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Flood Advisory


FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
202 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...

  Arkansas River near Muskogee affecting Muskogee County

OKC101-250302-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-170429T2000Z/
/MKGO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
202 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Advisory continues for
  The Arkansas River near Muskogee
* until Saturday afternoon, or until the advisory is cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Monday, the stage was 26.3 feet.
* Action stage is 27.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will fluctuate from around 26.5 feet to
  around 27.5 feet through Saturday, which is below flood stage but
  near action stage.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, no flooding occurs but low lying agricultural
  areas may be threatened. Continue to monitor later forecasts.

&&

LAT...LON 3583 9520 3552 9507 3547 9515 3559 9532 3583 9537

$$

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
846 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in
Oklahoma...

  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County

OKC021-242146-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-170425T0600Z/
/TALO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
846 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Advisory continues for
  The Illinois River near Tahlequah
* until late tonight, or until the advisory is cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Monday, the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Action stage is 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is below flood stage and will continue to fall,
  but will remain above action stage until late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, no flooding occurs but all recreational
  floating along the Illinois River ceases at and above 9.5 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3612 9487 3606 9481 3576 9487 3576 9496 3603 9496

$$


Lake Wind Advisory


URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
156 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...A Lake Wind Advisory is in effect from 10 am Tuesday Morning
until 7 pm Tuesday Evening for all of Northeast Texas, Southeast
Oklahoma, the western half of Southwest Arkansas and the western
half of Northern Louisiana...

ARZ050-051-059-060-070-071-LAZ001-002-010-017-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-
108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-251300-
/O.NEW.KSHV.LW.Y.0024.170425T1500Z-170426T0000Z/
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Miller-Lafayette-Caddo-
Bossier-De Soto-Sabine-McCurtain-Red River-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-
Camp-Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-
Rusk-Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
Including the cities of De Queen, Nashville, Mineral Springs,
Dierks, Ashdown, Hope, Texarkana, Stamps, Lewisville, Bradley,
Shreveport, Bossier City, Mansfield, Stonewall, Logansport, Many,
Zwolle, Pleasant Hill, Idabel, Broken Bow, Clarksville, Bogata,
Mount Vernon, Mount Pleasant, Pittsburg, Daingerfield, Lone Star,
Naples, Omaha, Atlanta, Linden, Hughes Springs, Queen City,
Mineola, Winnsboro, Quitman, Hawkins, Gilmer, Big Sandy,
Jefferson, Tyler, Longview, Marshall, Jacksonville, Rusk,
Henderson, Carthage, Nacogdoches, Center, Lufkin, San Augustine,
Hemphill, and Pineland
156 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY...

The National Weather Service in Shreveport has issued a Lake Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from 10 AM to 7 PM CDT Tuesday.

* EVENT...A tightening pressure gradient across the Southern
  Plains will result in increasing southerly winds on Tuesday
  across much of the region.

* TIMING...Sustained winds near 15 mph with gusts as high as 30
  mph will begin as early as 10 am on Tuesday across portions of
  Northeast Texas. Remaining areas of the region will see these
  increasing winds by late morning with these conditions
  continuing through the afternoon hours.

* IMPACT...Boaters should exercise caution on area lakes due to
  rough chop conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Lake Wind Advisory indicates that winds will cause rough chop
on area lakes. Small boats will be especially prone to capsizing.

&&

$$

13


Wind Advisory


URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Wichita KS
136 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...Strong south winds expected today...

KSZ049-051>053-067>069-082-083-091>093-242200-
/O.CON.KICT.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-170424T2200Z/
Saline-McPherson-Marion-Chase-Reno-Harvey-Butler-Kingman-Sedgwick-
Harper-Sumner-Cowley-
Including the cities of Salina, McPherson, Hillsboro, Marion,
Peabody, Cottonwood Falls, Strong City, Hutchinson, Newton,
El Dorado, Augusta, Andover, Rose Hill, Kingman, Derby,
Haysville, Bel Aire, Park City, Valley Center, Wichita, Anthony,
Harper, Attica, Wellington, Winfield, and Arkansas City
136 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* Winds...south 25 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Timing...of the strongest winds will be from midday until the
  late afternoon.

* Impacts...include sudden strong gusts and cross-winds,
  especially on east-west oriented roads and highways could make
  driving difficult.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A wind advisory means that sustained winds of at least 30 mph
and/or wind gusts over 45 mph are expected.  Winds this strong
can make driving difficult...especially for high profile
vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
147 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251130-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
147 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Strong and gusty south winds will continue through this afternoon ahead
of an upper level storm system, which will move into the Four Corners
region on Tuesday. Winds at 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 35 mph
will be likely across northeast Oklahoma, especially northwest of
I-44.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
An active weather pattern will develop this week with
multiple rounds of severe weather, including the potential
for heavy rain and flash flooding.

A strong cap will remain in place for much of the day Tuesday,
suppressing thunderstorm development until early evening as the
cap finally begins to weaken. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms
will develop as a cold front moves into northeast Oklahoma. Any
storms that develop will have the potential to be supercells with
large hail and damaging winds the main threats. Tornado potential
is expected to be limited. The severe threat will continue into
the day Wednesday across southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas
before the convective line sweeps east of the area.

A stronger storm system is expected to move into the Four Corners
region by late week, with an increased threat for severe weather.
The most likely time frame for severe storms in our area appears
to be Saturday, however much uncertainty remains regarding the
track and timing of the upper system. In addition, locally heavy
rainfall is expected which could lead to flash flooding and
additional rises on area rivers.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Continue to monitor future forecasts and outlooks, especially
concerning severe weather and flooding potential late in the week
into the weekend. Overall timing and specific severe weather
threats will continue to be refined.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1153 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-251700-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
1153 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Southerly winds will gust to around 30 mph this afternoon
  across portions of southeastern Kansas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

  Even stronger southerly winds are expected for Tuesday across
  the outlook area with gusts from 30 to 40 mph.

  Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop Tuesday
  evening from eastern Kansas into northeastern Oklahoma. These
  storms will likely develop into a line and track into western
  Missouri from late Tuesday evening into early Wednesday
  morning. Damaging wind gusts will be the primary potential
  severe weather hazard. A few storms may also produce hail up
  to the size of half dollars.

  The threat for severe storms will then continue into Wednesday
  mainly along and east of the U.S. 65 corridor. Damaging wind
  gusts will again be the primary potential severe weather
  hazard.

  There will also be a limited threat for flooding from later
  Tuesday night into Wednesday as creeks, streams, and rivers
  remain high across the region.

  Confidence then continues to increase in the potential for
  widespread heavy rainfall from later Friday into next weekend.
  With soils nearly saturated, excessive runoff will be likely
  and will lead to an increasing risk for flooding.

  Additionally, there will be at least a limited risk for strong
  to severe thunderstorms from Friday into Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Wise

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1144 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

TXZ021>044-251645-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
1144 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains...Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
Elevated fire danger is expected for the South Plains, and parts
of the extreme southern Panhandle west of Silverton this
afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday
There is a risk of elevated to critical fire weather conditions
Tuesday afternoon mainly west of the Interstate 27 corridor.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be required this afternoon or
tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1119 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-242315-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
1119 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Elevated fire weather conditions are expected today across the
central and western combined Panhandles.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Elevated fire weather conditions are possible across the southern
TX Panhandle on Tuesday. Thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday
afternoon through Saturday, with northern sections having the
higher chances for rain. At this time, the risk for organized
severe weather appears to be low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

Area fire managers and emergency officials should be alert for
elevated fire weather conditions today and Tuesday.

$$

Cockrell

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1053 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-251200-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1053 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight...

No hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected to
develop across the region Wednesday along and ahead of a cold
front and associated upper level disturbance. Moisture will
continue to deepen ahead of this front Wednesday, with strong
wind shear and instability expected to be in place as forcing
increases by the afternoon. This will result in the potential for
scattered strong to severe thunderstorms affecting portions of
East Texas, deep east Texas, southeast Oklahoma, southwest
Arkansas and northern Louisiana Wednesday afternoon and evening
before diminishing with the passage of the cold front during the
night. Large hail and damaging wind gusts will be the main
threats associated with the severe thunderstorms, however can not
rule out an isolated tornado.

Very warm, humid, and unstable conditions will return to
the region by Friday as this front lifts back north as a warm
front, with isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms
possible along and north of this returning front Thursday night
and Friday. An isolated strong or severe thunderstorm can not be
ruled out Friday, mainly across extreme Northeast Texas, Southwest
Arkansas, and Southeast Oklahoma.

The approach of another upper level disturbance for the weekend
will result in the develop of a line of thunderstorms along a cold
front, that will move across the Four-State Region from west to
east Saturday night into Sunday morning. Once again, strong wind
shear and instability may lead to some of the thunderstorms
becoming strong to severe.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators...and storm spotters will not be needed through
tonight.

$$

13

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
627 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-251130-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
627 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

South winds increasing considerably to 25 to 35 mph with 40 to 45
mph gusts are likely across Central and South Central Kansas today.
Please refer to the Wind Advisory for further details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

There is a good chance of thunderstorms Tuesday Night, especially
for areas southeast of the Turnpike in the evening where they may
be strong or severe. The greatest severe thunderstorm threat would
occur over Southeast Kansas where hail may reach ping pong ball-
sized with 50 to 60 mph winds.

There`ll be several periods of thunderstorms from Thursday Night
thru Saturday Night. While the thunderstorms may produce some hail
and 40 to 50 mph winds, the greatest concern is heavy rain that may
likely cause flooding. The greatest flooding potential should be
from Friday Night thru Saturday Night.

You should monitor forecasts closely, especially from mid-week
onward.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
408 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-250915-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
408 AM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017 /308 AM MDT Mon Apr 24 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Gusty south to southwest winds and low relative humidity will
create elevated fire weather conditions across central and
portions of southwest Kansas this afternoon.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Elevated risk
* Fire weather: Elevated risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Showers and a few isolated thunderstorms will be possible late
Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night. Severe weather is not
expected.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Freeze: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  - Freeze: Elevated risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

$$

32

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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