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Fire Weather Watch


URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
518 AM CDT Sat Mar 25 2017

TXZ027>031-033>037-039>043-252100-
/O.NEW.KLUB.FW.A.0008.170326T1800Z-170327T0100Z/
Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-Motley-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-
Dickens-Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-
518 AM CDT Sat Mar 25 2017

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS AND ADJACENT PARTS OF
THE ROLLING PLAINS FOR 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE...RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS AND A HIGH FIRE DANGER...

The National Weather Service in Lubbock has issued a Fire Weather
Watch, which is in effect from Sunday afternoon through Sunday
evening.

* Wind...WESTERLY 20 TO 30 MPH.

* Humidity...10 TO 15 PERCENT.

* Fuels...Extremely dry.

* Impacts...Any fires that develop can spread rapidly. Outdoor
  burning is discouraged.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Monitor later forecasts and possible Red
Flag Warnings.

&&

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
530 AM CDT Sat Mar 25 2017

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-251700-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
530 AM CDT Sat Mar 25 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas...southwest Arkansas...north central Louisiana...
northwest Louisiana...southeast Oklahoma...east Texas and
northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

No hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop late
Sunday afternoon over North Texas and Southern Oklahoma as the dry
line intersects a northward moving warm front near an eastward
moving upper level trough of low pressure. Some of these storms
will likely become severe, as they move into Southeast Oklahoma
and extreme Northeast Texas Sunday evening. These storms will pose
the risk for large hail and damaging winds Sunday evening through
late Sunday night across Southeast Oklahoma and portions of
extreme Northeast Texas along the trailing warm front, before
weakening as they move into Southwest Arkansas and extreme
Northern Louisiana. Another strong upper level storm system will
emerge out into the Southern Plains Wednesday, which will result
in an increasing severe thunderstorm threat Wednesday afternoon
and night across much of the region. Damaging winds, large hail,
isolated tornadoes, and locally heavy rainfall will be possible
areawide with this next round of thunderstorms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators...and storm spotters will not be needed through tonight.

$$

15

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
505 AM CDT Sat Mar 25 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
505 AM CDT Sat Mar 25 2017

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Limited.
 AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
 ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms ongoing this morning across
portions of northeast Oklahoma as the upper level low pressure
center moves across the area. As the low continues to move
eastward, thunderstorm chances will decrease behind the low with
just scattered showers likely into early afternoon. Cooler air
will move in behind the surface front and help to limit
thunderstorm chances on the backside of the low.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY and TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Sunday will bring another round of strong to severe thunderstorms
to the region as an upper level trough moves out onto the Plains.
Several more storm systems will impact the region as the upper
air pattern becomes more progressive in nature. A system midweek
will bring the chance for heavy rain in addition to the
possibility of severe storms. Another system looks to move in for
the weekend.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
413 AM CDT Sat Mar 25 2017

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-260915-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
413 AM CDT Sat Mar 25 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated thunderstorms are possible over far southeast Kansas this
morning. Strong or severe storms are not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Thunderstorms will be likely across south central and southeast
Kansas from Sunday afternoon into Sunday night. A few severe storms
are possible mainly for those counties closer to the Oklahoma
border. The main threat will be large hail up to half dollar size.

A chance for thunderstorms will also return by the middle of next
week, mainly across southern Kansas. A few strong storms with
locally heavy rainfall will be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
406 AM CDT Sat Mar 25 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-260915-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
406 AM CDT Sat Mar 25 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Hail risk.
  Limited Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited Flooding risk.
  Limited Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  A storm system approaching the Ozarks from the southwest will
  bring chances for strong thunderstorms from this morning
  through early evening. The strongest storms will likely produce
  hail to the size of nickels.

  Localized flooding of low lying areas will be possible with
  storms that develop over areas that received heavy rainfall on
  Friday.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

  Another storm system will affect the region from Sunday night
  into Monday. Severe storm potential will be low with this
  system with only weak instability expected.

  Additional storm development will be possible on Wednesday and
  Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation may be needed in the next three hours for
  extreme southwest Missouri...from late morning to early
  afternoon along the Highway 65 and Highway 54 corridor, and
  later today over the eastern Missouri Ozarks. If spotting hail,
  remember to reference hail sizes with respect to coin size,
  such as dime, penny, nickel or quarter size. Also include the
  time and location of occurrence.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Terry


Short Term Forecast


Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
757 AM CDT Sat Mar 25 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251500-
Benton-Carroll-Washington AR-Madison-Crawford-Franklin-Sebastian-
Pushmataha-Choctaw-Osage-Washington OK-Nowata-Craig-Ottawa-Pawnee-
Tulsa-Rogers-Mayes-Delaware-Creek-Okfuskee-Okmulgee-Wagoner-
Cherokee-Adair-Muskogee-McIntosh-Sequoyah-Pittsburg-Haskell-
Latimer-Le Flore-
Including the cities of Rogers, Bentonville, Berryville,
Eureka Springs, Fayetteville, Springdale, Huntsville, Van Buren,
Ozark, Charleston, Fort Smith, Antlers, Clayton, Hugo, Pawhuska,
Bartlesville, Nowata, Vinita, Miami, Pawnee, Tulsa, Claremore,
Pryor, Grove, Jay, Sapulpa, Okemah, Okmulgee, Wagoner, Tahlequah,
Stilwell, Muskogee, Checotah, Sallisaw, McAlester, Stigler,
Wilburton, and Poteau
757 AM CDT Sat Mar 25 2017

.NOW...

At 7:57 AM...Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms have
continued to develop and rotate around a low pressure system over
northwest Arkansas...mainly along and north of highway 40. These
showers and storms were rotating counter clock wise...while the
system was gradually shifting eastward.

Through 10:00 AM...Showers and isolated thunderstorms will
persist in the vicinity of the upper level low...and gradually
shift eastward as the low exits the region. Most of the
precipitation will affect northeast Oklahoma into northwest
Arkansas. Some of the storms could become strong enough to produce
gusty winds and small hail. Light to moderate rainfall can be
expected...with hourly rainfall around a tenth of an inch. Amounts
to a third of an inch will be possible with any stronger storms.

$$

16

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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