[top]
000
FLUS44 KBMX 090055
HWOBMX
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
653 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
ALZ011>015-017>050-100053-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
653 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
HURRICANE IDA WILL CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD AND APPROACH THE
ALABAMA GULF COAST ON TUESDAY...AND MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY
WEDNESDAY. BREEZY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED BEGINNING MONDAY
AFTERNOON SOUTH...AND SPREADING ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH
TUESDAY. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH WITH A FEW
GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE.
ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL RAIN AMOUNTS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. SOME OF THE
RAIN MAY OCCUR IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN FLASH
FLOODING CONCERNS.
HIGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY IN THE WAKE OF IDA.
WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS COULD BE EXPERIENCED AREA
WIDE.
THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARD TO THE TIMING AND
STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO FUTURE OUTLOOKS.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL MAY
BECOME NECESSARY MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
$$
27
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000
WWUS84 KMOB 090048
SPSMOB
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
648 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-090600-
UPPER
MOBILE-ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-WASHINGTON-CONECUH-MONROE-BUTLER-CLARKE-
CRENSHAW-WILCOX-CHOCTAW-INLAND OKALOOSA-INLAND ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA
ROSA-GEORGE-STONE-PERRY-GREENE-WAYNE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER
BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-COASTAL OKALOOSA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-COASTAL SANTA
ROSA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEAKESVILLE...LUCEDALE...NEW AUGUSTA...
WAYNESBORO...WIGGINS...CRESTVIEW...DESTIN...FORT WALTON BEACH...
NAVARRE...PENSACOLA...ANDALUSIA...BAY MINETTE...BREWTON...BUTLER...
CAMDEN...CHATOM...DAUPHIN ISLAND...DOWNTOWN MOBILE...EVERGREEN...
GROVE HILL...LUVERNE AND MONROEVILLE...
648 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
...IDA SLIGHTLY STRONGER AND MOVING NORTHWARD...
...THIS PRODUCT WILL BE USE DIN LIEU OF THE HURRICANE LOCAL
STATEMENT UNTIL TECHNICAL ISSUES ARE RESOLVED...
.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED
ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE IN SELECT LOCATIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO MEXICO BEACH
FLORIDA...INCLUDING MOBILE PENSACOLA NAVARRE AND DESTIN. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. INLAND TROPICAL STORM
WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR INLAND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND INTERIOR
SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA. ADDITIONAL TROPICAL CYCLONE
WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT OR MONDAY.
.STORM INFORMATION...AT 600 PM CST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.5 WEST OR ABOUT
445 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IDA IS
EXPECTED TO CROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND MONDAY...AND BE
NEAR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST MONDAY NIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IDA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...AND IDA IS FORECAST
TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN ON MONDAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM AIRCRAFT DATA IS 979
MB...OR 28.91 INCHES.
...WINDS...
THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS TO
ONSET MONDAY. ON THE CURRENT FORECAST PATH...IDA SHOULD BE LOCATED
NEAR THE MOUTH OF MOBILE BAY BY SUNRISE TUESDAY WITH NEAR HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE 65 TO 75 MPH RANGE...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. EXPECT 40 50 MPH WINDS INLAND WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE.
IDA WILL THEN TURN MORE TO THE EAST DURING THE MORNING HOURS. STRONG
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WILL CREATE A VERY WINDY
SITUATION EVEN IF IDA`S CENTER DOES PASS IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO ANY
GIVEN POINT...SO DO NOT JUST FOCUS ON THE LATEST TRACK`S CENTERLINE.
POWER OUTAGES ARE A STRONG POSSIBILITY WITH THIS IDA...ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE COAST.
...STORM SURGE...TOTAL TIDE HEIGHTS OF 5 TO 7 FEET ARE POSSIBLE WEST
OF THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA LINE...ESPECIALLY IN THE UPPER REACHES OF
MOBILE BAY(INCLUDING BAYOU SARA)...DOG RIVER...THE WEST END OF
DAUPHIN ISLAND AND BAYOU LA BATRE. EAST OF ORANGE BEACH TOTAL TIDE
HEIGHTS WILL RANGE FROM 2.5 TO 3.5 FEET. THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL
HIGH TIDE ON TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 3 AM ACROSS THE REGION.
THIS WILL EXACERBATE STORM RELATED FLOODING SINCE IDA`S FORECAST
LANDFALL IS JUST A FEW HOURS THEREAFTER. IF IDA MOVES IN
EARLIER...THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE MAY COINCIDE WITH
LANDFALL WHICH COULD RAISE THE AFOREMENTIONED VALUES.
...SEAS...
COASTAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA SEAS WILL BUILD FROM THEIR
CURRENT 7 TO 10 FEET RANGE TONIGHT... REACHING A MAXIMUM OF 20 TO 25
FEET EARLY TUESDAY MORNING NEAR THE PEAK OF THE EVENT. FINAL
PREPAREDNESS ACTIVITIES SHOULD BE DRAWING TO A CLOSE.
...TORNADOES...
TORNADOES WILL MAINLY OCCUR IN IDA`S OUTER RAINBANDS FROM MIDDAY
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TORNADOES ARE MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR IN THE
NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE STORM AND CAN HAPPEN A FEW HUNDRED MILES
FROM THE STORMS CENTER. PLEASE BE VIGILANT!
...RAINFALL...IDA`S HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL BE TO THE RIGHT OF THE
TRACK AND THIS WILL MAINLY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA. SOME 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR EAST
OF I-65...ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE
ISSUED LATER.
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MOBILE BY 11 PM.
MEDLIN
$$
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000
FLUS44 KHUN 090001
HWOHUN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
601 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-091100-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
601 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
HURRICANE REMNANTS WILL APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST MONDAY
NIGHT AND SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING
A PERIOD OF WET WEATHER TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY BEGINNING
MONDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE NIGHTTIME HOURS ON
TUESDAY.
A STRONG SURGE OF TROPICAL MOISTURE ALONG WITH THE SLOW MOVING NATURE
OF THIS SYSTEM MAY SET THE STAGE FOR A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAINFALL
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER TENNESSEE VALLEY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT. AT THIS POINT...THE HIGHEST THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL APPEARS
TO BE ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 WHERE ISOLATED 3 TO 4 INCH
RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE POSSIBLE. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE TUESDAY...PARTICULARLY IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
$$
CBD/SL
000
FLUS44 KBMX 082006
HWOBMX
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
206 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
ALZ011>015-017>050-091230-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
206 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
TROPICAL SYSTEM IDA WILL CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD AND APPROACH THE
ALABAMA GULF COAST ON TUESDAY...AND MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY
WEDNESDAY. BREEZY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED BEGINNING MONDAY
AFTERNOON SOUTH...AND SPREADING TO THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 15 AND 25
MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE.
ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. TOTAL RAIN AMOUNTS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. SOME OF THE
RAIN MAY OCCUR IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...RESULTING IN FLASH
FLOODING CONCERNS.
THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARD TO THE TIMING AND
STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO LATER OUTLOOKS.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL MAY
BECOME NECESSARY MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
$$
75
000
FLUS44 KHUN 081945 AAA
HWOHUN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
145 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-091100-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
145 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
HURRICANE REMNANTS WILL APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST MONDAY
NIGHT AND SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING
A PERIOD OF WET WEATHER TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY BEGINNING
MONDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE NIGHTTIME HOURS ON
TUESDAY.
A STRONG SURGE OF TROPICAL MOISTURE ALONG WITH THE SLOW MOVING NATURE
OF THIS SYSTEM MAY SET THE STAGE FOR A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE LOWER TENNESSEE VALLEY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. AT
THIS POINT...THE HIGHEST THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL APPEARS TO BE ALONG
AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 WHERE ISOLATED 3 TO 4 INCH RAINFALL TOTALS
WILL BE POSSIBLE. WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
TUESDAY...PARTICULARLY IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
$$
CBD
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000
FLUS44 KMOB 081941 AAA
HWOMOB
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
140 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-101500-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
140 PM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT
UNTIL IDA HAS MOVED INLAND PLEASE REFER TO THE HURRICANE LOCAL
STATEMENT FROM THE NWS IN MOBILE FOR DETAILED LOCAL INFORMATION.
ALSO...GRAPHICAL PROBABILISTIC INFORMATION CAN BE OBTAINED FROM THE
FOLLOWING WEB SITE FOR SURGE...WIND...TORNADO AND HEAVY RAINFALL
INDUCED FLOODING EFFECTS ASSOCIATED WITH IDA AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GHLS AND CLICK ON THE MOBILE AREA!
THIS WILL BE THE LAST HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PRODUCT ISSUED UNTIL
IDA HAS PASSED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
THIS WILL BE THE LAST HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PRODUCT ISSUED UNTIL
IDA HAS PASSED. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF IDA
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. SURFACE WINDS SHOULD RETURN TO THE 10 TO 20
MPH RANGE BY LATE DAY TUESDAY UNDER CLEARING SKIES. SEAS WILL BEGIN
TO LAY DOWN AFTER THAT TIME. DRY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR IN
ASSOCIATION WITH CANADIAN SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE FROM MID-WEEK
THROUGH LATE WEEKEND.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS ON IDA.
$$
MEDLIN
000
FLUS44 KHUN 081741
HWOHUN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1141 AM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-091100-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
1141 AM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.
HURRICANE REMNANTS WILL APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST MONDAY
NIGHT AND SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST ON TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING
A PERIOD OF WET WEATHER TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY BEGINNING LATE
MONDAY NIGHT AND EXTENDING INTO TUESDAY EVENING. A BRIEF PERIOD
OF HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION. WIND GUSTS OF 30
TO 35 MPH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE TUESDAY...PARTICULARLY IN HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
$$
15
000
FLUS44 KMOB 081502 AAA
HWOMOB
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
902 AM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-091500-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
902 AM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT
WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CAROLINA COAST REMAINING
STATIONARY...AND HURRICANE IDA MOVING OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO TODAY...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE AREA WILL
INCREASE...WITH WINDS INCREASING IN RESPONSE. THE STRONGEST WINDS
WILL BE INITIALLY OVER OPEN WATERS...THEN SPREAD NORTH TONIGHT AS
IDA MOVES CLOSER. WINDS OF 20 KNOTS OR GREATER OFFSHORE WILL
INCREASE IN MAGNITUDE THROUGH TONIGHT...CREATING INCREASING HIGHER
WAVES...AND HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT.
ALSO...AS IDA MOVES OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF...INCREASED SWELL WILL
PROPAGATE NORTH...REACHING THE ALABAMA AND WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT. A SMALL TIDAL RANGE WILL HELP TO LESSEN THE
PROBLEMS THIS INCREASED SWELL WILL CAUSE...BUT AN INCREASING SURF
WILL CAUSE FLOODING OVER FLOOD PRONE AREAS ALONG THE COAST BEGINNING
TONIGHT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
IDA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARDS THE AREA MONDAY INTO MONDAY
NIGHT...WITH THE CENTER OF IDA APPROACHING THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA COASTS BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. VERY ROUGH CONDITIONS OVER
THE OFFSHORE WATERS ARE EXPECTED WITH SUSTAINED GALE FORCE WINDS
DEVELOPING BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING WITH GUSTS TO STORM FORCE LIKELY
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON AS IDA APPROACHES. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE ALSO
LIKELY IN MOBILE BAY MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY AS IDA NEARS
THE COAST.
WINDY TO VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL ALSO BEGIN TO SPREAD INLAND
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...MAINLY OVER COASTAL ALABAMA AND WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE COUNTIES. WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50
MPH ARE POSSIBLE AS FAR NORTH AS INTERSTATE 10. AS IDA APPROACHES
THE COAST...IT WILL BEGIN TO UNDERGO A COMPLEX INTERACTION WITH A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY...THAT WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO TRANSITION IDA TO A NON
TROPICAL SYSTEM...AND WEAKEN IT AS IT ENCOUNTERS HOSTILE UPPER LEVEL
WINDS AND COOLER GULF WATERS. RESIDENTS SHOULD NOT FOCUS SOLELY ON
IF THE STORM IS TROPICAL OR NOT...AS WINDY CONDITIONS...HEAVY
RAIN... AND SOME COASTAL FLOODING WILL LIKELY BE EXPERIENCED
REGARDLESS.
IDA WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EASTWARD TUESDAY...FURTHER WEAKENING AS
INCREASED WIND SHEAR AND A TREND TOWARDS IDA BECOMING EXTRA TROPICAL
CONTINUES. WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO SETTLE LATER TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS ON IDA.
$$
000
FLUS44 KBMX 081240
HWOBMX
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
640 AM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
ALZ011>015-017>050-091200-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
640 AM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WHICH COULD RESULT
IN LOCALIZED FLOODING PROBLEMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA.
RAINFALL TOTALS UP TO FOUR INCHES IS POSSIBLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF A
LINE FROM CENTRE TO ALABASTER TO ALICEVILLE. THIS FORECAST IS HIGHLY
DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK OF THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM IDA AND ITS
ASSOCIATED MOISTURE. REVISIONS TO THIS FORECAST ARE LIKELY.
IN ADDITION...GUSTY EASTERLY WIND IS EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. SPEEDS WILL LIKELY BE SUSTAINED BETWEEN 10 AND 20 MPH.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
$$
12/SIRMON
000
FLUS44 KBMX 081200
HWOBMX
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
600 AM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
ALZ011>015-017>050-091200-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
600 AM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WHICH COULD RESULT
IN LOCALIZED FLOODING PROBLEMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA.
RAINFALL TOTALS UP TO FOUR INCHES IS POSSIBLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF A
LINE FROM CENTRE TO ALABASTER TO ALICEVILLE THIS FORECAST IS HIGHLY
DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK OF THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM IDA AND ITS
ASSOCIATED MOISTURE. REVISIONS TO THIS FORECAST ARE LIKELY.
IN ADDITION...GUSTY EASTERLY WIND IS EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. SPEEDS WILL LIKELY BE SUSTAINED BETWEEN 10 AND 20 MPH.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
$$
12/SIRMON
000
FLUS44 KMOB 081146
HWOMOB
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
600 AM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-091200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
600 AM CST SUN NOV 8 2009
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT
WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CAROLINA COAST REMAINING
STATIONARY...AND HURRICANE IDA MOVING OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO TODAY...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE AREA WILL
INCREASE...WITH WINDS INCREASING IN RESPONSE. THE STRONGEST WINDS
WILL BE INITIALLY OVER OPEN WATERS...THEN SPREAD NORTH TONIGHT AS
IDA MOVES CLOSER. WINDS OF 20 KNOTS OR GREATER OFFSHORE WILL
INCREASE IN MAGNITUDE THROUGH TONIGHT...CREATING INCREASING HIGHER
WAVES...AND HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT.
ALSO...AS IDA MOVES OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF...INCREASED SWELL WILL
PROPAGATE NORTH...REACHING THE ALABAMA AND WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT. A SMALL TIDAL RANGE WILL HELP TO LESSEN THE
PROBLEMS THIS INCREASED SWELL WILL CAUSE...BUT AN INCREASING SURF
WILL CAUSE FLOODING OVER FLOOD PRONE AREAS ALONG THE COAST BEGINNING
TONIGHT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
IDA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARDS THE AREA MONDAY INTO MONDAY
NIGHT...WITH THE CENTER OF IDA BRUSHING THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF
ALABAMA AND WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COASTAL WATERS MONDAY
NIGHT...THEN BEGIN TO MEANDER EAST. VERY ROUGH CONDITIONS OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED WITH WINDS 60NM SOUTH OF THE COAST
AVERAGING 40 KNOTS LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH BREEZY
TO WINDY CONDITIONS SPREADING NORTH INLAND...MAINLY OVER COASTAL
ALABAMA AND WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COUNTIES. WINDS OF 25 TO 35
MPH ARE POSSIBLE AS FAR NORTH AS INTERSTATE 10. SEAS WILL BUILD TO
CLOSE TO 20 FEET.
IDA WILL BEGIN TO MEANDER EASTWARD TUESDAY...SLOWLY WEAKENING AS
INCREASED WIND SHEAR AND A TREND TOWARDS IDA BECOMING EXTRA TROPICAL
OCCUR. WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
SETTLE LATER TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE
TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS ON IDA.
$$
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