER-
100 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.
.DAY ONE...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES THROUGH TONIGHT. A FEW STORMS MAY APPROACH SEVERE LEVELS
WITH STRONG WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS
PANHANDLES SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE
WITH STRONG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL BEING THE MAIN THREATS.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
$$
SP
000
FLUS44 KTSA 031756
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1256 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2009
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-041000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1256 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2009
...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA... NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 1 AM.
DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
DISCUSSION...
MORNING CONVECTION...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW LINGERING
SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...HAS DISSIPATED ACROSS THE
REGION AS OF EARLY AFTERNOON. ARE AS THAT DID NOT SEE THE EARLIER
RAIN WILL BE POISED FOR A HOT AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 90S EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. LATER TONIGHT...A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY MOVE
INTO PARTS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY
SLOWLY MOVES SOUTH TOWARDS THE REGION.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
BETTER CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVES BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
SATURDAY NIGHT...AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION. STRONG
AFTERNOON HEATING AND CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY
ERODE ANY EXISTING CAP...WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING NEAR THE
BOUNDARY BY LATER SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. FORECAST WIND
FIELDS SHOULD BE MARGINAL...BUT THE EXPECTED INSTABILITY WILL
SUPPORT A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREAT.
AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES MAY APPROACH 105 DEGREES SATURDAY AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
EMERGENCY PERSONNEL SHOULD PREPARE FOR EXCESSIVE HEAT AND POSSIBLE
SEVERE STORMS OVER THE UPCOMING HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$
000
FLUS44 KOUN 031654
HWOOUN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1145 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2009
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-041200-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1145 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH KANSAS TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS
THAT FORM ALONG THE FRONT IN KANSAS THIS EVENING WILL MOVE SOUTH
TOWARD NORTHERN OKLAHOMA LATE TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LOW AS INSTABILITY WILL BE LIMITED OVERNIGHT.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SATURDAY JUL 4.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...40 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...20 PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID 90S TO TRIPLE DIGITS ACROSS THE
AREA TODAY WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES REACHING 100 TO 105 IN SOME
LOCATIONS. PEOPLE SPENDING TIME OUTDOORS SHOULD USE CAUTION TO
PREVENT HEAT RELATED ILLNESSES.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH KANSAS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT WILL MOVE
ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY NEAR THIS FRONT... ESPECIALLY LATE
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. THESE STORMS WILL HAVE
THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL... STRONG STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS...
VERY HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING. THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES WILL PERSIST ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS PORTIONS OF THE AREA INTO TUESDAY.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM
SATURDAY MORNING.
$$
30
000
FLUS44 KTSA 030958
HWOTSA
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
500 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2009
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-041000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
500 AM CDT FRI JUL 3 2009
...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.
DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...MOST OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING OVER
PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THESE STORMS
HAVE SHOWN A WEAKENING TREND OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT STILL
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND PERHAPS SOME
SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DIMINISH LATER THIS
MORNING AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET WEAKENS.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVES BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
SATURDAY NIGHT...AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION. STRONG
AFTERNOON HEATING AND CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY
ERODE ANY EXISTING CAP...WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING NEAR THE
BOUNDARY BY LATER SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. FORECAST WIND
FIELDS SHOULD BE MARGINAL...BUT THE EXPECTED INSTABILITY WILL
SUPPORT A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS BEING THE MAIN THREAT.
AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES MAY APPROACH 105 DEGREES SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS.
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
EMERGENCY PERSONNEL SHOULD PREPARE FOR EXCESSIVE HEAT AND POSSIBLE
SEVERE STORMS OVER THE UPCOMING HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$
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