National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Dangerous Heat in the West; Flash Flooding Possible Across the Southern US

Dangerous heat is expected across areas in Texas and from Washington through California. Several daily high temperature records are expected to be either tied or broken in the West. Monsoonal showers and thunderstorms may result in flash flooding and debris flows over the Southwestern U.S. through Friday. Locally heavy rain is expected from thunderstorms in the Southeast. Read More >

Snow Amount Potential
Experimental -
02/13/2022 0600PM to 02/16/2022 0600PM
Expected Snowfall - Official NWS Forecast
Point Range
Expected Snowfall - Official NWS Forecast
What's this?
High End Amount
1 in 10 Chance (10%) of Higher Snowfall

Maximum Potential Snow Accumulation
What's this?
Low End Amount
9 in 10 Chance (90%) of Higher Snowfall

Minimum Potential Snow Accumulation
What's this?

Low End Amount – 9 in 10 Chance (90%) of Higher Snowfall

 

This map depicts a reasonable lower-end snowfall amount for the time period shown on the graphic, based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals. This lower amount is an unlikely scenario with a 9 in 10, or 90% chance that more snow will fall, and only a 1 in 10, or 10% chance that less snow will fall. This number can help serve as a lower-end scenario for planning purposes.

Expected Snowfall - Official NWS Forecast

 

This map is the official NWS snowfall forecast in inches during the time period shown on the graphic. This snowfall amount is determined by NWS forecasters to be the most likely outcome based on evaluation of data from computer models, satellite, radar, and other observations.

High End Amount – Only a 1 in 10 Chance (10%) of Higher Snowfall

 

This map depicts a reasonable upper-end snowfall amount for the time period shown on the graphic, based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals. This higher amount is an unlikely scenario, with only a 1 in 10, or 10% chance that more snow will fall, and a 9 in 10, or 90% chance that less snow will fall. This number can help serve as an upper-end scenario for planning purposes.

 
The purpose of these experimental probabilistic snowfall products is to provide customers and partners a range of snowfall possibilities, in complement to existing NWS deterministic snowfall graphics, to better communicate forecast uncertainties during winter weather events. For more information visit this project's Product/Service Description Document, and please provide us your feedback here.
Percent Chance That Snow Amounts Will Be Greater Than...
Experimental -
02/13/2022 0600PM to 02/16/2022 0600PM
What's this?

Percent Chance That Snow Amounts Will Be Greater Than

 

This series of maps shows the probability (that is, the likelihood) that snowfall will equal or exceed specific amounts during the time period shown on the graphic. These forecasts are based on many computer model simulations of possible snowfall totals.

Hover over thumbnails below to view larger image.
>=0.1"
>=0.1"
>=1"
>=1"
>=2"
>=2"
>=4"
>=4"
>=6"
>=6"
>=8"
>=8"
>=12"
>=12"
>=18"
>=18"

Snowfall Totals by Location
Experimental -
02/13/2022 0600PM to 02/16/2022 0600PM
What's this?

Snowfall Totals by Location

 

These tables show the snowfall forecast for individual locations, and provide the same information as the graphics on this web page, just shown in a different way. All of these values are valid for the same time period as depicted on the graphics.

County:
 
Location Snow Amount Potential Chance of Seeing More Snow Than
Low End
Snowfall
Expected
Snowfall
High End
Snowfall
>=0.1" >=1" >=2" >=4" >=6" >=8" >=12" >=18"
Hereford, TX 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Clarendon, TX 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pampa, TX 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Dalhart, TX 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Canadian, TX 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Borger, TX 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Dumas, TX 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Perryton, TX 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Amarillo, TX 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Beaver, OK 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boise City, OK 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Guymon, OK 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%