Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
500 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171100-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
500 AM CST Sun Nov 16 2025

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Limited.
    AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
    ONSET...This Afternoon.

DISCUSSION...
Warm temperatures, low humidity values, and persistent dry
conditions will result in a limited fire weather danger across
much of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas this afternoon.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY and TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
FRIDAY and SATURDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Isolated thunderstorms are possible early Monday morning and again
Monday night. Shower and thunderstorm chances increase area wide
Tuesday night into the day Wednesday with widespread rains
Wednesday night through Thursday. A few strong to severe storms
are possible along with heavy rainfall. Excessive rainfall amounts
are possible by Thursday and Thursday night with both flash
flooding and main stem river flooding potential.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

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