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Tropical Storm Warning


OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
535 AM EDT SAT AUG 29 2015

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

GMZ015-292145-
NE GULF N OF 25N E OF 87W-
535 AM EDT SAT AUG 29 2015

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS.
.TONIGHT...NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. NE TO E WINDS 10 TO
15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS.
.SUN NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. NE WINDS 30 TO
35 KT S OF 27N...AND NE TO E 15 TO 20 KT ELSEWHERE. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S OF 27N... NE WINDS
30 TO 35 KT. ELSEWHERE...NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASING
TO 15 TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT S OF 27N...AND 3
FT ELSEWHERE.
.MON NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
.TUE...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
.TUE NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
.WED...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1053 AM EDT SAT AUG 29 2015

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
300000-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
1053 AM EDT SAT AUG 29 2015

...AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS INTERIOR AND GULF COAST...
...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE EAST COAST LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY.
THE PRIMARY THREATS ARE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND PERSISTENT
HEAVY RAIN.

FLOODING: URBAN STREET FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS, AS WELL AS ANY AREA THAT EXPERIENCES HEAVY RAIN FOR AN
EXTENDED AMOUNT OF TIME. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING OVER THE INTERIOR AND GULF COAST, AND ALONG THE EAST
COAST OVERNIGHT. ADDITIONALLY, HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES MAY ALSO
LEAD TO MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IN TYPICALLY VULNERABLE LOCATIONS
ALONG THE COAST, PARTICULARLY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE GULF
COAST AND THIS EVENING ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST.

WATERSPOUTS: THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF WATERSPOUTS OVER SOUTH
FLORIDA WATERS, ESPECIALLY WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OFFSHORE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO FLOODING, AS
WELL AS GUSTY WINDS AND A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES SUNDAY AND
MONDAY ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA. HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES THROUGH
MONDAY MAY LEAD TO SOME TIDAL FLOODING IN TYPICALLY VULNERABLE
ARES ALONG THE ATLANTIC AND GULF COASTS.

HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS AND AN INCREASING RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MORE TYPICAL SUMMER THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE REGION FOR
THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER,
INDIVIDUAL SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT FLOODING AND HIGH
WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

$$

MOLLEDA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1038 AM EDT SAT AUG 29 2015

FLZ076>078-GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-301200-
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE MIDDLE KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
FLORIDA BAY INCLUDING BLACKWATER SOUND, BUTTONWOOD SOUND, AND
BARNES SOUND-
BAYSIDE AND GULFSIDE FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT
AND BEYOND 5 FATHOMS-
GULF OF MEXICO INCLUDING DRY TORTUGAS AND REBECCA SHOAL CHANNEL-
GULF OF MEXICO FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON
SHOAL OUT TO 5 FATHOMS-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT TO THE REEF-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT
TO THE REEF-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON SHOAL
OUT TO THE REEF-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY
TORTUGAS OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY
TORTUGAS 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
1038 AM EDT SAT AUG 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY
THUNDERSTORM HAZARDS WILL BE CLOUD TO SURFACE LIGHTNING STRIKES.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LIKELY WILL BE REQUIRED TONIGHT ACROSS THE
STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND MAY BE REQUIRED ACROSS HAWK CHANNEL AS WINDS
INCREASE TO NEAR 20 KNOTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

THUNDERSTORMS: THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE REMNANTS OF ERIKA MOVE ACROSS OUR
AREA. THE PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM HAZARDS WILL BE CLOUD TO SURFACE
LIGHTNING STRIKES.

FLOODING: URBAN STREET FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

FOR MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE ADJACENT WATERS. THE PRIMARY
THUNDERSTORM HAZARDS ARE CLOUD TO SURFACE LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.


$$

KN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
406 AM EDT SAT AUG 29 2015

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-300815-
SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-
INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
406 AM EDT SAT AUG 29 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...
ESPECIALLY OVER INLAND AREAS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG
GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...AND FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING
STRIKES.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING ON THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER
STATE PARK...AND MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING ON SEVERAL OTHER
RIVERS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN
MAY AGGRAVATE FLOODING. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG RIVERS OR FASTER
FLOWING STREAMS SHOULD REMAIN AWARE OF WATER LEVELS AND BE READY
TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING BE OBSERVED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY...
ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. TROPICAL
STORM ERIKA IS FORECAST TO LIFT NORTH THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...POTENTIALLY PULLING BANDS OF
SHOWERS THROUGH THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO
DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS... LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINS...AND FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
WIND SPEEDS OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL INCREASE DURING THE FIRST
HALF OF THE WORK WEEK AS ERIKA MOVES THROUGH THE WATERS. ELEVATED
WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS FOR SMALL
CRAFT OPERATORS.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
RIVER FLOODING WILL PERSIST ALONG MANY RIVERS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
FLORIDA THROUGH NEXT WEEK. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG RIVERS OR
FASTER FLOWING STREAMS SHOULD REMAIN AWARE OF WATER LEVELS AND BE
READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING BE OBSERVED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NEEDED.

$$

FLEMING


Short Term Forecast


SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1000 AM EDT SAT AUG 29 2015

FLZ076-078-GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-291500-
MONROE UPPER KEYS-MONROE LOWER KEYS-
FLORIDA BAY INCLUDING BLACKWATER SOUND, BUTTONWOOD SOUND, AND BARNES
SOUND-
BAYSIDE AND GULFSIDE FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE-
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT AND
BEYOND 5 FATHOMS-
GULF OF MEXICO INCLUDING DRY TORTUGAS AND REBECCA SHOAL CHANNEL-
GULF OF MEXICO FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON SHOAL
OUT TO 5 FATHOMS-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT TO THE REEF-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT TO
THE REEF-
HAWK CHANNEL FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON SHOAL
OUT TO THE REEF-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE
OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS
OUT 20 NM-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE
20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS
20 TO 60 NM OUT-
INCLUDING THE COMMUNITIES OF...KEY LARGO...KEY WEST
1000 AM EDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.NOW...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY DOWNPOURS
WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE QUICKLY WESTWARD NEAR 17 KNOTS ACROSS THE
FLORIDA KEYS AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS LATE THIS MORNING. HEAVIER
SHOWERS WILL BRING WIND GUSTS NEAR 25 KNOTS AND TEMPORARILY REDUCED
VISIBILITY. THROUGH 1200 PM...MOST KEYS ISLAND COMMUNITIES WILL
REMAIN RAIN-FREE. COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO GO UP LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

$$

KASPER

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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