Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
230 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-171930-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
230 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Elevated fire weather risk.
DISCUSSION...
Some gusty southeast winds at 15 to 25 mph will combine with
humidity levels dipping into the 30 to 40 percent range west of
U.S. 65 to produce some elevated fire weather conditions this
afternoon.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
A strong cold front will push through the area on Saturday. Ahead
of the front, showers and thunderstorms will be possible. Some of
these storms may become strong to severe with damaging wind and
large hail as the main severe weather risks. An isolated tornado
risk can not be ruled out.
Heavy rain will accompany the storms and if enough training of
storms occurrs ahead of the front, then a localized flood risk
will be possible.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Lindenberg
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1220 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
1220 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
No hazardous weather is expected through tonight.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.
MONDAY...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...No Hazards.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A strong upper level system is expected to translate from the
western states into the Plains Friday through Saturday. The
associated cold front is expected to move through eastern Oklahoma
and northwestern Arkansas on Saturday. Low level moisture will
increase ahead of the weather system Friday and Friday night,
setting the stage for multiple rounds of thunderstorms across the
area Friday night and Saturday. The first round of strong to
potentially severe thunderstorms is expected to move into eastern
Oklahoma late Friday night. These storms should develop over
portions of Kansas into northwestern Oklahoma Friday afternoon and
evening, and move toward our area overnight. Some of this
activity will persist into Saturday morning, with another round of
thunderstorms expected to develop along and ahead of the
approaching cold front on Saturday. Strong wind fields will exist
over the area and the amount of instability that is able to
develop will be dependent on the amount of clouds and lingering
rain from the earlier activity. Even though uncertainties exist
with this scenario, there is potential for severe weather across
far eastern Oklahoma and northwestern Arkansas Saturday.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
