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NZUS99 KABQ 011200
SAGABQ

Backcountry Forecast for the Northern Sangre de Cristo Mtns
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
500 AM MST Wed Feb 1 2023

Northern Sangre de Cristo Mtns between 9kft and 10kft-
500 AM MST Wed Feb 1 2023

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Max Temperature.....28-35. 
Min Humidity........25-41 percent. 
Max Wind Chill......Around 32. 
Surface Winds.......Northwest winds up to 15 mph. 
Chance of Pcpn......0 percent. 
Pcpn Amount.........0.00 inches. 
Snowfall Amount.....0.0 inches. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. 
Min Temperature.....9-15. 
Max Humidity........52-68 percent. 
Min Wind Chill......Around -1. 
Surface Winds.......North winds up to 10 mph. 
Chance of Pcpn......0 percent. 
Pcpn Amount.........0.00 inches. 
Snowfall Amount.....0.0 inches. 

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Max Temperature.....32-38. 
Min Humidity........33-45 percent. 
Max Wind Chill......Around 35. 
Surface Winds.......Northwest winds up to 10 mph. 
Chance of Pcpn......0 percent. 
Pcpn Amount.........0.00 inches. 
Snowfall Amount.....0.0 inches. 


$$

Northern Sangre de Cristo Mtns between 10kft and 11kft-
500 AM MST Wed Feb 1 2023

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Max Temperature.....24-32. 
Min Humidity........25-39 percent. 
Max Wind Chill......Around 28. 
Surface Winds.......Northwest winds up to 15 mph. 
Chance of Pcpn......0 percent. 
Pcpn Amount.........0.00 inches. 
Snowfall Amount.....0.0 inches. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. 
Min Temperature.....Around 11. 
Max Humidity........54-65 percent. 
Min Wind Chill......Around -6. 
Surface Winds.......North winds up to 10 mph. 
Chance of Pcpn......0 percent. 
Pcpn Amount.........0.00 inches. 
Snowfall Amount.....0.0 inches. 

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Max Temperature.....28-35. 
Min Humidity........34-45 percent. 
Max Wind Chill......Around 31. 
Surface Winds.......Northwest winds up to 10 mph. 
Chance of Pcpn......0 percent. 
Pcpn Amount.........0.00 inches. 
Snowfall Amount.....0.0 inches. 


$$

Northern Sangre de Cristo Mtns above 11kft-
500 AM MST Wed Feb 1 2023

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Max Temperature.....20-28. 
Min Humidity........24-36 percent. 
Max Wind Chill......Around 22. 
Surface Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. 
Chance of Pcpn......0 percent. 
Pcpn Amount.........0.00 inches. 
Snowfall Amount.....0.0 inches. 

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. 
Min Temperature.....6-11. 
Max Humidity........56-66 percent. 
Min Wind Chill......Around -8. 
Surface Winds.......North winds up to 10 mph. 
Chance of Pcpn......0 percent. 
Pcpn Amount.........0.00 inches. 
Snowfall Amount.....0.0 inches. 

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. 
Max Temperature.....22-31. 
Min Humidity........37-47 percent. 
Max Wind Chill......Around 25. 
Surface Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. 
Chance of Pcpn......0 percent. 
Pcpn Amount.........0.00 inches. 
Snowfall Amount.....0.0 inches. 


$$


000
FXUS65 KABQ 011138 AAA
AFDABQ

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
438 AM MST Wed Feb 1 2023

...New AVIATION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 226 AM MST Wed Feb 1 2023

Patchy freezing fog in eastern New Mexico should come to an end by
sunrise. A light mix of wintry precipitation is possible today and
tonight in the far southeastern portion of the CWA where well below
average temperatures will continue. Temperatures will warm through
the weekend with highs 5-10 degrees above average Saturday and
Sunday. Dry weather will prevail through Sunday then a storm system
may bring mountain snow, low elevation rain, and strong winds early
and mid next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 226 AM MST Wed Feb 1 2023

A deck of shallow stratus with patchy freezing fog remains
entrenched over much of the eastern plains. However, this airmass
has lost its initial advective momentum and is now beginning to
erode through northeastern NM this hour. This erosion will continue
through sunrise and the mid-morning, advancing southward through the
east-central plains with coverage lasting the longest over Chaves
and Roosevelt Counties. Temperatures there will struggle to warm out
of the 30s as a result, roughly 15F-25F below normal. Meanwhile, a
tap of Pacific moisture ahead of an approaching 554dm H5 upper low
currently over the northern Baja will produce spotty shower activity
over southeastern NM today. Forecast soundings are indicating a mid-
level tongue of above freezing air. There may be a short period of
freezing precipitation potential over far southeastern Chaves County
before surface temperatures warm to the mid-30s. However, the latest
hi-res CAMS and the NAM12 show the best coverage of showers arriving
late in the day during the late afternoon and evening hours,
bypassing this potential. This timing matches well with the passage
of the main upper level low center over southeastern NM now. So
omitted the mention of freezing rain during the day time period.
Forecast soundings then show this mid-level warm layer falling back
to or below the 0C isotherm between 03Z-06Z allowing for either snow
or ice pellets. Overall, accumulation of whatever precipitation type
looks to be rather light, only a few hundredths of liquid
equivalent. Any impacts should be rather limited and more focused
southeast of the forecast area.

The upper low exits the area along with all PoPs Thursday, replaced
b northwest flow aloft. Temperatures warm little across western and
central NM where sensible weather conditions will be relatively
unchanged from today, but eastern and southeastern NM will see a
significant warmup compared with today`s forecast.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 226 AM MST Wed Feb 1 2023

A ridge will cross the state Thursday night into Friday, bringing
dry weather and warmer temperatures. A weak shortwave may pass
through on Friday, picking up winds a bit on the eastern plains
during the afternoon hours and increasing cloud coverage statewide.
Another wave on Saturday will likely do the same but this one could
be accompanied by a backdoor cold front in northeastern NM. The
airmass over the High Plains won`t be particularly cold so not
expecting temperatures to drop much behind the front. Sunday could
be the warmest day of the week for much of the state, with
temperatures as much as 10 degrees above seasonal averages and
mostly clear skies.

Guidance is in good agreement that a trough will be located over the
Pacific Northwest on Sunday and push southeastward into the Great
Basin on Monday. However, it`s still unclear how deep the trough
will dig into the desert southwest and how much moisture could
accompany it. Precipitation chances are currently greatest in the
northern mountains, but there is at least the potential for
widespread precipitation through the middle of the week if the
trough slows down over the region. On the other hand, a more
progressive pattern would result in less precipitation and favor
stronger winds, especially in eastern New Mexico.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 429 AM MST Wed Feb 1 2023

MVFR to LIFR cigs/vsbys remain over much of ern NM at 11Z with the
exception of portions of ne NM. Improving conditions by 18Z. Rain
and snow showers to develop over se NM possibly impacting KROW as
the upper low over the Gulf of California slowly opens up and the
upper trough tracks across NM. Generally VFR from the RGV wwd.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 226 AM MST Wed Feb 1 2023

Widespread poor ventilation as below normal temperatures and weak
winds persist. The bank of low clouds across eastern NM will
steadily erode today with some spotty non-wetting winter shower
activity trying to reach the east-central plains late today and this
evening. Conditions warm across eastern NM Thursday, even warmer by
Friday. Increased winds and temperatures Friday will allow for fair
ventilation across east-central and northeastern NM. The warming
trend continues this weekend with breezy to locally windy conditions
each afternoon through eastern NM. Unsettled weather returns by the
start of next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington...................... 37 15 39 18 / 0 0 0 0
Dulce........................... 39 3 40 8 / 0 0 0 0
Cuba............................ 38 10 38 15 / 0 0 0 0
Gallup.......................... 38 8 40 12 / 0 0 0 0
El Morro........................ 42 12 42 17 / 0 0 0 0
Grants.......................... 43 7 45 13 / 0 0 0 0
Quemado......................... 44 16 43 16 / 0 0 0 0
Magdalena....................... 45 23 46 24 / 0 0 0 0
Datil........................... 43 19 43 20 / 0 0 0 0
Reserve......................... 51 17 53 19 / 10 5 0 0
Glenwood........................ 55 22 58 28 / 10 5 0 0
Chama........................... 35 7 40 10 / 0 0 0 0
Los Alamos...................... 39 21 42 23 / 0 0 0 0
Pecos........................... 44 20 47 22 / 0 0 0 0
Cerro/Questa.................... 38 17 42 18 / 0 0 0 0
Red River....................... 35 9 38 12 / 0 0 0 0
Angel Fire...................... 35 -4 38 1 / 0 0 0 0
Taos............................ 38 5 42 11 / 0 0 0 0
Mora............................ 45 17 47 18 / 0 0 0 0
Espanola........................ 46 17 48 20 / 0 0 0 0
Santa Fe........................ 42 22 44 24 / 0 0 0 0
Santa Fe Airport................ 43 19 46 22 / 0 0 0 0
Albuquerque Foothills........... 48 25 47 29 / 0 0 0 0
Albuquerque Heights............. 50 23 48 25 / 0 0 0 0
Albuquerque Valley.............. 51 18 51 23 / 0 0 0 0
Albuquerque West Mesa........... 50 22 49 24 / 0 0 0 0
Belen........................... 52 14 51 19 / 0 0 0 0
Bernalillo...................... 50 21 49 24 / 0 0 0 0
Bosque Farms.................... 52 12 51 19 / 0 0 0 0
Corrales........................ 50 22 50 25 / 0 0 0 0
Los Lunas....................... 52 13 51 19 / 0 0 0 0
Placitas........................ 45 23 44 27 / 0 0 0 0
Rio Rancho...................... 50 23 49 25 / 0 0 0 0
Socorro......................... 52 23 52 24 / 0 0 0 0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 41 23 41 25 / 0 0 0 0
Tijeras......................... 45 23 44 25 / 0 0 0 0
Edgewood........................ 44 19 45 21 / 0 0 0 0
Moriarty/Estancia............... 46 14 47 18 / 0 0 0 0
Clines Corners.................. 43 18 44 20 / 0 5 0 0
Mountainair..................... 46 19 46 22 / 0 0 0 0
Gran Quivira.................... 47 21 47 23 / 0 0 0 0
Carrizozo....................... 52 25 52 27 / 10 5 5 0
Ruidoso......................... 43 24 46 24 / 30 20 10 0
Capulin......................... 41 16 43 19 / 0 0 0 0
Raton........................... 45 12 48 14 / 0 0 0 0
Springer........................ 48 12 51 14 / 0 0 0 0
Las Vegas....................... 47 18 49 20 / 0 5 0 0
Clayton......................... 45 19 48 22 / 0 0 0 0
Roy............................. 46 19 49 21 / 0 0 0 0
Conchas......................... 48 19 53 22 / 0 10 5 0
Santa Rosa...................... 46 21 51 24 / 0 10 5 0
Tucumcari....................... 45 19 50 20 / 0 20 5 0
Clovis.......................... 38 24 51 23 / 20 40 10 0
Portales........................ 40 24 53 22 / 30 50 10 0
Fort Sumner..................... 40 22 53 23 / 10 20 10 0
Roswell......................... 35 26 54 26 / 50 40 5 0
Picacho......................... 41 26 54 26 / 40 20 5 0
Elk............................. 41 24 53 23 / 50 20 5 0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

 
 

 
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Avalanche Advisories for the Northern Sangre de Cristo mountains are issued by the Taos Avalanche Center.
Click here for the full advisory.