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Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1130 AM EDT MON JUN 27 2016

UPDATED TO INCLUDE MODERATE RISK FOR WATERSPOUTS

FLZ076>078-GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-281030-
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
FLORIDA BAY INCLUDING BARNES SOUND, BLACKWATER SOUND, AND
BUTTONWOOD SOUND-
BAYSIDE AND GULF SIDE FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT
AND BEYOND 5 FATHOMS-
GULF OF MEXICO INCLUDING DRY TORTUGAS AND REBECCA SHOAL CHANNEL-
GULF OF MEXICO FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON
SHOAL OUT TO 5 FATHOMS-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT TO THE REEF-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT
TO THE REEF-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON SHOAL
OUT TO THE REEF-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY
TORTUGAS OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY
TORTUGAS 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
1130 AM EDT MON JUN 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR WATERSPOUTS THIS AFTERNOON...

THE COMBINATION OF AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND A FAVORABLE WIND
FLOW WILL PROMPT WET CLOUD LINE GENESIS ALONG THE ISLAND CHAIN
THIS AFTERNOON. WITHIN THE CLOUD LINES...THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE
FOR WATERSPOUTS TO FORM.

REMEMBER...WATERSPOUTS TEND TO FORM WITHIN TOWERING CUMULUS WITH
FLAT AND DARK BASES. IF YOU SIGHT A WATERSPOUT...GO IN THE OPPOSITE
DIRECTION.

OTHERWISE...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE FLORIDA KEYS...AS WELL AS
NEARSHORE AND OFFSHORE WATERS SURROUNDING THE ISLAND CHAIN TODAY AND
TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM HAZARD IS CLOUD TO SURFACE
LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE FLORIDA KEYS...AS WELL
AS OVER NEARSHORE AND OFFSHORE WATERS ADJACENT TO THE ISLAND CHAIN
TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THE PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM HAZARD WILL BE
CLOUD TO SURFACE LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOK OUT FOR WATERSPOUTS. IF YOU OBSERVE ONE...
PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT 305 294 8904. THANK YOU.

$$

APA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
505 AM EDT MON JUN 27 2016

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-280200-
SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-
INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
505 AM EDT MON JUN 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...ESPECIALLY OVER INLAND AREAS. THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP
TODAY WILL TEND TO DRIFT TOWARD THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST AND COULD
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT
DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES. REMEMBER IF THUNDER IS HEARD OR
LIGHTNING IS OBSERVED MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
FOR TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CHANGE AS THE
SURFACE RIDGE AXIS MOVES SOUTH WITH A SOUTHWEST TO WEST FLOW
SETTING UP ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL FAVOR ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS NEAR THE COAST THEN SHIFTING INLAND INTO THE
INTERIOR AND BECOMING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS OVER THE EASTERN HALF
OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA BY EVENING.

OVER THE WEEKEND THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS WILL DRIFT BACK NORTH
SOME INTO SOUTH CENTRAL FLORIDA. THERE WILL STILL BE A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS THE NATURE COAST WITH SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE EVERYWHERE DURING THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...STRONG GUSTY WINDS
AND FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES.


...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
AS THE WEATHER PATTERN CHANGES AND WINDS BECOME SOUTHWEST TO WEST
DURING THE WEEK WE WILL SEE THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS INCREASE AT
AREA BEACHES.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

PRC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
431 AM EDT MON JUN 27 2016

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
272045-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
EXCLUDING THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI-DADE-METRO MIAMI-DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI-
DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI-DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
431 AM EDT MON JUN 27 2016

...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY...
...SLIGHT CHANCE OF WATERSPOUTS ACROSS ALL SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE, MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THE HIGHEST CHANCES WILL BE IN THE INTERIOR AND
ALONG THE GULF COAST. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE LIGHTNING, GUSTY
WIND.

WATERSPOUTS: THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF WATERSPOUTS FOR ALL SOUTH
FLORIDA WATERS TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
SOUTH FLORIDA EACH DAY THROUGH THE WEEK. LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WIND
WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

$$


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1240 PM EDT MON JUN 27 2016

FLZ077-GMZ032-043-053-054-072>075-271800-
MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-
BAYSIDE AND GULF SIDE FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT TO
THE REEF-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE
OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE
20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS
20 TO 60 NM OUT-
INCLUDING THE COMMUNITIES OF...MARATHON
1240 PM EDT MON JUN 27 2016

.NOW...
THROUGH 2 PM...SHOWERS ARE MOVING SLIGHTLY TO THE SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO
10 KNOTS OVER THE MIDDLE KEYS..THE WATERS SURROUNDING IT...AND IN
THE FLORIDA STRAITS. RESIDENTS OF THE MIDDLE KEYS MAY EXPERIENCE A
BRIEF PASSING SHOWER. MARINERS AND RESIDENTS ENCOUNTERING THESE
SHOWERS AND STORMS CAN EXPECT LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL AND REDUCED
VISIBILITIES.

$$

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NOAA National Weather Service
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Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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