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000
FNUS53 KAPX 232055
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
355 PM EST MON NOV 23 2009
...A PERIOD OF RAIN AND COOLER TEMPERATURES AHEAD...
.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL GRADUALLY LOSE
ITS GRIP OVER THE GREAT LAKES WEATHER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...AS A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTS THROUGH THE PLAINS. THIS LOW WILL BRING
A PERIOD OF RAIN TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...AS IT
TRACKS THROUGH THE HEART OF THE GREAT LAKES. TEMPERATURES WILL
TURN COLDER BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...RETURNING TO LEVELS MORE TYPICAL
OF LATE NOVEMBER.
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN ELEVATED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY DURING
THE DAYTIME HOURS. SOUTHEAST WINDS ON TUESDAY WILL TURN TO SOUTH
ON WEDNESDAY.
MIZ016-017-019-021>023-240915-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
355 PM EST MON NOV 23 2009
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG
AFTER 1900 UNTIL 2200...THEN AREAS OF FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38...EXCEPT 42-47 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
UNTIL 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (260).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY AFTER 1900
UNTIL 0100...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.13 IN.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL
0700...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........82-87 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO
20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (200).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.23 IN.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-240915-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
355 PM EST MON NOV 23 2009
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG
AFTER 1900 UNTIL 2200...THEN AREAS OF FOG.
PATCHY DRIZZLE AFTER 0400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41...EXCEPT 44-49 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE
FOG UNTIL 1300. PATCHY DRIZZLE UNTIL 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT...EXCEPT 86-91 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (260).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY AFTER 1900
UNTIL 0100...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL
0700...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT...EXCEPT 89-94 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO
20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (180).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.19 IN.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-240915-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
355 PM EST MON NOV 23 2009
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG
AFTER 1900 UNTIL 2200...THEN AREAS OF FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38...EXCEPT 44-49 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 84-89 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
UNTIL 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (250).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN AFTER 1900.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 84-89 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.26 IN.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 0700...THEN
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT...EXCEPT 89-94 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO
16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (210).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.22 IN.
$$
MIZ031>033-240915-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
355 PM EST MON NOV 23 2009
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG
AFTER 1900 UNTIL 2200...THEN AREAS OF FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 5 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 84-89 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
UNTIL 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (240).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN AFTER 1900.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 84-89 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (40).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12-0.30 IN.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 0700...THEN
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO
16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (190).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.16 IN.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-240915-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
355 PM EST MON NOV 23 2009
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG
AFTER 1900 UNTIL 2200...THEN AREAS OF FOG.
PATCHY DRIZZLE AFTER 0400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). PATCHY DRIZZLE
UNTIL 0700. AREAS OF DENSE FOG UNTIL 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (170).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY AFTER
1900.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.13 IN.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY UNTIL
0700...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (180).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.15 IN.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.THANKSGIVING DAY...CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20
MPH AND GUSTY.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND
40. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
JH
[top]
000
FNUS83 KAPX 232045
FWMAPX
FCST,202902,091124,13,2,47,76,1,1,S,03,M,47,37,100,76,0,0,N
FCST,202010,091124,13,2,49,82,1,1,S,04,M,51,38,100,63,0,0,N
FCST,203101,091124,13,2,51,69,1,1,S,05,M,51,36,100,66,0,0,N
FCST,203601,091124,13,2,48,79,1,1,S,04,M,48,41,96,77,0,0,N
000
FNUS83 KAPX 222017
FWMAPX
FCST,202902,091123,13,2,45,67,1,1,E,05,M,50,35,100,65,0,0,N
FCST,202010,091123,13,2,48,64,1,1,SE,07,M,54,39,96,59,0,0,N
FCST,203101,091123,13,2,50,61,1,1,SE,08,M,55,33,100,54,0,0,N
FCST,203601,091123,13,2,45,77,1,1,E,03,M,46,37,100,76,0,0,N
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