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Flood Warning


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles La
1002 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Louisiana...

  Calcasieu River Near Kinder

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...

  Calcasieu River Near Glenmora
  Calcasieu River Near Oberlin

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...Texas..
  Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay
  Sabine River Near Deweyville
  Pine Island Bayou Near Sour Lake

LAC079-180602-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180222T0600Z/
/GLML1.1.ER.180211T0037Z.180214T2215Z.180222T0000Z.NO/
1002 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

...Flood Warning extended until late Wednesday night...The Flood
Warning continues for
  The Calcasieu River Near Glenmora.
* until late Wednesday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  9:45 AM Saturday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Impact...At stages near 14.0 feet...Some roads upstream from
  Glenmora, including Strothers Crossing Road near the community of
  Calcasieu and Price Crossing Road near Hineston have two to three
  feet of water over the road and are subject to being closed.
  Flooding of forested areas near the river will also occur.
* Impact...At stages near 12.0 feet...When the river is rising and
  the gauge reading is forecast to reach 12 feet or higher. Roads
  upstream from Glenmora, including Strothers Crossing Road near the
  community of Calcasieu and Price Crossing Road near Hineston have
  water on them and are subject to being closed. Also, flooding of
  forested areas near the river will occur.
* Impact...At stages near 12.0 feet...When the river is falling and
  the gauge reading is forecast to be near 12 feet, flooding of
  forested areas near the river will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3115 9275 3105 9265 3090 9262 3090 9269 3113 9279

$$

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles La
1002 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Louisiana...

  Calcasieu River Near Kinder

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...

  Calcasieu River Near Glenmora
  Calcasieu River Near Oberlin

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Louisiana...Texas..
  Calcasieu River At Old Town Bay
  Sabine River Near Deweyville
  Pine Island Bayou Near Sour Lake

LAC011-019-TXC351-361-180600-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-180218T0600Z/
/DWYT2.1.ER.180214T0652Z.180215T1545Z.180217T1800Z.NO/
1002 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Sabine River Near Deweyville.
* until late tonight...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:45 AM Saturday the stage was 24.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At stages near 24.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding will
  occur.
* Impact...At stages near 23.0 feet...The river is at bankfull
  stage.

&&

LAT...LON 3057 9363 3011 9364 3011 9378 3031 9381
      3062 9378

$$

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
908 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

ARC027-LAC119-181508-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPHL1.1.ER.180209T0130Z.180212T0530Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
908 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

The flood warning continues for
  the Bayou Dorcheat Near Springhill.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Saturday The stage was 11.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 12.5 feet by
  Monday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding of private boat
  ramps. Move livestock to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3317 9339 3300 9335 3282 9332 3282 9338 3300 9343

$$

25

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
826 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties
  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don`t
drown!


Additional information is available at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC049-149-182025-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-180221T0600Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.180208T1507Z.180215T1800Z.180220T1800Z.NO/
826 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* until late Tuesday night.
* At  8:15 AM Saturday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below
  flood stage early Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Low-lying agricultural land near the river
  begins to flood.

&&

              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River
Bovina         28  28.4 Sat 08 AM  28.4  28.3  28.1     River falling


&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102



$$


Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1258 PM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181130-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
1258 PM CST Sat Feb 17 2018


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.


FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Limited.
 AREA...Northeast Osage and Pawnee Counties.
 ONSET...Afternoon.

DISCUSSION...
A much drier airmass will move in behind the front this afternoon.
Despite recent rainfall, fine fuels will quickly dry out as winds
become more gusty from the north. This combination of fine fuels,
lower relative humidity, and temperatures warming into the upper
50s to lower 60s will allow for limited fire weather concerns this
afternoon across portions of northeast Oklahoma, specifically
Osage and Pawnee Counties where conditions will be best met.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Very High Fire Weather Potential...High Wind Potential.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Very High Fire Weather Potential...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Winter Weather Potential...High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Winter Weather Potential.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
An active weather pattern is forecast for the remainder of the
weekend and into much of next week. Gusty south winds will develop
Sunday into Monday ahead of a cold front, along with increasing fire
weather concerns. Shower and thunderstorm chances return by Sunday
night into Tuesday, with the best chances being later Monday night
into Tuesday as the cold front moves through the region. Depending
on the timing of the exiting precipitation, and the arrival of the
cold air, there could be a window for light wintry precipitation
Tuesday night into Wednesday. Continue to monitor latest forecasts
for updates.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1201 PM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-181815-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1201 PM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Showers will continue to weaken south of the I-30 corridor this
afternoon, and thunderstorm activity has completely dissipated.
Therefore, no hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

Persistent southwest flow will remain over the region and keep us
in an unsettled weather pattern well into the upcoming week as a
warm front returns with milder air on Monday. Rainfall may become
heavy by Tuesday and Wednesday as a cold front becomes a focus for
thunderstorm activity across the area. Later in the week, showers
and isolated thunderstorms will remain possible. However, no
organized threat of hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel, amateur radio
operators and storm spotters will not be needed through tonight.

$$

19

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
1135 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-181130-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1135 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight...

.Fire Weather...
Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are expected
across far northwest Oklahoma this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

.Fire Weather...
Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are possible
Sunday afternoon across northwest Oklahoma and again Monday
afternoon across a broader area of western Oklahoma and western
north Texas.

.Thunderstorms...
There is a chance of thunderstorms Sunday night through Tuesday
across portions of the area. A few strong to severe storms will
be possible across southern and central Oklahoma, with a threat
of damaging winds and hail.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1131 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-181045-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Newton-Searcy-Stone-Izard-
Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-Polk-Montgomery-Garland-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-
Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
1131 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Rainfall will continue to decrease in coverage and intensity across
central and southern Arkansas through the early afternoon hours.
Hazardous weather is not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday Through Friday

Widespread moderate to heavy rainfall is expected to affect the
forecast area Monday through the middle of next week as a frontal
boundary moves slowly through the region. At this time, the heaviest
rains look to affect the northwest half of the state. Widespread
amounts of 2 to 4 inches will be possible, with locally higher
amounts. Given the ongoing drought conditions, the chance of flash
flooding or river flooding does not seem extremely high at this time.

However, confidence in the exact placement of heavy rains, as well
as the amounts expected, is not extremely high at this time.
Therefore it is worth monitoring the forecast in the days to come.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation is not anticipated

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

55/

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
545 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
181200-
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-
Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-
East Cameron-Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-
Northern Newton-Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
545 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Louisiana, south central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west
central Louisiana, and southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Areas of dense fog will continue this morning along the coastal
parishes and counties where a dense fog advisory is in effect.
Fog will be more patchy across the remainder of the area.
Visibility will improve by mid morning as the fog erodes, though
it could linger near the immediate coast.

A weak front will enter the area from the west this afternoon,
then continue to progress through the area, reaching the coast by
late tonight. Scattered showers are expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Warm, humid, and breezy conditions are expected for the start of
the week. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms return
on Tuesday before increasing in coverage Wednesday into Thursday
as a slow moving/meandering frontal boundary moves across east
Texas and southwest Louisiana. Early indications are that a few of
these storms could be on the strong side.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
426 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-172230-
Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas-Mississippi Sound-
Lake Borgne-Chandeleur Sound-Breton Sound-
Coastal Waters from Port Fourchon LA to Lower Atchafalaya River
LA out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from the Southwest Pass of the Mississippi River
to Port Fourchon Louisiana out 20 NM-
Coastal Waters from Boothville LA to Southwest Pass of the
Mississippi River out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Pascagoula Mississippi to Stake Island out
20 NM-
Coastal waters from Port Fourchon Louisiana to Lower Atchafalaya
River LA from 20 to 60 NM-
Coastal waters from Southwest Pass of the Mississippi River to
Port Fourchon Louisiana from 20 to 60 NM-
Coastal Waters from Stake Island LA to Southwest Pass of the
Mississippi River from 20 to 60 nm-
Coastal waters from Pascagoula Mississippi to Stake Island
Louisiana out 20 to 60 NM-Pointe Coupee-West Feliciana-
East Feliciana-St. Helena-Washington-St. Tammany-Iberville-
West Baton Rouge-East Baton Rouge-Ascension-Livingston-Assumption-
St. James-St. John The Baptist-Upper Lafourche-St. Charles-
Upper Jefferson-Orleans-Upper Plaquemines-Upper St. Bernard-
Upper Terrebonne-Lower Terrebonne-Lower Lafourche-Lower Jefferson-
Lower Plaquemines-Lower St. Bernard-Northern Tangipahoa-
Southern Tangipahoa-Wilkinson-Amite-Pike-Walthall-Pearl River-
Hancock-Harrison-Jackson-
426 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Southeast
Louisiana...South Mississippi and the adjacent coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Patchy dense fog will persist through mid morning. Be prepared for
sudden changes in visibility along area roadways. Expect fog to
dissipate completely by late morning. Additional fog will be
possible tonight.

Minor river flooding is occurring along the lower Pearl River
near Bogalusa and near the town of Pearl River.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible next Tuesday through
Thursday. Severe weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

95/DM

Hazardous Weather Outlook...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
408 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-181200-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
408 AM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Isolated thunderstorms are possible across North and Central Texas
today. Cloud to ground lightning will be the primary threat from
these storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Thunderstorm chances will return to all of North and Central Texas
Sunday night and continue through Wednesday. Cloud to ground
lightning will be the main threat with any storms. We will continue
to monitor for the potential for some strong to severe thunderstorms
Monday and Tuesday. At this time, it appears that a capping
inversion will be in place, but if the cap breaks, some strong to
severe storms will be possible. There will be the potential for
some heavy rain Tuesday afternoon and evening along and east of
I-35/I-35W. The potential for heavy rain will continue into
Wednesday for areas east of the I-35 corridor.

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible area wide on Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$


Short Term Forecast


Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
131 PM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

ARZ070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>019-TXZ112-124>126-136>138-
149>153-172115-
Miller-Lafayette-Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-
Lincoln-De Soto-Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-
Natchitoches-Winn-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-
Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-
Including the cities of Texarkana, Stamps, Lewisville, Bradley,
Magnolia, El Dorado, Shreveport, Bossier City, Minden,
Springhill, Homer, Haynesville, Ruston, Farmerville, Bernice,
Mansfield, Stonewall, Logansport, Coushatta, Martin, Arcadia,
Ringgold, Gibsland, Jonesboro, Monroe, Many, Zwolle,
Pleasant Hill, Natchitoches, Winnfield, Atlanta, Linden,
Hughes Springs, Queen City, Mineola, Winnsboro, Quitman, Hawkins,
Gilmer, Big Sandy, Jefferson, Tyler, Longview, Marshall,
Jacksonville, Rusk, Henderson, Carthage, Nacogdoches, and Center
131 PM CST Sat Feb 17 2018

.NOW...
At 130 pm, the Shreveport National Weather Service Doppler Radar
showed a band of light to moderate showers across east Texas,
northwest Louisiana, and southern Arkansas that extended from Tyler
and Alto in Texas through Shreveport, Mansfield, Ruston, and
Springhill in Louisiana through Magnolia and El Dorado in Arkansas.
Expect these showers to continue spreading eastward near 30 miles per
hour into northeast Louisiana and southeast Arkansas through late
afternoon. Also expect the showers to slowly end from west to east
across eastern Texas through late afternoon as well.

$$

VIII.

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE