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Flash Flood Watch


Flood Watch
National Weather Service Springfield MO
409 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

...Threat for a Significant Flooding Event Increasing for Friday
Night into the Weekend...

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-280000-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FF.A.0002.170429T0000Z-170501T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
Including the cities of Fort Scott, Pawnee Station, Chicopee,
Lone Oak, Pittsburg, Baxter Springs, Lowell, Riverton, Columbus,
Neutral, Sherwin, Stippville, Warsaw, Whitakerville, Cole Camp,
Crockerville, Mora, Edmonson, Lincoln, Versailles, Rocky Mount,
Stover, Laurie, Aurora Springs, Eldon, Lake Ozark, Vichy, NEVADA,
Tiffin, Appleton City, Johnson City, Weaubleau, Hermitage,
Quincy, Wheatland, Cross Timbers, Osage Beach, Camdenton,
Decaturville, Roach, Village of Four Seasons, Fort Leonard Wood,
Laquey, Waynesville, Northwye, Rolla, Kenoma, Lamar,
Cedar Springs, El Dorado Springs, Filley, Arnica,
Caplinger Mills, Stockton, Bolivar, Buffalo, Charity, Foose,
March, Plad, Windyville, Olive, Lynchburg, Lebanon, Plato, Roby,
Bendavis, Huggins, Lake Spring, Bangert, Darien, Gladden, Howes,
Jadwin, Salem, Joplin, Carthage, Greenfield, Lockwood, Meinert,
Springfield, Marshfield, Northview, Seymour, Rogersville, Dawson,
Graff, Mountain Grove, Duncan, Mansfield, Neosho, Aurora,
Mount Vernon, Marionville, Nixa, Christian Center, Ozark,
Selmore, Vanzant, Ava, Goodhope, Rome, Squires, Dogwood, Pomona,
Pottersville, Siloam Springs, South Fork, West Plains,
White Church, Teresita, Winona, Birch Tree, Montier, Anderson,
Noel, Goodman, South West City, Pineville, Rocky Comfort, Monett,
Madry, Cassville, Kimberling City, Crane, Elsey, Indian Point,
Silver Dollar City, Branson, Hollister, Kirbyville,
Edgewater Beach, Forsyth, Ozark Beach, Powersite, Wasola, Thayer,
Alton, Couch, Greer, Thomasville, and Wilderness
409 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Springfield has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of southeast Kansas and
  Missouri, including the following areas, in southeast Kansas,
  Bourbon, Cherokee, and Crawford. In Missouri, Barry, Barton,
  Benton, Camden, Cedar, Christian, Dade, Dallas, Dent, Douglas,
  Greene, Hickory, Howell, Jasper, Laclede, Lawrence, Maries,
  McDonald, Miller, Morgan, Newton, Oregon, Ozark, Phelps, Polk,
  Pulaski, Shannon, St. Clair, Stone, Taney, Texas, Vernon,
  Webster, and Wright.

* From Friday evening through Sunday evening

* Periods of thunderstorms producing heavy rainfall will occur
  from Friday night through Sunday. Storm total rainfall amounts
  from 3 to 6 inches are expected, with localized amounts of 8
  inches or more likely. It is still unclear where the heaviest
  rainfall will occur.

* With soils already saturated as well as creeks, streams, and
  rivers running high, the potential for widespread and
  significant flooding is becoming increasingly likely for
  portions of the Missouri Ozarks. Flooding of some creeks,
  rivers, and low water crossings could last for several days
  after the rain ends.

  Some main stem rivers that will experience significant rises
  and potential flooding include the Elk, Spring, James, Big
  Piney, Gasconade, Jacks Fork, Current, Eleven Point, Osage,
  and Marmaton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

Schaumann

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
339 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

...WIDESPREAD AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING
   EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING WITH MODERATE
   TO MAJOR MAIN-STEM RIVER FLOODING POSSIBLE...

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-057-058-060>076-272200-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FF.A.0002.170429T0000Z-170430T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Crawford-Franklin-Sebastian-
Pushmataha-Craig-Ottawa-Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Delaware-Creek-
Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-Cherokee-Adair-Muskogee-McIntosh-
Sequoyah-Pittsburg-Haskell-Latimer-Le Flore-
Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Berryville,
Eureka Springs, Fayetteville, Springdale, Huntsville, Van Buren,
Ozark, Charleston, Fort Smith, Antlers, Clayton, Vinita, Miami,
Tulsa, Claremore, Pryor, Grove, Jay, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee,
Wagoner, Tahlequah, Stilwell, Muskogee, Checotah, Sallisaw,
McAlester, Stigler, Wilburton, and Poteau
339 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of Arkansas and Oklahoma...
  including the following counties...in Arkansas...Benton...
  Carroll...Crawford...Franklin...Madison...Sebastian and
  Washington AR. in Oklahoma...Adair...Cherokee...Craig...
  Creek...Delaware...Haskell...Latimer...Le Flore...Mayes...
  McIntosh...Muskogee...Okfuskee...Okmulgee...Ottawa...
  Pittsburg...Pushmataha...Rogers...Sequoyah...Tulsa and
  Wagoner.

* From Friday evening through Sunday morning

* A potent upper level storm system will move into the area Friday
  with strong to severe thunderstorms developing by early evening
  across portions of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
  Thunderstorms will continue Friday night through Saturday evening
  with locally heavy rainfall as a frontal boundary slowly pushes
  southeast. 8 to 10 inches of rainfall is expected across east-central
  Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas with locally higher amounts
  approaching 15 inches.

* The heavy rainfall will likely lead to widespread and potentially
  life threatening flash flooding.  Several rivers will likely go
  into moderate to major flood including the Illinois river and Lee
  Creek at Van Buren. Beaver Lake dam in northwest Arkansas could
  begin to release water which would impact areas downstream.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you are in the watch area, keep informed, and be ready for quick
action if flash flooding is observed or if a warning is issued.
Persons living in low lying areas along main-stem rivers should
monitor the latest forecast and be ready to evacuate to higher
ground.

Do not drive your vehicle into areas where water covers the road
to unknown depths. Take a different route to reach your destination
or wait until the water recedes. Remember, most flood related
deaths occur in automobiles and flooding is the leading cause of
weather related deaths.

A flash flood watch means rapidly rising water or flooding is
possible within the watch area.

&&

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
853 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
281200-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
853 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Late this afternoon into early this evening, a few isolated non
severe thunderstorms may develop across portions of north central
Kansas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

There a few opportunities for snow, or a rain and snow mixture
through the weekend. The most likely time begins Saturday night
and continues into Sunday morning. Snow, or a rain snow mixture,
will fall over parts of the area. Some areas may see light
accumulations on grassy surfaces, mainly along and west of
Highway 281. Similar conditions set up again Sunday night, this
time roughly along and east of Highway 281. There is still plenty
of uncertainty regarding the timing and location of any changeover
to snow and accumulation amounts with this weather system.

Also on Sunday and Sunday night, strong north winds may gust over
35 mph at times.

With the cold temperatures and overnight low temperatures in the
30s through Monday night, sensitive outdoor vegetation may be
damaged.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
753 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-281300-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
753 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Widely scattered thunderstorms may spread southeast across Central
and South-Central Kansas tonight. A few strong storms may be
possible across southern Kansas with hail up to dime size the main
concern.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Rain and thunderstorms will increase considerably across primarily
Southeast Kansas this weekend. While thunderstorms occurring across
Southeast Kansas may be quite strong, the greatest concerns, by
far, are very heavy rains that are likely to cause flooding. Rises
on area rivers, such as the Neosho, will occur and may be
significant. If you live in Southeast Kansas, especially Labette,
Neosho or Montgomery Counties, you should monitor forecasts closely!
Flood Watches and Flood Warnings may be required.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

ES/Ketcham

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
752 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-281015-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
752 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017 /652 AM MDT Thu Apr 27 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop late
this afternoon. A few storms could become severe along a warm
front extending from west central into south central Kansas
Thursday afternoon. Quarter to golf ball size hail and damaging
winds will be the main threats.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Limited risk
* Lightning: Elevated risk
* Fire weather: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------
A strong spring storm system will impact the central High Plains
by Friday night into the weekend. This storm is expected to
produce significant rainfall across the area. In addition, rain is
expected to mix with or change over to snow over parts of western
Kansas. Snowfall amounts are difficult to tell, especially given
the warm ground temperatures, but some locations near the Colorado
border could see upwards of 2 to 5 inches but locally higher
amounts may be possible in the higher elevations.


Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Freeze: Elevated risk
  - Snow: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Freeze: Significant risk
  - Snow: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Freeze: Significant risk
  - Snow: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Freeze: Elevated risk

* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
545 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-281045-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
545 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Flooding risk.
  Limited Lightning risk.
  Limited Non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

Residual flooding of some creeks and low water crossings will
continue today across the eastern Missouri Ozarks.

Southeast wind gusts around 30 mph are expected late tonight
around the Springfield metropolitan area.

A few thunderstorms will then be possible tonight as a weak storm
system moves across the region. No severe storms are expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Confidence is now high that heavy rainfall will impact the
Missouri Ozarks and extreme southeastern Kansas from Friday night
into Sunday. Storm total rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches are
expected, with localized amounts of 8 inches or more likely. The
exact location of the heaviest rainfall still remains somewhat
unclear.

The potential for widespread flash flooding is becoming
increasingly likely with some significant flooding possible. A
Flash Flood Watch is in effect for all of the Missouri Ozarks
and extreme southeastern Kansas from Friday evening through
Sunday. It should also be noted that flooding of some low water
crossings, creeks, and rivers may persist for several days after
the rain ends.

There is also an elevated risk for severe storms across portions
of southern Missouri Friday night. Large hail up to the size of
golf balls and damaging winds will be the primary potential severe
weather hazards. There will be a limited threat for a few
tornadoes across portions of south-central Missouri near a
developing frontal boundary. The exact location of the greatest
severe weather threat for Friday night will be highly dependent on
the location of that front. This location will become clearer
with future outlooks.

The risk for strong to severe storms may then persist into
Saturday across portions of southern Missouri. Again, the threat
for severe storms will be dependent on the location of that front.

Thunderstorms will then end later on Sunday with another chance
for thunderstorms around the middle of next week.

Those with outdoor and travel plans for this upcoming weekend
should pay close attention to the forecast as there is the
potential for multiple weather hazards, including the potential
for widespread flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Schaumann

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
524 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-281030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
524 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

...WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF
E CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND NW ARKANSAS FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Elevated.
    AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
    ONSET...Tonight.

POOR VISIBILITY.
    RISK...Limited.
    AREA...Far Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
    ONSET...Ongoing.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
    ONSET...Mid morning through afternoon.


DISCUSSION...
Areas of dense fog are ongoing this morning across far northeast
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas after yesterday`s heavy rains.
Visibility may drop quickly over short distances, occasionally
falling to below 1/2 mile. Conditions will improve rapidly after
sunrise.

Winds will increase this afternoon ahead of the next low pressure
system. Expect some wind gusts from 15 to 20 miles per hour this
afternoon. Thunderstorms are possible beginning late this
afternoon and evening across northeast Oklahoma, with a greater
chance after dark across northeast Oklahoma into northwest
Arkansas. Widespread severe weather is not expected with this
system tonight.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY and MONDAY...No Hazards.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A Flash Flood is in effect for portions of northeast Oklahoma and
western Arkansas beginning Friday night. An upper level storm
system will approach the Four Corners region late Friday,
bringing both the potential for severe weather and heavy rain. At
the surface, a warm front will lift north across central and
eastern Oklahoma on Friday afternoon. This will serve as a focus
for late afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Given the favorable
shear and instability that will be in place south of the warm
front Friday afternoon, scattered severe thunderstorms are
expected with the potential for large hail and damaging winds.
Tornadoes are possible as well, particularly with any discrete
storms which form early in the evolution of the event.

Eventually, storms are forecast to develop into a large complex.
Strong southerly low level flow will transport abundant moisture
over the surface boundary across Oklahoma resulting in storms
forming over and over across the same areas. This setup is
expected to be maintained over portions of eastern Oklahoma and
western Arkansas for a significant time beginning Friday night and
ending by Sunday morning. Widespread storm total rain amounts of
4 to 8 inches appear likely with isolated higher amounts. This
will result in a major flash flooding and river flooding event
through the weekend.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Continue to follow the latest updates regarding the expected
hazardous weather that will affect much of the area by this
weekend.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$

CORFIDI

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
523 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-281030-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
523 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No widespread hazardous weather is expected today or tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Moderate to heavy rainfall is anticipated Friday night through
Sunday night, potentially leading to localized flooding concerns.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 http://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
513 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-281015-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
513 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western
north Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
A few strong to severe thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts up
to 70 mph may occur this afternoon and evening, mainly between
3 pm and 9 pm across the northern half of Oklahoma.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

.Thunderstorms...
Severe thunderstorms will be possible late Friday afternoon
through Saturday. The greatest risk for severe weather is
currently forecast from near Interstate-44, southeastward into
southern Oklahoma and adjacent parts of north Texas late Friday
into Saturday. All severe hazards will be possible Friday
into Saturday.

Chances for thunderstorms may return Tuesday night into Wednesday
across parts of Oklahoma and north Texas.

.Heavy Rainfall...
Heavy rainfall and flooding will be possible Friday afternoon
through Saturday night from showers and thunderstorms. The
heaviest rainfall totals are currently expected across
eastern Oklahoma. A Flood Watch is in effect for parts of
Oklahoma.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

MBS

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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