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Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1237 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-
149>154-162>166-221100-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-HAMILTON-
SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY-ST JOHNS-
GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-
APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-
COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL
CAMDEN-
1237 PM EST SUN DEC 21 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED WITH ELEVATED NE FLOW.

SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION TODAY FOR THE NEAR AND OFFSHORE
COASTAL WATERS NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE.

MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...ALONG
WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS
STATIONARY OVER THE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
WITH ISOLATED STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEGINNING MID
WEEK AS COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND PASSES THROUGH THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

$$


Hydrologic Outlook


HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-
GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-212130-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
430 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014 /330 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2014/

...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH AN
INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR AREAL AND RIVER FLOODING...

THE COMBINATION OF A VERY MOIST AIRMASS LIFTING NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE REGION INTERACTING WITH A STRONG WINTER TIME STORM MOVING INTO
THE MID SOUTH WILL CREATE WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL
ACROSS THE TRI-STATE AREA ON TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

WHILE THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE EXACT
PLACEMENT OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL WITH THE STORM SYSTEM ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING IN A PERIOD OF SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL OCCURRING ACROSS THE REGION DURING THIS TIME FRAME. STORM
TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION...PARTICULARLY DURING THE
TIME OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL ON TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

WITH AREA RIVERS AND ASSOCIATED TRIBUTARIES AT OR BELOW NORMAL FLOWS
FOR DECEMBER...THE CURRENTLY PREDICTED RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE
GENERALLY EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ONLY RISES TO ACTION STAGE AT MOST
OF THE RIVER FORECAST POINTS. THE NOTABLE EXCEPTIONS TO THIS WILL
BE WITHIN THE OCHLOCKONEE AND WITHLACOOCHEE RIVER BASINS WHERE
THERE IS AN INCREASED POTENTIAL TO REACH MINOR FLOOD STAGE LATER
THIS WEEK. SHOULD MORE RAIN OCCUR THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...THE
CORRESPONDING RIVER FLOOD RISK WOULD INCREASE AND INCLUDE
ADDITIONAL RIVER BASINS REACHING AT LEAST MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGE INFORMATION...VISIT OUR AHPS PAGE AT
THE FOLLOWING LINK (ALL LOWERCASE):

HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=TAE

$$

GODSEY

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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