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Flash Flood Watch


Flood Watch
National Weather Service Topeka KS
303 PM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

KSZ011-012-022>024-026-035>040-054>056-058-059-221000-
/O.CON.KTOP.FF.A.0003.170822T0000Z-170822T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Nemaha-Brown-Riley-Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Dickinson-Geary-
Morris-Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-
Anderson-
Including the cities of Sabetha, Seneca, Hiawatha, Horton,
Manhattan, Wamego, St. Marys, Holton, Valley Falls, Oskaloosa,
Perry, McLouth, Grantville, Meriden, Nortonville, Abilene,
Herington, Junction City, Council Grove, Alma, Eskridge,
Maple Hill, Alta Vista, McFarland, Harveyville, Paxico, Topeka,
Lawrence, Emporia, Osage City, Carbondale, Lyndon, Burlingame,
Overbrook, Ottawa, Burlington, Lebo, and Garnett
303 PM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central Kansas, east central Kansas, and northeast
  Kansas, including the following areas, in central Kansas,
  Dickinson. In east central Kansas, Anderson, Coffey, Douglas,
  Franklin, Geary, Lyon, Morris, Osage, Shawnee, and Wabaunsee.
  In northeast Kansas, Brown, Jackson, Jefferson, Nemaha,
  Pottawatomie, and Riley.

* From 7 PM CDT this evening through Tuesday morning

* A period of heavy rainfall is expected with the potential for a
  few locations to receive around 2 inches of rain by Tuesday
  morning.

* The heavy rainfall over a short period of time could lead to
  rapid rises on creeks and streams, especially in urban areas.
  Ponding of water on roads is also likely.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
229 PM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ012>016-020>024-028>032-037>039-043>045-
053-054-221100-
/O.CON.KEAX.FF.A.0006.170822T0300Z-170822T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-
Johnson KS-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Buchanan-
Clinton-Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-
Chariton-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-Bates-
Henry-
Including the cities of Atchison, Paola, Osawatomie, Louisburg,
Pleasanton, La Cygne, Mound City, Wathena, Elwood, Troy,
Highland, Fort Leavenworth, Leavenworth, Lansing,
Kansas City Kansas, Overland Park, Stanley, Olathe, Shawnee,
Lenexa, Savannah, Country Club Villa, Maysville, Stewartsville,
Osborn, Union Star, Clarksdale, Gallatin, Jamesport, Trenton,
Milan, Green City, St. Joseph Airport, St. Joseph, Cameron,
Plattsburg, Lathrop, Hamilton, Braymer, Polo, Breckenridge,
Chillicothe, Brookfield, Marceline, Parkville, Platte City,
Riverside, Weatherby Lake, Weston, Gladstone, Liberty,
Excelsior Springs, Richmond, Lawson, Carrollton, Salisbury,
Brunswick, Keytesville, Kansas City, Independence, Odessa,
Higginsville, Lexington, Concordia, Marshall, Belton, Raymore,
Harrisonville, Pleasant Hill, Warrensburg, Sedalia, Butler,
Adrian, Rich Hill, Clinton, and Windsor
229 PM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM CDT THIS
EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Kansas and Missouri, including the following
  areas, in Kansas, Atchison KS, Doniphan, Johnson KS,
  Leavenworth, Linn KS, Miami, and Wyandotte. In Missouri,
  Andrew, Bates, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass, Chariton,
  Clay, Clinton, Daviess, De Kalb, Grundy, Henry, Jackson,
  Johnson MO, Lafayette, Linn MO, Livingston, Pettis, Platte,
  Ray, Saline, and Sullivan.

* From 10 PM CDT this evening through Tuesday morning

* A storm system with a slow moving cold front will bring periods
  of moderate to heavy rain to the watch area late tonight into
  Tuesday morning. Total rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches appear
  likely, however some areas may receive higher amounts before
  rain comes to an end late Tuesday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$


Flood Advisory


Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
249 PM CDT MON AUG 21 2017

KSC103-209-MOC047-165-212345-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FA.Y.0024.170821T1949Z-170821T2345Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Wyandotte KS-Leavenworth KS-Clay MO-Platte MO-
249 PM CDT MON AUG 21 2017

The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill has issued a

* Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory for...
  Wyandotte County in northeastern Kansas...
  Central Leavenworth County in northeastern Kansas...
  Clay County in west central Missouri...
  Southeastern Platte County in west central Missouri...

* Until 645 PM CDT

* At 248 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to
  thunderstorms. This will cause urban and small stream flooding in
  the advisory area. Up to two inches of rain have already fallen,
  and additional rainfall is expected this afternoon and evening.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Shawnee, Leavenworth, Liberty, Gladstone, Lansing, Smithville,
  Kearney, Bonner Springs, Parkville, Tonganoxie, Platte City,
  Basehor, Edwardsville, North Kansas City, Riverside, Weatherby
  Lake, Claycomo, Kansas City Kansas, Kansas City and Pleasant
  Valley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses as
well as other drainage areas and low lying spots.

A Flood Advisory means river or stream flows are elevated, or ponding
of water in urban or other areas is occurring or is imminent.

&&

LAT...LON 3919 9513 3946 9454 3945 9449 3923 9421
      3921 9421 3924 9425 3924 9429 3917 9436
      3920 9440 3915 9442 3914 9448 3915 9452
      3911 9459 3905 9482 3906 9487 3904 9489
      3900 9503

$$

32


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
442 PM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
442 PM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Far eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and west-central Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Widely scattered thunderstorms are possible into the early evening
mainly across from far eastern Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas.
Localized gusty winds will be possible with these storms. Late
tonight the chance for thunderstorms will again increase across
northeast Oklahoma. A few of these storms could be strong...with
damaging winds possible.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY...No Hazards.
FRIDAY through Sunday...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorm chances will increase area wide Tuesday
and Tuesday night as a cold front pushes southward.
Locally heavy rainfall is possible and a few severe
storms will be possible.  Thunderstorms will move
south of the Red River during the day on Wednesday.
Dry and mild conditions will prevail for late week
with thunderstorm chances returning over the weekend.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
309 PM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-222015-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
309 PM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Hail risk.
  Limited Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Significant Lightning risk.
  Elevated Excessive heat risk.

DISCUSSION...

Heat index values will reach 100 to 104 across areas of southeast
Kansas into parts of southwest and west central Missouri late this
afternoon.

More widespread thunderstorms will move into southeast Kansas and
central Missouri after midnight tonight. A few of the storms could
be strong to severe across central Missouri with damaging winds to
60 mph and hail the size of quarters. This area is expected to
weaken as it moves southward.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Widespread showers and thunderstorms will be likely Tuesday into
Tuesday evening with the passage of a cold front. A few strong
storms will be possible with damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph and
hail up to the size of quarters possible. Locally heavy rainfall
may be possible which could lead to minor flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Raberding

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
307 PM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-222015-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
307 PM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for east central...north
central and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and tonight.

Thunderstorms are forecast to become widespread this evening and
move southeast across the region. As storms develop, there is a
risk for some large hail and strong winds. However storms should
develop into a large cluster with locally heavy rainfall becoming
the primary concern. Some isolated spots could end up with around
2 inches of rain by Tuesday morning. Because of this a flash flood
watch remains in effect for areas along and east of a line from
Abilene to Seneca.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should not be needed this afternoon or tonight, but are
encouraged to report rainfall amounts and any flooding.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at...
http://www.weather.gov/top/sitrep

$$

Wolters

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
253 PM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
221200-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
253 PM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Chances of thunderstorms begin to increase by late afternoon and
into the evening. There is a marginal chance of severe
thunderstorms primarily between 4 pm and 11 pm. The primary
potential threats include 60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.
Localized flooding is also possible, especially east of Highway
281.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

There are at least slight chances for thunderstorms for parts of
the outlook area Thursday through Sunday. At this time, it
appears that the best chances for thunderstorms will be Thursday
and Friday nights.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this evening, mainly between
4 pm and 11 pm. Please pass along any severe weather reports to
the National Weather Service.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
1153 AM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-221015-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1153 AM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
A few thunderstorms will move across northern Oklahoma this
afternoon and evening. Strong wind gusts to 50 mph and heavy
rainfall will be possible with the stronger storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

.Thunderstorms...
Increasing thunderstorm chances are expected Tuesday afternoon
through early Wednesday as a cold front moves into the region.
Strong to severe storms will be possible with a threat of damaging
winds and hail up to the size of golf balls, especially Tuesday
afternoon and evening. Thunderstorms will also be possible Friday
through Sunday. Locally heavy rainfall is possible.

.Heavy Rainfall...
Some of the storms Tuesday into early Wednesday will capable of
producing very heavy rainfall. Localized flash flooding will be
possible.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
500 AM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-221000-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
500 AM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Widely scattered thunderstorms are possible across mainly central
and south-central Kansas today. Thunderstorms will increase in
coverage tonight, especially across central Kansas. The main threats
will be very heavy rainfall rates and possible flooding, generally
for the area to the east of Interstate 135, and to the north of
Highway 54. Very isolated occurrences of downburst wind gusts of 50
to 60 mph will also be possible with any storms late this afternoon
into tonight.

Heat indices of around 100 degrees are expected this afternoon,
generally along and southeast of the Kansas Turnpike.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Lingering thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday, mainly in south-
central and southeastern Kansas. A few strong storms with locally
heavy rainfall will be possible.

A chance of thunderstorms will return to the forecast from late Friday
into the weekend. The probability for severe weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
323 AM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-220830-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
323 AM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017 /223 AM MDT Mon Aug 21 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------
Numerous showers and thunderstorms are forecast this afternoon
and tonight. At this time, the severe weather potential is
quite low given absence of appreciable wind shear and instability.
Thunderstorm activity should redevelop along a cold front
late tonight with storms likely continuing through daybreak Tuesday
into south central Kansas.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Lightning: Elevated risk
* Excessive heat: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------
A break in precipitation chances is forecast Tuesday afternoon
through Thursday Night as high pressure moves in at the surface,
but thunderstorms are again in the forecast beginning Friday.
Severe weather risk Friday and beyond are still uncertain at this
time.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Tuesday
  - Flooding: Limited risk
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  No hazards.

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Friday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
315 AM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-220815-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
315 AM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 Multiple rounds of thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and
 this evening, some which could become strong to severe. Strong
 winds, hail and perhaps even an isolated tornado are possible with
 the afternoon round especially along and north of Highway 36, and
 strong winds are possible with the late evening-overnight round
 throughout the outlook area.

 In addition to the severe threat, flooding will be a concern this
 evening and tonight throughout the outlook area. Several inches of
 rain are possible, and may fall very rapidly in stronger storms.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

 No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

$$


Hydrologic Outlook


Hydrologic Outlook
MOC033-107-177-195-KSC005-103-221510-


Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1010 AM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017


The National Weather Service In Pleasant Hill Has Issued A Hydrologic
Outlook For The Following Streams...

...Crooked River near Richmond ...Stranger Creek near Easton...
Tonganoxie ...Wakenda Creek near Carrollton ...Missouri River near
Waverly

This hydrologic outlook is based on the forecast rainfall for the
next 24 hours and estimated runoff from earlier rainfall. Crests may
vary if actual rainfall or runoff is greater or less than
anticipated.

Location: Crooked River near Richmond
Flood stage: 20.0 feet
Latest stage: 5.8 feet at 9 AM Monday
Forecast crest: 22.0 feet Tuesday Aug 22
At 21.0 feet...Water begins to overtop a gravel road about 1 mile
south of the F and B Highway intersection.

Location: Stranger Creek at Easton
Flood stage: 17.0 feet
Latest stage: 2.9 feet at 9 AM Monday
Forecast crest: 18.5 feet Tuesday Aug 22
At 18.0 feet...1st street in Easton and 231st street north and south
of Easton begin to flood.

Location: Stranger Creek near Tonganoxie
Flood stage: 23.0 feet
Latest stage: 2.4 feet at 9 AM Monday
Forecast crest: 23.5 feet Tuesday Aug 22
At 23.0 feet...Low-lying farmland along the creek floods.

Location: Wakenda Creek at Carrollton
Flood stage: 16.0 feet
Latest stage: 3.9 feet at 9 AM Monday
Forecast crest: 16.5 feet Wednesday Aug 23
At 16.0 feet...Flooding of low-lying undeveloped areas along the
creek begins.

Location: Missouri River at Waverly
Flood stage: 20.0 feet
Latest stage: 15.3 feet at 9 AM Monday


Later statements...possibly warnings...may be issued as additional
information becomes available.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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