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000
FLUS44 KTSA 222350
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
550 PM CST SUN NOV 22 2009

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-231100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
550 PM CST SUN NOV 22 2009

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE LOCATED OVER THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST THIS EVENING WILL TRANSLATE QUICKLY INTO THE SOUTHERN
AND CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA MONDAY EVENING
AND THROUGH NORTHWEST ARKANSAS EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. SOME
MOISTURE WILL RETURN TO THE AREA AHEAD OF THE FRONT BUT ONLY A
MARGINAL AMOUNT. THUS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY
DEVELOP ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT BUT DUE TO LIMITED
MOISTURE AND WEAK INSTABILITY...THESE STORMS WILL NOT SUPPORT
SEVERE WEATHER. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION BEHIND
THE FRONT ON TUESDAY...BEGINNING A PERIOD OF SEASONABLE AND FAIR
WEATHER.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

69





000
FLUS44 KTSA 222234
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
434 PM CST SUN NOV 22 2009

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-231100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
434 PM CST SUN NOV 22 2009

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED...SPREADINDEX=31.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 60S...RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE 30 TO 35
PERCENT RANGE...AND SOUTH WIND OF 10 TO 15 MPH WILL COMBINE TO
CONTINUE A LIMITED FIRE WEATHER THREAT INTO THIS EVENING. THIS
THREAT SHOULD END SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET AS HUMIDITY VALUES INCREASE
AND TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE 50S.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE LOCATED OVER THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST THIS EVENING WILL TRANSLATE QUICKLY INTO THE SOUTHERN
AND CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA MONDAY EVENING
AND THROUGH NORTHWEST ARKANSAS EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. SOME
MOISTURE WILL RETURN TO THE AREA AHEAD OF THE FRONT BUT ONLY A
MARGINAL AMOUNT. THUS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY
DEVELOP ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT BUT DUE TO LIMITED
MOISTURE AND WEAK INSTABILITY...THESE STORMS WILL NOT SUPPORT
SEVERE WEATHER. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION BEHIND
THE FRONT ON TUESDAY...BEGINNING A PERIOD OF SEASONABLE AND FAIR
WEATHER.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

69





000
FLUS44 KTSA 221901
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
101 PM CST SUN NOV 22 2009

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-231100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
101 PM CST SUN NOV 22 2009

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...LIMITED...SPREADINDEX=31.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALLING TO AROUND 40
PERCENT AND SOUTH WINDS OF AROUND 10 MILES AN HOUR WILL RESULT IN
A LIMITED FIRE WEATHER DANGER THIS AFTERNOON TO THE NORTH AND WEST
OF TULSA. AS TEMPERATURES COOL THIS EVENING...THE FIRE WEATHER
THREAT WILL DIMINISH.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM
WILL SWEEP ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA MONDAY NIGHT AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS EARLY TUESDAY. LIMITED MOISTURE WILL INHIBIT INSTABILITY
PARAMETERS...HOWEVER THUNDERSTORMS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE. ONCE
THE FRONT PASSES...POST FRONTAL NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS WILL KICK UP
TO 30 TO 35 MILES AN HOUR.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$






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000
FLUS44 KAMA 221852
HWOAMA

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
100 PM CST SUN NOV 22 2009

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-231200-
ARMSTRONG-BEAVER-CARSON-CIMARRON-COLLINGSWORTH-DALLAM-DEAF SMITH-
DONLEY-GRAY-HANSFORD-HARTLEY-HEMPHILL-HUTCHINSON-LIPSCOMB-MOORE-
OCHILTREE-OLDHAM-POTTER-RANDALL-ROBERTS-SHERMAN-TEXAS-WHEELER-
100 PM CST SUN NOV 22 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

$$

SJOHNSON





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000
FLUS44 KOUN 221753
HWOOUN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1153 AM CST SUN NOV 22 2009

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-231100-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1153 AM CST SUN NOV 22 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THE ATMOSPHERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE TOO STABLE FOR THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT THROUGH TONIGHT.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CST MONDAY NOV 23.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...0 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
LOCALLY DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN LATER TONIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY NIGHT OVER THE
EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA. THESE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM
MONDAY.
$$

MAXWELL






000
FLUS44 KTSA 221045
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
445 AM CST SUN NOV 22 2009

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-231100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
444 AM CST SUN NOV 22 2009


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE TROUGH WILL SWEEP ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA MONDAY
NIGHT AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS EARLY TUESDAY. LIMITED
MOISTURE WILL INHIBIT INSTABILITY PARAMETERS...HOWEVER
THUNDERSTORMS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE. ONCE THE FRONT PASSES
POST FRONTAL NORTHWEST WINDS WILL KICK UP TO 30 OR 35
MILES AN HOUR.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$







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