000
FNUS75 KGJT 222304
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG PARK - PILE BURNING...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
404 PM MST SUN NOV 22 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON NOVEMBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...SNOW ADVISORY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH MIDNIGHT MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP OVER THE GORE RANGE AROUND
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS WILL START WITH THE FRONT AND
CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE AT LEAST GOOD MIXING.
TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION BY MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE 2-5 INCHES...
WITH HEAVIER AMOUNTS NORTH OF HIGHWAY 134.

.MONDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....20-25 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT 1000...INCREASING TO 4200 FT
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 MPH DECREASING TO 17 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...KURTENBACH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091123.LONGP.01/GJT

000
FNUS75 KSLC 221401
FWSSLC

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK CREEK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
701 AM MST SUN NOV 22 2009

.DISCUSSION...WEAK SHORT WAVE RIDGE OVER FIRE DISTRICT TODAY. COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHERN UTAH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT IS
NEVER EXPECTED TO REACH SOUTHERN UTAH. THE FIRE SITE SHOULD
EXPERIENCE ENHANCED WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AS THE SYSTEM BRUSHES
NORTHERN UTAH. THIS WILL KEEP CLEARING INDEX UP. EVEN THOUGH THE
FRONT WILL NOT PUSH THROUGH THE BURN SITE...IT SHOULD CAUSE WINDS
TO TURN MORE NORTHWEST AS IT NEARS THE SOUTH AND IT SHOULD DRAG
ENOUGH MOISTURE ALONG WITH IT TO PRODUCE SOME POCKETS OF LIGHT
SNOW ACROSS SOUTHERN UTAH. HIT OR MISS...THE FIRE MAY OR MAY NOT
SEE ANY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLL LOW FOR THE COMING WEEK.

.TODAY...
  LAL.................1.
  HAINES INDEX........4 ..LOW.
  CLEARING INDEX......900.
  SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT CLOUD COVER).
  MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-45.
  MIN HUMIDITY........21-23 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....NORTHWEST WINDS 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                      BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING
                      WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                      AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
  LAL.................1.
  HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.
  SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT CLOUD COVER). A
                      CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1700 UNTIL 2300...THEN A
                      SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW.
  MIN TEMPERATURE.....22-24.
  MAX HUMIDITY........68-70 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY...
  LAL.................1.
  HAINES INDEX........4 ..LOW.
  CLEARING INDEX......500.
  SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT CLOUD COVER). A
                      SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW EARLY IN THE MORNING.
  MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-37.
  MIN HUMIDITY........26-28 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.



FORECASTER...YOUNG
REQUESTED BY...DAVID JORDAN
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091122.DUCKC.01/SLC

$$

000
FNUS75 KSLC 211353
FWSSLC

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK CREEK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
653 AM MST SAT NOV 21 2009

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN UTAH WILL
CONTINUE TO APPROACH THE DUCK CREEK SITE THIS MORNING. AS A
RESUL...SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY INCREASE BETWEEN 8
AM AND 10 AM AND REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH MIDDAY. LOOK FOR WINDS TO
TURN WESTERLY WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE IN THE 11 AM TO 1 PM
WINDOW...WITH WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS REMAINING GUSTY IN NATURE
THROUGH MID AFTERNOON BEFORE TAPERING. THE WIND SHIFT AND A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN MID LEVEL CLOUDS SHOULD BE THE ONLY
SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE...AS
MOISTURE REMAINS EXTREMELY LIMITED. NO ISSUES WITH CLEARING
INDICES THROUGH SUNDAY...LOOKS LIKE GOOD ENOUGH MIXING POTENTIAL
FOR ELEVATED CLEARING INDICES THROUGH THAT TIME.

.TODAY...
  LAL.................1.
  HAINES INDEX........2 ..VERY LOW.
  CLEARING INDEX......1000+.
  SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT CLOUD COVER)
                      UNTIL 1000...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45
                      PERCENT CLOUD COVER). ISOLATED FLURRIES
                      AFTER 1100.
  MAX TEMPERATURE.....40.
  MIN HUMIDITY........34-36 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH
                      GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                      15 TO 20 MPH BETWEEN 11 AM AND 1 PM.

.TONIGHT...
  LAL.................1.
  HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.
  SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT CLOUD COVER).
                      ISOLATED FLURRIES THROUGH 1700.
  MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-25.
  MAX HUMIDITY........61-63 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10
                      MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

.OUTLOOK FOR SUNDAY...
  LAL.................1.
  HAINES INDEX........3 ..VERY LOW.
  CLEARING INDEX......900.
  SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT CLOUD COVER) THEN
                      BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT CLOUD
                      COVER). A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR FLURRIES IN THE
                      AFTERNOON.
  MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-43.
  MIN HUMIDITY........29-31 PERCENT.
  WINDS - 20-FOOT.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                      WEST 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.



FORECASTER...MERRILL
REQUESTED BY...DAVID JORDAN
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20091121.DUCKC.01/SLC

$$